Mini Normal 1921 - Town Win


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Post Post #3900 (ISO) » Fri Jul 28, 2017 9:20 am

Post by Alchemist21 »

Day 4 Votecount
gerrryoat(2):
Transcend, GraphicDesignPassion
Transcend:
gerryoat

Not voting : projectmatt, Creature, BlackVoid, TellTaleHeart, Impoetic

With 8 alive it takes 5 to lynch.
Deadline: (expired on 2017-08-07 23:21:00)
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Post Post #3901 (ISO) » Fri Jul 28, 2017 11:22 am

Post by TellTaleHeart »

VOTE: gerryoat
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Post Post #3902 (ISO) » Fri Jul 28, 2017 11:27 am

Post by Creature »

VOTE: gerryoat

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Post Post #3903 (ISO) » Fri Jul 28, 2017 11:28 am

Post by Creature »

Now if someone wants to end the day...
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Post Post #3904 (ISO) » Sat Jul 29, 2017 3:31 am

Post by Creature »

Should I take this as "scum not wanting to hammer"?
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Post Post #3905 (ISO) » Sat Jul 29, 2017 3:32 am

Post by Creature »

If you don't want the day to end, then atleast bring something.
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Post Post #3906 (ISO) » Sat Jul 29, 2017 5:09 am

Post by BlackVoid »

Waiting on projectmatt's analysis.
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Post Post #3907 (ISO) » Sat Jul 29, 2017 7:17 am

Post by Alchemist21 »

Day 4 Votecount
gerrryoat(4):
Transcend, GraphicDesignPassion, TellTaleHeart, Creature
L-1

Transcend:
gerryoat

Not voting : projectmatt, BlackVoid, Impoetic

With 8 alive it takes 5 to lynch.
Deadline: (expired on 2017-08-07 23:21:00)
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Post Post #3908 (ISO) » Sat Jul 29, 2017 7:26 am

Post by Alchemist21 »

gerryoat and Impoetic have been prodded.
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Post Post #3909 (ISO) » Sat Jul 29, 2017 7:44 am

Post by GraphicDesignPassion »

could someone hammer please
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Post Post #3910 (ISO) » Sat Jul 29, 2017 8:04 am

Post by gerryoat »

can you just hammer me. idc.
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Post Post #3911 (ISO) » Sat Jul 29, 2017 8:38 am

Post by Impoetic »

I was waiting for everyone to be satisfied ending the day.
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Post Post #3912 (ISO) » Sat Jul 29, 2017 8:56 am

Post by Impoetic »

In post 3846, BlackVoid wrote:Part of the reason I'm hesitating against this concensus Gerry lynch is that his interactions with Dunker felt like Dunker was trying to appease/pocket him. Gerry spent D1 saying Dunker was scum and Dunker scumread him. But when Gerry changed track D2 and started tunneling Transcend, Dunker immediately tried to get his support by townreading him back in . Although that points more to Dunker trying to enlist a town-Gerry to help him mislynch a town-Transcend so I could be wrong on Transcend even.
that's not a townread that's "if transcend flips red he's green and vice versa I guess"/"I thought he was scum before but I kinda don't think so anymore"/not color-coding his name when everyone else is green or red and putting him smack dab in the middle of the tier list, implying a nullread. That's still most likely not something dunker would do with a partner since he was singled out as the -sole- nullread and the wording was a little weird. In general, if I had to make one guess as to gerry's alignment I'd
probably
say he was town.

but I don't, and I really don't want to leave him alive when even he doesn't want to be. His behavior is fairly weird and i don't see a better option.
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Post Post #3913 (ISO) » Sat Jul 29, 2017 9:00 am

Post by Creature »

"wow I townread my buddy, town will assume pocketing"
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Post Post #3914 (ISO) » Sat Jul 29, 2017 9:09 am

Post by Impoetic »

he didn't townread him, but that's also a possibility and not the main reason i feel like this lynch is going to flip town (though I'm not sure, obviously)
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Post Post #3915 (ISO) » Sat Jul 29, 2017 1:30 pm

Post by projectmatt »

Sorry for the wait on analysis! I worked most of the day yesterday and all day today. Here are some thoughts:

Dunker's posts honestly do kind of point toward Gerry possibly being scum. In particular, from #2526 from #2564, Dunker put a "pressure" vote on Gerry and then backed off incredibly quickly, citing him as "not a viable lynch".

He said this in his reads list:
In post 2574, Dunkerdoodles wrote: 7. gerry uh basically lurks and prodges which is ok i guess. i don't think he's bussing transcend so if transcend flips red he's probably town and visa versa. i thought he was scum earlier but i kinda don't think so anymore.
which is exactly how I would expect scumDunker to treat Gerry - basically a "null idk maybe scum" read.

Re: Transcend

Honestly, the only viable candiate I can figure out for scum is likely to be Transcend, there's this:
In post 2764, Dunkerdoodles wrote:
In post 2759, Boonskiies wrote:you guys most likely can't kill anybody this game without risking a guilty or another conf town, so you're fucked anyways.
ok then, we lynch transcend. when he flips scum, we powerlynch you tommorrow. if he flips town (which he won't) you get your lynches in pjm and I

deal or no deal?
along with that, the last few posts before Dunker got lynched are sort of telling - he was riding really, really hard on getting Transcend lynched, in a way that honestly makes me feel like it was a "lynch my scum buddy to save myself" sort of gambit

Along with that, I might have been wrong about my read on Graphic. Dunker's interactions with him are actually really hard to paint as a scumteam - in particular, Dunker townread Graphic really hardcore and defended him through most of the game. I'm almost positive that a somewhat new player like Dunker wouldn't try to buddy his partner so hard and so obviously. It doesn't seem likely to me.

I think BlackVoid and Impoetic are town.

If I'm being honest, I did a readthrough of Creature's ISO and it honestly pings incredibly, hilariously null to me - but I can kind of cautiously townread him partially because he sincerely thought that me and Boon were T v T, and I find it hard to believe that a scum wouldn't try to jump on a fight like that and instead withdraw completely. I think calling them scum would be a big case of overthinking, TBH.

Anyway, I really can't see a feasible end to this game that doesn't involve one of Gerry/Transcend being scum, and I'm comfortable with Transcend being jailed if Gerry would somehow flip town. I'm ready to hammer now if everyone else is.

Sorry for stalling the game.
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Post Post #3916 (ISO) » Sat Jul 29, 2017 1:37 pm

Post by BlackVoid »

Okay, that's fair enough. Let's hope we're right on Gerry.

VOTE: Gerryoat

That should be the hammer. I'm good with Transcend getting jailed if this is wrong.
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Post Post #3917 (ISO) » Sat Jul 29, 2017 1:50 pm

Post by Alchemist21 »

Day 4 Votecount
gerrryoat(5):
Transcend, GraphicDesignPassion, TellTaleHeart, Creature, BlackVoid
Lynch!

Transcend:
gerryoat

Not voting : projectmatt, Impoetic

With 8 alive it takes 5 to lynch.
Deadline: (expired on 2017-08-07 23:21:00)


gerryoat has been lynched! He was a
Vanilla Town
.

N4 begins now!

Deadline: (expired on 2017-08-01 20:51:00)


Reminder that if all living players request to end the Night early I will do so.
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Post Post #3918 (ISO) » Tue Aug 01, 2017 2:12 pm

Post by Alchemist21 »

TellTaleHeart has been killed. She was a
Town Jailkeeper


D5 begins now!

Day 5 VotecountNot voting : projectmatt, Impoetic, Transcend, GraphicDesignPassion, Creature, BlackVoid

With 6 alive it takes 4 to lynch.
Deadline: (expired on 2017-08-15 21:13:00)
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Post Post #3919 (ISO) » Tue Aug 01, 2017 2:15 pm

Post by Creature »

Okay, Impoetic and Transcend are locked town, I am town. That leaves Graphic, Black and projectmatt.
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Post Post #3920 (ISO) » Tue Aug 01, 2017 2:15 pm

Post by Creature »

Still think BlackVoid would avoid bussing D2.
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Post Post #3921 (ISO) » Tue Aug 01, 2017 2:18 pm

Post by Creature »

Hmm, did BV ever attempt to bus someone?
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Post Post #3922 (ISO) » Tue Aug 01, 2017 2:19 pm

Post by Creature »

Leaning on last scum being Graphic.
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Post Post #3923 (ISO) » Tue Aug 01, 2017 2:19 pm

Post by Transcend »

aaaand congratulations. i'm an IC.

so is impoetic.

tth made it oh so VERY blatant she was jk but whatever.
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Post Post #3924 (ISO) » Tue Aug 01, 2017 2:20 pm

Post by Transcend »

i'm just kinda pissed that gerry wasn't scum but whatever.
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