Conspiracy (6/3+) [Scum win!] [Game 2]

Auro · Post Post #10 (isolation #0) » Thu May 23, 2019 10:39 pm

/in

for single round too

Auro · Post Post #20 (isolation #1) » Thu May 23, 2019 10:53 pm

Ugh town

I did the math and if town I think prob of conspiracy is less than half?

Auro · Post Post #29 (isolation #2) » Thu May 23, 2019 10:57 pm

P(C) = (N-1)/N
P(T|C) = 1/N
P(T) = (1)/N [No conspiracy] + (N-1/N) * (1)/N [Conspiracy] = (2N-1)/(N*N)

P(C|T) = P(T|C)P(C)/P(T) = (N-1)/(2N-1) = 5/11 in this case, less than half

Auro · Post Post #32 (isolation #3) » Thu May 23, 2019 10:58 pm

In post 25, Krazy wrote:It's a conspiracy against Auro

In post 403, Krazy wrote:to fuck me

come on you know you would

Auro · Post Post #35 (isolation #4) » Thu May 23, 2019 11:00 pm

VOTE: Conspiracy

Math but not taking chances with y'all scrweing with me lol

Auro · Post Post #43 (isolation #5) » Thu May 23, 2019 11:01 pm

In post 36, Krazy wrote:I did really mean to write a "with" in 403, it reads really differently without that word LOL

My vote should end the game if it's conspiracy right? Were you scum

Auro · Post Post #45 (isolation #6) » Thu May 23, 2019 11:02 pm

In post 38, Skygazer wrote:oh

It was my math which made you vote that, right?

Right? RIGHT?

Auro · Post Post #49 (isolation #7) » Thu May 23, 2019 11:03 pm

I want another Conspiracy round

Auro · Post Post #56 (isolation #8) » Thu May 23, 2019 11:04 pm

I think I've worked out a possible pseudo break strat for town? Hmm

Auro · Post Post #62 (isolation #9) » Thu May 23, 2019 11:06 pm

Any chance you'll run it on Disc?
/in for one more round of Conspiracy

Auro · Post Post #83 (isolation #10) » Thu May 23, 2019 11:14 pm

In post 73, Xtoxm wrote:oh also @ auro i think i did do math badly but im also ok with the all town setup being a fraction more likely cus its the more fun one anyway

Yeah, true

Auro · Post Post #86 (isolation #11) » Thu May 23, 2019 11:15 pm

Krazy being scummy on purpose

Auro · Post Post #88 (isolation #12) » Thu May 23, 2019 11:15 pm

Dear comrades, where's the scum PT? Do we just use site chat

Auro · Post Post #94 (isolation #13) » Thu May 23, 2019 11:17 pm

In post 89, Krazy wrote:VOTE: no conspiracy

breaking the sig and everything

Seriously? My posts didn't bother you one bit?

Auro · Post Post #99 (isolation #14) » Thu May 23, 2019 11:18 pm

Iconeum why'd you vote NC?

Auro · Post Post #101 (isolation #15) » Thu May 23, 2019 11:19 pm

In post 98, Krazy wrote:yeah my bad if I saw 86 before I posted I probably would have thought about it some more

YOU miss nothing, my spidey senses are tingling!

Auro · Post Post #104 (isolation #16) » Thu May 23, 2019 11:19 pm

Oh shit my math was incorrect, I switched P(NC) with P(C) by mistake
So even mathematically it's likelier that it's a conspiracy

Auro · Post Post #106 (isolation #17) » Thu May 23, 2019 11:20 pm

In post 103, Skygazer wrote:im gonna vote conspiracy btw

Talk to me, what's scummy?

Auro · Post Post #110 (isolation #18) » Thu May 23, 2019 11:21 pm

In post 109, chamber wrote:
Vote conspiracy

What pinged you?

Auro · Post Post #113 (isolation #19) » Thu May 23, 2019 11:22 pm

Auro · Post Post #119 (isolation #20) » Thu May 23, 2019 11:24 pm

Hmm so Krazy's playing it how scum!Auro would

Could Krazy be scum

Auro · Post Post #125 (isolation #21) » Thu May 23, 2019 11:26 pm

I'll sheep Sky

Auro · Post Post #128 (isolation #22) » Thu May 23, 2019 11:27 pm

You'd sure love that wouldn't ya

Auro · Post Post #129 (isolation #23) » Thu May 23, 2019 11:27 pm

I was lying. I have no plans to sheep Sky.

Auro · Post Post #135 (isolation #24) » Thu May 23, 2019 11:29 pm

In post 132, Xtoxm wrote:ez no conspiracy cmon guys

My win doesn't affect yours lol, why bother

Auro · Post Post #139 (isolation #25) » Thu May 23, 2019 11:29 pm

In post 109, chamber wrote:
Vote conspiracy

In post 120, chamber wrote:Guess I lose. Everyone else should vote no conspiracy.

What made you think you lost?

Auro · Post Post #143 (isolation #26) » Thu May 23, 2019 11:30 pm

In post 140, Xtoxm wrote:or does it

Does if you're scum, not if you're town, so does it?

Auro · Post Post #146 (isolation #27) » Thu May 23, 2019 11:31 pm

Oh yeah lol

Auro · Post Post #150 (isolation #28) » Thu May 23, 2019 11:32 pm

I think I'll just give you guys the win

Auro · Post Post #151 (isolation #29) » Thu May 23, 2019 11:32 pm

VOTE:

Auro · Post Post #152 (isolation #30) » Thu May 23, 2019 11:32 pm

Chamber you around?

Auro · Post Post #154 (isolation #31) » Thu May 23, 2019 11:33 pm

Still wanna know what made you vote hastily in the first place

Auro · Post Post #158 (isolation #32) » Thu May 23, 2019 11:33 pm

Towntell on whom? Temme

Auro · Post Post #161 (isolation #33) » Thu May 23, 2019 11:34 pm

VOTE: Conspiracy

Don't see why you guys would be sticking around posting after voting as town lol

Auro · Post Post #169 (isolation #34) » Thu May 23, 2019 11:35 pm

Auro · Post Post #175 (isolation #35) » Thu May 23, 2019 11:36 pm

In post 167, Krazy wrote:don't you though?

Yes, was looking at group activity tho