Have you ever played with Nacho before - he claims meta awarness of loads of people, if that's not balls crazy confidence I don't know what is.
In post 627, Garmr wrote:I rekon the set up is
pist-rolecop
rad-cop
dave-jailkeeper
nacho-liar
A rolecop,cop,jailkeeper,doctor is just to Smurfing power of a set up even with a godfather. But a jailkeeper,cop,rolecop makes much more sense.
So you are saying Silver/Nacho obv. scum then?
Okay, that's a potential fear and theory. I do agree with you that we have there three fairly potent town roles and an additional solid town role.
Let's see though - if your theory is correct - that means scum decided to shoot Bella.
Does that seem likely after yesterday?
Scum shooting me seems fairly likely to me. (though I am full of myself, so if you want to argue against this - proceed)
Scum being Bella seems possible.
Scum shooting him seems unlikely. (Bella - feel free to argue against this)
Silverwolf's rolecop claim on Dave is painfully obv. - there is no doubt in my mind that Dave is a jailkeeper.
Nacho's claim seems...odd, but works within the concept of the dayplay I saw. It seems like an unlikely scum gambit to go with when there are that many other claimed PRs though. (Garmr - if you can describe Nacho's theory way of winning in your mind - that would be swell).
Odds assuredly favor both Silver and Pistach not being both town.
Radja's claim also seems unlikely to come from scum, I'll admit.
Smart money play seems to be lynch one of the rolecops.
If we get a scum flip - JKer gets the Doc protection.
Cop investigates someone.
Rolecop checks Bella (or someone?).
Jailkeeper jails someone (Bella?).
Eh, probably just makes sense to jail someone else and rolecop Bella. That way scum have to kill an investigative or Nacho - and with a kill whomever the jailkeeper is on is basically confirmed town. So, no matter what, we walk out of that day with two additional confirmed town.
If we lynch a town rolecop what would be the best play?
Jailkeeper jails someone.
Doc on Cop.
Cop on someone.
That seems to make the most sense.
I think a big question becomes the chance of scum shooting Bella vs. Thor. Scum either shot one of us, or Bella is scum (or, maybe, paranoia theory - Nacho is fakeclaim Doc from scum faction who no killed for hijinks to out PRs...wear your aluminum hats as needed).
I'm mildly torn on the rolecop question.
Pistach, functionally, claimed under pressure.
There is almost no doubt that they are both rolecops though - so already the setup is a little screwy and we know it.
@Mod -
