Open 705: Polygamist - Game Over
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sheepsaysmeep heJack of All Trades
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Which ones other than yours?
Also read sheep's 253.
sheep, stop pagetopping, it hides the pagebottom content. I've often missed what you're even posting.- Mathdino
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I MEANT 453- Toranaga
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yeah they're wolves man
I mean we didn't need all these pages really
do you wanna change to either or something- sheepsaysmeep
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So we seriously have an argument based on math we should randomly lynch?ScumBlade's eloquent performance left me utterly disoriented, debased, depraved and sent me spiraling into a horrific murky abyss with emotional turmoil and immense despair as my only companions until slowly I suffocate in my own gloom, surrounded by failure. I will never recover. -- Zachstralkita about Mini 1841
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How much do you like math and/or programming? I don't know you at allIn post 481, MathBlade wrote:So we seriously have an argument based on math we should randomly lynch?
I've seen you in other games and have wondered what would happen if you, me, and mathcam ended up in the same game together.- MathBlade
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I have a BA in math and I work as a computer programmer.In post 482, Mathdino wrote:
How much do you like math and/or programming? I don't know you at allIn post 481, MathBlade wrote:So we seriously have an argument based on math we should randomly lynch?
I've seen you in other games and have wondered what would happen if you, me, and mathcam ended up in the same game together.
I don’t know who MathcamScumBlade's eloquent performance left me utterly disoriented, debased, depraved and sent me spiraling into a horrific murky abyss with emotional turmoil and immense despair as my only companions until slowly I suffocate in my own gloom, surrounded by failure. I will never recover. -- Zachstralkita about Mini 1841
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you guys, redflavor hydra and I think momo hydraIn post 477, Mathdino wrote:Which ones other than yours?
Also read sheep's 253.
sheep, stop pagetopping, it hides the pagebottom content. I've often missed what you're even posting.
different layers of towntells- MathBlade
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Had fun presenting at a math conference but I choked.ScumBlade's eloquent performance left me utterly disoriented, debased, depraved and sent me spiraling into a horrific murky abyss with emotional turmoil and immense despair as my only companions until slowly I suffocate in my own gloom, surrounded by failure. I will never recover. -- Zachstralkita about Mini 1841
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So the argument?ScumBlade's eloquent performance left me utterly disoriented, debased, depraved and sent me spiraling into a horrific murky abyss with emotional turmoil and immense despair as my only companions until slowly I suffocate in my own gloom, surrounded by failure. I will never recover. -- Zachstralkita about Mini 1841
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K cool.In post 483, MathBlade wrote:I have a BA in math and I work as a computer programmer.
I don’t know who Mathcam
Read my ISO. Or skim it. You'll probably get the point faster than others. Stop reading once you get it.
I also coded the setup somewhere so Ctrl+F for "coded". (did this to prove to non-believers that my idea was correct and pro-town)
Random lynch creates a 60% winrate.
Random lynch with 1 town lover-pair confirmed creates a 70% winrate.
We're not gonna actually random lynch cuz literally no one but me wants that, but if we agree to sheep one lover-pair, they can just randomly Kingmake.
The actual winrate is like less 36% or some shit. I forget. Check the wiki for Polygamist Mafia, I basically stole the idea from there.- Mathdino
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Lol I have an AS in Physics and I teach math, Scratch, Java, and Python to ES, MS, and HS- MathBlade
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Yeah well I think there’s a logical fallacy imho that random lynching doesn’t address besides the fact it isn’t a game.
I would rather lose having fun then “win” doing nothing too.ScumBlade's eloquent performance left me utterly disoriented, debased, depraved and sent me spiraling into a horrific murky abyss with emotional turmoil and immense despair as my only companions until slowly I suffocate in my own gloom, surrounded by failure. I will never recover. -- Zachstralkita about Mini 1841
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sheepsaysmeep heJack of All Trades
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K so you're one of those players. Damn.
Well, we honestly probably just caught scum early with cy/Lalendra, because the fact that the lynch hasn't been pushed through already is insanely suspicious.- Mathdino
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One day, I'll mod a game called Economics Wonderland, and it'll be amazing.In post 158, cytheflyguy wrote:
I'm sorry, but I don't care if Jack the Ripper himself is coming back from the dead and rolling. I just want to play mafia not Economics WonderlandIn post 157, sheepsaysmeep wrote:yo im the one rolling- sheepsaysmeep
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Another application of the law of averages is a belief that a sample's behaviour must line up with the expected value based on population statistics. For example, suppose a fair coin is flipped 100 times. Using the law of averages, one might predict that there will be 50 heads and 50 tails. While this is the single most likely outcome, there is only an 8% chance of it occurring. Predictions based on the law of averages are even less useful if the sample does not reflect the population.
So expecting this scenario to match a win because randomness says the most likely thing is a win is bad. (I am assuming if you’ve coded it like you said I will assume the math is correct for argument)
So let’s play mafiaScumBlade's eloquent performance left me utterly disoriented, debased, depraved and sent me spiraling into a horrific murky abyss with emotional turmoil and immense despair as my only companions until slowly I suffocate in my own gloom, surrounded by failure. I will never recover. -- Zachstralkita about Mini 1841
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/preinIn post 492, Mathdino wrote:
One day, I'll mod a game called Economics Wonderland, and it'll be amazing.In post 158, cytheflyguy wrote:
I'm sorry, but I don't care if Jack the Ripper himself is coming back from the dead and rolling. I just want to play mafia not Economics WonderlandIn post 157, sheepsaysmeep wrote:yo im the one rolling- Sky_Paladin
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Sky_Paladin Mafia Scum
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I'm a software engineer with a degree in computer science and I am not getting into the math debate again until post game. I think that it's entirely possible to scumhunt using our standard scumhunting tools - holding players accountable for their votes, looking at associations/vote count analysis, and getting players reads.
Which is why posts from my partner like this
make me cry.All my reads are gut
I'm sure actually rolling a die and voting proven randomly is actually a modkill but I wasn't able to find it when I was looking for it otherwise that is the first thing I would have said. However, the way the 'random' roll came out was entirely fabricated - Toraslot and Dino both townread each other, and Toraslot (sheep) picked Cy for a lynch. Tora/Dino/yourslot hopped on the wagon, Sheep jumped off, and Red hopped on.
Up until now the only players who have been actively participating are Dino, Diamond and myself, with Sheep/Tora/Red just sheeping other players, and Cy/Lal basically doing nothing except existing. There's probably more but it's only 20 pages, take half an hour and you'll be caught up. I'd love to get another voice in here even if it is in a slot I'm scumreading X__X- MathBlade
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Where it is helpful for is if mod confirmed information is in a subset whether to Lynch in or out of that subset. That’s where the randomness helps imho.
Anywho reading up.
Does anyone have an argument?ScumBlade's eloquent performance left me utterly disoriented, debased, depraved and sent me spiraling into a horrific murky abyss with emotional turmoil and immense despair as my only companions until slowly I suffocate in my own gloom, surrounded by failure. I will never recover. -- Zachstralkita about Mini 1841
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Lalendra Mafia Scum
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People say this all the time and i will never understand it. Aren't they just two sides of the same coin?In post 473, Mathdino wrote:My strategy relies on the fact that scumhunting is impossible with this setup, but limited townhunting is possible.- sheepsaysmeep
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