Am I really going to have to do this?
Fine....
It looks like we are going to deadlock waiting for the Isa and maybe Shii replacements. Either way, here is why Izak is the lynch instead of Xalxe
1) How Izak treated the NS meta situation.
Ok, I still do NOT believe that NS is town, but this makes me more ok with it, especially since people seem to be moving off of him. But we lynch NS if he makes it to LyLo.
This is fighting increadably hard to have NS stay on the table for a lynch, even though he is trying to step away from the "lynch him" stance which everypony is quickly moving away from. He knows that there is no way that he can get a NS lynch today, so instead he is doing what he can to make sure he can get one later.
2) Trying to go 1v1 against molia
When molia was pushing on Izak, Izak tried to get a 1v1 going against him a bit. When molia seemed to be happy going along with it, Izak immediately backed off him and said that he though molia was town and wanted nothing to do with a 1v1 saying it was more of a reaction test. This reads completely like scum who got a bluff that they never thought would be called actually called. When he got called on it, he tries to say he wants to go 1v1 against xalxe instead.
3) His voting on Hoopla post crash
After the crash Izak just locked onto a Hoopla wagon, and never has been able to explain himself as to why he is voting her. His case on Hoopla essentially is "xalxe isnt going to be lynched". This is pure self-preservation from him, and he is doing nothing to actually scumhunt or try and convince us that xalxe is scum. He STILL hasnt done anything to that extent, and mostly is just trying to make sure that he isnt the lynch. When pushed he has zero idea why he was voting Hoopla, not sure how it can be more blatant then that.
So Izak lynch yes. Xalxe no.