you're basing too much of your analysis solely off of the draft order while ignoring what went on during the day. killing me might have brought too much attention to something (the mutant wagon, mainly). alternatively, scum might want me around because i'm totally off on the mutant wagon. comm also hasn't been very active and hasn't been his usual "big" personality. misa makes sense as a kill, to me – she didn't seem to be scumread by many and she wasn't that widely outspoken on an issue such that killing her would draw a lot of attention somewhere.In post 580, Aster wrote:In particular Northside and CommKnight look suspicious. Northside definitely passes the contributory standards to be considered for nightkilling, and has solid chances at having a powerrole. Aside from possibly being protected by the doctor, I'm a bit curious why she wasn't targetted.
CommKnight, further down the list, definitely doesn't look like he was going to be protected by the doctor. He wasn't a huge contributor, but he isn't too far below Misa. Comm also went after Creature and Mutant. It does appear unlikely to me that the mafia would move their kill two spots down merely on the difference in contributiveness between them.
in fact, typing that out makes me wonder if scum deliberately shot lower down to bring lynch attention higher on the list – that way, the get rid of more prs by lynching them rather than having to shoot them.