@Creature:
Got a few followup questions for you.
Chickadee seemed strange and a good place to sort.
Can you elaborate? Strange how?
I switched my vote to the nextest scumread after she posted something.
Checking your iso it seems this next person was WhyMafia. Can you explain your scumread here?
Text in italics was left in for completeness of thought process after seeing Keychain asked similar questions and you've answered them.
Being accurate isn't the factor to be town, it's more the time of use (of the read).
Could you elaborate on this? What about the timing struck you as odd, and what made you think it was scummy?
Does this mean your read on him was null, or scum? If null, why does that deserve a vote? If scum, what made you think that?
@vonflare:
But mostly because I had a plan from the beginning, to hard apply pressure to the person who scumread someone for discarding a town PR as that's the classic scum play in this game type.
I would very much appreciate a link dump to support this assertion, as I can easily see motivations from both sides. Please and thank you.
Specifically, as town, discarding a town power role indicates that the other role offered must be stronger or of a different alignment. Otherwise you weaken your own faction. Therefore, the possible town roles that said person would have chosen shrinks dramatically, while leaving the antitown pile basically unchanged. Statistically this makes sense as a source of early pressure, especially in the opening stages of the game where there is literally nothing else substantive to go on.
On the other hand, from a scum perspective it ALSO makes sense, and mostly for the same reason. Assuming the person in question is not partnered with the scum in question, lynching them always results in a beneficial situation for that scum/scumteam. Either it hits a stronger town power role, which weakens the town, or it hits a competing scum and makes the first scum look better by comparison without sacrificing a member to do so.
End result is that logic dictates it as a null tell with a slight bias towards scum (good chance versus guarantee) that is further mitigated by the fact that a scum lynching competing scum is still beneficial to the town, even if it is also beneficial to the non-lynched scum/scum team. If the data indicates that the bias is larger than I'm seeing then I'll be happy to cede this point, but I need to see the data first. Otherwise you still look very opportunistic to me.
@Chickadee:
Is anything really random though? A choice was still made. It could mean nothing, or it could mean something. I don't really care to speculate not this further because I don't think it's going to get us anywhere at this moment. Maybe later for associations.
You've entirely avoided my actual question to focus on an opinion I expressed alongside it. Once again, how would adding to Keychain's wagon at the time make a player appear to be scumhunting? This is the crux of my issue with your post.
@Srceenplay:
Ok since it's slowed down.
I didn't like Chicks Town read on Creature.
I'm not saying I don't agree with the reasoning but it felt premature.
It seemed like someone knowing who is Town and trying to explain away why they know that.
This is an interesting angle. The problem I see is that this is a multiball setup. It is entirely possible, assuming Chickadee as scum, for Creature to also be scum of a different faction. Randomly claiming a town read on him like that. I'm just not really seeing the motivation for a scum to take someone off of their potential target list right off the bat when that person could actually still be scum.
That said, your post made me go back and reread the section of the game around that post, and I noticed that as soon as she was asked for an explanation of the town read Chickadee backtracked on it partially, indicating both that the read was weak (which makes bringing it up unprovoked strange in the first place) and that she shouldn't be held to it (which basically means she's trying to distance herself from it already). I think this is a much more important takeaway from the read post personally. Combined with the question dodging noted further above I'd say she's definitely scummy, and would be ok with her lynch today if it comes to deadline. vonflare is still better though and is my preference.
@WhyMafia:
My town read on Von is gut. He seems genuine in his posting and doesn't seem to have a hidden agenda.
Please address my case against vonflare. I feel he is quite scummy and have posted my detailed reasoning as to why. If you have a townread on him then that would imply you don't find my case to have merit, and I'd like to hear why.
@Vax why did you ask Von this when I stated in the previous post that I was waiting for Kairyuu to answer? It gave him time to see what others thought about the wall and post something that would look good. FoS
This amuses me. Appearances mean little to me. Arguments are everything. Also, if I cared how people would react to the post in question, why would I make the post in the first place?
Preview edit: It appears we've gone from not much during the day to several new posts to address while I was writing this. I'll start work on another post now (more free time on the weekend and whatnot). This post reflects my thoughts and questions on everything up to and including Keychain's 134.
Because, no matter how you dress it up, that's what the world is. A community of idiots doing a series of things until the world explodes and we all die.