Large normal 236 [Game over]

[Mama Ru]

VOTE: charle

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[DkKoba]

UNVOTE:

VOTE: charle

thanks for doing what i wanted you to do <3

[House]

Idgaf.

[DkKoba]

the thing is no matter what you do, short of voting a very likely townie - it will be something i want because I am 95% sure i have PoE'd the whole scum team

[DkKoba]

house cmon just stop the immaturity and play normally and we dont need to do this song and dance xD

[House]

I don't give a damn what someone calling me a liar wants.

[DkKoba]

ok then

i will sheep every vote you make for fun this dayphase until we lim one of neroslot/ranny :3

[House]

ok then

i will sheep every vote you make for fun this dayphase until we lim one of neroslot/ranny :3

Alright.

VOTE: DkKoba

Your move.

[DkKoba]

VOTE: DkKoba

<3

[House]

Okay. This is an acceptable wagon to share with Koba.

[DkKoba]

why are u so mad lol?

[charlemagne]

the thing is no matter what you do, short of voting a very likely townie - it will be something i want because I am 95% sure i have PoE'd the whole scum team

This seems like really, really poor reasoning. If you're town, your priors of getting the entire scum team from a random sampling of three players (out of 14 not including you) is 3/14*2/13*1/12 or 0.27%. There can't be

that

many people you consider mechanically town—I'm not sure exactly what you believe, but I don't think that you've said anyone is locktown except House/Titus (correct me if I'm wrong.) That leaves 12 others, so a 3/12*2/11*1/10 or a 0.45% chance of guessing three players and having them being a scumteam. Koba, you're saying you're 95% sure you've PoE'd the whole scum team, which means that your reads based off meta+flips are somehow

one hundred and ninety times better than random.

I really don't understand how you get there, because I don't think that any player in existence (including xyz top amazing wonderful beautiful scumhunters, or even top amazing scumhunters who are intimately familiar with the meta of every player in the game) can be 190x +rand.

Can you walk the rest of the players in this game through the process where you go from the priors to your current state of confidence? Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence, and honestly I haven't seen those thought processes spelled out where anyone here can be anywhere near as confident as you in your claims.
I'm really conflicted here. To the best of my knowledge you have a reputation for being overconfident/tunneling like this in games when you are town, so I'm hesitant to say this is especially scum indicative, but on the other hand I'd think town you should know better.

[DkKoba]

no lmao

if you want to prove you're town you need to do your own work.

have fun.

[DkKoba]

also didnt even read your post past the first sentence.

[House]

why are u so mad lol?

The fact you don't know when I've plainly started it on several occasions is all the more reason I have no interest in sheeping your reads or sharing a not!Koba wagon with you.

[DkKoba]

btw dont be silly and actually tell your team to nightkill me tonight - im literally an ascetic.

[House]

why are u so mad lol?

The fact you don't know when I've plainly stated* it on several occasions is all the more reason I have no interest in sheeping your reads or sharing a not!Koba wagon with you.

[Dwlee99]

Can y'all not? Thanks

[Dwlee99]

It was hard enough to find 9 people to kill kyo yesterday, gonna be even harder today if y'all are wasting your votes on this bs

[House]

Can y'all not? Thanks

Don't take this from me.

[Dwlee99]

Too late. Just like... don't tilt (I should be a counselor, wow)

[DkKoba]

why are u so mad lol?

The fact you don't know when I've plainly started it on several occasions is all the more reason I have no interest in sheeping your reads or sharing a not!Koba wagon with you.

you're throwing a fit akin to a toddler because of a broken pride from having your true role called out. you are grudging the game. Yeah I'm having fun because literally there is a near zero chance that I am the lim ever this game - and zero chance I am this dayphase.

but seriously - don't use the game to satisfy your petty grudges - it's inappropriate and immature so please knock it off.

[House]

I have no interest in what someone that wants to call me a liar wants me to do.

Feel free to piss right off.

[charlemagne]

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My neighbor Rannygazoo, who had only terse conversations with my predecessor, did not even snuggle up to me even once during this long, cold night.

My brief attempt at flirting was rejected, no one was debriefed. If you can’t love yourself, how in the hell are you gonna love somebody else! Can I get an amen?

This is a terrible, painful gimmick. I can't in good conscience call it scummy because it was probably preplanned, but it is serving as just,,, complete and utter fluff. No reasoning, no actual thought-out posting, just... rainbows.

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ssbm_Kyouko (6): DkKoba, LicketyQuickety, Almost50, Hakai, NorwegianBoyEE, Dwlee99,
Dwlee99 (2): Rannygazoo, Wake88,

A game's maiden wagon rarely climaxes to an elimination, is there a safer place for the squirelly ones to distance? I surmise that there is not, and that this wagon is loaded with our drab enemies.

ssbm_Kyouko (4): Almost50, NorwegianBoyEE, Dwlee99, DkKoba,
Dwlee99 (4): Rannygazoo, Wake88, LicketyQuickety, Loftwing,

LicketyQuickety and Hakai readily allowed themselves to be distracted from this large pickle they got themselves into. LicketyQuickety even switched lines to weigh in a newly forming wagon. A wagon started by my emotionally unavailable neighbor I might add.

Dwlee99 (4): Rannygazoo, Wake88, LicketyQuickety, Loftwing,
ssbm_Kyouko (3): Almost50, NorwegianBoyEE, Dwlee99,
Loftwing (3): Titus, DkKoba, Hakai,

Dwlee99 gains the lead as DkKoba unvotes ssbm_Kyouko to shamefully vote for my innocent predecessor. At least it was fleeting.

Dwlee99 (4): Rannygazoo, Wake88, LicketyQuickety, Loftwing,
ssbm_Kyouko (4): Almost50, NorwegianBoyEE, Dwlee99, DkKoba,
Loftwing (3): Titus, Hakai, MargotRosa,

DkKoba returns to their campaign against ssbm_Kyouko. Are they sincere, or are they making a spectacle and turning on a team mate?

ssbm_Kyouko (5): Almost50, NorwegianBoyEE, Dwlee99, Rannygazoo, Hakai,
NorwegianBoyEE (3): Andresvmb, LicketyQuickety, Nero Cain,
Loftwing (3): Titus, MargotRosa, DkKoba,

Ah! DkKoba once again changes their mind to vote an innocent. Meanwhile Hakai, and Rannygazoo tuck in the slack and tighten the belt around ssbm_Kyouko. I consider the possibility of distancing.

ssbm_Kyouko (6): Almost50, NorwegianBoyEE, Dwlee99, Hakai, Andresvmb, DkKoba,
Titus (2): LicketyQuickety, cool cookie,
cool cookie (2): Titus, Rannygazoo,
Dwlee99 (2): Wake88, Loftwing,

DkKoba wigs out again and stiffs it to ssbm_Kyouko like excess hair spray. Distancing?

ssbm_Kyouko (9):Almost50, NorwegianBoyEE, Dwlee99, Hakai, Andresvmb, DkKoba, Loftwing, Nero Cain, Rannygazoo
cool cookie (2): Titus, LicketyQuickety

Nero Cain leaps out of the closet as Rannygazoo confidently hammers ssbm_Kyouko. Am I seeing distancing and big hulking busses everywhere? It may be so!

This

looks

like analysis, but it really isn't. It doesn't draw a single actual conclusion (except to say that Koba is scum bussing, which if true,,, why not just vote them?) , is highly handwavy, and kind of just says things without any analysis to back it up.

~Silence!~

I have made my decision.

Rannygazoo, Neromagneslot, you are the bottom Queens.

It's time to:

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I wasn't a fan of the content from the Loftwing slot when I originally skimmed through, and the posting from here has cemented my scumread on it. There has not been one iota of actual content from Ru despite them posting, and I can't see any strong evidence that this slot is town, so I'm comfortable with this: VOTE: Mama Ru. I'm not a fan of voting Ranny right now mostly because they haven't actually posted for a while and I'd like to see a prod/replacement and for them to be able to defend themselves.

[DkKoba]

I have no interest in what someone that wants to call me a liar wants me to do.

Feel free to piss right off.

I'm not the only one who doesn't believe your claim my guy.
Play to win.