Micro 1000: Names on the List v1.01 [game over!]

[Michael Scott]

Innnnnnterestingggggg

-Jimothy

[Mad Hatters Tea Party]

I am surprised my mark failed to appear upon the list.

[Ythan]

Do we want to eliminate on or off the list?

[Mad Hatters Tea Party]

Outside would be better I believe. We have 1 in 3 to find as opposed to 2 in 5.

Meaning todays eliminations are myself, Michael and bugspray.

I do have some dungeoneering shenangians that are a priority currently, so analysis will come later.

[Ythan]

The way I see it I have a 50/50 chance of hitting scum on the list but I'm still more confident just voting you. I intend to review Michael and Rathe though before I do that.

[Mad Hatters Tea Party]

If we aim within the list:
- Players in the list have a 1-in-2 (2-in-4) chance of hitting mafia.
- Players outside the list have 2 in 5 of hitting mafia.

Aiming outside the list:
- Players inside the list have a 1-in-3 chance of hitting mafia.
- Players outside the list have a 1-in-2 chance of hitting mafia.

The pool for consideration is smaller outside of the list, maxed at 3 players to considered. Inside the list requires 4 to 5 players to be considered.

If you wish to place your vote upon me, then do so.

[Ythan]

I intend to review Michael and Rathe though before I do that.

Ahem

[Mad Hatters Tea Party]

The way I see it I have a 50/50 chance of hitting scum on the list but I'm still more confident just voting you. I intend to review Michael and Rathe though before I do that.

Regardless of qualifiers, you still hold bias towards my slot, understandably.

[Ythan]

That bias is called a scum read.

[Not_Mafia]

I want to elim Hatters aswell

[Mad Hatters Tea Party]

That bias is called a scum read.

Which is an incorrect read.

In truth, I fully expect my elimination to happen today regardless of my efforts due to my in shoving the wagon before my invoking of policy. I will endeavour to provide a summary regardless.

[Dunnstral]

Outside would be better I believe. We have 1 in 3 to find as opposed to 2 in 5.

Those are worse odds

[Ythan]

Oh that's true.

[Dunnstral]

If we aim within the list:
- Players in the list have a 1-in-2 (2-in-4) chance of hitting mafia.
- Players outside the list have 2 in 5 of hitting mafia.

Aiming outside the list:
- Players inside the list have a 1-in-3 chance of hitting mafia.
- Players outside the list have a 1-in-2 chance of hitting mafia.

The pool for consideration is smaller outside of the list, maxed at 3 players to considered. Inside the list requires 4 to 5 players to be considered.

If you wish to place your vote upon me, then do so.

But there's 2 scum in that 4 to 5

it's the same odds for people inside the list, and better odds for those outside of it

2/5 is 40%, 1/3 is 33.33%

[Dunnstral]

datisi opens the envelope.

"the names

Ythan

,

Dunnstral

,

Not_Mafia

,

The Bulge

, and

bugspray

contain

3 town

and

2 mafia

!"

a bell tolls in the distance.

doom counter

has increased by 1.

the sun sets, it is now night 2. sunrise immediately.

My gut reaction to this is that there's 1 scum in the first 3 names and 1 in the last 2 names

[Mad Hatters Tea Party]

If you wish to look at a purely odds based approach yes, however, mafia is more than just the odds. A greater pool allows for greater complexity. We have one banishment where we can be wrong.

Therefore the smaller pool is the better option.

[Rathe]

hmm so i am wrong about michael scott and mad hatter being partners
i am right on one of them being mafia though i dont know who is more

[Rathe]

My gut reaction to this is that there's 1 scum in the first 3 names and 1 in the last 2 names

who

[Rathe]

Meaning todays eliminations are myself, Michael and bugspray.

u mean me not bugspray

[Rathe]

Outside would be better I believe. We have 1 in 3 to find as opposed to 2 in 5.

if u r mafia u have to say this no it would be too obvious to say otherwise
i think town would not want to just get eliminated

[Michael Scott]

Not_Mafia has performed his scumtell, by the way.

-Jimothy

[Ythan]

???

[The Bulge]

Where I would want my vote to be placed ideally, would result in a banishment rather quickly. Given there is still in excess of 6 days upon the clock, that would be rather detrimental.

The other two would simply look down upon my vote with bemusement and swat my poor vote aside as though t'were yesterdays tea...

I am curious to see how The Bulbous One reactions to the situation that is being pressed firmly upon him.

who were you talking about wanting to vote here? and if I'm the Bulbous One, what situation were you talking about?

worries me a bit that you seem to be sheeping my reads

ur reads have been very weird i think i am sheeping my townreads im sorry
and it doesnt make sense that im mafia sheeping ur mafia reads
that means im outing my partners

I don't understand this post

VOTE: Mozamis

why did you vote here?

pedit - go on?

[Michael Scott]

Not_Mafia as town places votes actively while not really reasoning through them, but you can figure that he's pushing the game forward. ISO him here. His only vote was Moz who he called town for "redacted reasons" earlier.

The specific scumtell, as I see it, is his declaring *intent* to want to hop on to
a Mad Hatters lim while not actually just voting there. It looks like an attempt to blend in. Do read past NM games and check for yourselves.

-Jimothy

[Michael Scott]

He strategically makes relevant-sounding posts that sound like that at points where people just end up townreading him for them.

-Jimothy