Mini 619 - Ramen Mafia (Over!)


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Post Post #795 (ISO) » Tue Sep 02, 2008 1:54 pm

Post by ClockworkRuse »

To be honest, I'm leaning toward charter for scum. With a jailer, JOAT, a cop, and masons, a Doctor would see over powered. We already saw that with the Jailer's role, the name didn't make much sense with the power.

His points so far have been iffy at best, as sthar has already commented, and his amount of active lurking at pseudo-endgame so far has been a little suspicious too. Plus, the way he attacked me when I suggested that something was wrong when the doctor was still alive was odd to, as I still think that is reasonable thinking.

Vote: charter
I have to go with what I think, and I think that charter is more likely to be scum then sthar.
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Post Post #796 (ISO) » Tue Sep 02, 2008 2:28 pm

Post by charter »

sthar8 wrote:
charter wrote:Don't put words in my mouth. I don't suggest you softclaim scum. I actually meant breadcrumbed, not softclaimed however.
Why would I breadcrumb scum? And if I wasn't, why would I mention scum as a possible role for the flavor you say I was breadcrumbing?
You're pretending to not understand what I'm saying. I said you breadcrumbed a bunch of roles, then claimed another one once you realized that someone else had all those.
charter wrote:I bring it up on day 1, "Oh hey look, charter's accusing more people! Lynch him!"
No but you use it to justify your actions before, but now it's apparant that you were just saying it then so other's would be happy and not suspect you.
How is this apparent? And where did say that I was playing cautiously, which was suspicious, on day 1? And how was suspecting you cautious?
It's apparent because you never did it, when you said you would before. This really isn't a big point against you, so I'm not going to keep going at it.
charter wrote:Real life time has nothing to do with mafia time. Plenty of people posted suspicion of me in that less than 24 hours, and you made several posts yourself.
False. Really, Really False. As I said before, the time was what was required for me to reread your actions and decide that you were scummy. The posts in between required no research, and could be done quickly. Are you honestly suggesting I'm scum because I may have had a busy workday or other plans early in the game?
No, I'm saying that you waited a while in mafia time to make your mind up, after others had given their opinions.
charter wrote:Kind of like how you wanted Darla to contribute?
Exactly. How is this anti-town?
Darla was scum. You not wanting her to contribute reeks of you not wanting your scumbuddy to contribute so they can continue laying low. Do you honestly not see how town wants scum to post as much as possible? It increases the chances of them slipping up, and gives a lot to go on when their role is revealed.
charter wrote:First it outs all power roles, and gives no advantage to the town that day unless we really got our act together fast, so you'd get to act on it first. Yes, that's a flip flop. I disagree that the softclaims negated advantages, some softclaims are better than actual claims. What was scummy was your flip flopping to always advocate the popular idea.
I've already shown how the numbers do not support you here. And please back up your assertions. I've already explained exactly how the softclaims were bad, all you've said was "sometimes they're good." Can you provide another example that supports your idea that I'm "always" flip-flopping?
Twisting my words again. I don't say you're always flip flopping, I say you flip flopped (not always) so that you were always advocating the popular idea on the massclaim issue.
charter wrote:So you can read minds? I don't see how you can know others thought it. Is that why you killed food, so you wouldn't auto lose today?
Horse Laugh. I made no such claim, and my conclusion was reasonable. We've also recently discussed why speculation regarding the last night kill is fruitless.
I disagree your conclusion was reasonable.
charter wrote:Or there could be the extremely simple explaination that I am in fact the doctor. I'm suprised you haven't tried to attack me based on my flavor.
Why would I attack you based on your flavor? It would be foolish to try to outguess the mod's intentions, as I pointed out early on (in fact, in the same quote in which you accuse me of breadcrumbing scum).
Darla was outed based on her flavor. Muerrto could easily have been as well.
charter wrote:Actually it's half the risk. No one knew if there was a tracker (or watcher, I always get them confused). If so, having one person send in the kill and RB halves the chance that the scum will get tracked. It actually makes more sense for you to have sent in a kill. Nice try though.
That's an equal risk, at best, since you couldn't have known there was an RB on the town side either. And since BB blocked me night one, If I were scum we would have known the risk of RB was greater than the risk of tracking.
Come to think of it, how do you explain the RB of kiwi if I am scum and was jailed N1?
Well, I still don't know who killed Oman N1, so how do you know that kiwi was RB'ed N1?
I bolded that so CWR sees it and can change his vote in time. I feel like sthar8 just slipped up bigtime. I haven't seen any proof, or anything more than mere speculation as to what happened N1. We don't know who kiwi targetted N1, or if he targetted anyone at all. To speculate myself and answer your question, scum could have not RB'ed kiwi trying to outguess him and RB'ed someone else who they thought might have had a better role.
charter wrote:Oh, so you did know, just trying to play both sides of the argument, eh?
I don't understand what you mean by this. So I did know what? That GF's can't traditionally kill? Where did I express otherwise? Since we know that you can both kill and RB, I think it's worth considering that Darla could, as well.
I'm talking about the RB sending in the kill and RB so that if there is a tracker, it halves the risk of scum getting caught.
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Post Post #797 (ISO) » Tue Sep 02, 2008 3:42 pm

Post by strife220 »

Bah... looks like we'll be going to no lynch. I'll have a chance to argue with you (CWR) hopefully before deadline.

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Post Post #798 (ISO) » Tue Sep 02, 2008 8:21 pm

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charter wrote:You're pretending to not understand what I'm saying. I said you breadcrumbed a bunch of roles, then claimed another one once you realized that someone else had all those.
No, I understand exactly what you're saying. I'm just not arguing the same issue as you. You contend that the original quote was me breadcrumbing a loaf of roles (including scum, for some reason) tied to a particular flavor that you think I planned on claiming, despite the fact that Oman had already suggested that it might be his flavor. I have never contested the point that I had intentionally dropped tells several roles, and I even announced it during my claim, even though no one had brought it up sooner. I have also explained that I was attempting to bait a nightkill, which I can't prove and you can't disprove.

I shouldn't need to point out that
that
example is
not
an example of breadcrumbing, because it is in no way believable as such. Just saying a bunch of rolenames in the same sentence is likely to be taken as poor proof at best when using a part of the sentence as support for a claim. In fact, that statement was nothing more than a warning to avoid outguessing the mod on flavor. Since you picked such a poor example, I'd guess that you entirely missed my tells. After I announced them, you went looking to see if there was anything you can use. I likely made the tells too subtle, since I wanted scum to pick up on any
one
of them, but my failing provides evidence that supports my theory that you didn't know that I
wanted
to be targeted, and thus attempted to kill me N2, when you were sure I had some kind of role.
charter wrote:It's apparent because you never did it, when you said you would before. This really isn't a big point against you, so I'm not going to keep going at it.
Because I never did what? I'm saying that I
wasn't
playing particularly cautiously, which according to your other posts, would make me
less
suspicious. I note that you didn't find any examples of you accusing me of playing cautiously, or relate my suspicion of you to cautious play. Now you're ready to drop the point because you can't find any evidence?
charter wrote:No, I'm saying that you waited a while in mafia time to make your mind up, after others had given their opinions.
Less than 24 hours is too long to reread four pages and decide on suspicions during a work day during which I was the only person from my department at the office, shortly after my boss was fired, during the pre-holiday rush of custody disputes and last minute court filings attendant to working at a law office? In the off hours, before you ask, I was occupied with preparing for our Fourth of July party. The posts from me during this time were tossed off in a few spare minutes and my dinner break. In them, I add my brief opinions to matters already under discussion, propose some minor suspicion that required no serious consideration or research, and joked with Oman. There is a reason the post voting you came at 1:00 am my time. Suggesting that I should have been paying more attention to
mafia
during that time is unreasonable, and frankly offensive. I do not judge you based on your personal life, and I would appreciate it if you extended the same courtesy to me.
charter wrote:Darla was scum. You not wanting her to contribute reeks of you not wanting your scumbuddy to contribute so they can continue laying low. Do you honestly not see how town wants scum to post as much as possible? It increases the chances of them slipping up, and gives a lot to go on when their role is revealed.
You accuse me of having wanted darla to post more, I agree that I
did
want her to post more, and you turn around and accuse me of
not
wanting her to contribute? Without searching too hard, I note
nine times
that I asked Darla to clarify something or contribute more. Are you sure you're not reading your own posts, instead of mine? Because with the same amount of effort, I note that you ignored her entirely for Day2, and on Day3 until
after
she fell under suspicion. I'd say that "reeks" of you wanting your scumbuddy to "continue laying low" much more than my actions. (I doubt it's still relevant, but I just noticed that Darla did address me, one time. She was agreeing with my claim order)
charter wrote:Twisting my words again. I don't say you're always flip flopping, I say you flip flopped (not always) so that you were always advocating the popular idea on the massclaim issue.
I was the first to oppose the massclaim idea. I held firm despite several other players were for it, hardly following the popular belief. I was also the first to bring the idea up again after I'd changed my mind, and I only did so after my objections had been rendered moot. Is it the changing my mind with changing circumstances that you find scummy? Because at no point was I following the crowd.
charter wrote:I disagree your conclusion was reasonable.
On what grounds, and how does the conclusion make me scummy? I've already provided my reasoning, and the evidence supports me. The burden is on you to disprove me, so you can either present some evidence or concede the point.
charter wrote:Darla was outed based on her flavor. Muerrto could easily have been as well.
No, Darla was outed by an educated guess fueled by limited process of elimination. The flavor points merely helped everyone feel confident that they were doing the right thing. She could have
easily
been telling the truth regarding her flavor. And Muerrto
could
have been outed by flavor, but you're playing apples and oranges trying to compare scum who claimed vanilla and guessed at the flavor when there was a townie in the setup to scum who claimed PR and either used his actual flavor or just made something up because there was no one to compare it to and if he got counterclaimed he'd be dead anyway.
charter wrote:
Well, I still don't know who killed Oman N1, so how do you know that kiwi was RB'ed N1?
I bolded that so CWR sees it and can change his vote in time. I feel like sthar8 just slipped up bigtime. I haven't seen any proof, or anything more than mere speculation as to what happened N1. We don't know who kiwi targetted N1, or if he targetted anyone at all. To speculate myself and answer your question, scum could have not RB'ed kiwi trying to outguess him and RB'ed someone else who they thought might have had a better role.
Are you kidding? We just spent most of a page talking about this. We have the most complete information about night 1, therefore our speculation regarding night one will be the strongest. Unless you think the mafia targetted me (which means you're scum) or targeted a claimed cop with a claimed doc in play (which would be stupid), you have to accept that it is most probable that scum targeted Oman. Kiwi had announced that if Oman looked scummy, he'd target Muerrto. Kiwi's kill did not happen. Therefore, he could have targeted me (which means you're scum), WK (which would have outed and killed him if it worked, and made him suspicious if it hadn't), Oman (which he had announced he did not intend to do) or he could have been RB'd (which means you're scum). Therefore, barring terrible play, you're scum.

When you try to discount someone's speculation through the proposal of an alternate scenario, you should make sure that your scenario is as logically valid as theirs If someone else were RB'd, then why did Kiwi not get a kill? Your answer must be that he killed Oman, but why would Kiwi do that? He was already under significant suspicion, and killing Oman when he'd promised not to would very likely have causd his lynch.
charter wrote:I'm talking about the RB sending in the kill and RB so that if there is a tracker, it halves the risk of scum getting caught.
That still doesn't make sense. I'm saying that it is possible that Darla could kill, and that if she could it would make more sense for scum to split up their abilities. How am I "playing both sides of the argument?" If I were the scum, I would know that there was a protown RB in the setup, and it would make more sense to split up the night actions.
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Post Post #799 (ISO) » Tue Sep 02, 2008 9:08 pm

Post by sthar8 »

STRIFE


I'm not sure how I missed it before, but I think I can clear myself logicallly, the same way you and CWR were cleared.

First, here are some facts:
1. WK was a pro-town cop, confirmed by mod reveal.
2. B_B was a pro-town jailkeeper, confirmed by mod reveal.
3. We have one scum remaining, because we have neither lost nor won at this point.

Furthermore, we can assume from the record:
I. WK and BB were playing to fulfill their win condition and did not lie to the town.
II. Our scum is a roleblocker who can also kill, as evidenced by the circumstances surrounding WK's death.
III. The mod is trying to avoid errors that would damage the gamestate
IV. There are no roles with blocking abilities in the setup aside from BB and the scum

From these we can determine:
i. From 1 and I, WK investigated Muerrto on N1
ii. From 1, I, and III, WK was legitimately prevented from using his role N2
iii. From 2 and I, BB blocked sthar8 on N1 and N2

Logically:
A. From ii, II, and IV, scum blocked WK N2
B. From iii, sthar8 originated no night action on N2

Thus we have two logically valid and sound statements, A and B.
Giving us:
IF sthar8 is scum, THEN sthar8 blocked WK
IF sthar8 blocked WK, B is FALSE
B is NOT FALSE
Therefore, sthar8 is NOT SCUM


I don't think I missed anything, which means GG charter.
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Post Post #800 (ISO) » Wed Sep 03, 2008 3:33 am

Post by charter »

What part of kiwi could have killed Oman and scum no NK'ed night one (because you were jailed) do you not understand? It all fits together so nicely.
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Post Post #801 (ISO) » Wed Sep 03, 2008 8:14 am

Post by sthar8 »

You haven't answered the question of why kiwi would kill Oman, or why scum would Nk no one. Neither of those points make sense.

The point is moot anyway since I can't be the RB and therefore can't be scum.
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Post Post #802 (ISO) » Wed Sep 03, 2008 10:21 am

Post by charter »

Scum NK no one in order to frame kiwi. I don't know why kiwi killed oman, maybe because he thought Oman would get him lynched the next day like he promised. They both make complete sense. I'm not saying that's the only thing that could have happened, but you just declare it to be wrong.
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Post Post #803 (ISO) » Wed Sep 03, 2008 1:20 pm

Post by sthar8 »

Kiwi had announced that he would not kill Oman if Liam was town. Oman would've looked really scummy if he'd survived, so his threat of leading a wagon was basically disarmed. It makes no sense for Kiwi to kill Oman, and he would have come under considerable suspicion for it.

Scum no kill is usually a very bad idea, unless they were trying to set up or support a doc claim.
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Post Post #804 (ISO) » Wed Sep 03, 2008 2:47 pm

Post by strife220 »

Hah... that's not bad Sthar8. I'm trying to come up with a situation to refute it, but I'm having trouble.

When is deadline? I have to go back and fact check. I really can't come up with an explanation why scum made the kill choices they did n1 and n2 if Charter was scum, but Wk not getting a result N2 is damning on Charter.
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Post Post #805 (ISO) » Thu Sep 04, 2008 11:15 am

Post by sthar8 »

Note that charter has not responded to my assertion that I cannot logically be the RB. He knows he's dead.
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Post Post #806 (ISO) » Thu Sep 04, 2008 2:43 pm

Post by ClockworkRuse »

sthar8 wrote:Note that charter has not responded to my assertion that I cannot logically be the RB. He knows he's dead.
I was just going to ask about this.

Unvote


Request Deadline Extension
A small one, I want to see what charter has to say.
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Post Post #807 (ISO) » Thu Sep 04, 2008 3:39 pm

Post by charter »

Sthar8, I still don't understand your so called miracle logic post. If you can explain it in simpler terms, perhaps I'd be better suited to giving a response.
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Post Post #808 (ISO) » Thu Sep 04, 2008 5:12 pm

Post by strife220 »

To simplify Sthar8's argument:

WK didn't get a result from night 2. BB said he jailed Sthar8 night 2. Therefore, Sthar8 could not have roleblocked WK, and is thus not scum.

I can't come up with a realistic situation that counters this. You, Charter?


I think this is an incredibly appropriate time for a deadline extension as well.
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Post Post #809 (ISO) » Fri Sep 05, 2008 8:11 am

Post by sthar8 »

Aren't we days past the deadline? I'd say we're already getting an extension :wink:

If the assumptions on which I based that logic are sound, then the argument itself is as bulletproof as I am. If you're looking for a flaw, I'd start in the assumptions section.

And, charter, that is very close to the simplest way to express a logical argument. It lets you know exactly what each thought is based on so that any flaws should be readily apparent. The way 've expressed it also accounts for much of the weirdness that is possible, like WK not getting a pm because the mod wasn't paying attention or something.
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Post Post #810 (ISO) » Fri Sep 05, 2008 11:53 am

Post by strife220 »

Flameaxe has been afk for a few days - he just got replaced in another game I'm reading.

If Charter can't come up with a realistic explanation I'm going to hammer. The reasoning is solid.
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Post Post #811 (ISO) » Sat Sep 06, 2008 7:55 pm

Post by Flameaxe »

Deadline. No lynch. Night. I'm still busy. :(
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Post Post #812 (ISO) » Thu Sep 11, 2008 1:57 pm

Post by Flameaxe »

Strife is dead, he was Spicy Chile Ramen, mason. Day Six.
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Post Post #813 (ISO) » Thu Sep 11, 2008 2:29 pm

Post by ClockworkRuse »

Charter, what do you have to say for yourself?

What is your reasoning against Sthar being jailed night two?
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Post Post #814 (ISO) » Thu Sep 11, 2008 2:44 pm

Post by charter »

ClockworkRuse wrote:Charter, what do you have to say for yourself?

What is your reasoning against Sthar being jailed night two?
I protected strife, didn't do any good though. I understand how this looks bad on me, but BB lied when he claimed (post 586 for reference). This is apparrent to me now (because sthar8 is scum). I see how it probably isn't to you, but I suppose it's up to you to get a win for us CWR. Good luck making the right choice.

vote sthar8
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Post Post #815 (ISO) » Thu Sep 11, 2008 3:13 pm

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charter wrote:
ClockworkRuse wrote:Charter, what do you have to say for yourself?

What is your reasoning against Sthar being jailed night two?
I protected strife, didn't do any good though. I understand how this looks bad on me, but BB lied when he claimed (post 586 for reference). This is apparrent to me now (because sthar8 is scum). I see how it probably isn't to you, but I suppose it's up to you to get a win for us CWR. Good luck making the right choice.

vote sthar8
Nothing besides that? You think that the jailer lied to us? I don't see that being very likely.

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Post Post #816 (ISO) » Thu Sep 11, 2008 3:17 pm

Post by charter »

Good game then sthar8.
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Post Post #817 (ISO) » Thu Sep 11, 2008 3:19 pm

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charter wrote:Good game then sthar8.
Honestly, do you think that BB would lie to us and help the scum? What reason would he have to lie?

I just don't see this as being a reasonable play by him.
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Post Post #818 (ISO) » Thu Sep 11, 2008 3:36 pm

Post by charter »

I lie all the time in mafia games. I've lied several times this game. I abhor LAL because it's incredibly flawed.
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Post Post #819 (ISO) » Thu Sep 11, 2008 3:43 pm

Post by ClockworkRuse »

charter wrote:I lie all the time in mafia games. I've lied several times this game. I abhor LAL because it's incredibly flawed.
But what would be the point of the Jailer lying about who he jailed?
There is no pro-town advantage to it.

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