Open 720: NOIR (GAME OVER)

[Oxy]

doesnt account for scum sando and in a wild universe with town mutant wr autolose because I dont vote you over him ever plus the likely partners are a tiny bit different

mutant is still the right lunch

but I'm hammering Alonzo when the ics switch

precisely. We had this discussion.

[Sando]

doesnt account for scum sando and in a wild universe with town mutant wr autolose because I dont vote you over him ever plus the likely partners are a tiny bit different

mutant is still the right lunch

but I'm hammering Alonzo when the ics switch

Doesn't account for you or Quick being scum either, I've said many times that this relies on the 5/5, if you don't accept that then you shouldn't accept this plan. Pretty sure in a world where you don't accept 5/5 then lynching trackers is the right choice, but I haven't really been focused on it to properly consider it.

[Quick]

I'd rather lynch Fitz over Alonzo.

[Eddie Cane]

But me and Quick arent scum. Theres a nonzero chance you are. Not high, but it's there and its higher if JJ is scum with how you're playing this. Also not likely but nonzero.

[Oxy]

Pin seems 100%, and he's probably right. I'm good with a hammer.

If this flips scum, I would lynch alonzo (in deference to those with good reads) -> Fitz -> NM -> Sando
If this flips town, I would lynch JJ (obv) -> Fitz -> Momo with maybe an NM lynch in there somewhere. Basically, if JJ is scum, I'm paranoid that we are way off base

pintu, myself, and quick are the only people I'm 100% ride or die with

[Eddie Cane]

hey..

[Oxy]

sry

[Sando]

pintu, myself, and quick are the only people I'm 100% ride or die with

Pretty much where I'd expect the conftowns to be.

Me and Mom are in the position of only needing to believe in the other person.

Everyone else needs to believe in both me and Mom.

[Quick]

I'd rather just take the 1v1 tbh since we can't actually be "sure" our PoE is accurate.

[Oxy]

great, so if everyone could just pile back on to mutant, I have a feeling that NM is hovering around now

[Alonzo]

Not if I hammer you First mon frere

[jjh927]

Yeah but the alternative of lynching mutant doesn't really account for scum sando any more than this and I know that we do not occupy the wild universe

[jjh927]

Oh that was a lot of posts I missed the page

[Sando]

I've said all I can I think, unless we're lynching outside of the trackers or someone wants clarification on why I think we should lynch outside of trackers, I'll just be quiet the rest of today.

[jjh927]

I'm still tempted to go back to mutant because I have exams coming up tomorrow and friday and forgetting about the game would be nice

[jjh927]

Just, Sando's explanation of the strat made a whole lot of sense

[Quick]

Just, Sando's explanation of the strat made a whole lot of sense

Yeah, the only problem is that if one of Sando's PoE is off, Town is fucked.

[Sando]

Just, Sando's explanation of the strat made a whole lot of sense

If you accept the 5/5 and are the town tracker you should hammer mutant if given the opportunity, since we win if we lynch correctly into the trackers. Doesn't matter how pretty my plan is, if you're given the chance to win the game you take it.

[jjh927]

Eh?

[Oxy]

If you accept the 5/5 and are the town tracker you should hammer mutant if given the opportunity, since we win if we lynch correctly into the trackers. Doesn't matter how pretty my plan is, if you're given the chance to win the game you take it.

jj take sando's advice and vote mutant

[jjh927]

I'm looking at a strategy where I'm mostly sure we win, and another strategy which is exactly the same as the first one except it's got a slightly increased chance of winning

[Oxy]

if you're the tracker, and you help lynch mutant, and you agree with sando's poe, then town has three lynches to lynch 3 unconfirmed.

[jjh927]

VOTE: mutant

It's good advice for me passing that exam that's tomorrow though

[Sando]

Eh?

If we get the tracker right we win and the 5/5 is correct, we win no matter what. My entire plan is about how to minimise the negatives of mislynching the tracker. You cannot mislynch the tracker as the tracker, so if you're the towntracker you're the one person in the game that definitively should be pushing for the mutant lynch.

[jjh927]

Note for Havingfitz- I did the thing where I call 3 scum at the start of the day before I get nightkilled