Let's take a sample of Tierce's recent games:
TOWN
:
1) Mafia in Triplicate
: Tierce is pro-active right from the beginning of the game. She pressures NobodySpecial in
#33. When NS votes her back, she questions him and demands explanations as to why he thinks she is scum. Her later switch to Saulres also feels comletely natural. She expresses slight suspicion on him, has a conversation with him at
#163 and later votes him. The smooth progression of suspicion, and the desire to understand what is going on in the mind of her scumreads is seen here.
2) Micro 51
: A recent game I played with Tierce under my alt rapidcanyon. Right from the moment, she replaces in, she is actively scumhunting. She first suspects me here
#57. Notice how she continues asking questions and probing for motivations. She responds to my arguments and asks a few more questions, demands explanations as to what kind of reactions I was expecting and what they mean about alignments. She continues going back and forth for 6 pages probing into every possible motivation and explaining why they are wrong or in some cases changing her reads.
SCUM
:
1) Black Flag Nightless
: Piggygal had 4 out of 6 votes to lynch when Sixty (Tierce/Vi hydra) places the fifth vote. This post was made by Tierce (
http://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.ph ... 3#p4471773) where she places the L-1 vote and makes a case for lynching Piggygal. Most of the reasoning was terrible - the fact that Piggygal was joking somehow makes her scum, and using Piggygal's RVS votes to implicate her. A quick look at Sixty's ISO shows not much aggression and initiation of pressure. Essentially, she made a huge case against the L-1 wagon and jumped onto it.
2) Possessed Pastors in a Paranoid Parish
: In this game too, I was playing under my alt rapidcanyon, I was town and Tierce was scum. Her case against me mirrored her case against Piggy in Black Flag Nightless.
#178It mostly talked about having "exagerrated reactions"
#263 does more of the same. It is mostly a play on words arguing about whether the word "imperative" means the same as "urgent" and other hollow reads.
1) Interesting to note, Tierce put Saulres at L-1 in Mafia in Triplicate so bandwagoning by itself is non-alignment indicative to her. The methodolgy of the bandwagon is what matters. In Mafia in Triplicate, she had expressed suspicion of Saulres before. She asked why he was going after a serial flaker. That natural progression of suspicion culminating in an L-1 vote separates her vote on other L-1 wagons like Piggy in Black Flag Nightless where her case lacked any depth to it and merely pointed out the dumb things that Piggy did in an attempt to paint her as scum.
2)
Tierce's influence over town
: When town, Tierce leads the game. She questions players, finds out their motivations, keeps up with the game and isn't self-conscious enough to make long, elaborate "cases." When she sees someone suspicious, she votes them. She asks them questions, tries to find out for herself whether the player is scum or town. This is apparent in both the above town games. As scum, she has relatively little influence over the outcome of the day. As seen in Possessed Pastors, in her later posts, she lurks a lot, makes giant catchup posts and hollow cases. The primary difference in her cases is that as scum, she tries to pin enough inconsistencies on a player in order to achieve a goal - lynching that player. As town, she never stops digging into the "why." She always wants to know why someone is doing what they did and why that could come from a scum motivation.
3)
Tierce's activity level
: Tierce lurks as scum. This is a pattern that can be seen over multiple games. Her activity level in games as town is always less that the activity level in games as scum.
To prove this, I calculated her activity level in her last 9 town games and last 9 scum games. I calculated it is a percentage of the total posts in the game until the point of Tierce's death in the game. I also calculated an "expected" percentage which each player in the game would have if they all posted equally. I then divided her actual percentage with her expected percentage to get the ratio of her activity level. As you can see from the graph, Tierce lurks as scum. She is lurking in this game which points to more evidence that she is scum.
| Black Flag | 38 | 618 | 0.06 | 6.15 | 10 | 10 | 0.61 |
| Science | 40 | 277 | 0.14 | 14 | 7 | 14.29 | 0.98 |
| Possessed Pastors | 77 | 1104 | 0.07 | 7 | 13 | 7.69 | 0.91 |
| Abarat | 31 | 1091 | 0.03 | 3 | 23 | 4.35 | 0.69 |
| Doctor Who | 57 | 559 | 0.1 | 10 | 13 | 7.69 | 1.3 |
| Exp. Role | 105 | 1875 | 0.06 | 6 | 23 | 4.35 | 1.38 |
| Paranoia | 359 | 3810 | 0.09 | 9 | 20 | 5 | 1.8 |
| Newbie 1209 | 110 | 677 | 0.16 | 16 | 9 | 11.11 | 1.44 |
| Pick your Power | 45 | 842 | 0.05 | 5 | 14 | 7.14 | 0.7 |
| Mafia in Trip. | 95 | 450 | 0.21 | 21 | 9 | 11.11 | 1.89 |
| Dresden Files | 103 | 1499 | 0.07 | 7 | 18 | 5.56 | 1.26 |
| Micro 51 | 112 | 366 | 0.31 | 31 | 5 | 20 | 1.55 |
| Reserse Mafia | 76 | 673 | 0.11 | 11 | 13 | 7.69 | 1.43 |
| Newbie 1289 | 75 | 459 | 0.16 | 16 | 9 | 11.11 | 0.02 |
Micro 12 | 58 | 559 | 0.1 | 10 | 9 | 11.11 | 0.9 | [/row]
| Arkham Horror | 61 | 322 | 0.19 | 19 | 13 | 7.69 | 2.47 |
| MLP: FIR | 82 | 902 | 0.09 | 9 | 15 | 6.67 | 0.6 |
| Catch-22 | 277 | 2376 | 0.12 | 12 | 22 | 4.55 | 2.64 |
Plot of Scum vs Town Games
:
:
1) Aeris Vote: Based on my Aeris vote, if it was bad, I'd reasonably expect Tierce as town to attack me instantly for it, and refute my explanation and keep probing as to whether it had scum motivation. Instead, she just made a passing comment and used it as another point in her favor. It seems more like a race to count off how many inconsistencies she can nail as opposed to a puzzle-solving mode of trying to understand motivations which she often takes as scum.
2) Me saying Parama is scum:
When I say "
I am certain Parama is scum
,"
Tierce responds with: "
More posturing. Let's make sure that Parama lynch goes through
!"
Based on Tierce's town games, I would overwhelmingly expect Tierce as town to ask "why is Parama scum?" and when I give my answer, probe into the motivation for that, refute it, argue with it, etc. Instead she asks no questions to figure out my affiliation but rather chalked it up as a point in her favor.
3) Me attacking a lurker. I was town in Micro 51 and attacked a lurker. As I mentioned, Tierce's post was this:
#57. Notice how she tries to get into what I was thinking by explaining how I lurked in another game as town and how it not a scumtell. She further elaborates on how lurking may not be indicative of affiliation. Compare that to here. She quotes my post and says "
Look at how much he's blowing the Trevor case out of proportion
" - and leaves it at that. She collects it as a point in her favor rather than use it to promote discussion to figure out my motivations.
