Micro 764: Marked For Death #2 - Game Over

[Schism]

VOTE: Paradox

Deal. We can policy NM tomorrow when we have a dead scum

[JaydragonKing]

The sad thing here is, if I'm thinking ahead on who the scum is going to Target that doesn't eliminate any of their cover, I really can't see them marking anybody but Dino. You got the war of suspicious behaviour of the top three scumreads (myself, Paradox, NotMaf) and with how Schism is playing, when he Lynch Paradox he'll take that spot. And then the V/LA and lurkers of Shawn, Gamma, and North.

You can literally divide us into two groups evenly after this Lynch except for Dino. Now, I know getting marked isn't instant death like other games, but it's definitely going to make whatever he does even more effective on day two with who he pushes for.

[Not_Mafia]

Intent to hammer

[Not_Mafia]

Okay I’m sick of waiting now

VOTE: Paradox

[Mathdino]

As a player, goddammit NM

As a person, I love you
You know exactly what you're about lol

[JaydragonKing]

I knew he would hammer the second it was available too him, I just knew it...

When we get back, My lvl 100 Mega Gengar is gonna kick your ass.

[Schism]

I knew he would hammer the second it was available too him, I just knew it...

When we get back, My lvl 100 Mega Gengar is gonna kick your ass.

With what moves!

[Schism]

The sad thing here is, if I'm thinking ahead on who the scum is going to Target that doesn't eliminate any of their cover, I really can't see them marking anybody but Dino. You got the war of suspicious behaviour of the top three scumreads (myself, Paradox, NotMaf) and with how Schism is playing, when he Lynch Paradox he'll take that spot. And then the V/LA and lurkers of Shawn, Gamma, and North.

You can literally divide us into two groups evenly after this Lynch except for Dino. Now, I know getting marked isn't instant death like other games, but it's definitely going to make whatever he does even more effective on day two with who he pushes for.

The lurkers could be a good mark as well since they havent provided information.

[Mathdino]

Yeah i entirely knew it too
I just didn't care

[Toto]

Official Vote Count

TheGoldenParadox

(L): northsidegal, JaydragonKing, Mathdino, Schism, Not_Mafia

Not_Mafia

(3): Shawn Spencer, Gamma Emerald, TheGoldenParadox

Not Voting

(0):

None.

With 8 alive, it takes 5 to lynch.

Deadline

: (expired on 2017-12-28 06:00:00)

[Toto]

TheGoldenParadox

was lynched. He was:

Spoiler: role

Vanilla Townie

Day #2

will start in: (expired on 2017-12-22 12:30:00)

[Toto]

It is now day #2

[Mathdino]

FIRST

Hey mod, just to be clear, the marked is supposed to get a PM, right? If so, have you sent this?

[Not_Mafia]

Yes, I'm marked

[northsidegal]

ah, i hadn't realized that who was marked would be private information rather than public. it shouldn't change much, outside of lylo.

[Mathdino]

For real?

VOTE: Schism

Jay and NM are off the table today.

NSG now that you're back I really need reads from you.

[Not_Mafia]

Why is Jay off the table?

[Mathdino]

Strong as balls townread. I made a minicase on them in 268.

[northsidegal]

i think scum are probably within {shawn, gamma, schism}.

i'm also wondering if nm is telling the truth, although i think that he is. if so, i'll have to think a bit about what this means.

[northsidegal]

@mod can scum mark themselves?

[Mathdino]

I mean NM is the only player here I think that would lie about that. We'll see if we get a counterclaim from the others soon enough.

I'm 90% sure Gamma is town. He literally hasn't been online since before the lynch. That combined with my initial townread on him.
Plus, I don't think scum would tunnel town that hard when they know what the flip is gonna be.

New reads list (minus the marked):
Gamma
Jay
NSG
Shawn
Schism

PEdit: Uh, wouldn't scum just claim marked instead of actually killing themselves?

Also gimme some of that dope-ass analysis I know you can do from other games

[northsidegal]

even though nm was the primary candidate for being lynched today, scum chose to mark him. immediately this seemingly nonsensical action jumps out to me as something i was thinking about before, that if i was scum and i knew i was going to be lynched tomorrow, i'd mark myself. that way, the end result is probably the same as if you marked a townie and lynched scum (one scum dies, one town dies), but you don't "confirm" a townie's voice.

that idea is far-fetched, though, and doesn't make a lot of sense.

although, perhaps parts of it still make sense – if scum think that we're likely to mislynch today anyways, marking nm ends up with the same result as marking a townier player – nm dies, the townier player dies. the difference is that you don't "conftown" the one person's voice.

i think the one conclusion that i can most confidently draw is that people were off on their reads yesterday and scum are in a comfortable position in terms of townreads. there's no urgency from a nm mark. either scum are among the most widely townread players and marking someone else would bring suspicion as to why they weren't marked, or the towniest players are entirely off on their reads and scum want to keep them around.

[northsidegal]

another scenario – i'm putting too much thought into it, and it was a newbie move?

[Not_Mafia]

Maybe the scumteam are part of the war on christmas? They saw my avatar and decided to mark me

[northsidegal]

no, that theory doesn't make sense either – i've been in the christmas spirit far longer than you, and i wasn't marked.