Micro 130: Noughts & Crosses Mafia

[ChannelDelibird]

As I've said, Mitillos, my operating theory is Bitmap-sapo.

[Mitillos]

@Deli: What about the other part? If sapo is scum, I think it's a better idea to lynch you, rather than her, to maintain some strength in the board. Of course, if both of you are town, we probably lose by lynching either of you, anyway.

[Empking]

Vote Count 5

BBmolla (3) - serrapaladin, BBmolla, ChannelDeliBird
Bitmap (1) - saporovirus
saporovirus (1) - Bitmap

Not Voting: Mitillos, Rondar

(expired on 2013-03-09 16:47:11) Seven Alive, Four to lynch.

[Bitmap]

I'll get to this tomorrow.

[ChannelDelibird]

If we lynch molla:
Bitmap is NKed
If one of the two is scum:
Day 3: We choose between lynching saporo or anyone else (if we lynch anyone else and are wrong, saporo is NKed and we lose regardless of her alignment)

If we lynch me:
saporo is NKed
If one of the two is scum:
Day 3: We choose between lynching Bitmap or anyone else (if we lynch anyone else and are wrong, Bitmap is NKed and we lose regardless of his alignment)

So from my POV they're pretty much equal because whichever one of Bitmap/saporo doesn't get NKed tonight, I want us to lynch tomorrow. For me, lynching molla has the added benefit of having me alive tomorrow to make sure we follow through with a saporo lynch, so I marginally prefer that one, but yes, I am my own second choice for today's lynch if everyone else would prefer me over molla.

[serrapaladin]

That's almost right. There's one added step of complexity in that scum can achieve a majority win if we mislynch twice. Say we lynch you, then scum force-NK's sap. If you both flipped town, we must lynch Bitmap. If he is also town, we lose by majority, even if BB is scum. Vice versa, if we start by killing BB we can lose if you're scum with one of {Mitillos, Rondar, me}.

I am currently more confident in you being town than BB, so I'd also prefer the BB lynch.

[Rondar]

This is basically a prod dodge post. I've skimmed the game, but I'll actually

read

and post later today.

[serrapaladin]

Have people just completely lost interest in this game? :/

Comments on whether to lynch BB or not, and what to do in case we reach LyLo. Please!

[Bitmap]

Dodge.

[Mitillos]

If nothing significant happens, I'm hammering BB in 3 hours.

[serrapaladin]

He'll get lynched by plurality in just under 17. At least give Bitmap and BB a chance for final thoughts.

[saporovirus]

I'm happy with my vote where it is.

[serrapaladin]

Tell me more about why you think I'm scum.

[saporovirus]

I don't

[serrapaladin]

Then your problem (assuming you're town) is the following:

If we lynch Bitmap, scum kills BB and tomorrow's lynch has to be me. Assuming we haven't lost by then, scum can choose a LyLo between 3 out of {Rondar, Mitillos, Deli, you}, which gives them more options than a BB lynch.

[Mitillos]

@serra: Oh right. I completely forgot about the plurality rule. Yeah, sure, I'm happy to wait to hear more.

[ChannelDelibird]

Not lost interest at all but just waiting for anybody else do anything (and/or the deadline to run out). I'm happy with the direction in which we are headed.

[serrapaladin]

Wasn't really directed at you Deli

[ChannelDelibird]

I know. But I was approaching 48 hours without a post.

[BBmolla]

Guys we have another day after this at least you know that right

[serrapaladin]

Yes, but you and Bitmap will be dead and Bitmap has just prod-dodged his way to DL...

[BBmolla]

You think I'm scum?

[serrapaladin]

Not sure, but I feel good about one of you, Bitmap and sapo being scum. If you still have any thoughts, now's the time.

[BBmolla]

Then you lynch me, killing me and Bitmap, then go Sapo.

?

[serrapaladin]

Yup. Then if we haven't won yet, scum kills Deli and it's LyLo between Mitillos, Rondar and me.