Micro 679: Double Day Unlimited Hydra Blitz! ~ Endgame

Micro Games (9 players or fewer). Archived during the 2023 queue overhaul.
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Post Post #950 (ISO) » Mon Jan 30, 2017 8:50 am

Post by MANTIS SHRIMP »

Ugh, I feel like Sword is now town and we should lynch the Frozen pair.
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Post Post #951 (ISO) » Mon Jan 30, 2017 8:51 am

Post by LewdandRude »

CREATURE
It's 0651 and I really should be asleep but holyfuck I need to talk to you.
How you doin ol' pal?
Can we agree on Trans and Slaughter town? If not, can you tell me why?
-Lewd
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Post Post #952 (ISO) » Mon Jan 30, 2017 8:52 am

Post by MANTIS SHRIMP »

creature i'm almost home and im going to catch up but we need to talk

absolutely not lynching e&a they are town
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Post Post #953 (ISO) » Mon Jan 30, 2017 8:53 am

Post by LewdandRude »

'OMG WHY DOES EVERYBODY NULLREAD ME' - FA
I'd love to hear both Creature's and Giggles' input on ENA.
-Lewd
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Post Post #954 (ISO) » Mon Jan 30, 2017 8:57 am

Post by Transcendence »

In post 591, Slaughterhouse Five wrote:
In post 255, Penguinos wrote:
In post 251, MANTIS SHRIMP wrote:i mean i believe that karnos wasnt online but i dont really see why you shouldnt vote your scumread
Meh. Vote or "hurt." Who the F cares. I did what I did when I did for the reasons I said I did. Keep trying to reach.
I like this tone.
I don't think that Penguinos missing Infinity voting Dunn for the quickhammer is particularly alignment-indicative; I think he got objective information wrong because he didn't see it and don't see a compelling case beyond that.
In post 600, Slaughterhouse Five wrote:
In post 272, Transcendence wrote:I like when giga said they're throwing shade instead of trying to scumhunt in a couple places (like seriously, the mantis shade without a stated read?) and I think they're not nearly as emotional as I would expect most town to be in their position.
I think that their push on Dunn for the hammer is legitimate scumhunting. I think that their "I did what I did so fuck off" attitude is about as emotional as normal people would be in their place.
In post 274, LewdandRude wrote:It's not so much that he's dodging questions, but that what he said initially didn't make sense at all andwas a horrible vote onto us
The reasoning wasn't great, but pushing it confidently despite Penguin's obvious disapproval and getting frustrated when people pushed him for it looked good to me.
In post 623, Slaughterhouse Five wrote:Penguinos looks quite town; karnos's tunnel seems sincere and the way he's pushing it doesn't seem like it's coming from scum at all. The content of his push is not something I agree with in any sense of the word.
@Lewd Can you respond to these points?

-Inf
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Post Post #955 (ISO) » Mon Jan 30, 2017 8:58 am

Post by MANTIS SHRIMP »

In post 951, LewdandRude wrote:Can we agree on Trans and Slaughter town? If not, can you tell me why?
Okay, let's agree.
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Post Post #956 (ISO) » Mon Jan 30, 2017 8:59 am

Post by MANTIS SHRIMP »

In post 953, LewdandRude wrote:I'd love to hear both Creature's and Giggles' input on ENA.
I keep nullreading them, I doubt I'll ever trust the game on them being town, and they're likely the hydra I less townread, so here's where I am.
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Post Post #957 (ISO) » Mon Jan 30, 2017 8:59 am

Post by Transcendence »

In post 949, LewdandRude wrote:Don't know what to make of Smart's response.

Inf, help me out here.
No, I'm sheeping my scumread. Never said I thought they were scum together, and looking at my readlist it should already be clear that I don't. And if you'll notice, S5 isn't voting C&AE, so there's no particular reason to think that it's scum pushing a mislynch nor to think that they might not be scum together.
How does this come from scum? I'm not so sure Smart is skilled enough to fabricate this.
-Lewd
Not seeing what you're seeing. I mean he is thinking about it with a little depth but he has to for his response. Explain?

-Inf
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Post Post #958 (ISO) » Mon Jan 30, 2017 9:00 am

Post by MANTIS SHRIMP »

I don't like townreading someone whom I know is skilled as scum.
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Post Post #959 (ISO) » Mon Jan 30, 2017 9:00 am

Post by MANTIS SHRIMP »

Let's say that I agree on an E&A and Penguinos scumteam.
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Post Post #960 (ISO) » Mon Jan 30, 2017 9:01 am

Post by Transcendence »

In post 958, MANTIS SHRIMP wrote:I don't like townreading someone whom I know is skilled as scum.
FA's gonna be pissed but thank you for saying this

Did you read my case on sword?

-Inf
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Post Post #961 (ISO) » Mon Jan 30, 2017 9:06 am

Post by MANTIS SHRIMP »

In post 960, Transcendence wrote:Did you read my case on sword?
No. Where's it?
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Post Post #962 (ISO) » Mon Jan 30, 2017 9:06 am

Post by MANTIS SHRIMP »

In post 960, Transcendence wrote:FA's gonna be pissed but thank you for saying this
IM WORKING ON CONVINCING HIM FA DOESN'T GOTTA WORRY ABOUT IT

i will read your sword case during my deep-read - if you can give a specific post number that would help so i remember to give thoughts on it

i basically have just been skimming the past day so my thoughts are super superficial (lol)

was not expecting this game to move this quickly but it's a blitz i guess
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Post Post #963 (ISO) » Mon Jan 30, 2017 9:07 am

Post by Transcendence »

In post 872, Transcendence wrote:
Spoiler: case on sword
In post 115, Sword of Damocles wrote:MANTIS SHRIMP is town.
In post 62, Chihiro and Alter Ego wrote:PP why are you signing?
I get it's cool you wanna tell us which head is talking
but why give that information to scum?
wat?
In post 105, LewdandRude wrote:@giga Yeah that hammer was bad but I don't think it will happen again™ And even if they do, there's an above-average chance imo for there to be scum. Listen it's a blitz game gotta go fast y'know. I'm not about to quickhammer someone but I wouldn't mind if another "accident" were to happen you get what I mean?
bullshit detected.

Pedit: Hi Infinity are you scum again?
None of the 4 things he's said are original sentiments except for maybe the hydra signing thing which is theory. He then continues arguing that point, making it seem like he's trying to look busy.
In post 156, Sword of Damocles wrote:
In post 113, Transcendence wrote:What the actual, literal tangible fuck.

We already have hydra heads arguing with each other in the game thread and a quicklynch on page 5?

VOTE: lar

The hammer is worth a vote by itself, and I don't really like your reaction wrt it either.

VOTE: chihiro

I don't like the tone here
First few lines are kinda LAMIST, but not in a towny way.
In post 118, Transcendence wrote:Forgot to mention, mantis shrimp arguing with itself in-thread looks town because some people think hydra dissonance is scummy no matter what, and because it's less careful than I'd expect scum to be.

Hi smart :) I'm town and you better get it right this time

-Inf
This reason is bad and sounds manufactured. I may be being self-centered but it seems like you wanted to get in early on townreading a player who you thought would be come widely townread and needed a reason to do so. (For the record, I have a specific reason to townread Mantis but it's not that.)
In post 125, Transcendence wrote:
In post 121, Chihiro and Alter Ego wrote:Yeah this isn't town Infinity. I'm comfortable with calling it.
Neither one of your heads knows me well enough to say this yet. Neither one of your heads has played with scum!me afaik. Get back here and let's talk about it.

And I'm not making scummy posts smart.

-Inf
I would have expected town-you to bring up the fact that I've primarily seen your scumgame and thus might not be able to distinguish between your scum tone and your normal tone instead of just dismissing it.
In post 139, Transcendence wrote:
In post 134, Chihiro and Alter Ego wrote:
In post 126, Transcendence wrote:I'm assuming that was jae, I can't understand how you could judge my alignment this early based off of one town game months ago. Explain.

-Inf
Tone.
Yes, my tone is different between a very high-level game (again, from months ago) and page 5 of a chaotic blitz with all hydras. And?

I don't remember you being so annoyingly arrogant, quite the opposite actually.

-Inf
Trying to explain away the tone difference instead of just trying to prove you're town.
In post 143, Transcendence wrote:
You're trying to shift this to me when you're the one being called out: why wouldn't I have answered...?
You always refuse to explain your reads

Forgive me if I'm a little bit snippy after you quickhammered someone on page 3
What are you talking about?
You called my reasons for townreading mantis bad. I said you can go fuck yourself.

-Inf
Second line feels forced. As Rafiki would say, "It doesn't matter! It was in the past!" IMO this sounds more like carrying over your LAMIST from .
In post 152, Transcendence wrote:
In post 148, LewdandRude wrote:
In post 143, Transcendence wrote:You always refuse to explain your reads

Forgive me if I'm a little bit snippy after you quickhammered someone on page 3
So you don't actually think I'm scum, but want to policy me because I quickhammered a guy? If you had just said that, I'd have felt a lot better, but trying to justify it with shoddy reasoning makes you look really bad

Also, you don't talk like that as town.
Nah, I'm pissed at you, and also think you are likely scum
In post 149, LewdandRude wrote:
In post 147, Transcendence wrote:I was saying my tone is different because the game is different
what's the difference between a high-level game without hydra, and a high-level game with all hydra, if you're just talking on your own
It affects how I approach the game

This game I'm more high energy and matter-of-fact way of speaking whereas in a slower, more serious game I'd be more unsure and thoughtful

-Inf
This one's a personal tell, but I know I tend to describe my own playstyles more as scum. And yes you were asked a question but this sounds like a calculated description.
-smart
Then he gives his reasons for scumreading me which, looking back, feel like he's trying to justify instead of figure out. I'd expect town!him to word it less confidently for one, since he didn't appear super sure and his points aren't really that strong anyway. Also, the whole thing is mainly picking on wording, which is easy to do even if you don't look in depth (which smart definitely is not).
In post 142, Sword of Damocles wrote:"My tone is much different because this is an unusual game.
Why the heck is your tone so much different?"
-smart
His first original point. (it is a good point, but still)
In post 180, Sword of Damocles wrote:
In post 174, Chihiro and Alter Ego wrote:
In post 172, Sword of Damocles wrote:
In post 159, LewdandRude wrote:
In post 158, Sword of Damocles wrote:I don't think they've said anything alignment indicative.
What's that supposed to mean

They've talked plenty
I think that everything they had said before that post could have been said by either alignment fairly easily.
-smart
Stop fencesitting. Gun to your head, choose.
Out of curiosity, what's your read on Slaughterhouse Five?
-smart
In post 187, Sword of Damocles wrote:
In post 185, Chihiro and Alter Ego wrote:They haven't posted.
Stop fencesitting. :P

Have I illustrated my point though? Fencesitting is where you could do either way. In this case, I could go neither way because I don't have enough information.
-smart
In post 196, Sword of Damocles wrote:Well that's one way to know who's posting. :P
In post 190, Chihiro and Alter Ego wrote:
In post 187, Sword of Damocles wrote:
In post 185, Chihiro and Alter Ego wrote:They haven't posted.
Stop fencesitting. :P

Have I illustrated my point though? Fencesitting is where you could do either way. In this case, I could go neither way because I don't have enough information.
-smart
I literally took a stance in the next sentence when I said associations make them town.
You're missing the point, and FYI you shouldn't have a read on a slot that hasn't posted.
-smart
More focusing on small points, meanwhile he's only given 2 reads. Town without a lot of reads a this point wants to get more and not get caught up in minutia.
In post 258, Sword of Damocles wrote:
In post 255, Penguinos wrote:
In post 251, MANTIS SHRIMP wrote:i mean i believe that karnos wasnt online but i dont really see why you shouldnt vote your scumread
Meh. Vote or "hurt." Who the F cares. I did what I did when I did for the reasons I said I did. Keep trying to reach.
ew
-smart
Throwing shade and not committing or looking in depth
In post 501, Sword of Damocles wrote:Hey I'm here. Still don't know where Ari is though.

I still think Transcendence is scum but I don't want them flipped today. If they did flip town (of which I think there's a decent chance because my Infinity read is hella colored by past games) then we'd be screwed.

Penguinos is an easy lynch, independent of their alignment. I got townfeels and scumfeels from the slot, but it's tricky not having experience with either head.

Chihiro is tricky (almost all the reads in this game are tricky, okay); I'd genuinely lean town (versus before, when I just said town to be a smartass), due to a few examples of town mindset where their reasoning includes the implicit assumption that they are town.

Leaning fairly towny on LewdandRude based on their play, and my experience with Dunn corroborates this.

Hella paranoid on E&A, but I haven't gotten any warning bells from their posts. I think more from RC, particularly once he starts making his reads clear, will help there, and FA's tone isn't bad (which is how I think she needs to be read).

S5 needs to post more.

Town: MANTIS SHRIMP
Null/town: LewdandRude, Chihiro and Alter Ego
Null: Elsa and Anna, Slaugherhouse Five, Penguinos
Null/scum: Transcendence
The only real analysis in this post is wrt chihiro, and his points there all ended up being very weak. There is a lot of "this is how I'm trying to read this slot" which looks LAMIST to me where town would just want to give the conclusion and explain how they got there. I mean, at least with my read on E&A I've given some towny things they did and some things that bothered me.

Also, if smart was really this unsure about everyone, his tone overall would probably be a lot different and he'd be asking a lot more probing questions.
In post 578, Sword of Damocles wrote:VOTE: Slaughterhouse Five
Found who I want to lynch today.
-smart
In post 585, Sword of Damocles wrote:Pings everywhere
-smart
This shit and disappear for half an hour seems like scum needing to take a breather. If he was town and busy or needed a break I think he'd say so.

Also, this kinda seems like he's jumping on the opportunity to have a strong scumread since he didn't have any before.
In post 665, Sword of Damocles wrote:Well I guess we are at an impasse then.
-smart
I think town!smart tries to engage with me here because of our history together and because apparently he's still unsure about my alignment. Instead he knows I caught him so he's given up on that front and is instead content with his excuse to vote me even though he stopped trying to sort me (well, never really tried in the first place).
In post 725, Sword of Damocles wrote:
In post 724, Transcendence wrote:PEdit: Not really, I was the first vote on you and the second on sword
He said "can gain steam", not "is already gaining steam".
-smart
Most town wouldn't find the need to do this, especially at a time of high tensions I think he'd have other stuff to focus on.
In post 735, Sword of Damocles wrote:Also, what do you think about Transcendence completely dropping their townread on us?
Again, didn't like that he asked dunn before he commented himself
In post 738, Sword of Damocles wrote:I think you're either a moron or a scumbag. Or possibly both.
Again, didn't like what was essentially a non-answer here. Of course this is true from his pov, but he doesn't try to find out which and doesn't give his thoughts on why it would be one or the other.


Looking back at this ISO has made me more confident. Basically, a large portion of it is either not related to this specific game, or something someone already said (I didn't point out everything because there was too much, but yeah). His reasons for scumreading people do not look like ones town would find if they were genuinely looking through, but instead things like wording. His reads don't develop organically or change much with new information. He never says things like "town could be thinking this, scum could be thinking this", it's all surface level bullshit. It's just hard to imagine he's making a real effort to figure things out.

I'm kinda nervous so I may not be looking at this super objectively but I hope I'm at least a little bit convincing.
-Inf
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Post Post #964 (ISO) » Mon Jan 30, 2017 9:08 am

Post by LewdandRude »

In post 957, Transcendence wrote:-snip-

Not seeing what you're seeing. I mean he is thinking about it with a little depth but he has to for his response. Explain?

-Inf
I'm not sure I buy scumSmart coming up with such a nuanced explanation for that particular question off the cuff. It's more than a little depth, it's a fully evolved read.
I feel like scumSmart is more likely to just disregard the question or write it off somehow.

RE:Penguin
Karnos is just a fucking mess tbh. Last time I played with him he was incredibly obvtown and had one million times more logical consistency. I can't think of a reason for him to fuck around with and misrepresent what he's said and thought to fabricate loaded scenarios where I'm scum every which way as town.
I don't think the confidence is a particularly strong townread. Karnos is confident and standoffish regardless.
-Lewd
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Post Post #965 (ISO) » Mon Jan 30, 2017 9:08 am

Post by LewdandRude »

Although Smart disappearing as soon as I start questioning my scumread on him is worrying.
-Lewd
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Post Post #966 (ISO) » Mon Jan 30, 2017 9:11 am

Post by LewdandRude »

Maybe I'm in a deep tunnel on Penguin but as it stands he's one of the very few slots I hard tr so.

Slaughterhouse Five - Town
Penguinos - Scum?
LewdandRude - Town
Transcendence - Town
Chihiro and Alter Ego - ?
MANTIS SHRIMP - Towny
Sword of Damocles - Scum...?
Elsa and Anna - ?

Do we have four lynches left?
-Lewd
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Post Post #967 (ISO) » Mon Jan 30, 2017 9:12 am

Post by LewdandRude »

If we do this game is literally already won.
-Lewd
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Post Post #968 (ISO) » Mon Jan 30, 2017 9:13 am

Post by MANTIS SHRIMP »

In post 964, LewdandRude wrote:Karnos is confident and standoffish regardless.
^

still on page 19 but this thought actually did come up before

karnos was actually my first scum that i ever caught... whoever said confidence was a towntell for him was dead-ass wrong because this guy was pushing bullshit left and right, getting believed by everyone for no reason and townread for it, and totally seemed like he believed in it. i don't really see this as completely out of the question of his scumrange

open 646 for reference

as town though i kind of disagree in that his arguments made more sense logically - forgot the number of the game but i basically pushed a policy lynch on him the day before lylo because there was no way he was voting scum and if we kept him alive he would have lost the game for us (we lost anyway lol but still). i was basically confirmed town by like set-up spec and partner interactions and i just got tired of the wall wars

actually would like to know where that description came from @lewd
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Post Post #969 (ISO) » Mon Jan 30, 2017 9:14 am

Post by MANTIS SHRIMP »

In post 967, LewdandRude wrote:If we do this game is literally already won.
-Lewd
3 actually

{L&R, Us, E&A, S5} are basically the townreads i'm sure about but that's not enough to crack it open
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Post Post #970 (ISO) » Mon Jan 30, 2017 9:14 am

Post by LewdandRude »

http://forum.mafiascum.net/viewtopic.php?f=83&t=69331
Bonus points: Penguin was also in that game.
-Lewd
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Post Post #971 (ISO) » Mon Jan 30, 2017 9:15 am

Post by Sword of Damocles »

In post 965, LewdandRude wrote:Although Smart disappearing as soon as I start questioning my scumread on him is worrying.
-Lewd
I'm not gonna lie it's definitely because I don't want to screw things up :roll:

At this point, our survival is probably our most important priority as either alignment.

Also, I can get not scumreading S5 as strongly as I did, but why townread them so much?
-smart
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Post Post #972 (ISO) » Mon Jan 30, 2017 9:15 am

Post by MANTIS SHRIMP »

In post 966, LewdandRude wrote:Do we have four lynches left?
D1: 2 lynches
7 players left
N1: Nightkill
6 players left
D2: 2 lynches
4 players left (if 2 mafia are alive, they win)
N2: Nightkill
3 players left

So five lynches total if one mafia dies. Four left.
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Post Post #973 (ISO) » Mon Jan 30, 2017 9:15 am

Post by Transcendence »

In post 964, LewdandRude wrote:
In post 957, Transcendence wrote:-snip-

Not seeing what you're seeing. I mean he is thinking about it with a little depth but he has to for his response. Explain?

-Inf
I'm not sure I buy scumSmart coming up with such a nuanced explanation for that particular question off the cuff. It's more than a little depth, it's a fully evolved read.
I feel like scumSmart is more likely to just disregard the question or write it off somehow.
"I'm sheeping my scumread because I think he may be bussing, or town and right"

Still don't see how that has more than a little nuance to it. What bothers me about it is that he doesn't seem to be reaching out to nacho or saying anything about it when he's apparently doubting the read
Karnos is just a fucking mess tbh. Last time I played with him he was incredibly obvtown and had one million times more logical consistency. I can't think of a reason for him to fuck around with and misrepresent what he's said and thought to fabricate loaded scenarios where I'm scum every which way as town.
I don't think the confidence is a particularly strong townread. Karnos is confident and standoffish regardless.
-Lewd
Well I saw him play as scum a long time ago and he was not confident whatsoever, he was so waffly/flipfloppy that I townread him for too scummy to be scum, lol. I'll try to find the game.

Also he was decently scumread in a game where I was scum and he was town.

But in general town do weird and bad things when they're stuck in a tunnel.

-Inf
Infinity 324 and Transcend hydra
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Post Post #974 (ISO) » Mon Jan 30, 2017 9:16 am

Post by Sword of Damocles »

In post 973, Transcendence wrote:But in general town do weird and bad things when they're stuck in a tunnel.
*COUGHS LOUDLY*
-smart

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