Blitz 21 - Hope plus One ―kibou― [End]

[Gorkington]

yeah. blitzes make it hard to sit on reads long enough to feel good about them. :/

[Scatterplot]

And I feel like needing to miss a couple days here and there is no big deal at all in 2 week day phases, and people are willing to wait as long as you do make up for it in the rest of the day phase, but when a couple days is half the day phase it's...hard.

and my usual playstyle takes forever with overanalysing everything and making snap judgements and rush rush rush just isn't my thing. I need to have time let reads settle and then have space for fridge logic and figuring out where all the pieces go.

But it's good to have tried it and learnt that I guess.

--P

[Scatterplot]

This probably won't be needed, but. The ☾ shows where the night phases were. + are townreads/working together with/supporting, - are pushing/questioning/scumreading/doubtcasting. v are votes. == is null reading. ? means i didn't understand something/am unsure that i'm reading the interaction right. R shows where Spiffeh replaced Trebuchet.

spiffeh/trebuchet ms 2219

Ankamius

+334 +403 +406 +410 =417 +424 -506 +507 +1002 +1092 ☾ -1195 +1214 +1265 -==1322 -1341 R +1686 ☾ +1823 +1916 +1917 +1941 +1944 +1994 +==2012 +2024 +2185

Antihero

=171 +208 -349 v369 -371 -374 +376 -377 -384 -400 -404 -406 -410 =411 -417 -418 -424 -426 +-429 -430 -431 =438 +507 -512 -513 +982 =984 =1012 =1037 =1163 =1165 ☾ =1191 =1315 =1324 =1330 R ☾ +1823 +1941 =1960 -1962 -1964 -1973 +1976 -1993 -1994 =1996 =2004 -2018 =2021 =2037 =2040 =2195 =2200 =2201 =2205 =2213

Expedience

+==178 +181 +195 -218 -225 -327 +355 +439 +507 +890 +975 ☾ R ☾ -1938 -1941 -1993 -2072

Gorkington/Ocean/talah

v22 -203 -210 -211 -327 +440 +507 -=580 -=581 -602 =890 -1001 -1066 -1080 +1084 =1086 +1090 +1092 =1095 ☾ -1178 -1180 =1193 -1207 =1277 R ☾ =1916 -1920 -1935 =1938 =1939 -==1941 =1944 -2012 =2021 =2027 -2031 =2040 =2219

hiplop

+178 =195 +208 +225 -452 -503 +507 -523 -524 +602 +1001 =1016 +1019 ☾ +1195 +1265 =1315 R =1466 ☾ +1823 -==1941 =2185 =2197

Ranger

-507 +619 -1064 ☾ -1344 R ☾ =1916 +1941 =2004 =2106 -2109

Scatterplot

-441 =506 +507 +561 +580 +581 +601 =1054 +1090 ☾ =1191 -1315 -1316 -1319 -1322 -v1324 -1330 -1341 -1344 R =1699 ☾ -1823 v1915 -1938 -1941 -1993 -2024 -2025 -2027 -2037 -2142 -2189 -2195

Wisdom

-441 =501 +-507 -554 -934 -960 -964 -965 -973 v974 -975 -982 -985 -987 =990 -992 -995 -999 -1006 -1009 =1016 -1019 -1020 -1036 =1047 -1054 ☾ +1188 +1195 +1198 +1261 +1265 +1272 +1307 +1413 R +1686 ☾ +1823 +1935 +1941 +1973 +1976 +2004

---

Firebringer/KT

-441 -507 =508 -561 -566 -v567 -568 -604 -619 -783 -887 -943 -956 -965 -984 -992 -995 -998 -999 +==1006 -1009 -1037 -1042 =1069 =1086 +-1092 -1104 -v1147 ✝

Titus/Sakura

-48 +334 =376 +403 =411 -420 =429 -434 =438 -442 v507 -509 -605 -619 -888 -965 +1043 +1061 -1092 +1104 v1158 -1165 ☾ v1183 -1184 -1188 +1208 -1254 +1261 =1265 +1273 -1309 -1315 -+1319 R -1480 v1553 =1556 -1686 ✝

Mad King Ashnard

-203 -=205 -207 =213 -342 =355 =403 -441 -507 -517 -572 -747 -887 -890 =945 -953 -954 -956 -958 -965 -972 +973 -974 -1006 -1092 ☾ +1198 -1228 -1261 -1273 =1305 -1306 -1307 -==1322 R v1464 -1466 -1470 -1480 -1534 -1553 -1670 -1686 -1697 -1701 ✝

Phantom

48 -?=48 +203 +211 +327 +-507 -1061 ☾ -1344 R ☾ -1938 -1941 -1953 -1993 +2072 v2178 -2189 -2195 =2210 ✝

[Scatterplot]

--P

[pieguyn]

votecount 4.2

hiplop (3) - Ranger, Wisdom, Antihero

Scatterplot (1) - Expedience
Ranger (1) - hiplop

Not voting (3) - Ankamius, Gorkington, Scatterplot

With 8 alive, it takes 5 to lynch. Deadline is February 5, 21:20 GMT-7 or in (expired on 2016-02-05 21:20:00).

[Scatterplot]

Yup! The atmosphere definitely threw me off some. It felt like our slot was townread through Day 1 while I had no clue what was going on and was barely doing anything, and then when I actually tried to play people started scumreading us and I just threw up my hands and went "Yeah, fuck this game."

But in a normal game I'd have just taken some time to sulk about it, gotten over myself and come back, and here every time I tried to do that, somebody got lynched and I'd lurked through another day. (Although I definitely wavered more on PhantomCobalt than I admitted, and that was even before Antihero made his case. I wouldn't have saved him.) So that sucked.

I've never actually played a large game in the modern "large games are many hundreds of pages" era, either. Not sure if that'd be better or worse on me. More time to recover, but also more time to stew in it if I can't.

But anyway!

-Ether

[Antihero]

/fart

[Expedience]

UNVOTE: Scatterplot

So yeah, I'm a vanilla townie... ._.

I think that's everyone who's claimed?

[Scatterplot]

VOTE: hiplop L-1

--P

[Ranger]

We protected Antihero night 1, Ranger night 2, Expedience night 3.

Antihero seems a much more realistic kill than hiplop in my opinion.

[Scatterplot]

--P

[Ankamius]

VOTE: hiplop

[Gorkington]

best ive felt about odds for a scumflip so far.

[Scatterplot]

So I was waiting for Expedience to claim doctor, I admit. Ankamius and we were going to be tough for him to get through, but at least there was a time when we were lynchable. Ranger and Gorkington were never on the table.

And then I was going to hit him with NUMBERS. Assuming random kills and random protections among the vanillas, there'd be a 62.5% chance of one of us getting a protection in between Night 4 and Night 5, setting the game back to odds with an extra lynch and forcing a win anyway.

(There's a strategy that raises that to a 77.78% chance of forcing a win, by the way. But I'm going to leave that one as a puzzle. Good night!)

-Ether

[pieguyn]

votecount 4.3 (final)

hiplop (5) - Ranger, Wisdom, Antihero, Scatterplot, Ankamius

Ranger (1) - hiplop

Not voting (2) - Gorkington, Expedience

With 8 alive, it takes 5 to lynch. Deadline is February 5, 21:20 GMT-7 or in (expired on 2016-02-05 21:20:00).

[pieguyn]

10. hiplop,

Mafia Goon

, was lynched D4

It is now Night 4. Deadline for all Night actions is February 4, 10:00 GMT-7 or in (expired on 2016-02-04 10:00:00).

[pieguyn]

2. Scatterplot,

Town Macho Doctor

, was killed N4

It is now day 5. With 6 alive, it takes 4 to lynch. Deadline is February 8, 13:00 GMT-7 or in (expired on 2016-02-08 13:00:00).

[pieguyn]

votecount 5.0

Not voting (6) - Ranger, Expedience, Antihero, Wisdom, Ankamius, Gorkington

With 6 alive, it takes 4 to lynch. Deadline is February 8, 13:00 GMT-7 or in (expired on 2016-02-08 13:00:00).

[Wisdom]

VOTE: expedience

[Gorkington]

boop doop aloop. expedience youre up to bat.

[Gorkington]

Basically all that I noticed about talah was the serious conversation starting thing trying to move out of RVS and I don't find it scummy or see why that wagon is moving so fast.

good catch anti.

This is a scummy fucking post right here

No, Antihero, I am not implying some nebulous scum influence on talah's wagon. Nor am I implying that he is likely to be town due to this. I am simply stating that I don't support the wagon much and disagree with those who do.

for what reasons? you seem to be disagreeing just because and that makes me very suspicious of you?

weird untouchable reads are weird

Talah might actually be scum.

Expedience is an awful wagon and you should feel ashamed.

Are scum really this brazen about chainsaw defending Scatterplot?

finally being reasonable. Talah fucked up and is obvious scum. I'll give you some credence on plot in the future but like really, talah is scum dont tunnel.

no mentions of hippy in his ISO.

omnomnomnom.

[Ankamius]

VOTE: Expedience

[Gorkington]

expedienceeeeeeeeeeeeeee.

[Antihero]

well if its not him that means a lylo of choosing between ranger and cheet and thats a big heaping helping of no thanks

shit

[Gorkington]

if ranger is scum i'll take the loss. a bus on hiplop the way she played it would be scummy-worthy.