@ckd: if you want to check me, you could let me claim the full names of nr 2 and 4 after they have claimed initials. That would get more information to scum, but would serve as an extra check.
Summary of the claims thus far:
- Amrun - B
- Arugula
- curiouskarmadog - Superman
- Jal - BG
- MichelSableheart - Merlin
- Last Survivor - UT
- Lowman - Butthead
- Luckyjt - Beavis
- Oversoul - TB
- Paid Pyro
- PeregrineV
- Porochaz
- Salamence
- Seanald - Douglas Yancey Funnie
- SwordofOmens
Right, computer didn't cooperate, trying that analysis based on day 1 & 2 now.
Day 1 started with the bandwagon on PMysterious, which got to L-1, was believed to be hammered. The bandwagon consisted of: Amrun, Arugula, Seanald, BabyBlue/PaidPyro,
MattP/Oversoul
(unvoted after PM 'hammered'),
iDanyboy
, PeregrineV, Jal (unvoted before 'lynch'),
kdowns
, Agent_Ireland/VE/Oversoul,
Nero Cain
,
Guy_Named_Riggs
,
PMysterious
.
After that wagon the votes were split, with various wagons gaining three or four votes, but only the Seanald wagon consisting of:
Kmd
, Jal, CKD, sword_of_omans, MichelSableheart,
iDanyboy
and Arugula gaining serious traction.
The day ended with a wagon on iDannyboy, consisting of: Arugula,
Nero Cain
, Seanald, LowMan, MichelSableheart, Lastsurvivor, Luckyjt,
kdowns
,
Kmd
,
PMysterious
, CKD,
RBT
, Porochaz.
Day 2 was mainly focussed on an Oversoul wagon. Various players voted him during various parts of the day. At the end of the day, MichelSableheart, VisceraEyes/Oversoul,
Nero Cain
, Amrun,
Guy_Named_Riggs
, Porochaz and Lastsurvivor were still voting him. Luckyjt,
PMysterious
and LowMan switched at deadline to GNR. Paid Pyro had voted him but ended at RBT, Monday/Salamence didn't have a vote, ckd kept switching back and forth but ended up on GNR. Jal, PeregrineV,
RBT
and Sword never voted OS. Seanald also never voted, but also defended OS, whereas
kmd
and Arugula voted him early but defended him later.
Day 2 ended with a bandwagon on GNR, build at the last minute as an alternative to an OS lynch, and consisting of: PeregrineV,
Riceballtail
, Seanald,
Oversoul
,
kmd4390
, Arugula, curiouskarmadog, Jal,
PMysterious
, Luckyjt, LowMan,
- Amrun - B - Amrun's Post Restriction is genuine, as she was able to confirm Monday's through the punishment system. Amrun was part of the early pressure against PM, then switched to Baby when that wagon didn't go through. She avoided the Danny and GNR wagons, and was one of the strong pushers of OS. The VI pressure early on doesn't sit well with me, as it's an easy cop out for scum. Her defense of GNR in #1353 is a positive, and her post restriction is a bit harsh for scum to have. Overall, a neutral read. She could be scum, but I don't have strong suspicions towards her.
- Arugula - Arugula was part of every major wagon during day 1. His position during day 2 was a strong defense of Oversoul after having been convinced by kmd that he was town. Interestingly enough, despite this fierce defense and a flat out refusal to hammer OS day 2, he was part of the lynching wagon day 3, when Nero was the clear alternative. I feel suspicious of his behaviour.
- curiouskarmadog - Superman - Good posts day 1, where an early defence of PM stands out. His back and forthing on OS day 2 felt to me like honestly not knowing what to think. His claim is believable, and a good explanation for the lack of a mafia kill night 3. Town.
- Jal - BG - Her vote for Seanald when the PM wagon was reaching steam was the direct cause of that wagon ending at L-1 rather then lynch. I seriously doubt that scum would unvote there so unnoticed. She has generally made good posts day 1 and 2, mildly defending Danny day 1 and OS day 2. Town.
- Last Survivor - UT - His posts seem generally well reasoned. He wasn't part of the PM wagon, which is a plus, and his vote on Danny was ok. Day 2, he attacked GNR early, but was not part of the lynching wagon, disliking the players on it and the speed with which it popped up. If LS is scum, I would instead have expected him to switch back to GNR as soon as it turned out that wagon was viable. Town.
- Lowman - Butthead - If Lowman wasn't one of the claimed masons, he would be one of my top suspects. He has been extremely low on content, satisfied with bandwagoning whomever is the popular vote at the moment. Given how our lynches turned out thus far, that's not positive.
- Luckyjt - Beavis - Has been rather careful with his vote early on, but part of every major bandwagon. He has been giving more info then his mason partner, but again his role is what mainly keeps of suspicion of him.
- Oversoul - TB - Allthough Agent Ireland originally faked his restriction, his name gives a very good explanation on why he would only be able to post in pictures on some of the days. As far as I can see, this role and restriction are likely to be on town. Add in a mild defense of Danny, and you have a slot that's likely town.
- Paid Pyro - Babyblue was all over the place. It was her miscount of the votes that led to the belief that PM was hammered, something that's slightly less likely to come from scum. There was also her reaction to being force replaced that was a slight town tell. Paid Pyro was a far less dominant force, who mostly seemed to avoid the OS debate late day 2 and 3, where scum would probably take a stronger stance either way. Likely town.
- PeregrineV - PeregrineV is rather content light. The main point against him is that he was part of the PM L-1 wagon on what he claimed was a random vote. Day 2 he generally was against an OS wagon, though he did not take a strong stance. He was attacking GNR before it was popular. Overall, he didn't do much wrong, though I haven't got a strong feeling on him either way.
- Porochaz - Porochaz is rather low on content, making little use of his two days without a restriction. He was the hammer vote on Danny and on OS. Again no strong suspicions, but I could see him as scum.
- Salamence - Even though (or perhaps because) the restriction doesn't seem very strict, the players in this slot continually forget it. This slot has been defending PM early, felt hesitant about the Danny lynch, and was against the lynches of GNR AND OS day 2. Though not the most active player, I doubt these stances would come from scum, so likely town.
- Seanald - Douglas Yancey Funnie - Seanald was seriously guilty of rolefishing day 1, was a strong attacker of PMysterious, claimed relatively early, and was a strong pusher of the Danny wagon. Day 2, he again took a strong stance, this time against an OS lynch, being the main player responsible for the alternative GNR wagon that developped. He was strongly responsible for 2 mislynches and 1 almost mislynch. His confirmed name makes me look at other places, though.
- SwordofOmens - Sword hasn't been highly active He has been a strong push against Seanald, but his belief of the claim was also an important reason why that wagon didn't go through in the end. After that, he has been focussing almost solely on Seanald, though. Haven't got a strong read on him, though he doesn't feel too bad.
So it's mainly process of elimination that makes me look at scum in the group of Amrun, Arugula, PeregrineV, Porochaz, Sword.
There is no 'a' in Michel.