Open 882: Over-Easy Mafia [Flower Notes PT]

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Post Post #50 (ISO) » Tue Sep 12, 2023 10:16 am

Post by Flower »

In post 337, Flower wrote:
In post 336, Save The Dragons wrote: I will hero solve D3 don't worry :thumbsup:
Watch out, you're now the n2 nk
If we live that long it might actually be a good idea to protect STD lol
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Post Post #51 (ISO) » Wed Sep 13, 2023 9:01 am

Post by Flower »

In post 361, Aureal wrote: Image

In post 353, Flower wrote: Aureal solve the game for us
What

Didn't T-Bone already do that? Is this a trick? :o

T-Bone, tell me whether you think this is a trick in the mason PT that we conjured up through sheer force of will. Because I wanna say RCE/ Klazam but it would be rude to step on your toes when you've already solved.

Anyway I am geriatric so I need to take my meds and maybe even try to read past page five. Maybe I'll even not go to sleep trying this time!

VOTE: Klazam
Crazy that Aureal is giving Scone a pass
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Post Post #52 (ISO) » Fri Sep 15, 2023 8:01 am

Post by Flower »

I feel like if Klazam flips town we pretty much have to reassess all our reads since Aureal and T-Bone are both posting better
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Post Post #53 (ISO) » Fri Sep 15, 2023 8:26 am

Post by Flower »

In post 452, Aureal wrote: it feels bad to yeet the 'newbie' on day one. :neutral:
That's how they get ya
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Post Post #54 (ISO) » Fri Sep 15, 2023 10:08 am

Post by Flower »

It's pretty funny how every single person with experience with us (outside of Aureal) is townreading us and every single person without experience with us is scumreading us

...guess our playstyle is like a mold :lol:
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Post Post #55 (ISO) » Fri Sep 15, 2023 11:09 am

Post by Flower »

We aim for a null slot like STD/RCEnigma and hope maf has a rolecop I think
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Post Post #56 (ISO) » Fri Sep 15, 2023 11:47 am

Post by Flower »

In post 55, Flower wrote: We aim for a null slot like STD/RCEnigma and hope maf has a rolecop I think
Add yesiree to that list
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Post Post #57 (ISO) » Sat Sep 16, 2023 10:53 am

Post by Flower »

Here's a thought: Since we're outed Jailkeeper scum are shooting us. There's a 66% chance of there being a 1-shot Strongman that will ignore the Jailkeep. Chance of blocking scum is therefore 1/7 * 1/3 = 1/21

There's a 66% chance of there being a Town Follower that will lose information from a roleblock. Chance of blocking the follower is therefore 1/7 * 2/3 = 2/21

TODO: Figure out what the chances of a follower getting a guilty are and if it's higher EV to risk blocking the follower over trying to hit scum
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Post Post #58 (ISO) » Sun Sep 17, 2023 8:24 am

Post by Flower »

Ok srs math time

Mafia Rolecop
,
Town Follower
, and
Town Jailkeeper
:
1/7 chance of blocking the kill, 1/7 chance of blocking the Rolecop, Follower has a 1/6 chance of a red check if rolecop does the kill, 2/6 chance of a red check if goon does the kill, 1/7 chance of being blocked

In the rolecop killer case:
13/42 chance of a red check if we jailkeep, 7/42 chance of a red check if we don't jailkeep

In the goon killer case:
14/42 chance of a red check if we jailkeep, 14/42 chance of a red check if we don't jailkeep

Town Follower
,
Town Jailkeeper
, and
Mafia 1-Shot Strongman
:
No possibility of blocking the kill, Follower has a 1/6 chance of a red check, 1/7 chance of being blocked

6/42 chance of a red check if we jailkeep, 7/42 chance of a red check if we don't jailkeep

Town Jailkeeper
,
Mafia 1-Shot Strongman
, and
Town Babysitter
:
Blocking the babysitter doesnt matter because we get shot

Yeah we should be jailkeeping here, guess we should actually read the game again
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Post Post #59 (ISO) » Sun Sep 17, 2023 8:29 am

Post by Flower »

In post 342, Doctor Drew wrote:
In post 329, RCEnigma wrote: It’s my only tangible scumread right now so.

Std could also be scum but only by lack of content and that’s not stronger for me than some content that I find scummy.
In post 330, Merlyn wrote: Lol Im not impressed by your scumhunting skills yes. It'll be interesting to come back to the assertion that posting song lyrics is more honest and see what alignments the three of us are.

In any case I've pointed out what I wanted to point out, you can all make your choices
I am not used to this aggressive Merlyn, also seems like a bit of a misrep for why rc was voting you over std.
In post 343, Merlyn wrote:shrug
In post 345, Garlic Bread Society wrote:
VC 1.04



T-Bone (4) :
Flower, Doctor Drew, Alianna, Save The Dragons
Merlyn (3):
RCEnigma, yessiree, Klazam
Flower (2):
T-Bone, Merlyn

Not Voting (0):


With 9 alive it takes 5 votes to hit someone with the beam.
T-Bone is at E-1.

There are (expired on 2023-09-15 22:57:07) left in the deadline.

Merlyn has requested replacement.


Remember this game is Geriatric. You have 20 posts per 24 hours before you start draining your coffers.
I don't think the Merlyn/Aureal slot is scum unless we're going for the T-Bone/Merlyn solve which seems wacko mode (Authors note: Should have just gone for the T-Bone/Merlyn solve)
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Post Post #60 (ISO) » Sun Sep 17, 2023 8:31 am

Post by Flower »

In post 347, RCEnigma wrote: UNVOTE: reeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee
In post 349, RCEnigma wrote: I don’t wanna make an alignment gut call. Buuuut I will give a replacement a chance without the threat of dying on rep in.
Do not like
In post 365, Doctor Drew wrote: Is it just me or does this feel like Aureal try harding a bit? Like repp into a scum read slot and just come out throwing punches.

Town tend to give slots like that a long rope, when maybe they shouldn't.

Maybe I am just not picking up what she is putting down.
What's our public stance on Drew I feel like hero solving there
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Post Post #61 (ISO) » Sun Sep 17, 2023 8:31 am

Post by Flower »

Public townreads: Drew/Alianna/yessiree
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Post Post #62 (ISO) » Sun Sep 17, 2023 8:32 am

Post by Flower »

I wanna go read a scum!Drew game and see how he plays
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Post Post #63 (ISO) » Sun Sep 17, 2023 8:35 am

Post by Flower »

God Drew seems incapable of rolling scum this is crazy
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Post Post #64 (ISO) » Sun Sep 17, 2023 8:51 am

Post by Flower »

Ok I'm surprisingly ok with a Drew hero solve
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Post Post #65 (ISO) » Sun Sep 17, 2023 1:15 pm

Post by Flower »

We do a little dying it's called we do a little dying
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Post Post #66 (ISO) » Fri Sep 29, 2023 7:15 pm

Post by Garlic Bread Society »

48 hours to request redactions! Otherwise, that's the game.
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