In post 6102, Oversoul wrote:UT
DV's night actions make little sense from his point of view.
He was hard defending Espeonage as town, yet he chooses to see if he is Viktor?
There is a certain pattern to DV's traces IMO. He picked people that others thought were scum but he actively didn't. That serves two purposes if he's right, it becomes harder to mislynches. If he's wrong, he can tell who Viktor is to the group.
Right now, I am pretty certain lynching Adonis is the right play. I think we absolutely cannot afford a mislynch. This wagon matches Bulba's far too much for me to be comfortable going anywhere near it. Is it theoretically possible 4city's scum and I have blinders on. Sure. Yet when I feel outlasted, it only makes me want to push more.
People are actually having the discussion I wanted to have now that I am not here.
Before I go again, I want to highlight one more thing...
Math for each plausible worst case scenario assuming UT town
No lynch
16 Alive at Nightfall
14 Alive at Daybreak Day 3
One mislynch, then no lynch
13 alive at nightfall, 10 alive at daybreak
Scum Lynch
15 alive at nightfall
13 at Daybreak
2 mislynches
11 alive at Nightfall
8 alive at Daybreak
Two scum lynches
6 at night
3 at Daybreak
Town mislynch
15 alive a nightfall
13 at Daybreak
Game at Lylo.
Tomorrow is important for the game state overall. Much more so than today, so I am going to try to limit myself to one post every twelve hours provided we are actually discussing things rather than acting like a herd mentality. I realize after talking with BBT that my overloading occurs at the start of the game during early read formation and when I feel ignored.
I get a few of you rely on meta overly much but we cannot afford a mislynch today. I am going to sit on Adonis because I think it is the right lynch but I am also concerned that maybe no lynching is right today.