Elemental Trinity: Endgame

[moth]

I dont think I ever used gamblers fallacy at all. I said I dont think we have an all lurker scumteam or an all prolific poster scumteam. Which simplifies focus groups.

Pick 1 prolific poster and 1 lurker. Theres probably a scum in each

[Infinity 324]

I'll be up a little longer to talk, I got a bit of a second wind.

[moth]

Ive seen all lurker scumteams. They lose in lylo every time. Zero credibility, zero capability to generate counter measures.

[moth]

Ive seen all lurker scumteams. They lose in lylo every time. Zero credibility, zero capability to generate counter measures.

[Infinity 324]

I dont think I ever used gamblers fallacy at all. I said I dont think we have an all lurker scumteam or an all prolific poster scumteam. Which simplifies focus groups.

Pick 1 prolific poster and 1 lurker. Theres probably a scum in each

Meh, you could do the same thing with avatar colors tbh if that's the case

But sometimes it's true that lurking scumbuddies can influence a mafioso to be more active

[moth]

Sorry for the x2 post. I REALLY MEAN IT.lol

[Creature]

Oh, you did?

Mind if you link?

[moth]

How is avatar colors and posting habits in game equivalent for finding scum?

[Infinity 324]

LUV -- In Large Normal 200 (Source) You post a lot of short one liners and never really get into much depth in the beginning of the game. Also Double Deck is more of the same (=28406]Source)

In contrast a game you were town you were more explanatory with your reads (Take for example this post Source). In your scum game you tend to use more "pings" or "doesn't sit right" comments. Where as you go more indepth as town. What do you make of this?

Titus seemed to pick up on the same thing but generally doesn't use meta like I do, so she may not have gone back and looked at past games.

Yeah I definitely see where this is coming from

[Infinity 324]

How is avatar colors and posting habits in game equivalent for finding scum?

Well if they're both unrelated to alignment, they are equivalent. That's not necessarily the case but yeah.

Some scumteams could be all active, some all lurkers but I agree that there tends to be a spread more often than random.

[moth]

Thats-like saying vote habits dont matter either.

[Infinity 324]

I'm not saying they don't matter. I'm saying they sometimes matter but not always.

[moth]

Anyways I just thought that series of posts by RM was especially low information.

[Infinity 324]

Felt to me like she was just getting her thoughts out there.

Hey guys, moth is 100% town.

[moth]

Also the abbreviations people are using in this are hard to keep up with plus all the hydra names. Be simple.

Be a moth

[McMenno]

Felt to me like she was just getting her thoughts out there.

Hey guys, moth is 100% town.

please don't say things like that

honestly I've been cooling off on my scumread there

if I change my avatar to all flashy colors will I be townier

[moth]

No but if you start actually contrubiting you might be

[The Glitter Patrol]

Btw, here's a breaking strategy if you get scum: Make your entire scumteam lurk, town will think scum wouldn't all be lurkers and you'd all get an easy win.

I dont think I ever used gamblers fallacy at all. I said I dont think we have an all lurker scumteam or an all prolific poster scumteam. Which simplifies focus groups.

Pick 1 prolific poster and 1 lurker. Theres probably a scum in each

Have a game to counter this:
http://emforummaf.prophpbb.com/topic7.html

scumteam was all lurkers.

~Jae

[McMenno]

No but if you start actually contrubiting you might be

I think I'll pass

[Infinity 324]

please don't say things like that

I'm confirmed town, I get to do what I want!

But seriously I've only ever seen town do this kind of digging on d1.

[moth]

Okay so are we entertaining the notion scumteam could be RM, Yume, Peregrine, KFC, TD then?

[Infinity 324]

Ok unless anyone has anything they want to talk about I'm going to bed for real this time

[moth]

Above post is @glitter since you felt the need to find a very homerun 4th and 20 example to refute my theory.

[moth]

@glitter do you have any examples of games where the top 5 posters were all scum and they led town off a cliff?

[The Glitter Patrol]

Hey jae! Let's work together this game for once. I like the direction your going so far, I'm not sure if I agree with you on transcend but I haven't seen a lot of his posts. I definitely agree with you here though from what I've seen and I agree with you that postie is off from the games I've read of hers.

Well you're conftown this time so that helps Also I still think you shouldn't meta read me without having seen my full range but meh. It's less frustrating when it's not a scumread.

So my main suspicions currently are in {Postie, NBA, Transcend, LUV, nancy}
Lower suspicion on FA slot but she's a lot harder to read once I made that push on her and things started getting personal. I'm hoping someone easy to read replaces in there.

Postie because she's off in tone and the whole RM read, but I also remember really disliking early game a jump on my wagon.
NBA is omgus'ey so I'm inclined to throw my thoughts out there until I can regroup with a reread, because I know Alisae is all over the place as town too, I just expect him to be able to read me, especially given I feel he should know the emotional range I've expressed this game is genuine having hydra'd with me and being friends outside of MS.... but again, omgus'ey type burden of proficiency read on a friend so I might throw that out. We'll see what I get in the reread, especially considering something that I picked up that I legit missed every time.
Transcend just feels opportunistic and like he was trying to buddy FA. The subtle shade throwing at Postie doesn't look like distancing though, it felt more like he was trying to set groundwork there for later or feel out support of a lynch there.
LUV is really off. Tonally and progression-wise. Usually I can look at his conclusions and see some potential town thought process but I'm getting zero of that here.
nancy I'm wary of whiteknighting me and potentially buddying. Could be nothing, idunno.

I haven't been following as closely the past day or so. Weekends are really bad for me because of home duties and such.

~Jae