Mini 1682 - Game Over
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RadiantCowbells He/himSmooth CriminalHe/him
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RadiantCowbells He/himSmooth CriminalHe/him
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RadiantCowbells He/himSmooth CriminalHe/him
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havingfitz Survivor
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In post 1516, havingfitz wrote:The fact that we have had two wagons at L-2 for a decent amount of today should give us some useful (maybe?) information to work with. The following
thoughts are obv fmpov. I am not including myself in this analysis because 1) I already know my alignment [town] and 2) I am not needed to get a lynch
(unless we wind up with two L-1 wagons).
Drakced has been at L-2 for a good portion of the day with BB and RC voting him.
If BBMolla is town:
- If by some miracle BBMolla and Drakced were both town...scum (3/4 of RC, Huntress, Titus, GG) would have had plenty of time to end the game.
- Therefore...logic would seem to indicatetown BBMolla = scum Drakced.
- Although not at L-2 as long as the Drakced L-2 wagon...if Huntress is town...(2/3 of RC, Titus, GG) have had plenty of time to end the game.
- Therefore...logic would seem to indicatetown BBMolla = scum Huntressas town BBMolla + town Huntress would most likely have already
resulted in end of game.
- I do not think Titus and GG can both be scum. If they were both scum...then one of Drak/BB would by default be town...and Titus and GG were
online at the same time while both wagons were L-2.
If Drak is scum:
- Though not with 100% certainty...I believe scum Drak = town BBMolla. I think them both being scum would have been an unnecessary gambit that while
probably ensuring a scum win, would have required a level of deception I'm not prepared to bestow on either of them.
tl;dr:
- I think there is 100% chance of BBMolla OR Drakced being scum.
- There is a remote chance that BBMolla AND Drakced are scum
- I think if Drakced is town...both BBMolla AND RC are scum.
- I think if BBMolla is town...both Drakced AND Huntress are scum.
- Titus AND GG are NOT both scum...though they could both be town.
Based on the assumptions above...I looked at all the different scumteam combinations and eliminated combos that I did not see as feasible (i.e. me
as scum [this is from my POV remember], combos that did not include at least one of BB or Drak, and combos that had both Titus and GG. Etc.) and here
they are:
Bbmolla...Huntress..........RadiantCowbells
Bbmolla...Titus.............RadiantCowbells
Bbmolla...Gypsy Girl........RadiantCowbells
Drakced...Gypsy Girl........Huntress
Drakced...Titus.............Huntress
Drakced...RadiantCowbells...Huntress
Bbmolla...Drakced...........Gypsy Girl
Bbmolla...Drakced...........Titus
Bbmolla...Drakced...........Huntress
Bbmolla...Drakced...........RadiantCowbells
On further consideration...I do not think BB and RC would bus their partner Drak, and I do not think Drak and Huntress would bus their partner BB...so
that eliminates 2 more combos.
Based on the D2 RC wagon at it is unlikely both of GG and BB are partners with RC (when he was brought to L-2).
I'll try to whittle more away. I might be leaning towards the Drak combos as they seem to outnumber the BB ones...combined with my earlier suspicions
towards the baldeagle/Huntress slot and my transition to a town lean on RC.
More later...........................
Intent to vote Huntress.
p-edit...that's what I was talking about RC. I have since seen it. My bad.Town 57w-66l :: Not Town 29w-16l:: TBD 2
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RadiantCowbells He/himSmooth CriminalHe/him
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GlidingPigeon Goon
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Titus She/herMoon WalkerShe/her
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Spoiler: VoteCountsShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
You're letting Titus win the game by herself.Good luck now I guess.You have no chance to win.~Tywin
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havingfitz Survivor
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That was of no value Titus. Was there any associated analysis?Town 57w-66l :: Not Town 29w-16l:: TBD 2
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havingfitz Survivor
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In post 1631, RadiantCowbells wrote:Like I said, I have a follower guilty on her.
Could you elaborate on this? "follower guilty?"Town 57w-66l :: Not Town 29w-16l:: TBD 2
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Titus She/herMoon WalkerShe/her
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@Fitz, I got distracted. I need to grab the VCs, color them, and then do the analysis. I just did step 1 and work called.ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
You're letting Titus win the game by herself.Good luck now I guess.You have no chance to win.~Tywin
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RadiantCowbells He/himSmooth CriminalHe/him
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havingfitz Survivor
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In post 1636, RadiantCowbells wrote:I'm thinking it's Fitz for last scum because it's pretty clear that he knows that I don't in fact have a guilty on Huntress.
Um...I don't know. That's why I asked you to clarify. I was pretty sure you hadn't claimed follower and I didn't recall anything about that. How is you lying and confusing people indicative of the confused's alignment?Town 57w-66l :: Not Town 29w-16l:: TBD 2
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Titus She/herMoon WalkerShe/her
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Ugh the pings on Fitz again.ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
You're letting Titus win the game by herself.Good luck now I guess.You have no chance to win.~Tywin
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Huntress Mafia Scum
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havingfitz Survivor
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In post 1639, Titus wrote:Ugh the pings on Fitz again.
WhyTown 57w-66l :: Not Town 29w-16l:: TBD 2
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Titus She/herMoon WalkerShe/her
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"Of the confused's alignment" is awkward as fuck.ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
You're letting Titus win the game by herself.Good luck now I guess.You have no chance to win.~Tywin
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havingfitz Survivor
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Do you understand what the words are saying?Town 57w-66l :: Not Town 29w-16l:: TBD 2
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GlidingPigeon
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havingfitz Survivor
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In post 1630, GlidingPigeon wrote:RC and fitz why do you think that huntress is scum? ( besides your post #1628 Fitz)
No besides. Because of content in post 1628.
Why did you vote Titus and Drakced and lobby for voted on me yesterday?
In a partial ISO on you (last ~20 posts) I find little or no thought/opinion/effort. Who do YOU think is scum and why?
Same question to everyone.
Mine is in my 1628 post with a dash of gut. Leaning town on RC and believe 2 of Huntress...GG and Titus are scum.
Combined with 1628...I do not think both scum would bus Drakced when there was a decent chance BBmolla could have been the lynch for a scum win.
I'll vote after people answer my question.Town 57w-66l :: Not Town 29w-16l:: TBD 2
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Titus She/herMoon WalkerShe/her
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In post 1643, havingfitz wrote:Do you understand what the words are saying?
Yes. That doesn't make it any less awkward.ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
You're letting Titus win the game by herself.Good luck now I guess.You have no chance to win.~Tywin
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havingfitz Survivor
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So what was awkward about my post and what made it a scummy?
And can you answer my question regarding who you suspect and why?Town 57w-66l :: Not Town 29w-16l:: TBD 2
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RadiantCowbells He/himSmooth CriminalHe/him
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Titus She/herMoon WalkerShe/her
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@Fitz, It's the distance you put between yourself and "the confused". Most would say what RC was doing had nothing to do with "my alignment".
I am fine with letting things pay out. Given I am obvious town after yesterday, the proper response is to chill.ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
You're letting Titus win the game by herself.Good luck now I guess.You have no chance to win.~Tywin
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