the worst wrote: ↑
Subject: Mini Normal 2309 | Day 3
moonlogic rant incoming because i'm half-asleep and think i've solved this game
hu tao/bob is a vig/gs hood. this would be a neat hood dynamic because the vig is confirmable, but gs is also a scum role which can find vigs. a "right under my nose" kind of thing. bob was ready to cc brad if he doubled down on the vig claim, but i think both brad & i picked up what was going on and he swung back to a vt claim. naerys is pretty near confirmed town by the existence of a vig, which leaves me with a solve of:
Random Nurse
iamveryhappy
Yimmy
iambrad
Save The Dragons
i want to immediately clear brad because either he IS the vig, or he's town-siding super super hard, but what i'll do instead is put him at the back of my poe. he's also guarding the vig by being as vague and sketchy as he is, so regardless of whether he actually is the vig or vt, we need him alive rn.
i think yimmy's readlist does actually read pretty unaligned so i'm leaning away from him. i don't mind hu tao's point about iavh, but i think it's weaker than my point about yimmy.
i'm nervous that everyone is treating dragons as conftown for the swing against looker, when if dragons is scum, his convo with greeting circa post 500 was actually setting up for a bus. i have no idea if dragons is actually scum but i strongly feel that he does need to go today or f6-7 because if he gets to endgame, i think he's very difficult to solve accurately in f3-f4 because of his d1. he's also a claimed vt, which makes him a good flip to cover for the tpr softclaim nonsense that's happening here and i don't ~feel~ the unaligned feeling everyone else is feeling.
rn i got nothing. he's just a challenging force this game, has not been remotely helpful to solving, and i have no reason to townread him. if his claim is real, it's just a very very good role; if it's fake, it's a very smart fakeclaim. i have no read on which of those two is true. i'd just kind of be totally fine with him being removed and i do think he needs to go at some point. if he's town, the fakeclaim & prickly personality become increasingly wifom as we move closer to endgame.
iavh i don't have much of a feeling on. i kind of believed him for a second when he said he was excited for a perfect sweep. i don't mind hu tao's read on him being unaligned with scum. i just feel a bit tepid i guess.
naerys or hu tao as scum are the Bad Timelines. to be scum, naerys necessarily needs to have elected to make an awful NK to position themself as a town jailkeeper which they maaaay have had to do if they were going in deep for the endgame but i think it's just significantly less likely than a lot of other realities. hu tao can be scum only if they are not the vig (obviously), and in this timeline they have managed to pocket bob very successfully, and i think they are likely behind the plan to hold the sword of damocles counterclaim gamestate over brad.
i think sawing up this list wins us the game. i'm kinda hoping that the vig + myself will survive into d4 (f6-7), because i think the way i've handled this phase increases my town equity a tonne and i don't think there's that many rocks for scum to hide under.
worst
hu tao (if vig)
bob
naerys
brad
hu tao (if not vig)
yimmy
iavh
dragons, rn
