NY136: The Death of ReaperCharlie (GAME OVER, Town win!)


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Post Post #400 (ISO) » Wed Jun 29, 2011 5:11 am

Post by kondi2424 »

MagnaofIllusion wrote:
Kondi wrote:No one has posted in there since Friday. -_-


So since your Neighbors have abandoned talking to you I have to ask –

Who are your own suspects as scum? Please list your Top three with a quick reason why.

First off - UNVOTE: I like this post.

Haven't really been paying much attention to this game, but I'm gonna reread and get back to you on this.
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Also, kondi may not be scum anymore. I'll check with my die.
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Post Post #401 (ISO) » Wed Jun 29, 2011 5:41 am

Post by Meransiel »

Time is running out, be quick about it.
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Post Post #402 (ISO) » Wed Jun 29, 2011 6:21 am

Post by MagnaofIllusion »

I’m laying out my intentions so they are well know. I’ll have minimal access over the holiday weekend so I want it clear what compromises I am willing to make to make sure we don’t no Lynch.

Active Scummy Players
– DH, Sensfan

Lurker / Underperformers
– Snow White, Hresz, Mr.BuddyLee, Kondi.

The first group I will actively support a wagon on.
The second group I will vote for at deadline if none of my ‘Active Scummy Players’ is within lynching range.

I’m still looking at and mulling over my thoughts on AGM.

--

Kondi wrote:Haven't really been paying much attention to this game, but I'm gonna reread and get back to you on this.


Please explain your motivation for not paying attention to the game.

--

Yos wrote:If Sens doesn't start doing something soon, I could get behind a lurker wagon on him.


He’s done nothing constructive and deadline is 5 days away. He’s allowed to skate through the first

What do you think should be done to SnowWhite’s slot?

--

PJ wrote:This game has only been going for a little longer than a week, so I am not all that inclined to limit my votes to two players who happened to have more than two votes at a particular point in time, as MagnaofIllusion has suggested.


You could also move your vote to another wagon of 2 and make it more viable. In any case the fact that you insist on having your vote sit while not actively trying to push who it is on (in this case Parama) is suspect.

PJ wrote:-> c.) Why Parama thinks DemonHyrbid is Town.


If you think Parama is scum (and your vote says so currently) what is your motivation for asking him to clarify a Town read?
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Post Post #403 (ISO) » Wed Jun 29, 2011 8:38 am

Post by MagnaofIllusion »

EBWOP - The following didn't get fully pasted in, apparently

He’s done nothing constructive and deadline is 5 days away. He’s allowed to skate through the
first full week but if he continues he'll suddenly be suspect?
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Post Post #404 (ISO) » Wed Jun 29, 2011 8:44 am

Post by Shanba »

Your list of lurkers bemuses me. What metric are you using to judge a lurker?
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Post Post #405 (ISO) » Wed Jun 29, 2011 8:47 am

Post by MagnaofIllusion »

Shanba wrote:Your list of lurkers bemuses me. What metric are you using to judge a lurker?


The title is lurkers / underperformers. My metric is my personal judgement of those who aren't contributing to the game in a meaningful way.

Do you have a problem with that?
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Post Post #406 (ISO) » Wed Jun 29, 2011 9:09 am

Post by Parama »

Skimmed it up, will actually read later. Maybe.
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Post Post #407 (ISO) » Wed Jun 29, 2011 11:51 am

Post by petroleumjelly »

MagnaofIllusion, Post 402 wrote:You could also move your vote to another wagon of 2 and make it more viable. In any case the fact that you insist on having your vote sit while not actively trying to push who it is on (in this case Parama) is suspect.

Come again? First of all, if somebody joins
me
, then my wagon will suddenly be the one with three votes on it, thus "making it more viable." I don't see why I should change
my
vote to make some
other
wagon "more viable."

Second, I've already explained why my vote is on Parama, and I am actually actively going after him -- my last post asked three pointed questions to the Neighbors, two of them which are specifically aimed at Parama.

Third, the reason I asked Parama to explain his townread on DemonHybrid because -- as I have already explained -- Parama was willing to lynch kondi2424 on the assumption that the Neighborhood contained a scum. But once Parama decided kondi2424 was Town, his claimed reason for not voting DemonHyrbid was that he thought DemonHyrbid was Town. But I see
zero
reason for having that opinion. At all. And so I would like him to explain it. I suspect his reason is that he does not want DemonHyrbid to attack him in turn.
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Post Post #408 (ISO) » Wed Jun 29, 2011 3:39 pm

Post by Hrezs »

MoI- How does Sensfan not qualify as a lurker/underperformer? I can't remember a thing he's done this game but want the hydra to sign its posts. And if your 'he's done nothing constructive' part of your post is your reasoning for letting him slide, why does he get special treatment?

and do you not agree that kondi is most probably town?
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Post Post #409 (ISO) » Wed Jun 29, 2011 4:09 pm

Post by Amrun »

VC1.8

(5) DemonHybrid - saporovirus, PBuG, Iecerint, MagnaofIllusion, Hrezs
(0) Earworm
(0) Snow White
(0) Iecerint
(0) saporovirus
(2) Parama - MrBuddyLee, petroleumjelly
(5) AlmasterGM - Yosarian2, Hydra, Meransiel, earworm, Shanba
(0) Hrezs
(0) PBuG
(1) Meransiel - DemonHybrid
(0) MrBuddyLee
(0) petroleumjelly
(0) Yosarian2
(0) Shanba
(0) SensFan
(2) Hydra - AlmasterGM, SensFan
(2) MagnaofIllusion - Parama
(0) Kondi2424

Not Voting: Snow White, kondi2424

With 18 alive, it takes 10 to lynch.

Deadline: Tuesday, July 5, 11pm EST


Spoiler: Vote History
DemonHybrid - kondi > Hydra > Meransiel
Earworm - Hydra > SensFan > AGM
Snow White
Iecerint - Hrezs > DemonHybrid
saporovirus - DemonHybrid
Parama - kondi > Hydra > MoI
AlmasterGM - Hydra
Hrezs - Meransiel > DemonHybrid
PBuG - DemonHybrid
Meransiel - Parama > unvote > MoI > unvote > AGM
MrBuddyLee - petroleumjelly > SensFan > Parama
petroleumjelly - Shanba > Meransiel > Parama
Yosarian2 - Shanba > unvote > AlmasterGM
Shanba - SensFan > Meransiel > SensFan > AGM
SensFan - kondi > Hydra
Hydra - kondi > Meransiel > AlmasterGM
MagnaofIllusion - SensFan > DemonHybrid
Kondi2424 - Meransiel > MagnaofIllusion > unvote


If there are any mistakes, please let me know.

I'm going through some personal difficulties right now, so votecounts may be tardy and/or singer may step in to do them.
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Post Post #410 (ISO) » Wed Jun 29, 2011 6:12 pm

Post by Hydra »

Hrezs wrote:OHydra- I've told you why your neighbor stance was scummy. You basically mentioned the issue with saying nothing, as if you felt obligated to comment on it without saying anything. Not even a definitive stance to say nothing.

You said we were fencesitting.
You appear to believe no one else was.
I'll agree AGM and Dh came out with opinions, but everyone else?
here's some quotes;

By the way, what are the chances of a pure town 3 man neighborhood?

True, that's legit, we should only lynch from the neighborhood if the neighbors themselves feel like it's legit. And/or if we get some night info, of course.

This looks suspiciously like lining up lynches. What happens in the case of a 3-town neighborhood? "Oops, I guess there weren't any scum in that neighborhood, I dun goofed guize!"

Do you think we should restrict our lynching to those three players to maximize the chances of hitting scum?

If I believed one of them had to be scum - yeah, a pool of 33% scum with chance to clear 33-66% as town looks like prime hunting to me. I don't know if I actually buy into that

Exactly for the reason MoI and AGM stated: In most cases, there is at least 1 scum in a 3 man neighborhood.

I still think this finding scum in the neighborhood should be just picked up later when it would benefit us more through info we get.

It's possible the whole neighborhood is town. Neither of them seem especially scummy to me.

I've also got a weird gut feeling about you, mostly because of your attacks on the neighbors. If all 3 neighbors are, in fact, town
-------------------------------

Let me know which one is our scummy fencesitting and which ones are the clear and concise conclusions about scum in the neighborhood, yeah? Oh...what's that...trouble picking out which was ours? Here it is again;
"If I believed one of them had to be scum - yeah, a pool of 33% scum with chance to clear 33-66% as town looks like prime hunting to me. I don't know if I actually buy into that"
Yeah *totally* more fencesitting than anything else said at the same time.
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Post Post #411 (ISO) » Wed Jun 29, 2011 6:22 pm

Post by Shanba »

MagnaofIllusion wrote:
Shanba wrote:Your list of lurkers bemuses me. What metric are you using to judge a lurker?


The title is lurkers / underperformers. My metric is my personal judgement of those who aren't contributing to the game in a meaningful way.

Do you have a problem with that?

No, not necessarily, but this is mafia, and inconsistencies bother me. Why are MBL and hrezs in particular on the list when me and PBuG are not?
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Post Post #412 (ISO) » Wed Jun 29, 2011 6:24 pm

Post by Hydra »

Shanba wrote:Your list of lurkers bemuses me. What metric are you using to judge a lurker?

Who would you classify as a lurker.
More importantly - who would you classify as not being viable with their vote right now?

I like MoI's thrust - there's definitely at least 1-2 scum hiding in the non voters and low wagon mooks. This is a good snapshot VC for that. There's also probably at least 1 scum on each of the big wagons, money in the bank.

@MoI - the heart and soul of DHscum is his wtf-ness around the kondi push considering his past neighbor experiences, yeah?

I'm conflicted right now, because other than Hrezs I am rather more enamored by the people on the DH wagon, but am much more sold by the AGM case. I really want to see a couple of the deadbeats lob some votes out so I can get a better feel for that.

Ludi has flaked out on our QT again, but mostly his defense of Meran centers around the 'no one else was selling it' and he really agrees with me that the rolefishing thing wasn't a thing at all (though he expands it to - 'and wouldn't be done by scum' which I'm not so sure about, if he'd do it as town he doesn't think it's scummy anyway, and thus would do it as scum, yadda, yadda). If we have a Vig he's going to be overworked in this game.
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Post Post #413 (ISO) » Wed Jun 29, 2011 6:27 pm

Post by Iecerint »

I dunno; there are some "scummy" things I'm more shy about as scum, I think.
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Post Post #414 (ISO) » Thu Jun 30, 2011 1:13 am

Post by MrBuddyLee »

@Parama
: What are your current reads on AGM and Yosarian?


@saporo
: How did you get an initial town read on AlmasterGM? What's your take on AGM, Hydra, and Parama now?


@Almaster:

AGM wrote:SCUM: Hydra, PBuG, Meransiel, SensFan, Hrezs (maybe), a lurker (probably Snow White, she only has one post and it's pretty bad (defends Meransiel)).

Why don't you have a neighbor in your scumlist?


@Hydra
: You've directed the vig to at least three players. Can you please rank them in order of scumminess and give your reasoning?


@DH
: What's your take on Yosarian?


@Yos
: What's your take on Parama?


@Meransiel
:
Meransiel, Monday wrote:Vote: AGM

Meransiel, Tuesday wrote:@Almaster: I explained why I have a null read on you, and why I have a town read on Yos.

Who's your #2 suspect, and why are you voting a null read?
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Post Post #415 (ISO) » Thu Jun 30, 2011 2:31 am

Post by Meransiel »

I am voting a null read because it's not so null anymore, but that's not the main reason. I have come to buy the AGM case more recently, but as I said, the most important thing is that AGM's flip is extremely informative. This is a Large, so that's not the most suboptimal compromise ever.

I believe one of Parama or DH is scum, DH is clearly lurking while posting everywhere else on the site, of Parama I'm not very sure. In this respect, I agree with most of the reasons made against both of them, and I am slightly leaning DH, but would rather put a vote there when I know for sure (i.e. not today).

SensFan...well...he's a though one. From the very beginning I explained both the town and the scum motivations inherent to his play. Now I'm not so sure of those either. A replacement would be really nice there.

My scumread on MoI is going down right now, I don't think it's much of value. And because my suspicion of Iecerint was directly linked to that, well...


All in all, I'm kinda puzzled.
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Post Post #416 (ISO) » Thu Jun 30, 2011 3:28 am

Post by MagnaofIllusion »

PJ wrote:Come again? First of all, if somebody joins me, then my wagon will suddenly be the one with three votes on it, thus "making it more viable." I don't see why I should change my vote to make some other wagon "more viable."


Then you need to do a better job of actually making a Parama case. Because what you are doing isn’t cutting it.

I see that you are asking pointed questions of Parama. That’s certainly valid scum-hunting but it does absolutely nothing to push a wagon. That sort of investigation is great for the early stages of suspicion. But it doesn’t provide a reason for someone else to join you. Conclusions and explanation of scummy responses / play does that.

It is one of the reasons I find Mr. BL too be an under-performer. He seems stuck at that stage as opposed to providing analysis / conclusions that people can assess and follow if they find them credible.

The day is rapidly moving to conclusion. We may have a difference of opinion of ‘Marathon versus Sprint’ in this regard but I don’t see that a sudden push at the last moment is a good thing for Town. Too susceptible to scum waffling and ‘looking into it’.

--

Hrezs wrote:MoI- How does Sensfan not qualify as a lurker/underperformer? I can't remember a thing he's done this game but want the hydra to sign its posts. And if your 'he's done nothing constructive' part of your post is your reasoning for letting him slide, why does he get special treatment?


Sensfan’s play has been scummy. He was active early game solely on issues that have absolutely nothing to do with scum-hunting and everything to do with pointless Mafia philosophy clashes. Look in his ISO – not an ounce of scum-hunting. And since being called out on it he’s gone into lurk and prod-dodge mode.

How is placing him as one of the two most suspicious players letting him slide again? I’d like your clarification on that.

Hrezs wrote:and do you not agree that kondi is most probably town?


No, I don’t think so. His ‘slip’ is reasonable but as stated before that doesn’t give him a Town read in my eyes. Furthermore his play has not been strongly Town … since responding to his pressure he’s pretty much only sheeped his Neighbors and provided little in the way of insight on his own.

@Hresz
– Top 2 scum-reads outside DH with short reasoning – GO!!!!

--

Shanba wrote:No, not necessarily, but this is mafia, and inconsistencies bother me. Why are MBL and hrezs in particular on the list when me and PBuG are not?


PBug is not on the list because he’s at least taken solid stances on issues and players (that I believe matter to scum-hunting, as my standard) when he has posted. That’s more than Hrezs, Mr. BL and the others on the list have done consistently.

I’ll have to review your ISO but my impression when I built my list was that you were providing similar thougths on Sensfan, at the least.

--

Hydra wrote:@MoI - the heart and soul of DHscum is his wtf-ness around the kondi push considering his past neighbor experiences, yeah?


The thrust of my suspicion of DH is as follows …

1. Strangeness of play and reaction regarding Kondi
2. His hop onto your wagon after he declares Kondi Town when he later he says he is “unsure of your Towniness” and needs to ISO you.
3. His absolute disappearance since he came under suspicion while being very active all over the rest of the site. This has developed into one of my strongest personal tells as of late.

Honestly my discontent with the AGM wagon has much to do with his attitudes on certain issues (Neighbors) that very much mirror my thoughts. Thus they strike me as Town oriented thougt processes.

When I reviewed his ISO the amount of scum-hunting was pretty underwhelming as opposed to the mass of policy discussion and positional defense.

And I’m having some concerns regarding the AGM versus DH wagons looking at their constitution at post 409.

I have more solid Town reads on the AGM wagon (2) versus the DH wagon (1 being myself). On the flipside I have more ‘possible scum’ reads on the AGM wagon (1) than on the DH wagon (0). I’m torn in that regard. You joining the DH wagon would make me feel much better about the situation.

--

Meran wrote:I believe one of Parama or DH is scum, DH is clearly lurking while posting everywhere else on the site, of Parama I'm not very sure. In this respect, I agree with most of the reasons made against both of them, and I am slightly leaning DH, but would rather put a vote there when I know for sure (i.e. not today).


Meran is trying to earn a scum-read from me with this absolute fence-sitting on DH.

Meran wrote:I am voting a null read because it's not so null anymore, but that's not the main reason. I have come to buy the AGM case more recently, but as I said, the most important thing is that AGM's flip is extremely informative. This is a Large, so that's not the most suboptimal compromise ever.


You didn’t answer the question as asked.

Why did you vote AGM on Monday when on Tuesday you specifically stated you had a Null read on AGM? If you were ‘convinced’ of the case you shouldn’t still have a Null read on him after you voted for AGM.
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Post Post #417 (ISO) » Thu Jun 30, 2011 4:28 am

Post by Meransiel »

Pardon, sir, I was fence-sitting on the neighbors from the beginning of the game.


I'm in no way "convinced" of the case. As I said, his flip has informative value. And because my reads suck, that's what I have to work with.
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Post Post #418 (ISO) » Thu Jun 30, 2011 4:34 am

Post by Amrun »

Seeking a replacement for Snow White. She has between now and whenever a replacement is found to post and keep her spot.
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Post Post #419 (ISO) » Thu Jun 30, 2011 5:40 am

Post by SensFan »

Alright, just caught up. Apologies that it didn't happen yesterday, but MS was down when I tried to catch up in my games. Posts coming now.
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Post Post #420 (ISO) » Thu Jun 30, 2011 6:02 am

Post by SensFan »

Alright, so Hydra.
Obviously my vote here is no longer relevant, so I'll
Unvote.
I still stand by my comments earlier about signing their posts, but at this point I'll move on since we're almost 1 full day into the game. Note that this does mean that "The other head said that!" will never be accepted by me at any point in this game, though. For the time being, though, I see nothing particularly scummy here, so my vote needs to be somewhere else this close to deadline.

For the purposes of keeping this post from branching in too many directions, I'll stick to discussing the two major wagons at this point, since I'm going to be deciding between one of them to place my vote on.

Let's start with DH.
The one thing that's been bugging me about the Neighbours as a whole is the theme of their posts, trying to get themselves somehow confirmed in some way, most of which don't actually confirm them in the slightest. I'm not sure what to make of this theme of confirmation, since I'm not sure it's necessarily scummy: just odd.
Having said all of that, I'm also hesitant to lynch a claimed PR (and a fairly strong PR at that) on D1, especially when the PR is confirmed. I think that if we leave the Neighbours alive for a couple days, they'll sort out among themselves if any of their group are Scum, and we can go from there. This is especially true if the Neighbours can DT. Actually, on that note, if the Neighbours have the ability to DT, should we assume from there that the Scum are also DTing?
The entire rationale behind wanting to vote kondi at the beginning of the Day makes absolutely no sense to me; I still don't see how Parama and DH came to the conclusion that the correct play is to actually lynch him because he asked to be lynched. But again, differing opinions doesn't equate scummy, so I'm willing to give DH a pass for today.

So, AGM.
At the beginning of the Day, I really didn't like how quick he was to try and push multiple wagons that looked like little more than policy to me. He seemed content with going after 'easy wagons', rather than trying to figure out who Scum are through their play, which rubs me the wrong way.
I haven't actually seen all that much from AGM besides his policy stuff (pot, kettle...yes I know.) What little there is though really rubs me the wrong way, particularly his stubborn arguing with Yos about the Neighbours: the only way AGM could possibly know that there has to be Scum in that pool is if it's his scumbuddy. Further misreps of Yos in 385 come off as someone who knows he doesn't have a leg to stand on, and looks bad. If I'm picking between AGM and DH (which I am), then it's fairly clear here that I'm going to be placing my vote on AGM.
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Post Post #421 (ISO) » Thu Jun 30, 2011 6:02 am

Post by SensFan »

Unvote, Vote: AGM
(11:04:10 PM) senspizzaline: That's actually my bold prediction for the year
(11:04:19 PM) senspizzaline: Miami finishes 2nd in the AFCE.
(11:05:35 PM) jhawk01b: my bold prediction for the year is that whoever wins the NFC West will have a winning record
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Meransiel
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Post Post #422 (ISO) » Thu Jun 30, 2011 6:11 am

Post by Meransiel »

Sens, do you think anyone else is more scummy than AGM? If not, who's your number 2?
Voltaire fan. (yes, both of them). If you are a fan as well, pm me, and we'll converse for hours about why they're awesome.
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Post Post #423 (ISO) » Thu Jun 30, 2011 6:36 am

Post by TBuG »

I feel like the DH wagon is being misconstrued as several of us thinking one person out of the neighborhood must be scum, when several of those comments were from people who aren't actually on the wagon (in my memory, at least, correct me if I'm mistaken). My vote for DH is for a combination of blatant lurking, the kondi nonsense, shitty logic, and his post stating that Meransiel flipping as scum would clear the neighborhood.
rolandofthewhite (5:40:28 PM): It would be weird living with Thesp. All the hookers murdered and skin lying around. :(
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Post Post #424 (ISO) » Thu Jun 30, 2011 6:41 am

Post by Meransiel »

PBuG wrote:I feel like the DH wagon is being misconstrued as several of us thinking one person out of the neighborhood must be scum, when several of those comments were from people who aren't actually on the wagon (in my memory, at least, correct me if I'm mistaken). My vote for DH is for a combination of blatant lurking, the kondi nonsense, shitty logic, and his post stating that Meransiel flipping as scum would clear the neighborhood.



A vagon made for good reasons is good even if the reasons people JOIN it for are shitty.

What you're saying here is useful for analysis tomorrow, rather than today.
Voltaire fan. (yes, both of them). If you are a fan as well, pm me, and we'll converse for hours about why they're awesome.

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