Mini 2110: I hate Mafia (Day 8)

[Farkran]

@mod i think gobble has been hammered and needs flip. Sorry if you had already noticed.

[GuyInFreezer]

VC 3.1

gobbledygook - Creature, Pyrrha Nikos, Enter, Map Wolf, Wake88, gobbledygook

gobbledygook was

Vanilla Townie

.

Game is frozen until I find a replacement.

[GuyInFreezer]

chkflip replaces Gyro Zeppeli.

Day 4 deadline: (expired on 2019-12-18 13:16:59)

[Creature]

DrDolittle
Pine
Gamma Emerald
Farkran
Pyrrha Nikos
Enter
Map Wolf
Creature

Wake88

- Vig claim, lynch only in 50%+1
Gyro Zeppeli | chkflip

[Creature]

We need three more townreads besides Wake88

[Pine]

This guy

[Farkran]

People left in the volunteers group: {Enter, Farkran, DDL}

People left in the non-volunteers group: {Creature, Pine, Gamma, Pyrrha, Map Wolf, chkflip}

As creature said, we're at LYLO-3 assuming no mime lynch. If we keep following Rauth strategy we can only lose if 2 out of {Enter, Farkran, DDL} are mimes. How likely is that? I honestly think 0-1 mimes in this group is still my best bet. Venmar flipping town was a bit of a blow to my reads since he has been voted by both Creature and Pyrrha - i'm wondering what is scum doing at this point, but the only tentatives to derail the rauth strategy (they need to, if the volunteers group is clean or 1-mime) have come from Creature, so he's still probably my highest scumread, followed by Pyrrha.

If i had to choose between Enter and DDL for a town lynch, i'd pick Enter first. DDL hasn't voted anyone besides rauth and me, and he didn't participate in the two subsequent town lynches. I would still lynch there, but not before Enter. I mean, if Enter is really a mime he's pretty much throwing, unless there's some heavy wifom involved, but...

VOTE: Enter

If this goes through and flips town, it's a guaranteed win.

[Creature]

the only tentatives to derail the rauth strategy (they need to, if the volunteers group is clean or 1-mime) have come from Creature

How so?

[Farkran]

Meh, if Hectic flips town, just lynch:

DrDolittle
Gamma Emerald
Enter
me

then good luck finding the next town

Why did you post this if you willing to follow rauth strategy?

[Creature]

What even was Rauth's strategy?

[Farkran]

ISO rauth, it's a short read

[Enter]

We can win w/o lynching me.
If we push me or I allow anyone to push me, then I'm no longer confirmed to not be a mime. In this scenario, I could have easily just accounted for the fact that people would push me if I did this and thus played that way, and for these reasons I'm technically a bad lynch (I think).

VOTE: DDL

DDL is likely town but slightly more likely to be a mime than Farkran, and for this reason I'd rather him lynched first just so we can have time to go back, reread, and adjust.
I'm also willing to lynch Farkran today.

[chkflip]

Who's got cliff notes for ol' chk?

[Map Wolf]

VOTE: Enter

[Enter]

@chk

I claimed to be a mime at the beginning of the game and I don't intend to be lynched ever, with the purpose of clearing myself as town so that I can help other lynched along.

Rautherdir was inspired by this and had half of the player base request not to be lynched before revealing the following master plan that we've been following loosely. So far there has been no real resistance to the plan and everyone that has volunteered to not flip has flipped town.

I didn't notice Hectic volunteering. The group is me, Enter, Venmar, Farkran, Hectic, and DrDolittle. There are now four possibilities. Either 0, 1, 2, or 3 mimes are in the group that volunteered. The game is now divided into three groups, the vig, the group that volunteered, and everyone else.

What's going to happen next, is we're going to ignore what I said earlier about not lynching in that group. The vig is going to shoot someone. Anyone except themselves. And as long as there aren't 2 mimes in that group then town wins.

If the vig shoots town, then the lynch will be in the group the vig shot in. If the vig shoots a mime, then the lynch will be in the group the vig didn't shoot.
On every future day, if the previous day's lynch was on town then you'll lynch in the same group that player was in. If the previous day's lynch was on a mime then you'll lynch in the other group.
Once there are the same number of town and mimes, not including the vig, lynch the vig, and get a town victory.

[chkflip]

I'm not down for an Enter lynch after an ISO of that slot. Gut says nah fam.

Pedit: Thank you. I got the gist of that from my dive into you.

So it's (Wake), (Rauth, Enter, Venmar, Farkran, Hectic, DrD), (Everyone Else). Minus a flip or two or a replacement or two because I imagine post 224 was several phases ago and I'm not looking back to see who died or replaced since then.

Righteous.

[chkflip]

Wait most of group 2 has been lynched homie.

How have you at all followed the plan?

[Enter]

You have to actually read the post I quoted for it to make sense, lol.

[Enter]

Also you shouldn't have to worry about lynching me. As long as DDL, Farkran, and Wake flip town, we just win.

[Farkran]

Wait most of group 2 has been lynched homie.

How have you at all followed the plan?

Vig didn't shoot yet, but aside from that we've been following the plan. So far we have only lynched in the volunteers group, and everyone flipped town so we continue lynching there

[chkflip]

My brain flipped it around with the vig stuff. I thought it was tradesies either way. Okay. Ughhh so that's you, Fark, or DrD.

A ponder.

Pedit: word, word.

But the likelihood of zero mimes being there aren't great, Bob.

[Farkran]

I'm not down for an Enter lynch after an ISO of that slot. Gut says nah fam.

Pedit: Thank you. I got the gist of that from my dive into you.

So it's (Wake), (Rauth, Enter, Venmar, Farkran, Hectic, DrD), (Everyone Else). Minus a flip or two or a replacement or two because I imagine post 224 was several phases ago and I'm not looking back to see who died or replaced since then.

Righteous.

What pinged you the wrong way about Enter ISO though? And what's scum doing in your opinion? Who would you lynch now to win as town?

Pedit: yeah

[Enter]

I think if there are no mimes in one of the groups, the one I'm in is the one with the much higher likelihood to have town.

I think it's quite possible that mimes are being patient and waiting for town to start freaking out about how few mimes we're hitting.

[Enter]

I think getting paranoid of the numbers is the enemy of town right now. If you have a legitimate scum read on DDL or Farkran, say so now, but TBH if one of them doesn't flip scum we straight up win.

[chkflip]

The whole coming out as a mime, using "I'm a mime" as a defense/joke, assuring someone that it is a joke and that he's not a mime, then falling back on "I'm a mime" later just... I don't like it. That's probably not EXACTLY how it went down in real time and I may be misconstruing intent there (of the purpose of acting like that at the time I mean), likely, but I'd save that for last if I'm to follow the plan and lynch out of that group.

If there are no mimes in that group I'll make a YouTube video of me eating a hat. That's just absurdly unlikely.

Pedit: my only non-obvtown read rn is you, Enter. But your ISO is the only one I've dipped into so far. We don't have time for me to do the same with the other two so I'll just say that I'm conditionally okay with voting them over you.