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Post #17 (isolation #1) » Thu Feb 26, 2015 5:26 am
Postby ActionDan »
For example
As seer I looked at Ikas card and saw it was village aligned
As robber i stole Not_Mafias card to make sure he lived up to his name
As troublemaker I swapped Ika and Not_Mafia
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Post #24 (isolation #2) » Thu Feb 26, 2015 5:41 am
Postby ActionDan »
Sure eventually but i think 2 rounds of claiming is good so it's a lot harder to tailor a claim when there are hypoclaims While hypoclaiming locks in a PR result should a werewolf or minion choose to claim it (i.e by looking at an unused card or minion trying to jester it up)
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Post #63 (isolation #8) » Thu Feb 26, 2015 10:57 pm
Postby ActionDan »
I suppose I believe that claim and, it being likely that you didn't see two villager cards, will admit that I lied about my own claim taking advantage of the last position in the mass claim process. I am the robber. I'd hazard a guess based on probability that one and only one villager is a werewolf. I happen to have a villager result (clearly not on Not_Mafia as hypo'd) on 1/3 claims
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Post #79 (isolation #10) » Fri Feb 27, 2015 6:12 am
Postby ActionDan »
I'll point out that had i swapped with a minion I'd have claimed robber immediately but then lie about my target so as not to alert the swapee. My target was ika who is a villager and why i put in the part about him being town as i hypo claimed were i the seer
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Post #81 (isolation #12) » Fri Feb 27, 2015 6:21 am
Postby ActionDan »
In post 75, Not_Mafia wrote:I mean if he stole the minion card why would he hypoclaim truthfully
I would not indeed. But obviously one of you two are the minion and I hypod that i robbed you lol. So you know. If your the minion which i think you are, I would never have hypod that
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Post #93 (isolation #17) » Fri Feb 27, 2015 9:09 am
Postby ActionDan »
not mafia claimed to see a werewolf/villager while sns claimed to see hunter/villager.
Either way there's definitely a villager who is scum. It's possible that one of the seers is a werewolf and not the minion but that seems like a risk a werewolf would not take
NM is obviously the better option, becuase NM is confscum, fuzzy is probscum.
hi allow me to strike the FUZ is town options off your list as both seers saw a villager card and if you think at least one of the seers is town, then it follows a villager claim is lying. good day!
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Post #214 (isolation #28) » Sat Mar 07, 2015 9:13 am
Postby ActionDan »
To basically nullify all of these alternative theories:
Firstly dual scum seer claims are highly improbable and I contend would only happen in the event there is one minion one werewolf and that werewolf saw the seer card in the middle. In this case vettrock ika I and everyone else is town.
Now, assuming the much more logical proposition that one of the seers is scum and one is town we have the following:
1 claimed villager is scum, 1 claimed seer is scum. It is therefore impossible that both me and vettrock started as scum. If vettrock is scum that means both me and ika are town and somehow vettrock made a lucky guess to claim trouble maker. If I started as scum and ika was town, I would have revealed that by now. If I started as town robber and I robbed from scum ika, I would have revealed that by now. If I was town robber and robbed from scum anyone else I would have revealed that by now had I reason to think ika started as town.
Thus we are left with one and only one maybe plausible scenario different from the common concenus: Me an Ika both started off as scum. Which isn't correct. But that's the only one to consider other than the obvious one
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Post #220 (isolation #29) » Sat Mar 07, 2015 10:28 am
Postby ActionDan »
I fakeclaimed because I could. One reason was to see if any of the seers said anything and another was to wait for trouble maker to claim targets to decide whether to out my own result or not
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Post #270 (isolation #36) » Wed Mar 11, 2015 8:28 am
Postby ActionDan »
I think she misinterpreted my post to ask who my partners would be were I scum. Even though I thought it was clearly referring to NM. Of course her supposition still doesn't work because if I stole a scum villager card I'd have no reason to think Vettrock wasn't the troublemaker and I'd claim who it was
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Post #299 (isolation #39) » Wed Mar 11, 2015 7:18 pm
Postby ActionDan »
To reiterate, that team is only possible if I'm a robber who stole a scum card from one of the claimed villagers. In which case I would have no reason not to believe vettrock to be a town troublemaker that swapped me with ika, and it would have been disclosed by me
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Post #312 (isolation #40) » Fri Mar 13, 2015 4:59 am
Postby ActionDan »
It's a good short and sweet game. Lots of fun variations which my instincts tell me will be mostly town sided. The deadline could be cut in half most certainly if the votes required to move to night aren't reduced, as the game is designed imo to be fast paced with massclaiming being necessary. I might even want to mod one of these sometime.