UK Pol - #independenceday

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Post Post #325 (ISO) » Thu Jun 08, 2017 10:35 am

Post by Nexus »

Tory DUP :(
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Post Post #326 (ISO) » Thu Jun 08, 2017 10:36 am

Post by zoraster »

Number 1 Fanciful: Sinn Féin
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Post Post #327 (ISO) » Thu Jun 08, 2017 10:37 am

Post by zoraster »

In post 325, Nexus wrote:Tory DUP :(
If 314, does that put them over? I think it puts them a couple seats shy.
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Post Post #328 (ISO) » Thu Jun 08, 2017 10:41 am

Post by Drench »

someone tell brenda from bristol about the exit poll
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Post Post #329 (ISO) » Thu Jun 08, 2017 10:45 am

Post by Not_Mafia »

Does anyone have a full breakdown of the prediction, I can't find what the NI parties are being predicted
Also, what is NM doing? Worst play I’ve ever seen.
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Post Post #330 (ISO) » Thu Jun 08, 2017 10:47 am

Post by zoraster »

and just as quickly:

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Post Post #331 (ISO) » Thu Jun 08, 2017 10:48 am

Post by zoraster »

If exit polls are true, I think this looks pretty much like a minority government. That said... exit polls aren't always very good at this.
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Post Post #332 (ISO) » Thu Jun 08, 2017 10:50 am

Post by Wraith »

So if exit polls are true with whom would Tories coalition?
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Post Post #333 (ISO) » Thu Jun 08, 2017 10:53 am

Post by Not_Mafia »

They probably won't
Also, what is NM doing? Worst play I’ve ever seen.
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Post Post #334 (ISO) » Thu Jun 08, 2017 10:53 am

Post by Max »

Supply deal with DUP maybe
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Post Post #335 (ISO) » Thu Jun 08, 2017 10:57 am

Post by Wraith »

In post 333, Not_Mafia wrote:They probably won't
Would that actually prevent them from carrying out their ridiculous austerity measures?
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Post Post #336 (ISO) » Thu Jun 08, 2017 11:07 am

Post by zoraster »

It would make it much more difficult, depending on what the final party breakdown is. There are a lot of possible ways this would work.

My guess is that coalition talks will last a few weeks at least.

Minority governments have a fascinating history in the UK.
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Post Post #337 (ISO) » Thu Jun 08, 2017 11:10 am

Post by Not_Mafia »

A Tory-DUP-UUP coalition would have a majority due to Sinn Fein not sitting
Also, what is NM doing? Worst play I’ve ever seen.
I can't remember the last N_M post that wasn't bland, unimaginative and lame. Some shitposters are at least somewhat funny. You are the epitomy of the type of poster that nobody would miss if you were to suddenly disappear. You never add anything of value.
I'm guessing you haven't read the game and probably never will? Why even sign up to play?
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Post Post #338 (ISO) » Thu Jun 08, 2017 11:14 am

Post by zoraster »

I mean, realistically the exit polls are unlikely to be precisely correct (and could be pretty wrong!) and the number that actually comes in is hugely important.
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Post Post #339 (ISO) » Thu Jun 08, 2017 11:16 am

Post by Not_Mafia »

Labour swing was smaller than predicted in Newcastle Central and UKIP are down 11
Also, what is NM doing? Worst play I’ve ever seen.
I can't remember the last N_M post that wasn't bland, unimaginative and lame. Some shitposters are at least somewhat funny. You are the epitomy of the type of poster that nobody would miss if you were to suddenly disappear. You never add anything of value.
I'm guessing you haven't read the game and probably never will? Why even sign up to play?
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Post Post #340 (ISO) » Thu Jun 08, 2017 11:27 am

Post by zoraster »

Fuller results from Houghton and Sunderland South paint a more complex picture.

Labour’s Bridget Phillipson held the seat with 24,665 votes; that’s 59.6%, up 4.4 points on last time.

Paul Howell for the Conservatives came second on 12,324 – up 11 points on 2015 and benefiting from Ukip falling 16 points. Its candidate, Michael Joyce, came third with 2,379 votes.

Fourth was the Lib Dem Paul Edgeworth on 908. The Green Richard Bradley on 725 was fifth; the independent Mick Watson got 479.

Turnout was 61%.

But the result is a 3.5% swing Labour to Conservative – the opposite to what the exit poll predicted.
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Post Post #341 (ISO) » Thu Jun 08, 2017 11:30 am

Post by Not_Mafia »

Looks like the death of UKIP could hand this to the Tories
Also, what is NM doing? Worst play I’ve ever seen.
I can't remember the last N_M post that wasn't bland, unimaginative and lame. Some shitposters are at least somewhat funny. You are the epitomy of the type of poster that nobody would miss if you were to suddenly disappear. You never add anything of value.
I'm guessing you haven't read the game and probably never will? Why even sign up to play?
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Post Post #342 (ISO) » Thu Jun 08, 2017 11:35 am

Post by Drench »

hastings/amber rudd is extremely close say sources
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Post Post #343 (ISO) » Thu Jun 08, 2017 11:35 am

Post by Drench »

extremely close election. all coming down to crucial waukesha-on-tweedham constituency
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Post Post #344 (ISO) » Thu Jun 08, 2017 11:36 am

Post by zoraster »

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Post Post #345 (ISO) » Thu Jun 08, 2017 11:37 am

Post by Drench »

hey @taniel just retweeted that into my tl too
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Post Post #346 (ISO) » Thu Jun 08, 2017 11:41 am

Post by zoraster »

Let's say Labour does slightly better than the exit polls and can actually form some sort of coalition government. Do the LDs get their wish of a second referendum?
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Post Post #347 (ISO) » Thu Jun 08, 2017 11:42 am

Post by Not_Mafia »

I don't see Lib Dems joining a coalition without it
Also, what is NM doing? Worst play I’ve ever seen.
I can't remember the last N_M post that wasn't bland, unimaginative and lame. Some shitposters are at least somewhat funny. You are the epitomy of the type of poster that nobody would miss if you were to suddenly disappear. You never add anything of value.
I'm guessing you haven't read the game and probably never will? Why even sign up to play?
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Post Post #348 (ISO) » Thu Jun 08, 2017 11:51 am

Post by zoraster »

Another Labour win but a swing to Conservatives.

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Post Post #349 (ISO) » Thu Jun 08, 2017 12:00 pm

Post by Not_Mafia »

UKIP can't even die without doing something terrible
Also, what is NM doing? Worst play I’ve ever seen.
I can't remember the last N_M post that wasn't bland, unimaginative and lame. Some shitposters are at least somewhat funny. You are the epitomy of the type of poster that nobody would miss if you were to suddenly disappear. You never add anything of value.
I'm guessing you haven't read the game and probably never will? Why even sign up to play?

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