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Post Post #6475 (ISO) » Sat May 02, 2015 5:57 pm

Post by Kitz »

In post 6467, Cheetory6 wrote:Though, it'd be great if Kitz started saying more things


I already said what I can say, and no one cares about it. :roll:
My logic and deduction is not adequate in any shape apparently.
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Post Post #6476 (ISO) » Sat May 02, 2015 5:58 pm

Post by Shinobi »

In post 6471, Green Crayons wrote:Uh, thoughts, so I put some effort into this game.

I personally think Shin is the best vote. He just sat on the sidelines in the TSO/Oz debate, which was probably the safest place for scum. Nobody appears to agree with this, so whatev.

I think GM is the most town person playing. I liked the PT he shared with SW. Plus I don't think a scum-neighborizer picked the town who was already neighbored to a scum neighbor. I'm therefore willing to sheep GM because he has a wider grasp on the game than I do.


I was the counterwagon to scum on day 5.

How the fuck is my "sidelines" on day 6, which I completely explained, scummy?
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Post Post #6477 (ISO) » Sat May 02, 2015 6:00 pm

Post by Shinobi »

In post 6466, dragonspawn wrote:We're you worried someone would hammer or did you change your mind on gm?


Little bit of both tbh.
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Post Post #6478 (ISO) » Sat May 02, 2015 6:05 pm

Post by Shinobi »

In post 6473, Marquis wrote:VOTE: shinobi

gc i've been for this and in part for reasons really similar to yours for a while now. shin lynch is best lynch


I still don't know what scum action theory is.
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Post Post #6479 (ISO) » Sun May 03, 2015 4:46 am

Post by Green Crayons »

As a default, scum are disinclined to bus or defend a buddy. A 1 v 1 situation requires them to do one or the other. Simply opting out of taking a stance on the 1 v 1 allows scum to avoid bussing or defending, while allowing to see how the situation develops (and potentially jumping on at the right moment, in either direction, depending on how the situation develops).
"This Court has never held that the Constitution forbids the execution of a convicted defendant who has had a full and fair trial but is later able to convince a habeas court that he is 'actually' innocent." In re Davis, 557 U.S. 952, 955 (2009) (Scalia, J., dissenting).
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Post Post #6480 (ISO) » Sun May 03, 2015 6:14 am

Post by Shinobi »

In post 6479, Green Crayons wrote:As a default, scum are disinclined to bus or defend a buddy. A 1 v 1 situation requires them to do one or the other. Simply opting out of taking a stance on the 1 v 1 allows scum to avoid bussing or defending, while allowing to see how the situation develops (and potentially jumping on at the right moment, in either direction, depending on how the situation develops).


Wtf are you talking about?

This is, like, mega convoluted.
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Post Post #6481 (ISO) » Sun May 03, 2015 6:15 am

Post by Green Crayons »

It's pretty basic.
"This Court has never held that the Constitution forbids the execution of a convicted defendant who has had a full and fair trial but is later able to convince a habeas court that he is 'actually' innocent." In re Davis, 557 U.S. 952, 955 (2009) (Scalia, J., dissenting).
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Post Post #6482 (ISO) » Sun May 03, 2015 6:15 am

Post by Green Crayons »

"What is preferred scum play in this scenario."
"This Court has never held that the Constitution forbids the execution of a convicted defendant who has had a full and fair trial but is later able to convince a habeas court that he is 'actually' innocent." In re Davis, 557 U.S. 952, 955 (2009) (Scalia, J., dissenting).
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Post Post #6483 (ISO) » Sun May 03, 2015 6:17 am

Post by Shinobi »

I don't really think so, but to each their own I suppose.

Regardless, what's the difference between "scum doing whatever it is you're talking about" and town?
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Post Post #6484 (ISO) » Sun May 03, 2015 6:46 am

Post by dragonspawn »

In post 6476, Shinobi wrote:
In post 6471, Green Crayons wrote:Uh, thoughts, so I put some effort into this game.

I personally think Shin is the best vote. He just sat on the sidelines in the TSO/Oz debate, which was probably the safest place for scum. Nobody appears to agree with this, so whatev.

I think GM is the most town person playing. I liked the PT he shared with SW. Plus I don't think a scum-neighborizer picked the town who was already neighbored to a scum neighbor. I'm therefore willing to sheep GM because he has a wider grasp on the game than I do.


I was the counterwagon to scum on day 5.

How the fuck is my "sidelines" on day 6, which I completely explained, scummy?


being a counter wagon doesn't make you town. Last scum game I played we deliberately set up a scum v scum wagon to give one of then town cred when they flipped. You may have missed that since we did get you flashlynched the day before.
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Post Post #6485 (ISO) » Sun May 03, 2015 6:49 am

Post by dragonspawn »

I'm finally getting over my cold. So sorry I haven't been very useful this past week.

I'm still pretty much leaning to marquis or kilz. But other than GC I'm not a all certain of my reads. Getting pretty paranoid about it.
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Post Post #6486 (ISO) » Sun May 03, 2015 6:54 am

Post by Shinobi »

In post 6484, dragonspawn wrote:
In post 6476, Shinobi wrote:
In post 6471, Green Crayons wrote:Uh, thoughts, so I put some effort into this game.

I personally think Shin is the best vote. He just sat on the sidelines in the TSO/Oz debate, which was probably the safest place for scum. Nobody appears to agree with this, so whatev.

I think GM is the most town person playing. I liked the PT he shared with SW. Plus I don't think a scum-neighborizer picked the town who was already neighbored to a scum neighbor. I'm therefore willing to sheep GM because he has a wider grasp on the game than I do.


I was the counterwagon to scum on day 5.

How the fuck is my "sidelines" on day 6, which I completely explained, scummy?


being a counter wagon doesn't make you town. Last scum game I played we deliberately set up a scum v scum wagon to give one of then town cred when they flipped. You may have missed that since we did get you flashlynched the day before.


That game is a terrible example of pretty much anything. The counterwagons were between a guy who claimed a cop guilty on the actual cop and the guilty of the actual cop. Both of them were confirmed mafia and town not lynching them doesn't speak anything of the concept of counterwagons; it just tells you how unbelievably bad town was in the first place.

I know the point you're trying to make but the logic doesn't hold up.
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Post Post #6487 (ISO) » Sun May 03, 2015 8:44 am

Post by Green Crayons »

Oh yeah forgot that I read that you said you were a counterwagon on D5.

That's a pretty good trump card.
"This Court has never held that the Constitution forbids the execution of a convicted defendant who has had a full and fair trial but is later able to convince a habeas court that he is 'actually' innocent." In re Davis, 557 U.S. 952, 955 (2009) (Scalia, J., dissenting).
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Post Post #6488 (ISO) » Sun May 03, 2015 8:45 am

Post by goodmorning »

Being a counterwagon doesn't make anyone anything.
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Post Post #6489 (ISO) » Sun May 03, 2015 8:48 am

Post by goodmorning »

In post 2441, goodmorning wrote:Large Normals in particular (all wagons with >1 vote, from lynch to least):
NY178: T-T
NY177: T-T-T
NY176: T-T-T
NY175: T-T
NY174: M-M-T
NY173: M-T
NY172: T-T
NY171: T-T
NY170: T-T-T
NY169: T-M-M

So of the last 10 Large Normals, 7 had only wagons on Town at the end of D1.

D1 wagons in the last 10 Large Normals, for a start. I'll do more looking up later.
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Post Post #6490 (ISO) » Sun May 03, 2015 11:18 am

Post by Green Crayons »

D1 is its own special bird. Scum usually don't have their claws sunk into the town, if that's going to be a thing that happens.

Competing scum bandwagons late game is probably more rare.

I DON'T KNOW, though. Just shooting from the hip on this bit.
"This Court has never held that the Constitution forbids the execution of a convicted defendant who has had a full and fair trial but is later able to convince a habeas court that he is 'actually' innocent." In re Davis, 557 U.S. 952, 955 (2009) (Scalia, J., dissenting).
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Post Post #6491 (ISO) » Sun May 03, 2015 12:25 pm

Post by Shinobi »

GM am I town or scum?
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Post Post #6492 (ISO) » Sun May 03, 2015 12:31 pm

Post by dragonspawn »

Good question. Are you scum or town?
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Post Post #6493 (ISO) » Sun May 03, 2015 12:35 pm

Post by Shinobi »

In post 6492, dragonspawn wrote:Good question. Are you scum or town?


It'd be funnier if you didn't completely miss the point of the question.
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Post Post #6494 (ISO) » Sun May 03, 2015 12:43 pm

Post by Green Crayons »

marq, dragon, and GM: how do you feel about the D5 counterwagons in relation to Shin's alignment?
"This Court has never held that the Constitution forbids the execution of a convicted defendant who has had a full and fair trial but is later able to convince a habeas court that he is 'actually' innocent." In re Davis, 557 U.S. 952, 955 (2009) (Scalia, J., dissenting).
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Post Post #6495 (ISO) » Sun May 03, 2015 12:51 pm

Post by dragonspawn »

He is prob town but I don't think it's as firm as he does.
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Post Post #6496 (ISO) » Sun May 03, 2015 1:09 pm

Post by Shinobi »

I think I'm pretty firm tbh.
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Post Post #6497 (ISO) » Sun May 03, 2015 6:04 pm

Post by goodmorning »

In post 6494, Green Crayons wrote:marq, dragon, and GM: how do you feel about the D5 counterwagons in relation to Shin's alignment?

I don't think it's necessarily that relevant unless Kitz is Scum. One Scum on a counterwagon to Scum could be a bus. Two is more likely Town.

In post 6491, Shinobi wrote:GM am I town or scum?

I think you'd be the better person to ask that to.

I do think you lean Town.

In post 6490, Green Crayons wrote:D1 is its own special bird.

I don't disagree.

Spoiler: D1 Wagons >1 at Lynch, G>L
NY178: T-T
NY177: T-T-T
NY176: T-T-T
NY175: T-T
NY174: M-M-T
NY173: M-T
NY172: T-T
NY171: T-T
NY170: T-T-T
NY169: T-M-M

Spoiler: D2
NY178: T-T-T
NY177: M
NY176: T
NY175: T-T-M-T
NY174: T-T-T
NY173: T-T
NY172: M-T
NY171: M
NY170: T-M
NY169: T-M-T

Spoiler: D3
NY178: M-T
NY177: T-T-T
NY176: T
NY175: T-SK
NY174: T-T-T-T
NY173: T-T
NY172: M
NY171: M-T
NY170: M-T
NY169: M-T

Spoiler: D4
NY178: M-W
NY177: T-M
NY176: T
NY175: M-T
NY174: M-T
NY173: T-T
NY172: M-T-T
NY171: T-T
NY170: M-M-T
NY169: M-T-T

Spoiler: D5
NY178: W
NY177: T-T
NY176: M
NY175: SK
NY174: T-M
NY173: M
NY171: T-M
NY170: T-M
NY169: M-T

Spoiler: D6
NY178: W
NY177: T
NY176: T
NY175: T-T
NY174: T-M
NY173: T
NY171: M
NY170: M
NY169: T-T

Spoiler: D7
NY178: T
NY175: M
NY174: T-T
NY171: T
NY169: T-M

Spoiler: D8
NY174: T
NY171: T
NY169: T-M

Spoiler: D9
NY171: NL
NY169: M

Spoiler: D10
NY171: T


I'm now utterly astonished at the number of Days that end with only 1 wagon receiving more than 1 vote (slightly over 1/3).
69 lynch vcs sampled
24 single wagon lynch vcs
45 multiwagon lynch vcs
{19 only T
22 T + 1 Scum
4 2 Scum w or w/o T (1 diff factions)}

So 8.89% of Days ending in multiwagons will have multiScumwagons. Not quite as much as I thought it might be but not an insignificant number either.
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Post Post #6498 (ISO) » Mon May 04, 2015 3:51 am

Post by Cheetory6 »

Kitz wrote:I already said what I can say, and no one cares about it. :roll:
My logic and deduction is not adequate in any shape apparently.
K.
Why are you voting for GM then?
Who are you townreading and who are you scumreading and why?
Why not try to engage people?
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Post Post #6499 (ISO) » Mon May 04, 2015 4:00 am

Post by Cheetory6 »

greencrayons wrote:I'm not reading 200 pages.

That's the difference between this game and any other game I replace into.
Why wouldn't you use the same level of energy to ISOdive 3-4 players who are still alive? It just seems like there's a discrepancy in effort and this excuse just seems weird. :/
Also, could you link a game that you replaced into where you took a scumslot? If it's not too much trouble.
Also also, I'm not sure if you've answered already, but what're your thoughts on Marquis atm?

greencrayons wrote:I personally think Shin is the best vote. He just sat on the sidelines in the TSO/Oz debate, which was probably the safest place for scum. Nobody appears to agree with this, so whatev.
See, I'd agree with you if it didn't seem like Shin has been being super reserved with his vote like all game.
Like, I feel like getting him to vote someone/anyone at times has been like pulling teeth and iirc it hasn't been just during times when scum has been getting run up. It's come across as more of a playstyle thing.

greencrayons wrote:Oh yeah forgot that I read that you said you were a counterwagon on D5.

That's a pretty good trump card.
Actually, or are you kidding? :/

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