Conspiracy (6/3+) [Scum win!] [Game 2]
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Auro Survivor
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Auro Survivor
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Ugh town
I did the math and if town I think prob of conspiracy is less than half?-
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Auro Survivor
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P(C) = (N-1)/N
P(T|C) = 1/N
P(T) = (1)/N [No conspiracy] + (N-1/N) * (1)/N [Conspiracy] = (2N-1)/(N*N)
P(C|T) = P(T|C)P(C)/P(T) = (N-1)/(2N-1) = 5/11 in this case, less than half-
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Auro Survivor
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In post 25, Krazy wrote:It's a conspiracy against Auro-
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Auro Survivor
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VOTE: Conspiracy
Math but not taking chances with y'all scrweing with me lol-
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Auro Survivor
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In post 36, Krazy wrote:I did really mean to write a "with" in 403, it reads really differently without that word LOL
My vote should end the game if it's conspiracy right? Were you scum-
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Auro Survivor
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Auro Survivor
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Auro Survivor
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I think I've worked out a possible pseudo break strat for town? Hmm-
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Auro Survivor
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Any chance you'll run it on Disc?
/in for one more round of Conspiracy-
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Auro Survivor
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Yeah, trueIn post 73, Xtoxm wrote:oh also @ auro i think i did do math badly but im also ok with the all town setup being a fraction more likely cus its the more fun one anyway-
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Auro Survivor
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Auro Survivor
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Dear comrades, where's the scum PT? Do we just use site chat-
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Auro Survivor
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Seriously? My posts didn't bother you one bit?
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Auro Survivor
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Auro Survivor
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YOU miss nothing, my spidey senses are tingling!In post 98, Krazy wrote:yeah my bad if I saw 86 before I posted I probably would have thought about it some more-
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Auro Survivor
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Oh shit my math was incorrect, I switched P(NC) with P(C) by mistake
So even mathematically it's likelier that it's a conspiracy-
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Auro Survivor
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Talk to me, what's scummy?In post 103, Skygazer wrote:im gonna vote conspiracy btw-
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Auro Survivor
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What pinged you?
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Auro Survivor
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Auro Survivor
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Hmm so Krazy's playing it how scum!Auro would
Could Krazy be scum-
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Auro Survivor
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Auro Survivor
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- Posts: 11076
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- Location: India
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Auro Survivor
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- Posts: 11076
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Auro Survivor
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My win doesn't affect yours lol, why botherIn post 132, Xtoxm wrote:ez no conspiracy cmon guys-
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Auro Survivor
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What made you think you lost?In post 120, chamber wrote:Guess I lose. Everyone else should vote no conspiracy.-
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Auro Survivor
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Does if you're scum, not if you're town, so does it?In post 140, Xtoxm wrote:or does it-
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Auro Survivor
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Auro Survivor
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- Posts: 11076
- Joined: October 9, 2018
- Location: India
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Auro Survivor
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- Posts: 11076
- Joined: October 9, 2018
- Location: India
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Auro Survivor
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- Posts: 11076
- Joined: October 9, 2018
- Location: India
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Auro Survivor
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Still wanna know what made you vote hastily in the first place-
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Auro Survivor
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Auro Survivor
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VOTE: Conspiracy
Don't see why you guys would be sticking around posting after voting as town lol-
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Auro Survivor
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Auro Survivor
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Yes, was looking at group activity thoIn post 167, Krazy wrote:don't you though?
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