Advance Wars UPick!--Game Over..?

Konowa · Post Post #3100 (ISO) » Mon Dec 01, 2014 10:33 am

So while we wait on that, ffery I don't think the Cephrir kill was bizarre in any fashion. I am of the belief that ABR was attempting to redirect town power away from Ceph, who Town'd pretty hard D1. There's a possibility that Lynx knew that Cephrir was a dayvig given the timing of everything. So ABR's play late D2 makes zero sense from a Town perspective given everything.

Cabd · Post Post #3101 (ISO) » Mon Dec 01, 2014 10:34 am

Neighborhoods are liekly known via scum in them and eagle's ability he passed on

No point not to. If eagle's ability didn't exist i'd agree.

orcinus_theoriginal · Post Post #3102 (ISO) » Mon Dec 01, 2014 10:37 am

then i suggest neighborhoods create an order in which to claim among themselves first, and then after membership claim, just release the claimed roles and the order in wihch people went

this will make everything go much faster

orcinus_theoriginal · Post Post #3103 (ISO) » Mon Dec 01, 2014 10:38 am

In post 3100, Konowa wrote:I am of the belief that ABR was attempting to redirect town power away from Ceph, who Town'd pretty hard D1

...away from ceph, and not away from the three confirmed towns?

i agree with everything else

Konowa · Post Post #3104 (ISO) » Mon Dec 01, 2014 10:38 am

Some variation of a Town read/Not willing to lynch

gogurt
STD
ffery
Hostile Intent
Brian
Bookitty
notscience
honey bee
Cabd

No Clue/Want to Think Town

orcinus
SMP

Everyone Else/Willing to lynch

ABR
SSK
flubber
BPC
Saki

Updated list and stuff to show thoughts.

Konowa · Post Post #3105 (ISO) » Mon Dec 01, 2014 10:39 am

Cephrir was pretty much confirmed Town.

Brian Skies · Post Post #3106 (ISO) » Mon Dec 01, 2014 10:40 am

Bpc is likely town.

Konowa · Post Post #3107 (ISO) » Mon Dec 01, 2014 10:41 am

Yeah, he's there because I really don't remember anything that he has said so far.

Plus Canadian.

orcinus_theoriginal · Post Post #3108 (ISO) » Mon Dec 01, 2014 10:42 am

konowa and i are not on the same wavelength

ISO · Post Post #3109 (ISO) » Mon Dec 01, 2014 10:48 am

I'm leaning town on BPC and Saki

If BPC was in a neighborhood of two, they have to fake having conversation in their neighborhood. There's no guarantee one dies before the other and is able to "sell out" their buddy.

Saki I forgot why but there was a reason. I was surprised. If necessary I can probably remember it.

Konowa · Post Post #3110 (ISO) » Mon Dec 01, 2014 10:49 am

In what ways? There might be a smidge of confbias in my analysis because ~stuff~, but I'm pretty okay with that.

I don't think I've been this confident/happy/paranoid about my reads all at the same time. It's kind of weird.

Konowa · Post Post #3111 (ISO) » Mon Dec 01, 2014 10:49 am

STD, last time we talked you said Saki was likely Scum. Let me find it.

Konowa · Post Post #3112 (ISO) » Mon Dec 01, 2014 10:50 am

In post 2104, Save The Dragons wrote:I believe that scum is mostly contained in this large swath of people, some of them I just need to see more posts from.

1. wgeurts
2. LynxKuroneko
3. Flubbernugget
6. BipolarChemist
7. fferyllt
8. MafiaSSK
13. SMP
15. Cheetory6
17. Bookitty
19. Saki
20. Konowa
21. notscience

From that list, the least likely to be scum:
1. wgeurts
15. Cheetory6
21. notscience

The ones I think most likely to be scum:
13. SMP
17. Bookitty
19. Saki

In post 2105, Konowa wrote:Why Saki?

In post 2106, Save The Dragons wrote:
In post 466, Save The Dragons wrote:It was serious, Saki, you put more effort into the pre-game than I've seen you put into a game (Cave Story for instance).

Brian Skies · Post Post #3113 (ISO) » Mon Dec 01, 2014 10:51 am

Alternatively, bpc scum could just not use his ability except to rescue a homie from another hood. But yeah, I'm thinking along similar lines to you regarding bpc.

fferyllt · Post Post #3114 (ISO) » Mon Dec 01, 2014 10:51 am

In post 3100, Konowa wrote:So while we wait on that, ffery I don't think the Cephrir kill was bizarre in any fashion. I am of the belief that ABR was attempting to redirect town power away from Ceph, who Town'd pretty hard D1. There's a possibility that Lynx knew that Cephrir was a dayvig given the timing of everything. So ABR's play late D2 makes zero sense from a Town perspective given everything.

ok.

I thought ABR was rolefishing me pretty hard during twilight of day 2. If/when we mass claim you'll see why I thought that was funny.

fferyllt · Post Post #3115 (ISO) » Mon Dec 01, 2014 10:52 am

Konowa, I feel pretty damn confident orcinus is town.

ISO · Post Post #3116 (ISO) » Mon Dec 01, 2014 10:52 am

In post 3111, Konowa wrote:STD, last time we talked you said Saki was likely Scum. Let me find it.

I am aware of this.

I should probably clarify, this town read came in response to this:

In post 2602, Cephrir wrote:No idea how anyone can be townreading Saki

When I looked back at stuff Saki posted.

ISO · Post Post #3117 (ISO) » Mon Dec 01, 2014 10:56 am

It was his responses in regards to what happened with Varsoon.

In post 462, Saki wrote:This isn't scum
So Cephrir is pushing a scumread b/c Varsoon claimed his abilities and ffery is pushing Varsoon b/c she thinks he's scum because he wants her to focus more attention on him
I don't see where this is going to be productive at all
can we drop it

In post 462, Saki wrote:k well this is basically what I agree with
Ceph/ffery and you all p much seem town atm
it took a nationality and flavor reveal to get three townreads but that's not a bad start

orcinus_theoriginal · Post Post #3118 (ISO) » Mon Dec 01, 2014 10:58 am

In post 462, Saki wrote:Short rant: Several people have expressed concern (and most of them in a not very nice manner) that I am playing mafia like a piece of crap. Which I was already aware of, but didn't quite care enough about. So the other day I had a conversation with a few people in sitechat who expressed similar concerns in a much nicer way which ended up with me coming to the conclusion that I wasn't having fun playing mafia the way I was and really had no reason to.

So I promised a few people, namely nati, tsq, and chamber, to play this game much better
and I promise the same to everyone else in this game

I'll try to play with the enthusiasm I had in FE:A or maybe the later stages of Ikaruga and with much more clearheadedness so please help me do that

hey

saki

you're being a piece of shit again

Brian Skies · Post Post #3119 (ISO) » Mon Dec 01, 2014 11:00 am

Hes prod dodging because finals or something. But i would also like to see more from him.

Konowa · Post Post #3120 (ISO) » Mon Dec 01, 2014 11:00 am

orcinus is probably the read I'm most waffly on at the moment due to a number of things. He's falling into the category of "hope he gets NKed/we finish the game before I need to attempt to read him" category.

ffery, thoughts on SSK?

Cabd · Post Post #3121 (ISO) » Mon Dec 01, 2014 11:07 am

Every time gogurts posts in the neighborhood my read on him gets darker....

He's trying to pressure brian to claim, which is a terrible idea.

Brian Skies · Post Post #3122 (ISO) » Mon Dec 01, 2014 11:09 am

Im giving him some benefit of the doubt because flavor spec. But rolefishing is a thing for wgeurts scum.

fferyllt · Post Post #3123 (ISO) » Mon Dec 01, 2014 11:09 am

In post 3120, Konowa wrote:orcinus is probably the read I'm most waffly on at the moment due to a number of things. He's falling into the category of "hope he gets NKed/we finish the game before I need to attempt to read him" category.

ffery, thoughts on SSK?

muddled thoughts that I need to get straight, and I'm not sure when I'll get to this. Maybe later tonight. There are some things that are bothering me, but they're kinda paradoxical in some ways.

I'd like to know what Cabd's thinking about SSK, actually.

Brian Skies · Post Post #3124 (ISO) » Mon Dec 01, 2014 11:12 am

In post 3122, Brian Skies wrote:Im giving him some benefit of the doubt because flavor spec. But rolefishing is a thing for wgeurts scum.

To clarify, im referring to him possibly trying to flavor spec, not me townreading him on flavor.