For completed/abandoned Mish Mash Games.
zoraster
zoraster He/Him
Disorganized Crime
zoraster He/Him
Disorganized Crime Disorganized Crime
Posts: 21680 Joined: June 10, 2008
Pronoun: He/Him
Location: Belmont, CA
Post
Post #0 (ISO ) » Tue Feb 09, 2016 1:59 am
Post
by zoraster » Tue Feb 09, 2016 1:59 am
It's pretty easy! For each state and major candidate I'll give an over/under number. If you guess correctly, you get a point. If you don't, you don't get a point. Your entry is your first guess, and here we go (next post).
Points will be adjusted based on how many candidates remain and how late we're in the process with a competitive race.
.
zoraster
zoraster He/Him
Disorganized Crime
zoraster He/Him
Disorganized Crime Disorganized Crime
Posts: 21680 Joined: June 10, 2008
Pronoun: He/Him
Location: Belmont, CA
Post
Post #1 (ISO ) » Tue Feb 09, 2016 2:02 am
Post
by zoraster » Tue Feb 09, 2016 2:02 am
Democratic Nomination
(each worth 2 points)
Sanders: 56
Clinton: 43
Republican Nomination
(each worth 1 point)
Trump: 32
Rubio: 18
Kasich: 15
Cruz: 12
Christie: 9
Bush: 7
.
zoraster
zoraster He/Him
Disorganized Crime
zoraster He/Him
Disorganized Crime Disorganized Crime
Posts: 21680 Joined: June 10, 2008
Pronoun: He/Him
Location: Belmont, CA
Post
Post #2 (ISO ) » Tue Feb 09, 2016 2:05 am
Post
by zoraster » Tue Feb 09, 2016 2:05 am
Sanders: Over
Clinton: Under
Trump: Under
Rubio: Under
Kasich: Over
Cruz: Under
Christie: Under
Bush: Over
.
BROseidon
BROseidon
Expert Marxman
BROseidon
Expert Marxman Expert Marxman
Posts: 8242 Joined: April 18, 2013
Post
Post #3 (ISO ) » Tue Feb 09, 2016 3:36 am
Post
by BROseidon » Tue Feb 09, 2016 3:36 am
Sanders: Over
Clinton: Under
I'm thinking it'll be a bit worse than that, but not much.
Trump: Over
Rubio: Under
Kasich: Under
Cruz: Over
Christie: Under
Bush: Over.
D3f3nd3r
D3f3nd3r he/him
Best Social Game
D3f3nd3r he/him
Best Social Game Best Social Game
Posts: 1368 Joined: March 25, 2012
Pronoun: he/him
Location: Maryland
Post
Post #4 (ISO ) » Tue Feb 09, 2016 3:57 am
Post
by D3f3nd3r » Tue Feb 09, 2016 3:57 am
Sanders: Over
Clinton: Under
Trump: Under
Rubio: Under
Kasich: Over
Cruz: Over
Christie: Over
Bush: Under
“The assumption of good faith is dead”
(profile pic by datisi)
xRECKONERx
xRECKONERx
GD is my Best Man
xRECKONERx
GD is my Best Man GD is my Best Man
Posts: 26087 Joined: March 15, 2009
Post
Post #5 (ISO ) » Tue Feb 09, 2016 4:31 am
Post
by xRECKONERx » Tue Feb 09, 2016 4:31 am
In post 1 , zoraster wrote:
Democratic Nomination
(each worth 2 points)
Sanders: 56
Clinton: 43
Republican Nomination
(each worth 1 point)
Trump: 32
Rubio: 18
Kasich: 15
Cruz: 12
Christie: 9
Bush: 7
Sanders Over
Clinton Under
Trump Under
Rubio Under
Kasich Over
Cruz Over
Christie Over
Bush Over
green shirt thursdays
PrivateI
PrivateI
The Real Friend
PrivateI
The Real Friend The Real Friend
Posts: 826 Joined: October 29, 2013
Post
Post #6 (ISO ) » Tue Feb 09, 2016 4:45 am
Post
by PrivateI » Tue Feb 09, 2016 4:45 am
Democratic Nomination (each worth 2 points)
Sanders: Over
Clinton: Under
Republican Nomination (each worth 1 point)
Trump: Over
Rubio: Under
Kasich: Under
Cruz: Over
Christie: Over
Bush: Under
PrivateI
PrivateI
The Real Friend
PrivateI
The Real Friend The Real Friend
Posts: 826 Joined: October 29, 2013
Post
Post #7 (ISO ) » Tue Feb 09, 2016 4:45 am
Post
by PrivateI » Tue Feb 09, 2016 4:45 am
No Carson/Fiorina?
zoraster
zoraster He/Him
Disorganized Crime
zoraster He/Him
Disorganized Crime Disorganized Crime
Posts: 21680 Joined: June 10, 2008
Pronoun: He/Him
Location: Belmont, CA
Post
Post #8 (ISO ) » Tue Feb 09, 2016 4:49 am
Post
by zoraster » Tue Feb 09, 2016 4:49 am
yes, no carson or fiorina. their polling is low enough (3-5 for fiorina, 1-3 for carson) it didn't seem worth it for over/under.
.
Not_Mafia
Not_Mafia
Smash Hit
Not_Mafia
Smash Hit Smash Hit
Posts: 23481 Joined: February 5, 2014
Location: Whitney's Gym
Post
Post #9 (ISO ) » Tue Feb 09, 2016 5:38 am
Post
by Not_Mafia » Tue Feb 09, 2016 5:38 am
Sanders Over
Clinton Under
Trump Under
Rubio Under
Kasich Over
Cruz Over
Christie Over
Bush Under
Also, what is NM doing? Worst play I’ve ever seen
. I can't remember the last N_M post that wasn't bland, unimaginative and lame. Some shitposters are at least somewhat funny. You are the epitomy of the type of poster that nobody would miss if you were to suddenly disappear. You never add anything of value
. I'm guessing you haven't read the game and probably never will? Why even sign up to play
?
Aronis
Aronis
Just here for the Pagetop!
Aronis
Just here for the Pagetop! Just here for the Pagetop!
Posts: 6580 Joined: January 18, 2014
Location: Somewhere
Post
Post #10 (ISO ) » Tue Feb 09, 2016 9:17 am
Post
by Aronis » Tue Feb 09, 2016 9:17 am
In post 1 , zoraster wrote:
Democratic Nomination
(each worth 2 points)
Sanders: 56
OVER!
Clinton: 43
UNDER!
Republican Nomination
(each worth 1 point)
Trump: 32
OVER!
Rubio: 18
UNDER!
Kasich: 15
UNDER!
Cruz: 12
OVER!
Christie: 9
UNDER!
Bush: 7 -I rlly hope its under, but my gut says
OVER!
Drench
Drench he/him
crucial waukesha voter
Drench he/him
crucial waukesha voter crucial waukesha voter
Posts: 1834 Joined: September 25, 2008
Pronoun: he/him
Location: crucial waukesha county
Post
Post #11 (ISO ) » Tue Feb 09, 2016 9:42 am
Post
by Drench » Tue Feb 09, 2016 9:42 am
under
over
under
under
under
over
under
over
join your union
RedCoyote
RedCoyote
Jack of All Trades
RedCoyote
Jack of All Trades Jack of All Trades
Posts: 8036 Joined: October 19, 2008
Location: Houston, TX
Post
Post #12 (ISO ) » Tue Feb 09, 2016 10:03 am
Post
by RedCoyote » Tue Feb 09, 2016 10:03 am
In post 0 , zoraster wrote: It's pretty easy! For each state and major candidate I'll give an over/under number. If you guess correctly, you get a point. If you don't, you don't get a point. Your entry is your first guess, and here we go (next post).
Points will be adjusted based on how many candidates remain and how late we're in the process with a competitive race.
1) Do you plan on posting all the numbers the day of the caucus/primary?
2) What are you going to do for SEC/Super Tuesday?
3) Out of curiosity, where do you get your numbers from? Those don't correspond with RCP.
zoraster
zoraster He/Him
Disorganized Crime
zoraster He/Him
Disorganized Crime Disorganized Crime
Posts: 21680 Joined: June 10, 2008
Pronoun: He/Him
Location: Belmont, CA
Post
Post #13 (ISO ) » Tue Feb 09, 2016 10:05 am
Post
by zoraster » Tue Feb 09, 2016 10:05 am
1. Day or next day probably
2. I'll probably do it through super tuesday. If things are still competitive after that, I'll keep doing it, perhaps with extra points.
3. I took RCP polling and then adjusted it a bit based on what I thought would get people to be split.
.
RedCoyote
RedCoyote
Jack of All Trades
RedCoyote
Jack of All Trades Jack of All Trades
Posts: 8036 Joined: October 19, 2008
Location: Houston, TX
Post
Post #14 (ISO ) » Tue Feb 09, 2016 10:08 am
Post
by RedCoyote » Tue Feb 09, 2016 10:08 am
New Hampshire
Democratic Nomination (each worth 2 points)
Sanders: 56 - Over (58)
Clinton: 43 - Under (41)
Republican Nomination (each worth 1 point)
Trump: 32 - Under (28)
Rubio: 18 - Under (15)
Kasich: 15 - Under (14)
Cruz: 12 - Over (13)
Christie: 9 - Under (7)
Bush: 7 - Over (9)
Carson: 5
Carly: 5
Gilmore: 2
zoraster
zoraster He/Him
Disorganized Crime
zoraster He/Him
Disorganized Crime Disorganized Crime
Posts: 21680 Joined: June 10, 2008
Pronoun: He/Him
Location: Belmont, CA
Post
Post #15 (ISO ) » Tue Feb 09, 2016 10:39 am
Post
by zoraster » Tue Feb 09, 2016 10:39 am
new hampshire guesses close at 7pm EST.
.
RedCoyote
RedCoyote
Jack of All Trades
RedCoyote
Jack of All Trades Jack of All Trades
Posts: 8036 Joined: October 19, 2008
Location: Houston, TX
Post
Post #16 (ISO ) » Tue Feb 09, 2016 11:04 am
Post
by RedCoyote » Tue Feb 09, 2016 11:04 am
After dicking around on Twitter, I'm going to change up my Kasich pick to
Over
. I forgot about the semi-openness of the primary, and old boy is on a major upswing based on what I'm hearing.
Democratic Nomination (each worth 2 points)
Sanders: 56 - Over (58)
Clinton: 43 - Under (41)
Republican Nomination (each worth 1 point)
Trump: 32 - Under (28)
Rubio: 18 - Under (15)
Kasich: 15 - Over (16)
Cruz: 12 - Over (13)
Christie: 9 - Under (7)
Bush: 7 - Over (9)
Carly: 5
Carson: 3
Gilmore: 2
xRECKONERx
xRECKONERx
GD is my Best Man
xRECKONERx
GD is my Best Man GD is my Best Man
Posts: 26087 Joined: March 15, 2009
Post
Post #17 (ISO ) » Wed Feb 10, 2016 5:14 am
Post
by xRECKONERx » Wed Feb 10, 2016 5:14 am
if current results hold:
Democratic Nomination (each worth 2 points)
Sanders: 56 / 60.5 (OVER)
Clinton: 43 / 38.3 (UNDER)
Republican Nomination (each worth 1 point)
Trump: 32 / 35.6 (UNDER)
Rubio: 18 / 10.7 (UNDER)
Kasich: 15 / 15.7 (OVER)
Cruz: 12 / 11.6 (UNDER)
Christie: 9 / 7.5 (UNDER)
Bush: 7 / 11.1 (OVER)
green shirt thursdays
zoraster
zoraster He/Him
Disorganized Crime
zoraster He/Him
Disorganized Crime Disorganized Crime
Posts: 21680 Joined: June 10, 2008
Pronoun: He/Him
Location: Belmont, CA
Post
Post #18 (ISO ) » Wed Feb 10, 2016 5:42 am
Post
by zoraster » Wed Feb 10, 2016 5:42 am
thanks, reck. I'll post our scores in a bit.
.
zoraster
zoraster He/Him
Disorganized Crime
zoraster He/Him
Disorganized Crime Disorganized Crime
Posts: 21680 Joined: June 10, 2008
Pronoun: He/Him
Location: Belmont, CA
Post
Post #19 (ISO ) » Wed Feb 10, 2016 5:43 am
Post
by zoraster » Wed Feb 10, 2016 5:43 am
wait, why didyou say trump's was under?
.
RedCoyote
RedCoyote
Jack of All Trades
RedCoyote
Jack of All Trades Jack of All Trades
Posts: 8036 Joined: October 19, 2008
Location: Houston, TX
Post
Post #20 (ISO ) » Wed Feb 10, 2016 7:46 am
Post
by RedCoyote » Wed Feb 10, 2016 7:46 am
SC is going to be a knife fight, I tell you what. Both sides.
GOP has three potential outcomes (only two are likely). It's either all aboard the Trump Train or we're setting the Cruz Control. I almost want to see Rubio recover though because if he were to somehow win, forget about it. Total chaos.
I don't care what anyone says about any firewall, Hillary is on such a downward trend that I laid some money down on the Bern. There hasn't been a poll in SC since before the Iowa caucuses, let alone NH. The spread in NH goes from Sanders +14 to a result of Sanders +22? What good news is going to happen for Hillary in the next two weeks? Momentum is totally working against her. She's just bleeding support and everyone loves an underdog story. The media are salivating at the thought of a "Sanders drawing comparisons to Obama" narrative. I'm absolutely loving this.
xRECKONERx
xRECKONERx
GD is my Best Man
xRECKONERx
GD is my Best Man GD is my Best Man
Posts: 26087 Joined: March 15, 2009
Post
Post #21 (ISO ) » Wed Feb 10, 2016 7:49 am
Post
by xRECKONERx » Wed Feb 10, 2016 7:49 am
Mistaken on Trump
still only 85.8% reporting? what?
green shirt thursdays
RedCoyote
RedCoyote
Jack of All Trades
RedCoyote
Jack of All Trades Jack of All Trades
Posts: 8036 Joined: October 19, 2008
Location: Houston, TX
Post
Post #22 (ISO ) » Wed Feb 10, 2016 7:55 am
Post
by RedCoyote » Wed Feb 10, 2016 7:55 am
Google has it at 98% with slightly different ratios . I don't think it matters much in the context of changing any of the results you posted though, Reck (plus or minus a couple tenths of a percent).
zoraster
zoraster He/Him
Disorganized Crime
zoraster He/Him
Disorganized Crime Disorganized Crime
Posts: 21680 Joined: June 10, 2008
Pronoun: He/Him
Location: Belmont, CA
Post
Post #23 (ISO ) » Wed Feb 10, 2016 8:11 am
Post
by zoraster » Wed Feb 10, 2016 8:11 am
1 Zoraster 9
2 BROseidon 8
2 Aronis 8
2 RedCoyote 8
5 xRECKONERx 7
6 D3f3nd3r 6
6 PrivateI 6
6 Not_Mafia 6
9 Drench 3
.
zoraster
zoraster He/Him
Disorganized Crime
zoraster He/Him
Disorganized Crime Disorganized Crime
Posts: 21680 Joined: June 10, 2008
Pronoun: He/Him
Location: Belmont, CA
Post
Post #24 (ISO ) » Wed Feb 10, 2016 8:20 am
Post
by zoraster » Wed Feb 10, 2016 8:20 am
the above isn't correct i think. i think my formula is wrong. hang on.
.
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