OK...I didn't feel like reading the entire 25 pages of the game so I just skimmed over a lot of the posts as I annotated everyone's votes. Thankfully vijay and Deasvail have both been eliminated as they are both typically detriments to town...and luckily vijay was actually scum in this game (bonus!). So looking over the voting patterns the first thing I look over what the wagons were at the end of each day (and the flip obv). For D1 I also looked at Helio's wagon as we know his flip and it was the D1 DV counterwagon. Votes are in the order they were placed (L to R) and known alignments are colored appropriately, and like it or not, I mark myself as green because I know I’m town. So consider this VCA FMPOV:
D1 on
:.....
,
, Kcda/CES, Blondie,
, PBrain,
D1 on
: Pirate/Snake,
,
,
D1 on Other: Equinox, Huntress
D1 Thoughts: I usually assume there are 2 scum on D1 wagons. Given the fact I’m leaning town towards Equinox and Huntress I’m even more of that opinion (2 scum on wagon) in this game. Although all 3 would be a reach…especially with a town self-hammer. Of the unknowns on DV’s lynch I am inclined to think PBrain is scum at this point due to their late hop on the DV wagon (at least compared to the other UNKs). The Pirate/Snake slot looks bad as the only UNK on the Helio wagon when it was at it’s D1 peak (w/all knowns being town).
D2 on
:
, Kcda/CES, Equinox, PBrain,
,
D2 on Other:
, Pirate/Snake, Blondie, Huntress,
D2 Thoughts: Heliograph is an idiot for self-hammering as town. I hate that…all it does is reduce scum’s need support a mislynch. That said…IMO there is at least one scum on his wagon. Kcda/CES and PBrain make another appearance on a mislynch along with Equinox. Once again, PBrain getting my vote for scum with a little increased attention going to Kcda/CES. I do not think it would be both Kcda/CES & PBrain as scum because that would put all three scum on the D1 mislynch. For this reason I am also hesitant to suspect Blondie. Pirate/Snake would be my choice for scum off the mislynch wagon.
D3 on
: Kcda/CES, Equinox,
, Pirate/Snake, PBrain
D3 on Other:
, Blondie, Huntress,
D3 Thoughts: 4 UNKs on the scum lynch. I still like PBrain with the late hammer as a chance to gain town points on a scum lynch. I do not think PBrain mentions vijay once outside of their vote on him. PBrain has been on both mislynches and the scum wagon (as has Kcda/CES).
So
VOTE: Prolapsed Brain
FOS
CES, Snake, Blondie (in that particular order)
I would prefer PBrain over any of my FOS’s or Huntress (leaning town) and Equinox (town IMO). If it is PBrain then I don’t have to worry about a 3 rd scum as that would be game.
@CES, in
post 625 you say you can’t see Equinox and PBrain as a scum pairing. Why are you treating them as a pair and not independently? If you think PBrain is scum then vote him with me.
I also did an ISO on Huntress because of CES’s current push that way and I don’t see scum ATM. Do you have a case on Huntress other than she didn’t mention vijay nor support a Helio graph wagon? I also did an ISO on PBrain and found nothing of value. I may do more but it probably wouldn’t be until Monday due to Father’s Day/weekend commitments. <- -- On that note, don’t expect much of anything from me tomorrow and Sunday as I will not be online much, if any.