Surreptitious II: Secrets and Misdirection


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Post Post #4075 (ISO) » Wed Dec 20, 2017 4:15 pm

Post by Thor665 »

In post 4071, chesskid3 wrote:REGALE ME OH PEA-BRAINED ONE OF THE SCENARIOS I'M NOT ACCOUNTING FOR THAT MAKES C ANYTHING OTHER THAN A MORON'S LYNCH
If we mislynch ;)
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Post Post #4076 (ISO) » Wed Dec 20, 2017 4:15 pm

Post by Creature »

More like a hard scumclaim.
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Post Post #4077 (ISO) » Wed Dec 20, 2017 4:16 pm

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In post 4074, chesskid3 wrote:
In post 4072, Thor665 wrote:VOTE: Group A
Is this a hardclaim of having a brain thor?
I have already discussed with you my thoughts on the lynch plan back on Day 2 and my vote remains in line with what I claimed as functional strategy then.
So if this is a hardclaim - it's a hardclaim of you not having a memory.
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Post Post #4078 (ISO) » Wed Dec 20, 2017 4:17 pm

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In post 4075, Thor665 wrote:
In post 4071, chesskid3 wrote:REGALE ME OH PEA-BRAINED ONE OF THE SCENARIOS I'M NOT ACCOUNTING FOR THAT MAKES C ANYTHING OTHER THAN A MORON'S LYNCH
If we mislynch ;)
Wat I don't follow. Mislynch in A means they kill in A what's the problem?
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Post Post #4079 (ISO) » Wed Dec 20, 2017 4:18 pm

Post by Creature »

We lose another PR most likely.
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Post Post #4080 (ISO) » Wed Dec 20, 2017 4:18 pm

Post by chesskid3 »

In post 4077, Thor665 wrote:
In post 4074, chesskid3 wrote:
In post 4072, Thor665 wrote:VOTE: Group A
Is this a hardclaim of having a brain thor?
I have already discussed with you my thoughts on the lynch plan back on Day 2 and my vote remains in line with what I claimed as functional strategy then.
So if this is a hardclaim - it's a hardclaim of you not having a memory.
You know I don't listen when people who aren't me talk


You were for the fuck it yolo school of group picking right?
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Post Post #4081 (ISO) » Wed Dec 20, 2017 4:18 pm

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In post 4079, Creature wrote:We lose another PR most likely.
Yeah given where we are at I dont really value this over a confirm inno
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Post Post #4082 (ISO) » Wed Dec 20, 2017 4:19 pm

Post by Creature »

What confirm inno?
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Post Post #4083 (ISO) » Wed Dec 20, 2017 4:21 pm

Post by chesskid3 »

Like

for the same of argument lets assume Von is the last scum in C and EddieFenix replacement is town

If we lynch Eddie -> Creature killed and then Von -> anyone in C killed, there are 3 conftown players 2 days from now

whereas if we lynch Von -> C clear dies -> Eddie, one more conftown dies, whichever landed in A, there's only 2 conftown players
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Post Post #4084 (ISO) » Wed Dec 20, 2017 4:21 pm

Post by Creature »

Image
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Post Post #4085 (ISO) » Wed Dec 20, 2017 4:22 pm

Post by chesskid3 »

it's the SAME lynches

just in a different order

that keeps people who will become cleared (since we lynched well in C) alive
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Post Post #4086 (ISO) » Wed Dec 20, 2017 4:22 pm

Post by Creature »

You're assuming vonflare is scum.
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Post Post #4087 (ISO) » Wed Dec 20, 2017 4:23 pm

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No the WHO doesn't matter.

Yes we could ML in C and blow it all sure, but there is NO scenario where we benefit from the other order
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Post Post #4088 (ISO) » Wed Dec 20, 2017 4:23 pm

Post by Majiffy »

In post 4071, chesskid3 wrote:REGALE ME OH PEA-BRAINED ONE OF THE SCENARIOS I'M NOT ACCOUNTING FOR THAT MAKES C ANYTHING OTHER THAN A MORON'S LYNCH
The last living PR is in A. If we mislynch in C scum has to shoot a VT and we still don't lose. Buys us a free mislynch and a report.

If we hit Goon in C scum (basically) has to hit in the clears - all VTs. Buys us multiple reports.

It's a win-win.
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Post Post #4089 (ISO) » Wed Dec 20, 2017 4:25 pm

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PR results are close to useless with a 2-1 ratio of scum PRs. I'd rather have the IC
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Post Post #4090 (ISO) » Wed Dec 20, 2017 4:25 pm

Post by Majiffy »

In post 4081, chesskid3 wrote:
In post 4079, Creature wrote:We lose another PR most likely.
Yeah given where we are at I dont really value this over a confirm inno
We have 0 confirmed innos until we lynch in C and hit goon so you're shooting your own argument here.
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Post Post #4091 (ISO) » Wed Dec 20, 2017 4:25 pm

Post by Creature »

We'll discuss better which group to choose tomorrow.
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Post Post #4092 (ISO) » Wed Dec 20, 2017 4:26 pm

Post by Creature »

tbh chesskid's argument already falls when it relies on vonflare being scum.
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Post Post #4093 (ISO) » Wed Dec 20, 2017 4:26 pm

Post by Majiffy »

In post 4087, chesskid3 wrote:No the WHO doesn't matter.

Yes we could ML in C and blow it all sure, but there is NO scenario where we benefit from the other order
Kinda does matter since we're in disagreement on which lynches where in each of the groups.

Ergo your "it's the same lynches" is ... patently not true.
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Post Post #4094 (ISO) » Wed Dec 20, 2017 4:27 pm

Post by chesskid3 »

In post 4092, Creature wrote:tbh chesskid's argument already falls when it relies on vonflare being scum.


tbh chesskid's argument already falls when it relies on vonflare being scum.
except it 0% relies on a specific person thats why is says for the same of argument lets assume
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Post Post #4095 (ISO) » Wed Dec 20, 2017 4:27 pm

Post by chesskid3 »

In post 4093, Majiffy wrote:
In post 4087, chesskid3 wrote:No the WHO doesn't matter.

Yes we could ML in C and blow it all sure, but there is NO scenario where we benefit from the other order
Kinda does matter since we're in disagreement on which lynches where in each of the groups.

Ergo your "it's the same lynches" is ... patently not true.
Uhhh yes the lynch decided by the playerlist

with order reversed

keeps ICs alive

yes

this is not

difficult
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Post Post #4096 (ISO) » Wed Dec 20, 2017 4:28 pm

Post by chesskid3 »

can* keep ICs alive


vs no downside
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Post Post #4097 (ISO) » Wed Dec 20, 2017 4:46 pm

Post by Majiffy »

In post 4094, chesskid3 wrote:
In post 4092, Creature wrote:tbh chesskid's argument already falls when it relies on vonflare being scum.


tbh chesskid's argument already falls when it relies on vonflare being scum.
except it 0% relies on a specific person thats why is says for the same of argument lets assume
Because for the sake of argument flips change lynches so it simply does not work that way


Wait hold on I think there's an image for this

Image

Which one are you?
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Post Post #4098 (ISO) » Wed Dec 20, 2017 4:47 pm

Post by Majiffy »

In post 4096, chesskid3 wrote:can* keep ICs alive

vs no downside
Downside is not lynching scum

Pretty big downside.
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Post Post #4099 (ISO) » Wed Dec 20, 2017 4:47 pm

Post by Ginngie »

we lynch A

ayyyy lmao

get

A
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