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Post Post #2275 (ISO) » Wed Dec 21, 2016 10:01 am

Post by Titus »

In post 911, shannon wrote:
In post 869, ironstove wrote:rb is at 5 votes, LUV voted after the VC, so I'm a little worried by how easy this lynch seems and the fact that transcend is also on the wagon is making me think that rb is actually town.
Dude are you reading my mind?
In post 878, drealmerz7 wrote:non-voters should be voting
Now that you mention it ...

In post 894, Transcend wrote:Rb is L-1

Someone drop dat hammer. Cuff him up. Sentence him for life.
VOTE: Transcend if that suggestion is not scum, it's at least anti-town. Waiting for a claim from rb is not necessarily going to draw out PRs (as Transcend says) and it's just good manners to ask for one, for fricks sake.

Actually, I can see a way that Scum Transcend makes this play: RB is town. Transcend is like, hey dudes, totally hammer this wagon, OMG hammer already, best wagon ever, so scummy, five stars would vote RB again. So one of us does it (maybe Transcend thinks I want his approval and will do it for Transcend Points), and RB flips town. Transcend's D2 play is to point the finger at that person and say SEE HOW EASILY THEY CHANGED THEIR VOTE? TOO EASILY and point to the fact that 'whoever votes' is only doing so because Transcend asked, not for some genuine read, and that's surely scum. There he goes, lining up a second lynch but without explicitly needing to tie any two names together at the outset.

In post 897, ironstove wrote:Also transcend demanding someone hammer before rb can even claim is scummy as fuck why the fuck am I the only person scum reading transcend? Like those of you who refuse to scum read transcend because 'he's hard to read' d1 as your meta read and excuse are fucking ridiculous
Point taken. See above.
Yeah, chainsaw based on playstyle.

Based on day 1:My recommended pool is Drone/Shannon with Impoetic.
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Post Post #2276 (ISO) » Wed Dec 21, 2016 10:15 am

Post by ssbm_Kyouko »

In post 2258, shannon wrote: Here's what I've got about Titus's target:

It's not SSBM (see asking whether the target is SSBM's buddy)

It's not me (see where Titus says I'm scum with the target of the check. She also implies that SSBM and I are not scum together)

It's not Drone. In Titus says Drone would have shot her target. **note: For Drone to have shot the target, Drone would need to be scum and the target town.Unless Drone is a town vig - but why vig someone who is going to be investigated anyway? This doesn't add up to me**
All true, so you've found the right givens here to eliminate targets but you misinterpret something later on
In post 2258, shannon wrote: In Titus is 'reasonably sure' her target is scum due to "jumping out of the wood work to attack me," and she is telling Drone who the target is.
Let's have a look at 2166 here:
In post 2166, Titus wrote:Ok, I am telling Drone my target. I am reasonably confident my target is scum with the jumping out of the wood work to attack me.

I am explicitly asking he keep it quiet until midday.
This is actually pointing towards the general activity in the thread of "jumping out of the woodwork to attack her" as an indicator that her target is scum.
In post 2258, shannon wrote: Now we are looking for people who have 'jumped out of the wood work' to attack Titus as of 2166.

Rask hadn't posted yet.
Sesq hadn't posted yet
Impoetic hadn't posted yet
Gerry - only asked a question (did she or did she not tell Drone who was targeted) so that's not an attack.
TTTT - voted Titus ('something's not right) in 2154, but I would not call that 'jumping out of the woodwork to attack'

The only people who might be even remotely construed as 'jumping out to attack' are SSBM, Drone, and me. But she's already said that none of us were her target.
While it's true that she's said none of us 3 were her target at this point, it's still possible she thinks that you and her target are the remaining scum. I would also argue that from a town!Titus PoV that gerry and TTTT are definitely jumping out of the woodwork to attack her, and so are we. All we know is that she didn't target any of us 3 and that she thinks you're one of the 2 remaining scum.
In post 2258, shannon wrote: "The rapid votes indicate my target is scum".
The votes to that point were:

Titus votes Shannon in 2142
SSBM votes Titus in 2144
TTTT votes Titus in 2154
Drone votes Titus in 2168

The phrase 'rapid votes' implies someone later on the wagon is suspicious, because there's nothing 'rapid' about being the first vote. The problem here is that Titus can't have it both ways. If it's SSBM who is voting Titus to defend a scum buddy, then the other votes aren't suspicious because they're genuine and the phrase 'rapid votes' is plain wrong and Titus' whole statement is basically rubbish. TTTT's rapid vote could be opportunistic if she suspects she's been the target of the investigation. Drone's could also be opportunistic, but given that Titus has earlier said she thought Drone would shoot her target, this doesn't make sense.
I'd say that my vote was pretty rapid because I voted before hardly anyone else had posted after daybreak. My vote is not the one in question, and neither is Drone's. It's TTTT's.
TL;DR:
TTTT is the only possible target unless Titus was lying

People should look for TTTT/shannon team indicators if they are of the opinion that Titus is town. First thing that jumps into my mind is TTTT's first scumpool and how Transcend says that it's a good scumpool if you add shannon to it. Would make sense for scum!TTTT to make a pool like that imo, that contained one of his buddies. He also is the one that lead the Gerry wagon D1.

What bothers me is that they're pushing shannon right now and not TTTT. I'm going to do some rereading now though.
UNVOTE:
@Titus - For the record I think you're wrong about shannon even if you're right about TTTT
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Post Post #2277 (ISO) » Wed Dec 21, 2016 10:18 am

Post by Titus »

@SSBM, You've completely forgotten someone in your post.
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Post Post #2278 (ISO) » Wed Dec 21, 2016 10:21 am

Post by ssbm_Kyouko »

In post 2272, Titus wrote:
In post 742, JaeReed wrote:
VC 1.15
ironstove (3)
: Kohai, Sesq, TTTT
drealmerz7 (2)
: Lil Uzi Vert, rb
Transcend (1)
: ironstove
ssbm_Kyouko (1)
: iamafluffyrabbit
shannon (1)
: Transcend
Lil Uzi Vert (1)
: drealmerz7
NOT VOTING (4)
: Impoetic, shannon, Drone, ssbm_Kyouko

With 13 alive it takes 7 to lynch.

Deadline is in (expired on 2016-12-10 12:30:00)


I need something new to put here.
Gamestall for many vcas strong evidence ironstove not bussing.
Did you quote the right VC for this one? I don't follow
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Post Post #2279 (ISO) » Wed Dec 21, 2016 10:24 am

Post by Titus »

In post 2278, ssbm_Kyouko wrote:
In post 2272, Titus wrote:
In post 742, JaeReed wrote:
VC 1.15
ironstove (3)
: Kohai, Sesq, TTTT
drealmerz7 (2)
: Lil Uzi Vert, rb
Transcend (1)
: ironstove
ssbm_Kyouko (1)
: iamafluffyrabbit
shannon (1)
: Transcend
Lil Uzi Vert (1)
: drealmerz7
NOT VOTING (4)
: Impoetic, shannon, Drone, ssbm_Kyouko

With 13 alive it takes 7 to lynch.

Deadline is in (expired on 2016-12-10 12:30:00)


I need something new to put here.
Gamestall for many vcas strong evidence ironstove not bussing.
Did you quote the right VC for this one? I don't follow
The gamestalls between 9 and 15. Thus, scum likely do not care which wagon goes.
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Post Post #2280 (ISO) » Wed Dec 21, 2016 10:27 am

Post by ssbm_Kyouko »

Oh you meant he wasn't bussing during the final wagon
In post 2277, Titus wrote:@SSBM, You've completely forgotten someone in your post.
When you reveal your target and it's not TTTT I'll quote where you contradicted yourself
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Post Post #2281 (ISO) » Wed Dec 21, 2016 10:28 am

Post by TTTT »

that's right folks... the big reveal is... Titus targeted
herself!



Image
Mind. Blown.
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Post Post #2282 (ISO) » Wed Dec 21, 2016 10:31 am

Post by Titus »

In post 2280, ssbm_Kyouko wrote:Oh you meant he wasn't bussing during the final wagon
In post 2277, Titus wrote:@SSBM, You've completely forgotten someone in your post.
When you reveal your target and it's not TTTT I'll quote where you contradicted yourself
Funny how you suppose I contradicted myself rather than check your own logic for whom you're forgetting.

Of course, that's exactly why I checked my target.
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Post Post #2283 (ISO) » Wed Dec 21, 2016 10:34 am

Post by ssbm_Kyouko »

So you're saying you checked Impoetic then? Why is your vote on shannon if Impoetic is the constant between 2 possible scumteams in your eyes?
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Post Post #2284 (ISO) » Wed Dec 21, 2016 10:35 am

Post by Titus »

In post 2283, ssbm_Kyouko wrote:So you're saying you checked Impoetic then? Why is your vote on shannon if Impoetic is the constant between 2 possible scumteams in your eyes?
Reactions. But since the cat is out of the bag.

VOTE: Impoetic

Vote or Die.
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Post Post #2285 (ISO) » Wed Dec 21, 2016 10:38 am

Post by ssbm_Kyouko »

Well that invalidates iamafluffyrabbit and impoetic's conversation being staged D1
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Post Post #2286 (ISO) » Wed Dec 21, 2016 10:38 am

Post by Titus »

I strongly think Shannon/Imp is the team but Drone fullbarrelling Shannon is my sole hesitation there given my half done VCA.
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Post Post #2287 (ISO) » Wed Dec 21, 2016 10:38 am

Post by Titus »

In post 2285, ssbm_Kyouko wrote:Well that invalidates iamafluffyrabbit and impoetic's conversation being staged D1
Join me?
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Post Post #2288 (ISO) » Wed Dec 21, 2016 10:41 am

Post by ssbm_Kyouko »

Drone now that the cat's out of the bag reveal if Impoetic was really the target please
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Post Post #2289 (ISO) » Wed Dec 21, 2016 10:43 am

Post by ssbm_Kyouko »

Also too soon to join anything yet, need to read some things. Also gonna grab the Impoetic wagon at it's max which was 5 votes, it formed and broke very fast between 2 VCs
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Post Post #2290 (ISO) » Wed Dec 21, 2016 11:04 am

Post by Titus »

In post 2289, ssbm_Kyouko wrote:Also too soon to join anything yet, need to read some things. Also gonna grab the Impoetic wagon at it's max which was 5 votes, it formed and broke very fast between 2 VCs
That would be useful to check my theories.
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Post Post #2291 (ISO) » Wed Dec 21, 2016 11:05 am

Post by Drone »

Impoetic was indeed the target.
The full barrel on Shannon is the conclusions I have adding up everything I've collected on her up until now.
If day 2 I didn't feel so sure and refused to lynch her, today I can and comfortably.
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Post Post #2292 (ISO) » Wed Dec 21, 2016 11:07 am

Post by Drone »

I think we call obv scum two different people, Titus.
I was referring to Shannon.
Apparently you were referring to Impoetic..
Both strong lynch candidates, I'll give you that.
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Post Post #2293 (ISO) » Wed Dec 21, 2016 12:12 pm

Post by ssbm_Kyouko »

I'm casing Impoetic as we speak so prepare to be dazzled, shocked we didn't lynch this D1 tbh, it was probably because Transcend decided against it at the time. In retrospect we caught rb later in the day so maybe that was a good thing.
Spoiler: Here's the relevant VCs for reference
VC 1.10
Impoetic (3)
: Kohai,
Transcend
, ironstove
drealmerz7
(3)
: shannon,
Lil Uzi Vert
,
rb

rb
(1)
: TTTT
TTTT (1)
: Drone
Lil Uzi Vert
(1)
:
drealmerz7

Sesq (1)
: ssbm_Kyouko
Transcend
(1)
: iamafluffyrabbit
NOT VOTING (2)
: Impoetic, Sesq


Intermediate VC 1
Impoetic (5)
: Kohai,
Transcend
, ironstove, ssbm_Kyouko, shannon
drealmerz7
(2)
:
Lil Uzi Vert
,
rb

rb
(1)
: TTTT
TTTT (1)
: Drone
Lil Uzi Vert
(1)
:
drealmerz7

Transcend
(1)
: iamafluffyrabbit
NOT VOTING (2)
: Impoetic, Sesq


Intermediate VC 2
Impoetic (3)
: Kohai, ssbm_Kyouko, shannon
drealmerz7
(2)
:
Lil Uzi Vert
,
rb

rb
(1)
: TTTT
TTTT (1)
: Drone
Lil Uzi Vert
(1)
:
drealmerz7

Transcend
(1)
: iamafluffyrabbit
Kohai (1)
:
Transcend

Drone (1)
: ironstove
NOT VOTING (2)
: Impoetic, Sesq


Intermediate VC 3
Impoetic (1)
: shannon
ironstove (3)
: Kohai, Sesq, Drone
drealmerz7
(2)
:
Lil Uzi Vert
,
rb

rb
(1)
: TTTT
Lil Uzi Vert
(1)
:
drealmerz7

Transcend
(1)
: iamafluffyrabbit
Kohai (2)
:
Transcend
, ssbm_Kyouko
Drone (1)
: ironstove
NOT VOTING (1)
: Impoetic


VC 1.11
drealmerz7
(2)
:
Lil Uzi Vert
,
rb

ironstove (2)
: Kohai, Sesq
ssbm_Kyouko (2)
: iamafluffyrabbit, Drone
Kohai (2)
:
Transcend
, ssbm_Kyouko
Impoetic (1)
: shannon
Drone (1)
: ironstove
rb
(1)
: TTTT
Lil Uzi Vert
(1)
:
drealmerz7

NOT VOTING (1)
: Impoetic
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Post Post #2294 (ISO) » Wed Dec 21, 2016 12:15 pm

Post by Titus »

What posts are the intermediate VCs on? When does Shannon vote Impoetic?
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Post Post #2295 (ISO) » Wed Dec 21, 2016 12:20 pm

Post by ssbm_Kyouko »

Forewarning that a lot of the things I'm going to go over in this post have been looked at before, so you'll notice some familiar points and posts if you've been here since D1 start. Raskol/Titus/Gerry may not have seen this stuff yet though. We have the context of flips now so I think it's worth revisiting for everyone though.
In post 211, Impoetic wrote:
In post 207, rb wrote:
Impoetic wrote:It's not like I malignantly quickhammered. I joke-voted. I'm telling you there isn't scum motivation in joke-voting, and it's only bad for town because the culprit is town in the first place; if I were mafia, I'd be giving town the rope with which to hang me for... what? A tiny chance to get one townie lynched early in d1... which would require two townies messing up and doing the same thing you're saying i'm scum for?
How do u know im townie though?
you're most likely town because statistically most people are town in the game, and the argument against me is assuming you're town so there's no point in considering the other scenario
This whole conversation is based on an early rb wagon iirc. Point is, and Kohai is the one who brought it up last time I think, Impoetic's post here was contrived/WIFOMy. Then she comes back at rb saying there's no point in considering he's scum. Town do not think like this unless they are extremely confirmation biased already and I seriously doubt that was the case here.
In post 228, Impoetic wrote:
In post 215, Kohai wrote:
In post 211, Impoetic wrote:you're most likely town because statistically most people are town in the game, and the argument against me is assuming you're town so there's no point in considering the other scenario
Are you seriously town reading someone because statistically they are more likely to be town? Wtf?
Are you seriously saying you're misunderstanding every one of my posts this badly on purpose?


REad what i said. Read it. I said very clearly that STATISTICALLY, EVERYONE IS MOST LIKELY TOWN, and FOR THE PURPOSE OF THE HYPOTHETICAL, I was referring to a world in which RB is town, because that's the relevant scenario there, when RB asked me why I was assuming they were town when I was defending myself for joke-voting them.
The response to Kohai was angry and I don't think that assumptions of someone's alignment have anything to do with whether a joke-vote on that person in RVS is AI. The only way a vote on someone in RVS could be AI is if the voter was scum and knew the alignment of the person they were voting already, so I don't think town would factor the alignment of their vote target into their defense of what was supposedly a joke vote in rvs.
In post 232, Impoetic wrote:
In post 229, Transcend wrote:VOTE: Impoetic


TTTT is town but avatar is disturbing

rb is also still scummy

And last but not least- drealmerz is a mislynch

Aite cya
Haha no i'm pretty sure you can't read me in forum mafia

why are you jumping on a mislynch when the person being voted is trying to contribute and the person doing the voting is half-assedly misconstruing every single thing I say and talking like I'm confscum when he's barely read me and I haven't had time to be conf-anything

you're better than this
AtE and discrediting rather than focusing on contributing to scumhunting, which is what she claims to be doing in her AtE
In post 407, Impoetic wrote:this vote has had resistance from exactly one person, and the justification from everyone has been

I'm defensive

and

I jokevoted

the jokevoting justification is absolutely stupid and i've gone over that extensively

the "defensive" reasoning is about me going over it extensively, which is pro-town and generates content. Argument is good, isn't it? I can't go into any more detail because people can just chalk up anything i say in defense of myself to wifom

it's infuriating

i cannot believe i'm getting wagoned. i guess that's what i get for spazzing out there

I don't know why people TR drone or SR

actually i'm getting very few of the reads here. I tr Roxy but that may be bias because they're the only person i can understand at all this game

maybe rabbit but his last few posts sent him back to null

predit:
oh good someone else who isn't jumping on that stupid bw

shannon -- I typed walls of text as town because I had things to say. I'm not going to hold back what i want to say as town because I risk SRs, because I usually figure as town that justice will prevail in the end, and if people push on me, that gives more reads. I'm not used to being MLed
Not sure who Roxy is here - Impoetic, who is Roxy? Also, is this scum caught for the wrong reasons? Also noting that the only rational thing she has to say to anyone is shannon and the rest of her posting is AtE. Maybe shannon does know that it's Impoetic after all?
In post 412, Impoetic wrote:like

ok

maybe i would ever do it as scum, for wifom

but that'd be because I also do it as town. If I get voted and I don't think it's reasonable, I will respond with why it's unreasonable, and expect the voter to engage me so i can try to figure out whether they're pushing a mislynch as scum or genuinely just mistaken town

predit: the only player i know is transcend and i'm pretty bad at reading him as far as I know. I'll get back to you on that. If I knew a LOT of them, it'd be cause for concern on your part, wouldn't it? Like, if all the people who could meta me were wagoning me...

predit2: the "I'd do this as scum" was fine but then the "town points for the first person to give reasons for scumreading me" slightly leaned scum. Also i feel kind of pocketed right now but that's just me being paranoid. I don't think it's implausible that you're town but I mean, if you are, I don't think you'd lie, and it means you think people should potentially scumread you at this point; if you're scum, that means something else.
Her defense of her actions is WIFOM that basically says "Maybe I would do this as scum for WIFOM, but since it would be WIFOM that means I
could
do it as town so clearly all of this is NAI!"
In post 1324, Impoetic wrote:
rb's iso was lackluster and he could basically flip either way
?

i just got back and i'm trying to catch up, sorry. Titus, i thought you said you thought all town were lynching town, and i see that your SRs are not voting it, so why does wagon analysis prove he's town like that to you?

I mean, ok, lack of counterwagon. That might be a good point, actually.

But why can't TTTT be scum with him? It looks like TTTT is pushing the second most likely wagon right now.
In post 1427, Impoetic wrote:well hey that was
obvious and cool


transcend i did figure out you were town while i was rereading = ( and i think kyouko's town too from what i've seen, but i'm far from finished catching up rip

rescinding the read on sesq
In post 1432, Impoetic wrote:Okay wait I don't think I ever absorbed who D7 was. Sorry for the dumb question, but who is that? Or do you mean like, when it hits 7 people or something? :s

predit: sorry oops, that was unclear. Transcend was
obvious town and an obvious kill (in reference to the flip)
and
cool as in we lynched mafia
. I only checked transcend's actual role after people brought it up so i didn't see he was a JOAT immediately.
Impoetic didn't participate in the lynch and she's making it look like she did by saying we.
In post 1433, Impoetic wrote:actually i'm not entirely sure what the obvious was directed at it might not have been transcend given my next sentence

i assume i said it on autopilot. I didn't really remember anything about RB, and though i thought his reaction was bad, titus resisting it made me pretty indifferent to that lynch, so i would hope i wasn't referring to that.
When called out (I think by TTTT) she backpedals. This looks like an OK lynch to me tbh
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Post Post #2296 (ISO) » Wed Dec 21, 2016 12:23 pm

Post by ssbm_Kyouko »

In post 2294, Titus wrote:What posts are the intermediate VCs on? When does Shannon vote Impoetic?
The mod was gone between VC 1.10 on post 350 and VC 1.11 on post 566. I made 3 intermediate VCs by going back manually and using ctrl+F to find the votes. All the players are listed in the order that they voted to stay consistent so she is the 5th vote on the wagon
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Post Post #2297 (ISO) » Wed Dec 21, 2016 12:27 pm

Post by ssbm_Kyouko »

Looks like such an OK lynch in fact I'm gonna
VOTE: Impoetic
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Post Post #2298 (ISO) » Wed Dec 21, 2016 12:59 pm

Post by shannon »

In post 2286, Titus wrote:I strongly think Shannon/Imp is the team but Drone fullbarrelling Shannon is my sole hesitation there given my half done VCA.
You still think it's more likely that Impoetic is ascetic vs. you were roleblocked?

On Titus' view, this means Impoetic went VLA to lurk after shaking off her wagon, then came back and did the night action. Or that I am also a ninja, since LUV didn't see me move on N1.
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Post Post #2299 (ISO) » Wed Dec 21, 2016 1:06 pm

Post by Titus »

Really, that's all you have to say to everything that happened in these pages? IioA recap.

Yes and Yes.
Show
The scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx

You're letting Titus win the game by herself.Good luck now I guess.You have no chance to win.~Tywin

GTKTitus Part 2
Titus Academy

VLA Friday nights until Sunday morning.

All hail the Scum Empress!

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