(micro 1101) mystery box of silver 16: tinkleton (it tinkled)

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Post Post #650 (ISO) » Fri Apr 05, 2024 1:18 pm

Post by Doctor Drew »

In post 649, Psyche wrote: but i dont really see a convincing solve that includes HPE and imo gypx's towncase on snow was a forced move that could turn out to have good equity for her in a gypx/snow pairing anyway
I don't want to move to HPE

Ok, this is my for real intent to hammer Snow
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Post Post #651 (ISO) » Fri Apr 05, 2024 1:35 pm

Post by Psyche »

it looks like your implied solve is Snow/PC if you agree with me about T3. So, alright.
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Post Post #652 (ISO) » Fri Apr 05, 2024 1:56 pm

Post by Doctor Drew »

VOTE: Snow
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Post Post #653 (ISO) » Fri Apr 05, 2024 2:09 pm

Post by HighPrincessErinys »

This one is prettttttttty confident in Snow flipping scum here. As weird and perhaps towntell-y as not claiming and just trying to shrug off the wagon is, Snow is pretty new and hasn't been around all that much this game, it's possible he's just been floundering and didn't have anything to challenge or redirect the wagon with.
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Post Post #654 (ISO) » Fri Apr 05, 2024 2:10 pm

Post by HighPrincessErinys »

Think tomorrow we need to hit T3 with a baseball bat until he shows up again. Or maybe get PC to talk instead of nakedvote. We're really just working on the info of like 3 or 4 players now.
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Post Post #655 (ISO) » Fri Apr 05, 2024 2:24 pm

Post by schadd_ »

vote count 2.final !


Snow2697 (4):
Psyche, Political Clout, HighPrincessErinys, Doctor Drew

HighPrincessErinys (2):
Gypyx, Snow2697
Psyche (1):
T3

not voting (0):



with 7 alive, it took 4 to scrimble.


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[.....treetrunk..]
[.........tree...]
[................]
[....t...........]
[....r...........]
[....e...statue..]
[....e......treen]
[...........pond.]
[.........pond...]
[................]
[................]
[................]
[.........bush...]
[flowerbush......]
[..patchofgrass..]
[...bush...bush..]
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Post Post #656 (ISO) » Fri Apr 05, 2024 2:30 pm

Post by schadd_ »

Snow2697 has been wheeshed! he was a
vanilla townie


night two starts now and ends in (expired on 2024-04-07 13:30:04).
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Post Post #657 (ISO) » Sun Apr 07, 2024 7:48 am

Post by schadd_ »

T3 has been killed in the night! he was a
vanilla townie
!




vote count 3.0 !


not voting (5):
Gypyx, Political Clout, Psyche, HighPrincessErinys, Doctor Drew


with 5 alive, it takes 3 to scrimble. day 3 starts now and ends in (expired on 2024-04-15 14:47:38).


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[.....treetrunk..]
[..wiltingtree...]
[................]
[....t...........]
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[....e......treet]
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[................]
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[.........bush...]
[flowerbush......]
[..patchofgrass..]
[...bush...bush..]
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Post Post #658 (ISO) » Sun Apr 07, 2024 8:35 am

Post by HighPrincessErinys »

this game is about to nosedive isnt it
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Post Post #659 (ISO) » Sun Apr 07, 2024 9:20 am

Post by Psyche »

whole game has felt like trying to pull water from a stone
that said, i'm going to stay committed to my solve

VOTE: gypx
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Post Post #660 (ISO) » Sun Apr 07, 2024 9:21 am

Post by Psyche »

we can do a massclaim though!
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Post Post #661 (ISO) » Sun Apr 07, 2024 9:28 am

Post by HighPrincessErinys »

Massclaim is fine. Not so sure about sticking to our guts on the solve. This is MeLo.
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Post Post #662 (ISO) » Sun Apr 07, 2024 9:32 am

Post by Psyche »

not guts!
tell me a plausible duo that doesn't include gypx and ill unvote
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Post Post #663 (ISO) » Sun Apr 07, 2024 9:37 am

Post by Psyche »

frankly very interested in your answer
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Post Post #664 (ISO) » Sun Apr 07, 2024 9:47 am

Post by Psyche »

even just a first guess?
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Post Post #665 (ISO) » Sun Apr 07, 2024 9:59 am

Post by Psyche »

Without reading the thread, here are all the theoretically possible combos. There are ten of them.

('Gypyx', 'Political Clout')
('Gypyx', 'Psyche')
('Gypyx', 'HighPrincessErinys')
('Gypyx', 'Doctor Drew')
('Political Clout', 'Psyche')
('Political Clout', 'HighPrincessErinys')
('Political Clout', 'Doctor Drew')
('Psyche', 'HighPrincessErinys')
('Psyche', 'Doctor Drew')
('HighPrincessErinys', 'Doctor Drew')
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Post Post #666 (ISO) » Sun Apr 07, 2024 10:00 am

Post by Psyche »

Remove those with me, brings down to 6:

('Gypyx', 'Political Clout')
('Gypyx', 'HighPrincessErinys')
('Gypyx', 'Doctor Drew')
('Political Clout', 'HighPrincessErinys')
('Political Clout', 'Doctor Drew')
('HighPrincessErinys', 'Doctor Drew')
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Post Post #667 (ISO) » Sun Apr 07, 2024 10:05 am

Post by Psyche »

Interestingly, these are the options that also exclude HPE. These are the only options compatible with the assumptions in 661 that 1) HPE is town and 2) I am trying to solve:

('Gypyx', 'Political Clout')
('Gypyx', 'Doctor Drew')
('Political Clout', 'Doctor Drew')

If we instead take out Ausuka/Drew -- a more confident guess imo -- options are:

('Gypyx', 'Political Clout'),
('Gypyx', 'HighPrincessErinys'),
('Political Clout', 'HighPrincessErinys')
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Post Post #668 (ISO) » Sun Apr 07, 2024 10:11 am

Post by Psyche »

besides the strength of the overall iso, ausuka's interactions around deus/clout/cakez when the wagon on deus was stirring still strongly convince me that the slot is town. i'm good with these 3 options.
hpe should be similarly confident about drew/ausuka at this point, and thus have a confident solve for gypyx/clout. but apparently doesn't
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Post Post #669 (ISO) » Sun Apr 07, 2024 10:16 am

Post by Psyche »

HPE has technically not expressed a confident read on ausuka/drew yet. so we'll call it null that it doesn't have a commited solve yet i guess
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Post Post #670 (ISO) » Sun Apr 07, 2024 10:20 am

Post by Psyche »

think pc/gypx's combined isos mostly discount that duo
this should incline me to vote HPE, since all other solves include it, but a solve is still alive that doesn't include Gypx -- HPE/PC

ill unvote for one moment

UNVOTE:
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Post Post #671 (ISO) » Sun Apr 07, 2024 10:27 am

Post by Psyche »

i can't quite rule out robert/hpe/pc
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Post Post #672 (ISO) » Sun Apr 07, 2024 10:31 am

Post by Psyche »

interesting!
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Post Post #673 (ISO) » Sun Apr 07, 2024 10:57 am

Post by Doctor Drew »

In post 671, Psyche wrote: i can't quite rule out robert/hpe/pc
As a team?

Or with Gyp?

Seems like you are talking yourself into HPE though, not sure I feel confident there.
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Post Post #674 (ISO) » Sun Apr 07, 2024 10:59 am

Post by Psyche »

I'm pulling together a complete post outlining the position. I know a lot of HPE's posts look town, but the case seems pretty hard to reject at this point. But I am frequently confidently wrong. Maybe you'll be able to poke holes in it for me?
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