you're missing the point, i know that its him saying his confidence in the slot, but your confidence has to be based on SOMETHING and he has NOTHINGIn post 1636, chennisden wrote:Do you know why percentages are used? It's not because they plugged it into a magic formula or even that these are in any way "legit" -- THE REASON HE USES PERCENTAGES IS BECAUSE IT GIVES YOU A RELATIVE SENSE OF HIS CONFIDENCE IN HIS READS. I am pretty sure (69%) that Omachao has no idea why percentages are used and why they can be used.
aka theyre made up and random.
that's why im saying
like lets arbitrarily but specifically say 50% is where nmsa thinks a read is "probable"how would your scumread stay at a 60% if theyve been posting towny recently + you were only scumreading them for ostensibly one post that you couldnt even elaborate on.
that would mean that he thinks mastina is more than probably scum, but what's his reasoning? literally one post that makes her scummy, and like 20 posts since then that are towny. You can't even say that claim was so egregious that it makes up for it all because he CAN'T EVEN ELABORATE ON IT which you concede.
so no im not just accusing him of not empirically using data to make percentages, im saying that his confidence level makes no sense.
he's "contributing" in the sense that his vote is there. are you gonna tell me nmsa contributed anything substantive to the case against mastina? no you're not.He did contribute to mastina's lynch (though that wasn't towny).
what's the town mindset? that he's confused and desperate?While the way it is worded is scummy there is town mindset that you are refusing to acknowledge
i disagree. not only do i disagree, but i also think that going into that would not have anything to do with the point of even talking about the ppl on the wagon.If this was true it would tell you something about FL's alignment. There is no reason to ignore this.
