Open 786 | Dream Mafia | Cult Win!


User avatar
Hiraki
Hiraki
Survivor
User avatar
User avatar
Hiraki
Survivor
Survivor
Posts: 12372
Joined: September 16, 2010

Post Post #925 (ISO) » Wed Aug 26, 2020 6:52 am

Post by Hiraki »

In post 921, innocentvillager wrote:but I also see how from town!you's perspective Ari is kind of mechanically confirmed to be CL, or somehow the cult failed last night and there are only 2 cult (which would mean cult tried to cult you N2 because TW jailed you)
where are you getting the last part? my scenario just clears me - i don't get how you fundamentally can disagree with that

i started the ythan wagon in a dead game, there is 0 reason to do that as cult. i'd rather just let time run out. then, unless theworst is lying, i cannot be culted because i was JK'd.
In post 923, innocentvillager wrote:idk, I still feel like Ari didn't get hammered because you're cult, not because Ari is CL is where im at
you are then saying that you think i, as cult, decided to wagon ythan, a fellow cult buddy, in a dead game so i can make this argument today. rather than hopefully winning some other way with a D3 win. it doesn't make sense what you're putting down here. i am 1000000000% clear here my guy
In post 924, innocentvillager wrote:anyway I'm back to the I want worsty to decide angle? Hiraki remember in Crossfire where we let Casey decide the dunks? I might be biased because it worked LOL and we all just supported Casey from the side with our own analyses and she picked the dunks, but there's the whole scum influence thing again given that we might be in ELO mode

Yeah it's not really the same thing because we have a bit more time and we don't have to dunk like 4 people (just 1), and our situation is much less dire because if we do hit CL today there's a significant chance of win, but I do think having an obvtown clear like Casey (worsty) lead the elim is going to be the highest EV play here
my reads are on point this game tho
User avatar
innocentvillager
innocentvillager
He
Survivor
User avatar
User avatar
innocentvillager
He
Survivor
Survivor
Posts: 10103
Joined: March 12, 2012
Pronoun: He

Post Post #926 (ISO) » Wed Aug 26, 2020 7:03 am

Post by innocentvillager »

a) im saying if you're town and CL tried to cult you N2, this failed because worsty jailed you, so in that sense Ari doesn't HAVE to be CL for town!you. I don't get what you mean about the time run out thing because someone will get elim'd at random, this isn't crossfire?
b) I haven't thought too much about the incentives of the cult team here but I don't think it's bad to bus non-leader because you can just recruit someone else the next day?
c) lol, but the problem is if Ari's town you're not and I think Ari's town because Korina was and Ari has been pretty gut earnest/straightforward
User avatar
innocentvillager
innocentvillager
He
Survivor
User avatar
User avatar
innocentvillager
He
Survivor
Survivor
Posts: 10103
Joined: March 12, 2012
Pronoun: He

Post Post #927 (ISO) » Wed Aug 26, 2020 7:04 am

Post by innocentvillager »

a part of me wants to believe you ugh
User avatar
innocentvillager
innocentvillager
He
Survivor
User avatar
User avatar
innocentvillager
He
Survivor
Survivor
Posts: 10103
Joined: March 12, 2012
Pronoun: He

Post Post #928 (ISO) » Wed Aug 26, 2020 8:43 am

Post by innocentvillager »

In post 920, Hiraki wrote:the only case that i can't really provide is why is ari CL rather than anyone else. i'm gonna have to think about why i'm so sure of it past "everyone thinks that he is town for some reason even though most of what he has said in D3 just plainly doesn't make sense"
yeah i think if you could come up with something like this

like I get that you have arguments for "well why would cult me do X (bus Ythan, etc)" but I feel kind of meh when it's a) coming from you and I can see in some world where you do this b) Ari slot has seemed townie all game and worsty also TRs him
User avatar
Aristophanes
Aristophanes
He/Him
Mr. Blue Sky
User avatar
User avatar
Aristophanes
He/Him
Mr. Blue Sky
Mr. Blue Sky
Posts: 17170
Joined: December 30, 2014
Pronoun: He/Him
Location: Hiding from Actual Cannibal Shia Lebeouf

Post Post #929 (ISO) » Wed Aug 26, 2020 8:53 am

Post by Aristophanes »

If I am town Hiraki is guaranteed not CL and therefore to be sorted later because if Hiraki was blocked last night and Jesus was converted then it explains my not getting a message from him.

This means that Hiraki, Jesus, myself,, anf TW are not in the Elim-pool for today as a townread on me puts all of this as fact.

(I'm a page behind bear with me)
Half meme, Half real, All Aristophanes ;)
- Jingle
Ari has appeared way too competent for me to even pretend to know what they're thinking
- MooseEatsBear on discord mafia
it wouldn’t be an ari sig unless it takes up half the screen on mobile - Vonflare
User avatar
innocentvillager
innocentvillager
He
Survivor
User avatar
User avatar
innocentvillager
He
Survivor
Survivor
Posts: 10103
Joined: March 12, 2012
Pronoun: He

Post Post #930 (ISO) » Wed Aug 26, 2020 8:59 am

Post by innocentvillager »

yeah, I understand, I'm just trying to see where his head's at? but you're probably right that he's just non!CL scum here, idk why I'm getting paranoid
User avatar
innocentvillager
innocentvillager
He
Survivor
User avatar
User avatar
innocentvillager
He
Survivor
Survivor
Posts: 10103
Joined: March 12, 2012
Pronoun: He

Post Post #931 (ISO) » Wed Aug 26, 2020 9:00 am

Post by innocentvillager »

In post 929, Aristophanes wrote:as a townread on me puts all of this as fact.
pls Ari :dead:
User avatar
the worst
the worst
Snuggly Duckling
User avatar
User avatar
the worst
Snuggly Duckling
Snuggly Duckling
Posts: 36877
Joined: November 7, 2015
Location: pond

Post Post #932 (ISO) » Wed Aug 26, 2020 10:19 am

Post by the worst »

In post 925, Hiraki wrote:where are you getting the last part? my scenario just clears me - i don't get how you fundamentally can disagree with that

i started the ythan wagon in a dead game, there is 0 reason to do that as cult. i'd rather just let time run out. then, unless theworst is lying, i cannot be culted because i was JK'd.
heavily agree with this; probably goes without saying it is why I chose you as a NA target.
User avatar
Hiraki
Hiraki
Survivor
User avatar
User avatar
Hiraki
Survivor
Survivor
Posts: 12372
Joined: September 16, 2010

Post Post #933 (ISO) » Wed Aug 26, 2020 10:25 am

Post by Hiraki »

In post 926, innocentvillager wrote:a) im saying if you're town and CL tried to cult you N2, this failed because worsty jailed you, so in that sense Ari doesn't HAVE to be CL for town!you. I don't get what you mean about the time run out thing because someone will get elim'd at random, this isn't crossfire?
i didn't mean "run out" in the sense that there is a time limit but mostly that there is a deadline

again, you're correct on the ari doesn't have to be CL but ari makes the most sense as CL which is clearly something i need to be more convincing about atm
In post 926, innocentvillager wrote:b) I haven't thought too much about the incentives of the cult team here but I don't think it's bad to bus non-leader because you can just recruit someone else the next day?
no - you're missing my point. it's not that, it's the why. do i do everything i did in D2 just so that i can have a better name in D3? not at all. there is a much easier case to make on other people than ythan
In post 926, innocentvillager wrote:c) lol, but the problem is if Ari's town you're not and I think Ari's town because Korina was and Ari has been pretty gut earnest/straightforward
don't @ me in post
In post 928, innocentvillager wrote:but I feel kind of meh when it's a) coming from you and I can see in some world where you do this
you think too little of me then to think just one move ahead
In post 932, the worst wrote:
In post 925, Hiraki wrote:where are you getting the last part? my scenario just clears me - i don't get how you fundamentally can disagree with that

i started the ythan wagon in a dead game, there is 0 reason to do that as cult. i'd rather just let time run out. then, unless theworst is lying, i cannot be culted because i was JK'd.
heavily agree with this; probably goes without saying it is why I chose you as a NA target.
then give into ari and this game will be OVER
User avatar
the worst
the worst
Snuggly Duckling
User avatar
User avatar
the worst
Snuggly Duckling
Snuggly Duckling
Posts: 36877
Joined: November 7, 2015
Location: pond

Post Post #934 (ISO) » Wed Aug 26, 2020 11:03 am

Post by the worst »

the other game I was in is now Over and you all have my unceasing attention
User avatar
the worst
the worst
Snuggly Duckling
User avatar
User avatar
the worst
Snuggly Duckling
Snuggly Duckling
Posts: 36877
Joined: November 7, 2015
Location: pond

Post Post #935 (ISO) » Wed Aug 26, 2020 11:06 am

Post by the worst »

look I'm gonna be level
my heart is telling me to kill users
my brain is telling me to just proxy my vote to Hiraki
my spleen is like "what if you're overthinking this and it's just Titus and the others are right" and I don't know why my spleen is trying to solve a game of Mafia so I guess I'm overthinking things again

we do Not have very long until deadline and I don't feel wrong about my reads?
User avatar
Titus
Titus
She/her
Moon Walker
User avatar
User avatar
Titus
She/her
Moon Walker
Moon Walker
Posts: 80307
Joined: May 3, 2013
Pronoun: She/her

Post Post #936 (ISO) » Wed Aug 26, 2020 11:10 am

Post by Titus »

Mod: Can someone in jail be culted?
Show
The scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx

You're letting Titus win the game by herself.Good luck now I guess.You have no chance to win.~Tywin

GTKTitus Part 2
Titus Academy

VLA Friday nights until Sunday morning.

All hail the Scum Empress!
User avatar
midwaybear
midwaybear
Mafia Scum
User avatar
User avatar
midwaybear
Mafia Scum
Mafia Scum
Posts: 4818
Joined: April 12, 2020

Post Post #937 (ISO) » Wed Aug 26, 2020 11:12 am

Post by midwaybear »

In post 936, Titus wrote:
Mod: Can someone in jail be culted?
As long as the jailing action was successful, a player would not be culted if targeted by a jail keeper that night.
User avatar
the worst
the worst
Snuggly Duckling
User avatar
User avatar
the worst
Snuggly Duckling
Snuggly Duckling
Posts: 36877
Joined: November 7, 2015
Location: pond

Post Post #938 (ISO) » Wed Aug 26, 2020 11:16 am

Post by the worst »

In post 0, GeneralWu wrote:Each night, you may jail a player in the game, simultaneously protecting them from recruitment and roleblocking them.
that was in my role pm as well
User avatar
the worst
the worst
Snuggly Duckling
User avatar
User avatar
the worst
Snuggly Duckling
Snuggly Duckling
Posts: 36877
Joined: November 7, 2015
Location: pond

Post Post #939 (ISO) » Wed Aug 26, 2020 11:20 am

Post by the worst »

.... so Titus isn't the cult leader

user/Ari if you have anything more to say could you please check in today?
User avatar
Aristophanes
Aristophanes
He/Him
Mr. Blue Sky
User avatar
User avatar
Aristophanes
He/Him
Mr. Blue Sky
Mr. Blue Sky
Posts: 17170
Joined: December 30, 2014
Pronoun: He/Him
Location: Hiding from Actual Cannibal Shia Lebeouf

Post Post #940 (ISO) » Wed Aug 26, 2020 11:24 am

Post by Aristophanes »

In post 939, the worst wrote:.... so Titus isn't the cult leader

user/Ari if you have anything more to say could you please check in today?
Aye aye!

I was mostly leaving you huys to come to conclusions without me but I will do that catchup as promised and see what I can do to help!
Half meme, Half real, All Aristophanes ;)
- Jingle
Ari has appeared way too competent for me to even pretend to know what they're thinking
- MooseEatsBear on discord mafia
it wouldn’t be an ari sig unless it takes up half the screen on mobile - Vonflare
User avatar
the worst
the worst
Snuggly Duckling
User avatar
User avatar
the worst
Snuggly Duckling
Snuggly Duckling
Posts: 36877
Joined: November 7, 2015
Location: pond

Post Post #941 (ISO) » Wed Aug 26, 2020 11:27 am

Post by the worst »

I'm kind of leaning towards users here but yeah the more comfortable you could make me the better :P
User avatar
innocentvillager
innocentvillager
He
Survivor
User avatar
User avatar
innocentvillager
He
Survivor
Survivor
Posts: 10103
Joined: March 12, 2012
Pronoun: He

Post Post #942 (ISO) » Wed Aug 26, 2020 1:28 pm

Post by innocentvillager »

why do Hiraki and Ari both feel kind of town ughhhhhhhhh
User avatar
innocentvillager
innocentvillager
He
Survivor
User avatar
User avatar
innocentvillager
He
Survivor
Survivor
Posts: 10103
Joined: March 12, 2012
Pronoun: He

Post Post #943 (ISO) » Wed Aug 26, 2020 1:29 pm

Post by innocentvillager »

worsty you really think Hiraki is scum with his latest posting?
User avatar
innocentvillager
innocentvillager
He
Survivor
User avatar
User avatar
innocentvillager
He
Survivor
Survivor
Posts: 10103
Joined: March 12, 2012
Pronoun: He

Post Post #944 (ISO) » Wed Aug 26, 2020 1:31 pm

Post by innocentvillager »

I can’t really see any sort of agenda in his posting with this deadline scramble

There’s no obvious intent to move the elim off of his CL buddy

this kind of feels like town!Hiraki from crossfire
User avatar
the worst
the worst
Snuggly Duckling
User avatar
User avatar
the worst
Snuggly Duckling
Snuggly Duckling
Posts: 36877
Joined: November 7, 2015
Location: pond

Post Post #945 (ISO) » Wed Aug 26, 2020 1:32 pm

Post by the worst »

i think hiraki is literally only scum if i'm completely ass up and incorrect about both him & titus.

he's dead right his d2 on ythan was completely Unnecessary if he was scum
that's why i protected him last night
if he wasn't recruited i.. just don't think he's scum, no

pedit: i'm not really about that meta life but i think i agree him calmly explaining himself and asking for us to be Smart And Not Dumb doesn't feel agendaey
User avatar
innocentvillager
innocentvillager
He
Survivor
User avatar
User avatar
innocentvillager
He
Survivor
Survivor
Posts: 10103
Joined: March 12, 2012
Pronoun: He

Post Post #946 (ISO) » Wed Aug 26, 2020 1:34 pm

Post by innocentvillager »

but then that implies Ari is cult leader right, or scum would’ve quickhammered...
User avatar
the worst
the worst
Snuggly Duckling
User avatar
User avatar
the worst
Snuggly Duckling
Snuggly Duckling
Posts: 36877
Joined: November 7, 2015
Location: pond

Post Post #947 (ISO) » Wed Aug 26, 2020 1:35 pm

Post by the worst »

that is a fact i am currently Acutely Aware of
User avatar
innocentvillager
innocentvillager
He
Survivor
User avatar
User avatar
innocentvillager
He
Survivor
Survivor
Posts: 10103
Joined: March 12, 2012
Pronoun: He

Post Post #948 (ISO) » Wed Aug 26, 2020 1:37 pm

Post by innocentvillager »

like if we assume town Hiraki, you jailed him so he wasn’t culted, we mechanically cannot eliminate Aristophanes and lose the game
User avatar
midwaybear
midwaybear
Mafia Scum
User avatar
User avatar
midwaybear
Mafia Scum
Mafia Scum
Posts: 4818
Joined: April 12, 2020

Post Post #949 (ISO) » Wed Aug 26, 2020 1:40 pm

Post by midwaybear »

.

Return to “Completed Open Games”