[SETUP] Lynchpin

[mith]

You can prove the EV for compulsive even setups by induction, but I haven't seen an obvious way to make that correspond to what happens in Nightless.

Interesting setup though. (And I think it would be kinda fascinating to just run a bunch of 2:1 nano game WIFOM-fests and see what strategies emerge.)

[mith]

For odd T+M, Nightless (T+3):M seems to be a pretty good EV approximation even for low counts, and it looks like it converges on this for high counts.

The biggest differences are at the boundaries of T:1 (exact EV for Lynchpin T:1 is Nightless (2T+1):1) and (T+1):M; it's quite good in the middle, and (3M-3):M converges on 50% (corresponding to Nightless 3M:M), so 3:2, 6:3, 9:4, etc. should all be good counts.

[mith]

>_>