In post 3631, Netherspite wrote:@DiamondSentinel
Going to sleep so I'll explain it a bit more and let it to your decision.
If you will use random.org to choose a number 1-2 and use that as your target (1 = me, 2 = Marquis or vice versa, just decide before rolling), scum will have the following options:
a) shoot DS: in this case they'll have 50% chance of no kill, allowing us to lynch 2 more players and implode one, thus leaving us with 3 out of 4 attempts to find the scum. (FB will survive until LyLo because next night scum will have to shoot one of DS and me again)
b) shoot me: in this case they're killing suboptimal easily mislynchable target
c) shoot someone else: in this case we're getting 1 more cop result with 50% chance which is bad for them as well.
Most likely they'll choose (b).
The only problem with this plan is if DS is scum but I find it really unlikely.l
Doesn't this lead to a potential worst case scenario?
DS targets Marquis
Scum kill Firebringer
In this scenario, you don't have any results to show for it, our confirmed town vig is dead, and town is in trouble.
And sure, the upside is great, but it's just WIFOM in circles. If scum outguess DS, they get a huge advantage. If not, then we win.
I think it's a lot safer to tell DS to just target you, force the scum to kill him, and carry our Machinist into tomorrow.