Micro 130: Noughts & Crosses Mafia

[BBmolla]

No I refuse

[Bitmap]

wait, fuck. BBmolla isn't scum?

[serrapaladin]

The way I see it at the moment:
Likelihood of scum among {Bitmap&BB > Deli&Sapo > Rondar > Mitillos}.
And I feel if we kill Bitmap&BB, the X is better placed on BB.

[Empking]

Vote Count 4

BBmolla (3) - serrapaladin, Bitmap, BBmolla,
Bitmap (1) - ChannelDeliBird

Not Voting: Mitillos, Rondar, saporovirus

(expired on 2013-03-09 16:47:11) Seven Alive, Four to lynch.

[Mitillos]

@Mod: Could you prod sapo, if you have not already done so?

[saporovirus]

Yeah so BB's 100% town.

VOTE: Bitmap

[serrapaladin]

Have you at all read the thread?

Actually, how would people feel about a sapo lynch? Deli is probably town, but sapo doesn't look great.

[Mitillos]

If you believe that the scumteam is sapo and one of {BB, Bit}, then Deli is probably the better lynch choice.

[Mitillos]

Looking back, I think I should clarify that.

Say sapo is scum and her partner is in {BB, Bit}.
If we lynch sapo, then Deli dies and we have to either be 100% of getting scum, or lynch me. If we're not 100%, I must be lynched, at which point scum will kill and put us in LyLo.
Instead, say we lynch Deli. Then sapo gets NK'ed, then we lynch Bit, so then BB has to be the NK.

[serrapaladin]

So you think I'm more likely scum than sapo?

[serrapaladin]

So you think I'm more likely scum than sapo?

[Mitillos]

Good point. Yeah, I take back what I said about Bit being a better choice than BB.

[ChannelDelibird]

I considered a sapo lynch alongside molla and Bitmap, serra. I still prefer the outcomes of a molla lynch.

I am now ready to hammer but will refrain for now until Mitillos is more happy with the amount of discussion.

[Bitmap]

VOTE: saporovirus

Inb4 I get chewed at for making us lose the game if BB is town, lol.

[Bitmap]

A sapo lynch would probably be the best lynch. I take back my Serra-Scum read btw.

So when I get back home, I'll explain why this post makes me cringe with a wall of text.

So I actually thought that serra was on the middle right of the board and was trying to prevent his death when I said this until I saw he was not on that place.

[serrapaladin]

What are you talking about? I am center-right and I don't think I've been particularly subtle about the fact I'd prefer a BB lynch if we're lynching one of you.

Now that we're not at L-1, I think there are a few bits of theory I should post, as they can't really affect scum decision-making at this point. I'll post it from a neutral perspective because bias and stuff.

[theory]
Lynching Deli or BB is symmetric in the sense that if there's exactly one scum among {Mitillos, Rondar, serra} it'll come down to LyLo between the three of us.

The difference is, if Deli is scum with one of {Mitillos, Rondar, serra}, he wins by lynching BB today. The same goes for BB being scum and getting Deli lynched. The fact that Deli hasn't hammered means he's likely town. On that note, we shouldn't be putting anyone at L-1 anymore, but instead keep people at L-2 and wait for 2 Intents to Hammer.

Similarly, if two of {Mitillos, Rondar, serra} are scum, they could have forced a scum win by hammering BB.

If both scum are among {BB, Bitmap, Deli, sapo} town wins by lynching BB. (Insert: The fact that sapo doesn't want BB lynched suggests to me that sapo's scum.)

If the second scum is Bitmap or BB, town is good. Otherwise, it'll come down to a LyLo between Mitillos, Rondar and serra.
[/theory]

Just in case it comes down to that LyLo, I'd like everyone, particularly the next two people to die, to weigh in about whom they would vote out of the three of us.

I've already made it clear that I see Rondar as scummier than Mitillos.

[ChannelDelibird]

As of right now, I'd vote Rondar out of {Rondar, Mitillos, serra}.

[Bitmap]

I'm down for a sapo lynch today.

[serrapaladin]

so, explain why sapo over deli?>

[ChannelDelibird]

Bitmap certainly isn't making me doubt my scumread at all.

[ChannelDelibird]

Fuck it.

UNVOTE: Bitmap
VOTE: BBmolla

[serrapaladin]

You know that wasn't the hammer, right? Why is this game so dead?

Bitmap, why Sapo over Deli. What do you think of Rondar, Mitillos and me?

[ChannelDelibird]

Oh, fuck, yeah, Bitmap moved his vote. I don't care, though. I'm happy with my reads and the day is dragging.

[BBmolla]

I'd hammer myself if I could.

[Mitillos]

Need more from sapo and Rondar, now that his V/LA is about to end. Particularly sapo who has added almost nothing helpful to the game. Look at post 280. She says that BBis 100% town (which I don't really get, but whatever, let's go with it) and then does the one thing that, if it goes through, ensures his death overnight. And the whole Bitmap/BB essentially dying together is something that had been discussed quite thoroughly earlier. So, either she's not reading anything, or she wants people she considers 100% town dead. If anyone is convinced that at least one of Bitmap and BB is 100% town, they should be looking for scum elsewhere, just in case both of them are town.

@Deli: What do you think of sapo? I think she's scum and would advocate your lynch, to get her killed overnight.