Open 596: Mega PopCorn Mafia - Over


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Post Post #450 (ISO) » Fri May 15, 2015 5:30 am

Post by enomis »

I have no preference of who to shoot at this point.
Maxwell is town.
Wanderer is likely town.
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Post Post #451 (ISO) » Fri May 15, 2015 5:33 am

Post by Flubbernugget »

I guess the more "classic" a scumtell is the more scummy it is to push it on me

Tbh I've been told I look townier as scum anyway

pedit dammit enomis
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Post Post #452 (ISO) » Fri May 15, 2015 5:34 am

Post by Flubbernugget »

He can be on my shoot list too
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Post Post #453 (ISO) » Fri May 15, 2015 5:53 am

Post by MaxwellPuckett »

pablito: I'm a bit confused. You said you expected more from me than from Wanderer, which, while flattering(?), does not make much sense to me. I've never played a game with you before, and Wanderer has considerably more games than me. This is my first non-Newbie on the site, ie my third game. Are you saying that you've read up on both of us, and think I'm the better player, or did you think I had a strong start in this game, while Wanderer did not, and now I'm not living up to your initial expectations?

As for my thinking Millar is not vengeful: Lazy play. There's a difference between laziness and lurking, and there it is. Millar is currently bored with the game, and that makes me think town or vanilla maf, not vengeful. I believe vengefuls would be doing more to avoid being the shot. Doing things that don't involve blatantly saying that Flubber will be the shot, for instance. I don't think a Millar shot is worth it.

But, apparently Nacho is avoiding Vengefuls, and would like to be shooting in inactives for that reason. I guess I can understand that, as Nacho wants to stay alive and be more useful, it's just the opposite of what I'd like to do. But since I haven't been able to propose an active shot of my own, I guess I can't blame anyone for going the inactive route. So, considering that, I guess Millar is as good a shot as any? But I'll look at Wanderer's proposals right now.
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Post Post #454 (ISO) » Fri May 15, 2015 5:54 am

Post by MaxwellPuckett »

Ah, I misread, those aren't Wanderer's proposals. They're just her commenting on Nacho's shot choices.
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Post Post #455 (ISO) » Fri May 15, 2015 5:54 am

Post by VictorDeAngelo »

@Mod
- Stop prodding me! :mad:

I'll probably post sometime later today or tomorrow. Unless I get shot first. :P
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Post Post #456 (ISO) » Fri May 15, 2015 6:20 am

Post by MaxwellPuckett »

RedCoyote: I'd recommend actually catching up. just seems like a terrible post to make as scum. You're admitting your laziness, which I guess would be fine if you did more after that, but according to you don't seem to care? You still lean town to me because I can't imagine where your baseless confidence would be coming from as scum. That and apparently Nacho knows your play well? Nacho, how well would you say you know Coyote's play?

Lucky: There's nothing here.

Wanderer: Wanting to prioritize keeping Nacho alive instead of weeding out vengefuls... I don't like it. I think Nacho hitting a vengeful is a victory, even if it means scum will give the gun to a lurker probably. Once all Vengefuls are dead, we win, we literally win. I just can't get behind trying to shoot goons first. I still don't think there's a surefire way to determine what kind of scum someone is, but I do think we will be able to tell by lategame, as we'll have more posts to look at and the stakes for scum will be much higher. Goons that didn't care about being shot in the beginning would be much more protective of themselves lategame, etc.

I think Wanderer's play has been fine so far. No contradictions, no laziness, just scumhunting. Their play just seems very towny and genuine, I'll grab quote examples if prompted but you can see it just by reading her posts. I still don't know why she's being scumread. Julien's reasoning was Wanderer saying she's never played a game like this before, and I've already said why I think that's a bull reason, in an earlier post. Also, being null on the lurkers is reason for scumread??? How are you supposed to read lurkers except superficially?

Anyways, I really disgaree with Wanderer as the shot because I think she's useful town. But I don't agree with any of these three players being the shot, either... Lucky is null and buhhhh but I'm glad he's in the list because maybe it'll prompt him to post something, finally, and Red is null lean town because if he were scum his play makes no sense to me, and he's not a new player so I can't just slap 'bad scumplay' on him and call it a day.

If Lucky is the shot, I see no reason why Millar and Jeanne aren't just as likely candidates. I guess you can differentiate them by saying that Jeanne wanted to be shot, which I still don't understand, but between Millar and Lucky I see no difference.
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Post Post #457 (ISO) » Fri May 15, 2015 6:20 am

Post by MaxwellPuckett »

Oh, right.

Mod, I'll be V/LA for the weekend.
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Post Post #458 (ISO) » Fri May 15, 2015 6:56 am

Post by Perpetual Nonsense »

Hey all. Not really surprised We are being "scumread."

I really think it's just lack of effort to scumhunt and give my undevoted attention that is leading to those scumreads, so I don't really have a response at the moment. I expect those reads to stay until I make a non-filler post. Small attainable goal is one non-filler post before Sunday
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Post Post #459 (ISO) » Fri May 15, 2015 7:10 am

Post by Flubbernugget »

A townier post would have been "prodge"
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Post Post #460 (ISO) » Fri May 15, 2015 7:42 am

Post by West9 »

@mod Votecounts?


In post 438, pablito wrote:No, I'm scum-reading people who agreed with it but aren't doing enough with it or laying down the foundation to pressure people heavily like the system entails. That being said, I wonder why this makes me think that you're defending Maxwell? Please share with me your views on Maxwell, west.

Thanks for the clarification.
Mixed feelings about Max. There's been some recent things that are bad. Saying Miller is a scumread but that he shouldn't be shot and townreading Red just for activity stand out.

Red: Why did you want to sheep Nacho earlygame?

If dcl is here, I want to reask this:
In post 171, West9 wrote:
In post 150, deep-city-lights wrote:And maybe I just trust the innocent-looking ones too much (I'll try to ignore this, but seriously I think this might be a problem for me), but Jeanne's obnoxiousness without ill will reads town a lot more strongly than Heartless's anger. I think it makes sense for them to be scum who don't want to be shot for silly reasons.

Why Vengeful specifically, then?


In post 442, Nachomamma8 wrote:For that reason, I expect many mafia goons to be pretty demotivated (since they have only a very very minute impact on their win condition), and thus people who are active lurking and doing absolutely nothing else are probably decent candidates for goons, especially after the win condition was made a bit clearer.

This is the point where I bring up that the moment when the win condition was made clearer was exactly the moment when Vonflare stopped posting.
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Post Post #461 (ISO) » Fri May 15, 2015 7:46 am

Post by Perpetual Nonsense »

@flubbster

Prod dodges aren't alignment indicative. Like I said, I know some of the reads are semi-prodding Us to post stuff of substance. Prod dodges aren't going to let towniness shine through. Useful activity will. Depending on whose hands the gun falls in later on, my meter says 85.63% chance we get "shot" eventually. Don't ask why. Well, part lack of options, part PoE, part being scummier than others as the numbers dwindle. Being town is like being bulletproof, so Ikaruga isn't happening here in terms of liabilities.

Other support does enough of prod dodges as is, and this wasn't a disguised prod dodge since the last post from Us was 2 or 3 hours ago.

In post 411, RedCoyote wrote:
Also everytime I've played with Antihero he seems rather chill. Maybe he doesn't remember playing with me??? :(


I don't think it's the Antihero-head that's on edge

Side note. TheIrishPope and notscience made this game so memorable the last go-around. I miss that! I remember freaking out about potentially being shot and doing dumb things. None of the past Popcorn redux versions will ever live up to my unfair expectations, but still love it! I actually haven't asked Gaiden whether he has played Popcorn before, but we agreed to join once the advertisement came out.

tl;dr goal remains to make one non-filler post before Sunday, unless Gaiden is a world beater and shocks the world. Don't ever count him out
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Post Post #462 (ISO) » Fri May 15, 2015 8:29 am

Post by Nachomamma8 »

(Town ---> Scum)
CB: CB's posts this game have rang very genuine to me. Theory in 158 seems like it's coming from town since that's very certainly not what happened in the mafia thread. Talking about the vonflare trap in additionally seemed like a bit of a paranoid but overall a very genuine concern which I also liked a lot. The paranoia directed towards pablito in looks absolutely fantastic because it shows that he's still thinking about and revisiting old lines of thought. This is a very town mindset.

pablito: I love the way pablito has formed the referendum and shortlist plans and the way he pushes for their implementation because it feels like a push from a townie who attempting to create the healthiest gamestate possible in order to push scum out. I like the aggression and lack of fear he has in pushing suspects. His immediate push in on wanderer is a reflection of that (she hadn't garnered much suspicion yet + was agreeing with him so was likely to be an ally down the road) is a good example of that, and the way that he talks about his scumread on Maxwell in additionally feels very genuine, and the push itself is good because of how strong a push it is against someone who has absolutely no pressure against him.

Wanderer: The "I'm trying to figure out to post without dropping towntells" statement in is one that I've been thinking about a lot lately and I very strongly feel there's no way in hell it comes from scum. The frustration with the suspicion surrounding her in is additionally a really good post if scum, and the last post of is good aggression that seems very unlikely to come from scum who was just coming under a lot of pressure towards someone that just backed off. I will probably explain this read further in player-specific rebuttals since there's a lot of suspicion on the slot but I can't really see a scenario where I shoot her as long as I hold the gun.

Heartless: TTH (the posting head with proper capitalization) and Antihero (the posting head with bad grammar) both seem individually town. A small point in favor of them being town would be that I think they'd be unlikely to give me the gun if they thought that I did have a genuine scumread on them early game (which they did seem to believe, regardless of alignment). I like TTH's approach to me (in a "I think this is town" kind of way, not a "this isn't frustrating kind of way") in . I think that as scum she would be more focused on addressing my concerns then aggravating me, but as town, it's very easy to believe that someone isn't listening to you on a scumread when your scumread is sheeping them. The frustration TTH has in general (, , ) also seems to be coming from town.

Antihero's early pushes are okay. His "all of TTH's posts are so beautiful" seems like an angle he's unlikely to take as scum, and his attempt at aggravating me also seems decently town. I thought I had more of an individual townread on him, but he hasn't actually done all that much that's interesting this game (although the disagreement with TTH on the wanderer read felt like a genuine push).

deep-city-lights: I liked her reaction to my week long plan ("fuck that, just shoot me"). It seemed like a fairly townie response coming from a place where she didn't want to be dragged through a game that was unnecessarily long and felt genuine to a point where I feel she would have trouble faking it if she were scum. I liked her distinction between Heartless and Jeanne in because it was good reasoning, and I liked that she pushed it despite having a "shoot me" moment of her own earlier (I feel scum are less likely to do things like that because it so obviously points back to them, while town are likely to provide beliefs regardless of how it makes them look). I like her reaction to RedCoyote's post in (I think that vengeful mafia are less likely to make risky posts, but me saying that might change that) reads as a pretty genuine line of thought. I also actually really like the scumread on julien: julien was a player I've been thinking about while typing up this readslist that I'm going to revisit after it's done, and I do think that there's scum in the anti-wanderer push and I think julien might be a strong push for it. His tone in the beginning of and the end is good, and the frustration expressed in about me shooting to stay alive (which is not what I'm doing, by the way) is also good.

West9: The push on vonflare is very genuine, I like it a lot. In particular, is good aggression, is a good catch, mirrors my own thoughts on the vonflare slot. I also liked his reaction to me providing my shortlist the most. He expressed dissatisfaction with lurkers being shot, which is a town mindset because that pool is not very likely to include vengeful mafia. I liked his questioning of Red in , and I loved his "hello?" question in . At the very minimum, it makes it more likely that he's coming from a mindset of actually trying to produce things as opposed to being happy just sort of floating along.

RedCoyote: does make it seem like RedCoyote wasn't aware who the gunbearer was, which is an okay towntell when RC-scum almost certainly would have been one of the people making that decision and RC-scum is not the type of player that fakes townslips to the best of my knowledge. His tone this game is very, very good if scum. The brazenness, as he calls it, does make sense from a position of RC-town Nacho-gunbearer while it doesn't make as much sense while scum, and I find his more aggressive and snarky town is usually a sign of RC-town (RC-scum focuses more on making reads look good and getting along). In particular, I like the end of ; I thought that was a great point and I thought vonflare's reaction to it was pretty terrible. 350 is a good exchange with Heartless. The trajectory of his Heartless suspicion is pretty good as well; he brings up reasons why he dislikes their push on him, he talks himself out of it in , then he reforms the scumread after further interactions with what looks like a pretty bad push. I wish there was a *bit* more here, but there's nothing I see and dislike.

Enomis: Seems townish enough for the mafia wincondition discussion in thread. If he were scum, I think he'd be more likely to keep that talk to PMs and his private topic. The general way he's approaching the game seems town, but there's not really any sort of content to give me a better read than that.

julienvonwolfe: 170 is interesting because it holds speculation on why I was chosen as gunbearer: I don't really think that I was picked at random, I think someone familiar with me chose me as gunbearer, and this reaction is a slight towntell because it doesn't look like julien was involved in that discussion or even aware of it.

Attack on wanderer in looks decent because it's bucking popular opinion without an overwhelming amount of support.

Exchange in with wanderer is appropriately aggressive. Saying that RedCoyote is possibly trust telling is a very strong not-partner tell.

Millar13: I don't have much of a read on this slot. Confidence displayed in and is worth a minor townread, but nothing more than that.

Jeanne11: Jeanne went from "shoot me! shoot me!" early game to hard lurking after winconditions were discussed. Since it's very possible jeanne initially thought her purpose was to draw a shot until winconditions were discussed and she learned that it was actually incredibly important she doesn't get shot, this could very easily be vengeful behavior, but it could also just be a lurking townie who lost interest at a pretty inconvenient time. No real read either way, but leaning scum.

VictorDeAngelo: Complete disconnect makes him seem like a decent Goon choice, but unfamiliar with his meta so can't actually make a definite call there. Also, normally not a "look, he scumslipped!" type of guy, but is most definitely a scum slip.

Vonflare: I liked his early energy. I liked the frustration expressed in .
I didn't like that he put out that readslist early game. There's a very distinct difference in how town and scum approach readslists and that's generally that town players form readslists because they're trying to have a comprehensive place to put their reads while scum are making a readlist just to show content and look town and, considering vonflare didn't really have any reads he was confident about, it definitely seemed like the latter. I also didn't like how he immediately went from scumreading flubber and nullreading Nonsense in his readslist to not scumreading flubber; I can't see why he as town would back down from that read so quickly without any sort of explanation at all. The "template" excuse also falls sort of flat since a template of "oh let me copy paste names from the front page" really isn't difficult at all. I also don't like the excuse for being late on the "shoot me" discussion being that he was ninja'd for 20 minutes straight, although this point isn't a particularly strong one for me. I have trouble seeing him misremembering what exactly happened and coming up with the ninja'd excuse. I also don't like how harshly he's fallen off.

Perpetual Nonsense: I'm not particularly happy with this slot. The Bert head of the hydra is usually a lovely refreshing pool of paranoia, aggression, and constant theories for who is scum/who is town. The only thing he has provided to the game thus far is a push on RedCoyote for not being a presence in a game when he should have been one is a very large and very depressing red flag. I don't like that he still hasn't interacted with me except to say that he doesn't have anything to say to me. I might be confirmed town, but I can still be engaged on my reads, what I think of certain players, etc. There are small pings in his play here and there which feel town which holds me back from shooting him at the moment and place some small hope in my heart that he maybe could not be dirty dirty scum, but I need more.

Lucky2u: The reason this slot is such a strong scumread for me is because it's so far removed from typical lucky play. It's the being present but having absolutely no motive to catchup or not being apologetic at all for being scum that sort of clinches it for me. I'd like to shoot here because the possibility of hitting scum here seems very very high and I'm not very particular whether I hit a vengeful or a goon: yes, he's probably just a goon, but it's possible that he's vengeful as well and it seems very worth it to take those types of shots as opposed to wandering down the dangerous road of shooting active players just because we think they could be more likely to be vengeful.
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-- Fate, Vanilla Townie, was brutally stabbed by a throwing sword in endgame.
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Post Post #463 (ISO) » Fri May 15, 2015 8:29 am

Post by Nachomamma8 »

oh god i meant to hit preview those links are going to be so fucked up D:
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Post Post #464 (ISO) » Fri May 15, 2015 8:32 am

Post by Nachomamma8 »

In post 462, Nachomamma8 wrote:(Town ---> Scum)
CB: CB's posts this game have rang very genuine to me. Theory in 158 seems like it's coming from town since that's very certainly not what happened in the mafia thread. Talking about the vonflare trap in additionally seemed like a bit of a paranoid but overall a very genuine concern which I also liked a lot. The paranoia directed towards pablito in for the "you seem like you know I'm town" is excellent excellent excellent, and the theory for the twitter post originally posited in 238 being followed up on in looks absolutely fantastic because it shows that he's still thinking about and revisiting old lines of thought. This is a very town mindset.

pablito: I love the way pablito has formed the referendum and shortlist plans and the way he pushes for their implementation because it feels like a push from a townie who attempting to create the healthiest gamestate possible in order to push scum out. I like the aggression and lack of fear he has in pushing suspects. His immediate push in on wanderer is a reflection of that (she hadn't garnered much suspicion yet + was agreeing with him so was likely to be an ally down the road) is a good example of that, and the way that he talks about his scumread on Maxwell in additionally feels very genuine, and the push itself is good because of how strong a push it is against someone who has absolutely no pressure against him.

Wanderer: The "I'm trying to figure out to post without dropping towntells" statement in is one that I've been thinking about a lot lately and I very strongly feel there's no way in hell it comes from scum. The frustration with the suspicion surrounding her in is additionally a really good post if scum, and the last post of is good aggression that seems very unlikely to come from scum who was just coming under a lot of pressure towards someone that just backed off. I will probably explain this read further in player-specific rebuttals since there's a lot of suspicion on the slot but I can't really see a scenario where I shoot her as long as I hold the gun.

Heartless: TTH (the posting head with proper capitalization) and Antihero (the posting head with bad grammar) both seem individually town. A small point in favor of them being town would be that I think they'd be unlikely to give me the gun if they thought that I did have a genuine scumread on them early game (which they did seem to believe, regardless of alignment). I like TTH's approach to me (in a "I think this is town" kind of way, not a "this isn't frustrating kind of way") in . I think that as scum she would be more focused on addressing my concerns then aggravating me, but as town, it's very easy to believe that someone isn't listening to you on a scumread when your scumread is sheeping them. The frustration TTH has in general (, , ) also seems to be coming from town.

Antihero's early pushes are okay. His "all of TTH's posts are so beautiful" seems like an angle he's unlikely to take as scum, and his attempt at aggravating me also seems decently town. I thought I had more of an individual townread on him, but he hasn't actually done all that much that's interesting this game (although the disagreement with TTH on the wanderer read felt like a genuine push).

deep-city-lights: I liked her reaction to my week long plan ("fuck that, just shoot me"). It seemed like a fairly townie response coming from a place where she didn't want to be dragged through a game that was unnecessarily long and felt genuine to a point where I feel she would have trouble faking it if she were scum. I liked her distinction between Heartless and Jeanne in because it was good reasoning, and I liked that she pushed it despite having a "shoot me" moment of her own earlier (I feel scum are less likely to do things like that because it so obviously points back to them, while town are likely to provide beliefs regardless of how it makes them look). I like her reaction to RedCoyote's post in .

Maxwell: I like Maxwell's excitement early game. (I think that vengeful mafia are less likely to make risky posts, but me saying that might change that) reads as a pretty genuine line of thought. I also actually really like the scumread on julien: julien was a player I've been thinking about while typing up this readslist that I'm going to revisit after it's done, and I do think that there's scum in the anti-wanderer push and I think julien might be a strong push for it. His tone in the beginning of and the end is good, and the frustration expressed in about me shooting to stay alive (which is not what I'm doing, by the way) is also good.

West9: The push on vonflare is very genuine, I like it a lot. In particular, is good aggression, is a good catch, mirrors my own thoughts on the vonflare slot. I also liked his reaction to me providing my shortlist the most. He expressed dissatisfaction with lurkers being shot, which is a town mindset because that pool is not very likely to include vengeful mafia. I liked his questioning of Red in , and I loved his "hello?" question in . At the very minimum, it makes it more likely that he's coming from a mindset of actually trying to produce things as opposed to being happy just sort of floating along.

RedCoyote: does make it seem like RedCoyote wasn't aware who the gunbearer was, which is an okay towntell when RC-scum almost certainly would have been one of the people making that decision and RC-scum is not the type of player that fakes townslips to the best of my knowledge. His tone this game is very, very good if scum. The brazenness, as he calls it, does make sense from a position of RC-town Nacho-gunbearer while it doesn't make as much sense while scum, and I find his more aggressive and snarky town is usually a sign of RC-town (RC-scum focuses more on making reads look good and getting along). In particular, I like the end of (it's boring here, no drama), and I like the exchange with the TTH/Antihero slots in general. I won't shoot RC today.

Flubbernugget: I liked the pressure directed at vonflare in ; I thought that was a great point and I thought vonflare's reaction to it was pretty terrible. 350 is a good exchange with Heartless. The trajectory of his Heartless suspicion is pretty good as well; he brings up reasons why he dislikes their push on him, he talks himself out of it in , then he reforms the scumread after further interactions with what looks like a pretty bad push. I wish there was a *bit* more here, but there's nothing I see and dislike.

Enomis: Seems townish enough for the mafia wincondition discussion in thread. If he were scum, I think he'd be more likely to keep that talk to PMs and his private topic. The general way he's approaching the game seems town, but there's not really any sort of content to give me a better read than that.

julienvonwolfe: 170 is interesting because it holds speculation on why I was chosen as gunbearer: I don't really think that I was picked at random, I think someone familiar with me chose me as gunbearer, and this reaction is a slight towntell because it doesn't look like julien was involved in that discussion or even aware of it.

Attack on wanderer in looks decent because it's bucking popular opinion without an overwhelming amount of support.

Exchange in with wanderer is appropriately aggressive. Saying that RedCoyote is possibly trust telling is a very strong not-partner tell.

Millar13: I don't have much of a read on this slot. Confidence displayed in and is worth a minor townread, but nothing more than that.

Jeanne11: Jeanne went from "shoot me! shoot me!" early game to hard lurking after winconditions were discussed. Since it's very possible jeanne initially thought her purpose was to draw a shot until winconditions were discussed and she learned that it was actually incredibly important she doesn't get shot, this could very easily be vengeful behavior, but it could also just be a lurking townie who lost interest at a pretty inconvenient time. No real read either way, but leaning scum.

VictorDeAngelo: Complete disconnect makes him seem like a decent Goon choice, but unfamiliar with his meta so can't actually make a definite call there. Also, normally not a "look, he scumslipped!" type of guy, but is most definitely a scum slip.

Vonflare: I liked his early energy. I liked the frustration expressed in .
I didn't like that he put out that readslist early game. There's a very distinct difference in how town and scum approach readslists and that's generally that town players form readslists because they're trying to have a comprehensive place to put their reads while scum are making a readlist just to show content and look town and, considering vonflare didn't really have any reads he was confident about, it definitely seemed like the latter. I also didn't like how he immediately went from scumreading flubber and nullreading Nonsense in his readslist to not scumreading flubber; I can't see why he as town would back down from that read so quickly without any sort of explanation at all. The "template" excuse also falls sort of flat since a template of "oh let me copy paste names from the front page" really isn't difficult at all. I also don't like the excuse for being late on the "shoot me" discussion being that he was ninja'd for 20 minutes straight, although this point isn't a particularly strong one for me. I have trouble seeing him misremembering what exactly happened and coming up with the ninja'd excuse. I also don't like how harshly he's fallen off.

Perpetual Nonsense: I'm not particularly happy with this slot. The Bert head of the hydra is usually a lovely refreshing pool of paranoia, aggression, and constant theories for who is scum/who is town. The only thing he has provided to the game thus far is a push on RedCoyote for not being a presence in a game when he should have been one is a very large and very depressing red flag. I don't like that he still hasn't interacted with me except to say that he doesn't have anything to say to me. I might be confirmed town, but I can still be engaged on my reads, what I think of certain players, etc. There are small pings in his play here and there which feel town which holds me back from shooting him at the moment and place some small hope in my heart that he maybe could not be dirty dirty scum, but I need more.

Lucky2u: The reason this slot is such a strong scumread for me is because it's so far removed from typical lucky play. It's the being present but having absolutely no motive to catchup or not being apologetic at all for being scum that sort of clinches it for me. I'd like to shoot here because the possibility of hitting scum here seems very very high and I'm not very particular whether I hit a vengeful or a goon: yes, he's probably just a goon, but it's possible that he's vengeful as well and it seems very worth it to take those types of shots as opposed to wandering down the dangerous road of shooting active players just because we think they could be more likely to be vengeful.

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Post Post #465 (ISO) » Fri May 15, 2015 8:43 am

Post by Nachomamma8 »

In the scumlist (bottom 7), I could very possibly see Perpetual Nonsense or millar being town the easiest since the reads there seem based mostly on incomplete information.
The more incomplete townreads are West9 and enomis.

These are the players I would like to see post more.

I'm also claiming intent for the Lucky shot sometime tomorrow. I'm going to mostly be busy this weekend so would rather probably wait the weekend out to give people time to post and react to that, but I also realize people are probably getting pretty impatient and need blood soon, and don't think it's a shot that will kill me so w/e. I'll make a post including where my personal experience is factoring into reads so that you know if I'd like you to give a read or a point more emphasis than you would normally. This readslist has most of my logic in where I'm standing on most of the playerlist, it feels mostly correct although not perfect so while I wouldn't follow it to a T, I would make sure that you really thought long and hard before shooting wanderer, CB, Heartless, or pablito, and that vonflare/Victor/julien/Jeanne all die at your earliest convenience.
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Post Post #466 (ISO) » Fri May 15, 2015 9:27 am

Post by Nachomamma8 »

I'd also like to implement pablito's referendum idea starting now. I'd like to do a mix of town and scum referendums. Because town reads are just as important as scumreads in a Nightless game such as this, I'd like people thinking about both as much as possible. The style of referendum I'm proposing right now are three total: the gunbearer's top scum choice, the gunbearer's top town choice, and the most controversial choice. I put julien's suspicion of wanderer in referendum form because he's the only person who I remember actually suspecting wanderer.

Target: Vonflare
Accuser: Nachomamma8
Rationale:
I didn't like that he put out that readslist early game. There's a very distinct difference in how town and scum approach readslists and that's generally that town players form readslists because they're trying to have a comprehensive place to put their reads while scum are making a readlist just to show content and look town and, considering vonflare didn't really have any reads he was confident about, it definitely seemed like the latter. I also didn't like how he immediately went from scumreading flubber and nullreading Nonsense in his readslist to not scumreading flubber; I can't see why he as town would back down from that read so quickly without any sort of explanation at all. The "template" excuse also falls sort of flat since a template of "oh let me copy paste names from the front page" really isn't difficult at all. I also don't like the excuse for being late on the "shoot me" discussion being that he was ninja'd for 20 minutes straight, although this point isn't a particularly strong one for me. I have trouble seeing him misremembering what exactly happened and coming up with the ninja'd excuse. I also don't like how harshly he's fallen off.
Evidence: (Readslist), ("Ninja'd"), (Flubbernugget Contradiction).
YEA (0): people who voted yea here.
NAY (0): people who voted nay here.

Spoiler: Additional Referendums
None here yet.


Target: CB
Sponsor: Nachomamma8
Rationale: CB's posts this game have rang very genuine to me. Theory in 158 seems like it's coming from town since that's very certainly not what happened in the mafia thread. Talking about the vonflare trap in 238 additionally seemed like a bit of a paranoid but overall a very genuine concern which I also liked a lot. The paranoia directed towards pablito in 287 for the "you seem like you know I'm town" is excellent excellent excellent, and the theory for the twitter post originally posited in 238 being followed up on in 337 looks absolutely fantastic because it shows that he's still thinking about and revisiting old lines of thought. This is a very town mindset.
Evidence: (Gunbearer Strategy), (Trap/Initial Twitter Post Suspicion), (Pablito Suspicion)
YEA (0): people who voted yea here.
NAY (0): people who voted nay here.

Spoiler: Additional Referendums
None here yet.



Target: Wanderer
Accuser: julienvonwolfe
Rationale: Here our friend Wanderer proposes normal mafia playing techniques (voting, lynching those with the most votes) as if they are incredibly useful scum hunting techniques. I'll admit that there's a reason that we use them in every other game, just about, as getting people to state their opinions is good for town, but I don't like the suggestion that we coerce (or constrain, perhaps) the gunbearer. From my perspective, the gunbearer is confirmed town, and any majority opinion of players will include scum joining and maybe even steering the wagon. I trust the gunbearer more than the collective will of the players, in other words.

But what really rubs me up the wrong way is the 'cosmetic' vote (because of course votes don't matter anyway, right, guys? :D ) and then the jumping on people like dcl and vonflare, both of whom seem to me to be more divisive than scummy.
Evidence:
YEA (0): people who voted yea here.
NAY (0): people who voted nay here.

Spoiler: Additional Referendums
None here yet.


Target: Wanderer
Sponsor: Nachomamma8
Rationale: The "I'm trying to figure out to post without dropping towntells" statement in 259 is one that I've been thinking about a lot lately and I very strongly feel there's no way in hell it comes from scum. The frustration with the suspicion surrounding her in 441 is additionally a really good post if scum, and the last post of 383 is good aggression that seems very unlikely to come from scum who was just coming under a lot of pressure towards someone that just backed off. I will probably explain this read further in player-specific rebuttals since there's a lot of suspicion on the slot but I can't really see a scenario where I shoot her as long as I hold the gun.
Evidence: (Towntell post), (Backlash against enomis), (Shoot me and get it over with)
YEA (0): people who voted yea here.
NAY (0): people who voted nay here.

Spoiler: Additional Referendums
None here yet.
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-- Fate, Vanilla Townie, was brutally stabbed by a throwing sword in endgame.
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Post Post #467 (ISO) » Fri May 15, 2015 9:33 am

Post by Nachomamma8 »

THINGS ALL PLAYERS SHOULD BE DOING:

  • Comment on Lucky getting shot after the weekend. Do you agree with this shot?
  • Vote on the referendums in . If you have an additional case/comment on your vote, please post using the format to make linking easier.
  • If your name is: West, millar, Perpetual Nonsense, or enomis, please post more/make more of an effort to engage with the readslist in so that I can get a more comprehensive read on you. If you are on the scumlist and my read on you is incorrect, please also make more of an effort to interact with me and talk about my reads.
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-- Fate, Vanilla Townie, was brutally stabbed by a throwing sword in endgame.
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Post Post #468 (ISO) » Fri May 15, 2015 10:25 am

Post by Nachomamma8 »

In post 445, CB wrote:Why try to hit goons then and not vengefuls?

Sorry, my mind was kind of muddled in the morning when I was writing that, so I didn't quite say what I wanted to say.
What I wanted to say is that I feel scum in general will have a very strong tendency to lurk because 1) if they are goons, it is very very difficult for them to have any significant effect on the gamestate, and 2) if they are vengefuls, it is VERY VERY important for them to play well and there's not a very good chance of them winning meaning they might lurk out the game thanks to nervousness or hopelessness. For this reason, I think we should be pretty aggressive in shooting lurkers. There is a worry they won't be good gunbearers, yes, but that's what things such as the referendum system (keeping main suspicion in a very easy and readable format) and universal townreads taking a large hand in influencing shots (once they're referendum voted in) is for. Do you agree with that?

In post 456, MaxwellPuckett wrote:If Lucky is the shot, I see no reason why Millar and Jeanne aren't just as likely candidates. I guess you can differentiate them by saying that Jeanne wanted to be shot, which I still don't understand, but between Millar and Lucky I see no difference.

Personal experience with the players, mostly. I've gotten used to this as millar's general style, but the lurking without being apologetic or making any attempt at catching up whatsoever is very unlike the lucky I'm used to. Jeanne I have no experience with, so I don't really have anything to compare this inactivity to and am mostly hoping for a replacement here.

Spoiler: @Heartless
In post 397, Heartless wrote:Essentially, it consisted of little cutesy snipes at random lines in the first pages and contained little to no substantial analysis and no developed reads. The read on us based on Anti's reaction to Nacho is flimsy crap. It was obvious the quote was Anti because he referred to me in the third person and I have no idea where RedCoyote is getting his meta intel from if he says Antihero doesn't caps rage.

The intent behind the catchup was pretty clearly to get caught up, not to provide substantial analysis and not to provide in depth reads. As a result, I don't fault him for not having in depth reads and calling that a scumtell is a weak call to me. I don't think the parts where he makes mistakes (confuses you and Anti, has a bad view of Antihero's meta) are significant. I don't think he'd pay more attention or town and I don't think he's trying to egregiously misrepresent Antihero's meta in order to leverage a push on him as scum.

In post 397, Heartless wrote:The closest he does come to an explained read is on julien, which is also superficial and mostly bullshit. The bulk of the read is apparently derived from julien's speculation on why Nacho got the gun at the beginning of the game (Post 170). Contrary to what RC is implying in his response, "This has got to be fake. C'mon, julien. You didn't think to look to the setup rules for this answer?" julien never intimated an unfamiliarity with the mechanic and was looking for reasons why scum would give nacho the gun. It goes directly to the question of who scum are and is thus a perfectly valid avenue to explore and we never see RC bother to prove why it's scummy. The later hydra hate is also a meaningless, useless platitude that doesn't actually help or add to the discussion. The bottom line is that for all the gooey quote-stripe-y-ness in the length of the post, it's very very light on actual contribution.

I think the fact that his scumreads are on you and julien are interesting. You are perhaps the scariest target for scum in the game. You're the loudest player (by far) after me, and you have been shown to react pretty strongly when people suspect/disagree with you which means that it's going to be pretty difficult to convince people to shoot you, but, if you do get the gun, you are going to focus in pretty heavily on people who suspect you. This means that his push as scum is taking a big risk, especially when a vast majority of players haven't endorsed a shot on you. His scumread on julien is also interesting since julien for me seems like a player who is actually decently likely to be scum but isn't being talked about much, meaning he is the least likely to be bussed by the rest of his team. I don't think RC would actually put julien suspicion on the table here if they wrre both scumpartners.

I don't see why you find RC's "this has got to be fake" comment scummy just because the logic behind it is wrong, that doesn't actually make any sense. No, he didn't put work in to identify why it was scummy exactly, but see my comment on the intention behind his catchup.

The hydra hate line is useless, yes. It's also pretty fucking null as far as null things go.

In post 397, Heartless wrote:Maxwell's reads list a while back (Post 325) seems alright with a cursory glance, but the veneer quickly falls apart with any kind of inspection or thought and then it starts to seem really dressed up. The strongest scum read on julien is based on a trumped-up case based on a misinterpretation of cheap early setup speculation, which Max himself later admitted to (Post 345).

He made a mistake in a push.
He then later admitted his push was wrong.
How is this scummy?

In post 397, Heartless wrote:He also takes issue with the wanderer read without actually stating what his problem with it is, which is off given that his wanderer read itself only consists of "I like their saying that they want to shoot an active rather than an inactive. I agree." and he lists her as one of the reads he needs to re-evaluate reportedly because of room for doubt.

He agrees with wanderer early in . He explains one of wanderer's posts that was getting prodded at a bit in . and have more complete explanations of wanderer reads, but it seems clear that he was townreading her early game because they were thinking on the same level/he thought people were making bad pushes on her, so I don't mind the townread at all. His followup with the slot after this post also shows he is re-evaluating the slot because of people's suspicion on him (my assumption), but I also don't understand why saying he needs to re-evaluate a read is something that's scummy.

In post 397, Heartless wrote:The knee jerk reaction to pabilto's point in Post 345 is eyebrow-raising.

I wouldn't classify that as a knee jerk. Why do you and why is that knee jerk scummy?

In post 397, Heartless wrote:In recent posting, giving RedCoyote a pat on the back for tenuous reasons and giving reasons why millar shouldn't be the shot even though he's not necessarily a town read leaves a really bad taste in my mouth (Post 372 and Post 377).

The RedCoyote thing could be a possible partner tell, yes. I don't find it unreasonable to get gut reads based on snippy, confident posting and picking up on a shared scumread that no one else really held before. I don't think his frustration with shooting lurkers is scummy, though. There is a legitimate concern behind the sentiment that's been expressed by quite a few people already, and I think it's a weird move to try to protect a buddy with "this guy is too incompetent to hold the gun".

As an aside @TTH specifically, is there anything that I could do to make you less frustrated with the game? I don't mean to frustrate you (which is the sense that I got from a couple of your earlier posts) and I am reading and thinking about what you're saying even if all the things I direct towards you are disagreements. I'm not exactly the type to follow people blindly unless I really have no other alternatives and they've earned my respect after years of kicking ass and being right where I am so blatantly wrong, but I also don't generally post things beyond "you're wrong" or "we're not doing that today" to people I'm not willing to listen to, so please don't think I'm just being stubborn and shutting you off because of whatever bias I might have possessed.


Spoiler: @Pablito
In post 438, pablito wrote:Yes, we can force people to do it. If they don't, they're on the shortlist for being shot. That being said, votes mean nothing, right?

I don't think this is a good idea. I support the idea because I think it will be healthier for the gamestate and will make townies both more likely to listen and more likely to speak. Using threats and wasting mislynches on people for not following group think is pro-scum in my opinion because a town is at its strongest when there are dissenting opinions that are also being taken account because dissenting opinions are what produce conversation and get people to talk more.

In post 438, pablito wrote:I got the sense you agreed to something stronger and that was from both you and wanderer. I just expected more from you. I didn't from wanderer.

I got the sense that both players were excited by your proposal, just not really confident in how to implement it. Why do you disagree with this perception and why do you think town!Maxwell would be more likely to take initiative and get the plan going than scum!Maxwell? Do you think his criticism that you're expecting too much from him just because he agreed with your idea is unfair? Why?

In post 438, pablito wrote:And I continue to feel like you intentionally are passing over a lot to focus on other things.

What specifically is Maxwell passing over?

Also, is that along the lines of what you were thinking? I glanced through Lights Out to get a sense of how the referendum worked, and I don't like the mindlessness of the plurality vote since it takes away from the strength of the gunbearer mechanic (giving each gunbearer freedom over who they shoot means that each townie's perspective on the gamestate gets an equal chance at rooting out scum, which means scum have to fool not only the universal townreads, but the scummier looking townreads as well) so majority doesn't lead to a shot, but I do think the sense of keeping people accountable and leaving a paper trail is a very big strength of the system so that was what I tried to implement when making that post.
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-- Fate, Vanilla Townie, was brutally stabbed by a throwing sword in endgame.
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Post Post #469 (ISO) » Fri May 15, 2015 10:38 am

Post by Lucky2u »

I feel so special
The bunny knight reigns supreme!
Get to know me! Here! and now Here too!
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Post Post #470 (ISO) » Fri May 15, 2015 10:46 am

Post by Nachomamma8 »

Do you realize how frustrating your lurking would be if you were town?
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Post Post #471 (ISO) » Fri May 15, 2015 10:53 am

Post by Lucky2u »

I could see that. I won't have that problem though.
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Post Post #472 (ISO) » Fri May 15, 2015 10:54 am

Post by Nachomamma8 »

What do you mean?
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Post Post #473 (ISO) » Fri May 15, 2015 10:58 am

Post by Lucky2u »

I'll be shooting every 24 hours. You're only frustrated because you spent all this time and shot wrong. I'm going to rely on... Wait for it... "luck".
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Post Post #474 (ISO) » Fri May 15, 2015 11:00 am

Post by Nachomamma8 »

In post 473, Lucky2u wrote:You're only frustrated because you spent all this time and shot wrong.

I'd only be frustrated because I'm putting in all the work I could possibly manage to help the town win, and you refused to do anything because ??? and you take down our chances of winning so you can push for random shots because you think shooting randomly is fun why?
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-- Fate, Vanilla Townie, was brutally stabbed by a throwing sword in endgame.

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