prez infinity mafiascum 2016: the general creaks into action

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Post Post #175 (ISO) » Sat Feb 18, 2017 7:58 am

Post by Drench »

N wrote:why even bother, mothma
i think it's cute
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Post Post #176 (ISO) » Sat Feb 18, 2017 8:23 pm

Post by Kari »

im loving this as a spectator
There are few things in life worth appreciating~
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Post Post #177 (ISO) » Sat Feb 18, 2017 9:06 pm

Post by Drench »

doing the next writeup now but dems: it literally is a three-way tie for first in nevada, two days out from the vote. i'm not even joking
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Post Post #178 (ISO) » Sat Feb 18, 2017 9:27 pm

Post by Drench »

Events up to South Carolina and Nevada

3 days until South Carolina (GOP) and Nevada (DEM)
6 days until Nevada (GOP)
265 days until the Presidential Election


Headlines

The papers are released each day in the morning, and describe what happened the previous day. The first day of the cycle is a Wednesday, and the last a Tuesday, but the first newspapers are Thursday's, and the last Wednesday's.


Thursday's papers:
lmao god
Abbott
is still dominating headlines from the NH win, and it's kinda getting annoying tbh. But both his and
Negarir's
attack ads on Healthcare and the War of Terror respectively (I don't know which one, have you seen how many ads these people are making) backfire, and
Spire
is just such a goddamn goody-two-shoes doing well on Fox News Sunday and givng another well-received policy speech I hate him. He also goes for
Reckoner
in a new ad, while
Khan
tries the same for
Abbott
.
Defender
is keeping busy, raising funds and hitting up O'Reilly, while
Serduchka
pays a visit to Stephen Colbert.
Spire
receives the endorsement of
Gov. Bruce Rauner
, and a lot of people are giving speeches and getting protested.
The next Republican debate is in seven days.


Friday:
Khan
is quite good on O'Reilly, and
TSL
needs to stop being so negative.
Negarir
tries to hit
Abbott
on terror in Oklahoma, while
Peanuts
mingles in Texas. And there's a lot of things that don't really seem to be affecting anything: a
Mothma
attack ad on
Khan
, another attack ad from the latter to the former, speeches from
Defender
and
Abbott
; what a time.

Saturday:
Negarir
shines on Meet the Press, while both
Reckoner
and
Spire
appear on the same night on Fallon, which would have been awkward I guess.
Abbott
does Fox News Sunday on a Saturday, while THE
Gov. Mike Pence
endorses...
Spire
. On immigration. Which, to be fair, pre-Trump Pence and
Spire
are pretty close (that is, centrist) on immigration.
Khan
continues to barnstorm in Nevada, while
Mothma
takes the time to slam
Abbott
in Vermont. I am not sure if
McGriddles
did anything these past few days.

In Review

The news cycle strength is how good or bad your media was for the week, if you had any media at all. The ads just tell you who's producing what, and what's being targeted in each. Scandals are self-explanatory. The full picture has basically everything that happened, but unformatted, so you can cry while you read it.


Spoiler: News cycle strength
this is a week-long turn thing only


Spoiler: Ads
i didn't manage to get them this time sorry lmao


Spoiler: The rest
Republican South Carolina Primary today!
Democratic Nevada Caucuses today!
Republican Nevada Caucuses in 3 days!
Democratic South Carolina Primary in 7 days!
Republican Minnesota Caucuses in 10 days!
Republican Alabama Primary in 10 days!
Republican Oklahoma Primary in 10 days!
Republican Alaska Caucuses in 10 days!
Republican Tennessee Primary in 10 days!
Republican Texas Primary in 10 days!
Republican Vermont Primary in 10 days!
Republican Virginia Primary in 10 days!
Republican Wyoming Caucuses in 10 days!
Democratic Alabama Primary in 10 days!
Democratic Arkansas Primary in 10 days!
Democratic Colorado Caucuses in 10 days!
Democratic Georgia Primary in 10 days!
Democratic Massachusetts Primary in 10 days!
Democratic Minnesota Caucuses in 10 days!
Republican Arkansas Primary in 10 days!
Democratic Oklahoma Primary in 10 days!
Republican Colorado Caucuses in 10 days!
Democratic Tennessee Primary in 10 days!
Democratic Texas Primary in 10 days!
Democratic Vermont Primary in 10 days!
Democratic Virginia Primary in 10 days!
Republican Georgia Primary in 10 days!
Republican Massachusetts Primary in 10 days!
REP primaries debate in 5 days.
REP primaries debate in 12 days.
Spire endorsed by Gov. Bruce Rauner > Leadership!
Gov. Bruce Rauner is now a potential Surrogate for Spire!
Spire endorsed by Gov. Mike Pence > Immigration!
Gov. Mike Pence is now a potential Surrogate for Spire!
Negarir's attack ad has backfired.
Abbott's attack ad has backfired.


no maps because the election is just around the corner ;)

Next time, on this thing!:
NE-VAH-DAH, SOUTH CAROLINA
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Post Post #179 (ISO) » Sat Feb 18, 2017 10:05 pm

Post by Drench »

SOUTH CAROLINA (
REPUBLICAN
)


For some dumb fuck reason, South Carolina and Nevada have both elected to hold the major party contests on different dates. Tonight, South Carolina hosts the Republicans. The polls opened at 7am, and closed at 7pm, for a nice symmetrical twelve hours of democracy.

This primary, in the real world, is winner-take-all by congressional district, which pundits call winner-take-most since, if you're doing well in one congressional district, it's likely you're doing well in heaps. That's too sophisticated for modern technology, probably so tonight's primary is
winner-take-all
.

There are fifty delegates up for grabs, and polling says Abbott is expected to win them all: can he make it three from three?

Image


Spoiler: The South Carolina Republican Primary; Saturday, 20th February, 2016
The final results have been certified.

In sixth place, with 59,084 votes and 8% of the vote,
Khan
. He underperforms final polling by 1.4%.

In fifth place, with 71,578 votes and 9.7% of the vote,
Negarir
. He overperforms final polling by 0.2%.

In fourth place, with 79,053 votes and 10.7% of the vote,
TSL
. She underperforms final polling by 3.1%.





































































In third place, with 142,531 votes and 19.2% of the vote,
Defender
. He overperforms final polling by 15.1%.













































































The winner of the South Carolina Republican primary...


















































With 195,570 votes, and 26.4% of the vote...













































Winning by only 2,505 votes...
















































































Image
Tony Abbott
50 delegates won
-11.5% from polling


In second place, with 193,065 votes, and 26.1% of the vote, was
Mothma
. She overperforms polling by 16.4%.

CandidateVote share# of votesDelegates won+/- final polling
Abbott26.4%195,57050 dels-11.5%
Mothma26.1%193,0650 dels+16.4%
Defender19.2%142,5310 dels+15.1%
TSL10.7%79,0530 dels-3.1%
Negarir9.7%71,5780 dels+0.2%
Khan8.0%59,0840 dels-1.4%
Total740,88150 dels


Democrats coming right up.
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Post Post #180 (ISO) » Sat Feb 18, 2017 10:06 pm

Post by Drench »

also holy shit, a full ten percent of voters NATIONALLY in the republican primary are now undecided
we've been sleeping on the exciting race all this goddamn time

the republican electorate is literally in chaos
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Post Post #181 (ISO) » Sat Feb 18, 2017 10:24 pm

Post by Drench »

NEVADA (
DEMOCRATIC
)


After a close primary in the east, it's time for a caucus in
Harry Reid's playpen
the west. The caucus begins at 11am PST, because fuck workers, am I right folks!

As with all Democratic primaries and caucuses, this caucus has a
15%
threshold to earn delegates. Poll below that, and it's bunk for you.

Serduchka's won two from two--a caucus blowout in Iowa, and a closer but still decisive victory in New Hampshire. Can she make it three-for-three, and claim a plurality of Nevada's 43 delegates?

Image


Spoiler: The Nevada Democratic Caucus; Saturday, 20th February, 2016
The final results have been certified.

In fifth place, with 413 votes and 3.4% of the vote,
Reckoner
. He fails to meet the delegate threshold, and underperforms final polling by 0.2%.

In fourth place, with 773 votes and 6.3% of the vote,
McGriddles
. He fails to meet the delegate threshold, and underperforms final polling by 1.2%.
































In third place, with 2,771 votes and 22.7% of the vote...
































...
Peanuts
. He claims eleven delegates, and overperforms final polling by 1.5%.



















The winner of the Nevada Democratic caucus...





























































With 5,139 votes, and 42% of the vote...














































































Verka Serduchka
20 delegates won
+7.6% from polling


In second place, with 3,137 votes and 25.6% of the vote,
Spire
. He claims twelve delegates, and underperforms final polling by 4.1%.

CandidateVote share# of votesDelegates won+/- final polling
Serduchka42.0%5,13920 dels+7.6%
Spire25.6%3,13712 dels-4.1%
Peanuts22.7%2,77111 dels+1.5%
McGriddles6.3%7730 dels-1.2%
Reckoner3.4%4130 dels-0.2%
Total12,23343 dels


Spoiler: Progressive Results after South Carolina (GOP) and Nevada (DEM)
CandidateVote share# of votesDelegates won
Abbott28.7%348,12169 dels
TSL13.8%167,5189 dels
Khan11.3%137,3248 dels
Negarir10.7%129,4017 dels
Mothma20.0%242,5115 dels
Defender15.6%188,8545 dels
Dels left2,369 dels
Total1,213,7292,472 dels


CandidateVote share# of votesDelegates won
Serduchka46.1%201,12285 dels
Peanuts15.4%67,20418 dels
Spire10.5%46,03112 dels
McGriddles19.4%84,51711 dels
Reckoner8.6%37,5300 dels
Dels left4,639 dels
Total436,4044,765 dels
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Post Post #182 (ISO) » Sat Feb 18, 2017 10:49 pm

Post by Kublai Khan »

Damn. SC sucks.
Occasionally intellectually honest

Black Lives Matter
Get vaccinated
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Post Post #183 (ISO) » Sat Feb 18, 2017 11:42 pm

Post by Drench »

Events up to Nevada 2.0

3 days until Nevada (GOP)
7 days until South Carolina (DEM)
262 days until the Presidential Election


Headlines

The papers are released each day in the morning, and describe what happened the previous day. The first day of the cycle is a Wednesday, and the last a Tuesday, but the first newspapers are Thursday's, and the last Wednesday's.


Sunday's papers:
Another day, another victory for
Abbott
and
Serduchka
. With the race about to go national though, they need to keep it up. Scalia is buried, and there were tears.
Reckoner
manages to fuck up talking about the environment, and gets some bad air about negativity, so lmao.
McGriddles
surfaces on Fallon, and well.
Serduchka
wants to take away your guns, but in a good way.
Negarir
wants to fuck free trade, and On The Record is impressed by it.

Monday:
The Democrats are still doing well in the polls.
McGriddles
fucks up a speech, but is cool on Fallon.
Serduchka
is utterly charming, of course, on O'Reilly.
Reckoner
makes a major gaffe on unionism, and he's a rotten rat scab, etc, and also he fucks up on the environment as well, and he's too negative.
Spire
gets
Sen. Mark Kirk
in his corner. But anyway who cares, let's check out the Republicans.
Negarir
thinks
TSL
is woefully unprepared to lead the country, and the latter basically calls
Abbott
a corrupt piece of shit in Massachusetts. That's basically what they're doing today.

Tuesday:
Please someone just stop
McGriddles
he tried to look tough in an attack ad on the War on Terror and it was Dukakis-like in how lame it was. Speaking of stopping people as well, ahahahah,
Reckoner
once again fucks up, this time on education.
Serduchka
loves immigrants, or whatever it says on the 2012 DNC platform document.
Khan
hates the government, but attractively, on Maddow. And there are protesters but that's not new.

In Review

The news cycle strength is how good or bad your media was for the week, if you had any media at all. The ads just tell you who's producing what, and what's being targeted in each. Scandals are self-explanatory. The full picture has basically everything that happened, but unformatted, so you can cry while you read it.


Spoiler: News cycle strength
this is a week-long turn thing only


Spoiler: Ads
Tilden-St. Leonard
> completed ad > United States >
Tilden-St. Leonard
/War on Terror.
Negarir
> completed ad > United States >
Abbott
/War on Terror.
Mothma
> completed ad > United States >
Mothma
/Leadership.
Defender
> completed ad > United States >
Mothma
/War on Terror.
Khan
> completed ad > United States >
Tilden-St. Leonard
/Leadership.
Serduchka
> completed ad > United States >
Serduchka
/Health Care.
Spire
> completed ad > United States >
Spire
/War on Terror.
Peanuts
> completed ad > United States >
Peanuts
/Leadership.
Tilden-St. Leonard
> completed ad > United States >
Abbott
/Integrity.
Defender
> completed ad > United States >
Mothma
/War on Terror.
Abbott
> completed ad > United States >
Abbott
/Role of Government.
Abbott
> completed ad > United States >
Abbott
/Role of Government.
Khan
> completed ad > United States >
Khan
/Immigration.
Serduchka
> completed ad > United States >
Serduchka
/Health Care.
Reckoner
> completed ad > United States >
McGriddles
/War on Terror.
McGriddles
> completed ad > United States >
Reckoner
/Health Care.
McGriddles
> completed ad > United States >
Spire
/Leadership.


Spoiler: The rest
Republican Nevada Caucuses today!
Democratic South Carolina Primary in 4 days!
Republican Minnesota Caucuses in 7 days!
Republican Alabama Primary in 7 days!
Republican Oklahoma Primary in 7 days!
Republican Tennessee Primary in 7 days!
Republican Texas Primary in 7 days!
Republican Vermont Primary in 7 days!
Republican Virginia Primary in 7 days!
Republican Wyoming Caucuses in 7 days!
Democratic Alabama Primary in 7 days!
Democratic Arkansas Primary in 7 days!
Democratic Colorado Caucuses in 7 days!
Democratic Georgia Primary in 7 days!
Democratic Massachusetts Primary in 7 days!
Democratic Minnesota Caucuses in 7 days!
Democratic Oklahoma Primary in 7 days!
Republican Alaska Caucuses in 7 days!
Democratic Tennessee Primary in 7 days!
Democratic Texas Primary in 7 days!
Democratic Vermont Primary in 7 days!
Democratic Virginia Primary in 7 days!
Republican Arkansas Primary in 7 days!
Republican Colorado Caucuses in 7 days!
Republican Georgia Primary in 7 days!
Republican Massachusetts Primary in 7 days!
REP primaries debate in 2 days.
REP primaries debate in 9 days.
DEM primaries debate in 12 days.
Spire endorsed by Sen. Mark Kirk > Corruption!
Sen. Mark Kirk is now a potential Surrogate for Spire!
Serduchka receives permanent issue bonus from policy speech on the Immigration issue.
McGriddles's attack ad has backfired.
McGriddles's policy speech on the Government Spending issue has backfired!
McGriddles receives permanent issue penalty from policy speech on the Government Spending issue.
Event "Justice Scalia Funeral" has occurred.
Event replenishes speeches for Role of Government issue.
Abbott wins in South Carolina!
Serduchka wins in Nevada!


Maps in the next post, because there is news:

Next time, on this thing!:
We have a withdrawl.
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Post Post #184 (ISO) » Sat Feb 18, 2017 11:54 pm

Post by Drench »

Suspension of Campaign

Monday, February 22nd, 2016


After a string of disappointing results in primaries and caucuses,
Mothma
(R) has decided to suspend their campaign.

While her debate performances were impressive, they could not translate at the ballot box, with only five delegates earned despite 20% of the vote share nationwide, and two second-place finishes. Amidst rumours of tension among top campaign staff on strategy and message, it was certainly possible for
Mothma
to continue; the difficulty would be whether she could continue well.

Mothma
additionally suffered from a lack of cash--her fundraising totals were below average, and bottom of the field in the Republican race. With only $81,086 in the bank, it's unlikely
Mothma
could have sustained a campaign on a national scale for much longer.

Mothma
additionally struggled to capitalize on successes--for all her victories on the debate stage, they never translated into votes, and there was no sign of
Mothma
trying to do as much. Being weakly ideological, it was unlikely
Mothma
would continue her campaign if victory was not likely, and given all the downward pressures on her candidacy, campaign, and polling, it seems that this was inevitable.

Despite failing in her quest to become Republican nominee--or perhaps, because of it--
Mothma
maintains somewhat relaxed relations with her fellow candidates, as compared to the rest of the field. A contested convention is not off the table, and five delegates, while small, could make all the difference. Who she pledges those delegates to will be unknown for some time.

Image

Image

Next time:
Nevada, but with one less candidate, and a whole lot more voters who suddenly don't know their vote.
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Post Post #185 (ISO) » Sun Feb 19, 2017 12:21 am

Post by Drench »

NEVADA (
REPUBLICAN
)


How good is the desert. Anyway, polls are saying Abbott has this, but 9.5% of voters are undecided going in, and that was before Mothma's suspension, which'll move even more voters (mostly hers) around. So who knows what we're getting tonight? Only the voters do, and they'll be filing in throughout the night from 5pm to 7pm, depending on how cruel the county is.

This caucus is strictly proportional, but there are only thirty delegates, which means that in practice, you need roughly
3%
to get in on the delegate game.

So, is it Abbott's fourth win, or someone else's first? Let's find out. Final note: most people are going to overperform polling. A candidate dropping out will do that.

Image


Spoiler: The Nevada Republican Caucus; Tuesday, 23rd February, 2016
The final results have been certified.

In fifth place, with 11,199 votes and 14.8% of the vote,
Negarir
. He claims four delegates, and overperforms final polling by 5.7%.

In fourth place, with 11,376 votes and 15.1% of the vote,
TSL
. She claims five delegates, and underperforms final polling by 4.7%.
































In third place, with 11,813 votes and 15.7% of the vote...
































...
Defender
. He claims five delegates, and overperforms final polling by 6.5%.



















The winner of the Nevada Republican caucus...





























































With 28,508 votes, and 37.8% of the vote...













































































Image
Tony Abbott
11 delegates won
+2.7% from polling


In second place, with 12,586 votes and 16.7% of the vote,
Khan
. He claims five delegates, and overperforms final polling by 3.2%.

CandidateVote share# of votesDelegates won+/- final polling
Abbott37.8%28,50811 dels+2.7%
Khan16.7%12,5865 dels+3.2%
Defender15.7%11,8135 dels+6.5%
TSL15.1%11,3765 dels-4.7%
Negarir14.8%11,1994 dels+5.7%
Total75,48243 dels


Spoiler: Progressive Results after Nevada (GOP)
CandidateVote share# of votesDelegates won
Abbott29.2%376,62980 dels
TSL13.9%178,89414 dels
Khan11.6%149,91013 dels
Negarir10.9%140,60011 dels
Defender15.6%200,66710 dels
Mothma
20.0%
242,511
5 dels
Dels left2,339 dels
Total1,289,2112,472 dels
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Post Post #186 (ISO) » Sun Feb 19, 2017 1:08 am

Post by Drench »

Events up to South Carolina 2.0

3 days until South Carolina (DEM)
6 days until Super Tuesday (Alabama, Arkansas, Colorado, Georgia, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Vermont, Virginia, Alaska [GOP], North Dakota [GOP], Wyoming [GOP], American Samoa [DEM])
258 days until the Presidential Election


Headlines

The papers are released each day in the morning, and describe what happened the previous day. The first day of the cycle is a Wednesday, and the last a Tuesday, but the first newspapers are Thursday's, and the last Wednesday's.


Wednesday's papers:
Yet ANOTHER day, yet ANOTHER victory for
Abbott
, this time in Nevada. While he goes on his victory lap and prepares for Super Tuesday,
Spire
raises some dosh, and
Negarir
puts a surprisingly effectively speech on government's role in society (hint: it's too much right now), and continues to hit
TSL
.
Reckoner
should take a breath and have a sit down or something because TODAY he fucked up tax rates.
Spire
picks up yet another endorsement, this time from
Sen. Dan Coats
, and wow there are more protesters.

Thursday:
So
Negarir's
chattin' bout leadership and it's cute. It's good but yeah. He's also continuing to talk about government and it's just a very good day for him.
Serduchka
allows Colbert to worship her for ten minutes, and
Peanuts
jerks off to Social Security live on Maddow.
TSL
hits up Oklahoma like a senior two shots in at prom (is that how proms work), and
McGriddles
goes after
Serduchka's
leadership potential in the same place.

THE EIGHTH
REPUBLICAN PRIMARY
DEBATE

Thursday, February 25th


The Republicans literally want to murder each other. That's the message from this ridiculous eighth debate.
TSL
did not handle things well, not at all, but she at least managed to neutralize
Khan's
persistent attacks, and only cop it from
Negarir
. Problem was, it was a really powerful attack. Really, this entire night was shaped by
TSL
in one way or another, as she formed the other big story:
Abbott's
meltdown. A supremely assured attack from the rich binch herself left
Abbott's
composure in tatters, which was not helped at all by his atrocious charisma. With all the focus on who legitimately are the top two candidates in delegate counts, it was easy to miss
Defender
and his own (backfiring) attack on
Negarir
. And in the end, that's what sealed a narrow victory for the latter: being important, but not too important, and getting just enough material to rise to the top.

1. Negarir (5 points)
2. Defender (4 points)
3. Khan (2 points)
4. Abbott (-6 points)
4. TSL (-6 points)

Headlines, Continued


Friday:
Folk's, you can't make this headline up.

Image

How this affects the race, who knows. It might be nothing. It might be everything. But it's being more covered than the actual winner of that debate,
Negarir
, so it's one to watch. The latter also manages to take in a lot of money at a fundraiser, so it's another good day.
Spire
gives a well-received speech about how government must be at least as big as your mum, and
Reckoner
finally has a good day on Maddow. And there are legitimately protesters everywhere, but mostly on the Democratic side. Oh, yeah, and there's a minor
scandal
--remember those?--brewing for
Khan
. Foreclosing on the poor to change land prices for your own benefit sure sounds awful, but it's a Republican primary, so it'll probably come to naught.

Saturday:
That """meltdown""" is getting so much coverage and honestly I'm alive.
McGriddles
gets on board the role-of-government speechifying train, with effective results.
Defender
and
Negarir
both "shine" on Meet the Press, which, good for them;
Khan
makes his stop on Fox News Sunday instead. The latter's
scandal
is predictably fading from the public view, as he continues to campaign in Massachusetts.

In Review

The news cycle strength is how good or bad your media was for the week, if you had any media at all. The ads just tell you who's producing what, and what's being targeted in each. Scandals are self-explanatory. The full picture has basically everything that happened, but unformatted, so you can cry while you read it.


Spoiler: News cycle strength
this is a week-long turn thing only


Spoiler: Ads
Tilden-St. Leonard
> completed ad > United States >
Abbott
/Integrity.
Negarir
> completed ad > United States >
Negarir
/Immigration.
Defender
> completed ad > United States >
Defender
/Immigration.
Abbott
> completed ad > United States >
Khan
/Government Spending.
Khan
> completed ad > United States >
Khan
/Immigration.
Reckoner
> completed ad > United States >
McGriddles
/War on Terror.
Spire
> completed ad > United States >
Serduchka
/Leadership.
McGriddles
> completed ad > United States >
Spire
/Role of Government.
Tilden-St. Leonard
> completed ad > United States >
Khan
/War on Terror.
Defender
> completed ad > United States >
Defender
/Immigration.
Abbott
> completed ad > United States >
Khan
/Role of Government.
Serduchka
> completed ad > United States >
Serduchka
/War on Terror.
Serduchka
> completed ad > United States >
Serduchka
/War on Terror.
Reckoner
> completed ad > United States >
Spire
/Role of Government.
Spire
> completed ad > United States >
Spire
/Role of Government.
Peanuts
> completed ad > United States >
Reckoner
/War on Terror.
Peanuts
> completed ad > United States >
Spire
/Role of Government.
McGriddles
> completed ad > United States >
McGriddles
/War on Terror.
Negarir
> completed ad > United States >
Negarir
/Role of Government.
Defender
> completed ad > United States >
Defender
/Leadership.
Abbott
> completed ad > United States >
Khan
/Health Care.
Khan
> completed ad > United States >
Khan
/War on Terror.
Khan
> completed ad > United States >
Khan
/War on Terror.
Serduchka
> completed ad > United States >
Serduchka
/Health Care.
Reckoner
> completed ad > United States >
Reckoner
/Role of Government.
Spire
> completed ad > United States >
Spire
/Leadership.
Peanuts
> completed ad > United States >
Spire
/Role of Government.
Tilden-St. Leonard
> completed ad > United States >
Tilden-St. Leonard
/Leadership.
Negarir
> completed ad > United States >
Tilden-St. Leonard
/Leadership.
Defender
> completed ad > United States >
Mothma
/War on Terror.
Khan
> completed ad > United States >
Tilden-St. Leonard
/Leadership.
Serduchka
> completed ad > United States >
Spire
/Government Spending.
Reckoner
> completed ad > United States >
Spire
/War on Terror.
Spire
> completed ad > United States >
Spire
/Leadership.
Peanuts
> completed ad > United States >
Spire
/Role of Government.
McGriddles
> completed ad > United States >
Peanuts
/Leadership.


Spoiler: The rest
Democratic South Carolina Primary today!
Democratic Tennessee Primary in 3 days!
Republican Colorado Caucuses in 3 days!
Democratic Texas Primary in 3 days!
Democratic Colorado Caucuses in 3 days!
Democratic Vermont Primary in 3 days!
Republican Georgia Primary in 3 days!
Democratic Virginia Primary in 3 days!
Republican Alabama Primary in 3 days!
Democratic Georgia Primary in 3 days!
Republican Massachusetts Primary in 3 days!
Republican Minnesota Caucuses in 3 days!
Republican Oklahoma Primary in 3 days!
Republican Tennessee Primary in 3 days!
Democratic Massachusetts Primary in 3 days!
Republican Texas Primary in 3 days!
Republican Vermont Primary in 3 days!
Democratic Minnesota Caucuses in 3 days!
Republican Virginia Primary in 3 days!
Republican Wyoming Caucuses in 3 days!
Republican Alaska Caucuses in 3 days!
Democratic Oklahoma Primary in 3 days!
Democratic Alabama Primary in 3 days!
Republican Arkansas Primary in 3 days!
Democratic Arkansas Primary in 3 days!
Republican Louisiana Primary in 7 days!
Democratic Louisiana Primary in 7 days!
Republican Maine Caucuses in 7 days!
Republican Kansas Caucuses in 7 days!
Democratic Nebraska Caucuses in 7 days!
Republican Kentucky Caucuses in 7 days!
Democratic Kansas Caucuses in 7 days!
Democratic Maine Caucuses in 8 days!
Republican Puerto Rico Primary in 8 days!
Democratic Mississippi Primary in 10 days!
Republican Mississippi Primary in 10 days!
Republican Hawaii Caucuses in 10 days!
Republican Michigan Primary in 10 days!
Democratic Democrats Abroad Caucuses in 10 days!
Democratic Michigan Primary in 10 days!
Republican Idaho Primary in 10 days!
REP primaries debate in 5 days.
REP primaries debate in 12 days.
DEM primaries debate in 8 days.
DEM primaries debate in 11 days.
Spire endorsed by Sen. Dan Coats > Health Care!
Sen. Dan Coats is now a potential Surrogate for Spire!
Abbott wins in Nevada!


MAPS


REPUBLICANS


Image

DEMOCRATS


Image

Next time, on this thing!:
The Dems do South Carolina.
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Post Post #187 (ISO) » Sun Feb 19, 2017 1:40 am

Post by Drench »

SOUTH CAROLINA (
DEMOCRATIC
)


Let's finish off these two dumb states. I literally hate Nevada and South Carolina. Polls close at 7pm; not a minute too soon.

As with all Democratic blah blah blah threshold is
15%
. There are 59 delegates up for grabs, so this will be fun! The Republican side has been chaotic and also has given Abbott four from four; will the Democrats follow likewise? A full 30% of voters are undecided; anyone could win.

Image


Spoiler: The South Carolina Democratic Primary; Saturday, 27th February, 2016
The final results have been certified.

In fifth place, with 17,108 votes and 4.6% of the vote,
Spire
. He fails to make the delegate threshold, and overperforms final polling by 0.1%.

In fourth place, with 39,488 votes and 10.6% of the vote,
Peanuts
. He fails to make the delegate threshold, and overperforms final polling by 0.7%.





































































In third place, with 80,115 votes and 21.6% of the vote,
Serduchka
. She underperforms final polling by 2.5%.













































































The winner of the South Carolina Democratic primary...


















































With 152,448 votes, and 41.1% of the vote...




























































































































Reckoner
29 delegates won
+35.2% from polling


In second place, with 81,745 votes, and 22% of the vote, was
McGriddles
. He underperforms polling by 2.1%.

CandidateVote share# of votesDelegates won+/- final polling
Reckoner41.4%152,44829 dels+35.2%
McGriddles22.0%81,74515 dels-2.1%
Serduchka21.6%80,11515 dels-2.5%
Peanuts10.7%39,4880 dels+0.7%
Spire9.7%17,1080 dels+0.1%
Total370,90459 dels


Spoiler: Progressive Results
CandidateVote share# of votesDelegates won
Serduchka34.8%281,237100 dels
Reckoner23.5%189,97829 dels
McGriddles20.6%166,26226 dels
Peanuts13.2%106,69218 dels
Spire7.8%63,13912 dels
Dels left4,580 dels
Total807,3084,765 dels
Last edited by Drench on Sun Feb 19, 2017 11:13 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Post Post #188 (ISO) » Sun Feb 19, 2017 3:23 am

Post by Majiffy »

Pre-SC : How the actual fuck is Reck still in 3rd nationally
Post-SC : Oh it's fuckin' on bruh
In post 178, Drench wrote:THE
Gov. Mike Pence
endorses...
Spire
. On immigration.
Can we all just make attack ads based on this
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Post Post #189 (ISO) » Sun Feb 19, 2017 6:26 am

Post by xRECKONERx »

HAHA YESSSSSSSS

DAT +35%
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Post Post #190 (ISO) » Sun Feb 19, 2017 6:27 am

Post by xRECKONERx »

cmon super tuesday momentum swing yasss queeeen
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Post Post #191 (ISO) » Sun Feb 19, 2017 8:07 am

Post by Kari »

oh shit this is getting tense
There are few things in life worth appreciating~
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Post Post #192 (ISO) » Sun Feb 19, 2017 8:17 am

Post by Majiffy »

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Post Post #193 (ISO) » Sun Feb 19, 2017 8:48 am

Post by Kublai Khan »

Man. If Aboot loses a ton of momentum, then I should pick up the pieces and come out the big winner considering I destroyed TSL.
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Post Post #194 (ISO) » Sun Feb 19, 2017 5:48 pm

Post by Drench »

Events up to Super Tuesday

3 days until Super Tuesday (Alabama, Arkansas, Colorado, Georgia, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Vermont, Virginia, Alaska [GOP], North Dakota [GOP], Wyoming [GOP], American Samoa [DEM])
254 days until the Presidential Election


Headlines

The papers are released each day in the morning, and describe what happened the previous day. The first day of the cycle is a Wednesday, and the last a Tuesday, but the first newspapers are Thursday's, and the last Wednesday's.


Sunday:
The top stories are super predictable, lmao.
Reckoner
is loving being the actual winner of South Carolina, while
Abbott
continues to deal with his shit debate performance.
Defender
is shit at attack ads, and
McGriddles
executes a swell one-two punch with a fundraiser and a role of government speech, which, literally everyone is doing one now, Christ.
Negarir
also gets on the money boat, while
TSL
gets some heat from the former in Minnesota as she mingles in Vermont.

Monday:
The Democrats are still ahead of the Republicans in the generic, how cool!
McGriddles
has a great chat with Rachel Maddow and it's very cute. And a lot of things happened that nobody cares about:
Spire
gives a speech (guess what it's on),
Khan
talks welfare queens on Fox News Sunday,
Defender
hates the sick on Meet the Press, and nobody cares about
Abbott
winning Nevada now.

Tuesday:
T'was the day of Super Tuesday, and all through the house,
Peanuts
for once does some shit; his speech was so grouse. Also,
TSL
claps the fuck back at
Negarir
; the latter fucks up a speech on corruption (and HOW do you do that???),
Khan
tells us about how corruption is bad (I am noticing a theme), and
Spire
gets a few barbs thrown at him from an Oklahoma-based
McGriddles
. Protesters were seen on abortion and marriage equality at
Khan
and
TSL
events, while
Reckoner
loved immigrants with Chris Matthews and
Peanuts
schmoozed up Colorado.

No Week in Review because I literally forgot to note any of that, but just know that A Lot is happening.

MAPS

Ignore McMullin. Leaders of each state are colour-coded; white states means it's too close to call. The percentage list on the right-hand side is the popular vote; the lines and segments down the bottom are PROJECTED delegates. Once delegates start being earned, that will be added separately.


REPUBLICANS


Image

DEMOCRATS


Image

Next time, on this thing!:
SUPER TUESDAY
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Post Post #195 (ISO) » Sun Feb 19, 2017 5:57 pm

Post by Drench »

SUPER TUESDAY


Well, folks. The biggest day of the campaign so far. If you run the table as a Democrat today, you're a third of the way to the magic number. Republicans have an even better shot, with half the target available right now.

We're going from lamest contest (least delegates) to most awesome contest (Texas). Maybe they'll all come tonight, maybe (probably) they won't. Either way, it's big, it's super, and it's Tuesday somewhere.
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Post Post #196 (ISO) » Sun Feb 19, 2017 6:12 pm

Post by Drench »

VERMONT


Vermont is in the bottom 10 states of the union, and you can't fight me on this. Nevertheless, they've got delegates, so let's pay attention to them. The threshold is
20%
for Republicans and
15%
for Democrats.

Image


Spoiler: The Vermont Republican Primary; Tuesday, 1st March, 2016
The final results have been certified.

In fifth place, with 5,721 votes and 9.3% of the vote,
Defender
. He fails to make the delegate threshold, and overperforms final polling by 5.2%.

In fourth place, with 8,330 votes and 13.5% of the vote,
Abbott
. He fails to make the delegate threshold, and overperforms final polling by 4.4%.





































































In third place, with 8,866 votes and 14.4% of the vote,
TSL
. She fails to make the delegate threshold, and overperforms final polling by 0.6%.













































































The winner of the Vermont Republican primary...


















































With 21,801 votes, and 35.3% of the vote...



















Image
Kublai Khan
9 delegates won
+1.8% from polling


In second place, with 17,011 votes, and 27.5% of the vote, was
Negarir
. He earns seven delegates and overperforms polling by 4.4%.

CandidateVote share# of votesDelegates won+/- final polling
Khan35.3%77,4379 dels+1.8%
Negarir27.5%62,2217 dels+4.4%
TSL14.4%61,3310 dels+0.6%
Abbott13.5%33,2850 dels+4.4%
Defender9.3%32,5690 dels+5.2%
Total61,75616 dels


The Democrats have 26 delegates to give away. Let's do this.

Image


Spoiler: The Vermont Democratic Primary; Monday, 1st March, 2016
The final results have been certified.

In fifth place, with 6,456 votes and 4.8% of the vote,
Peanuts
. He fails to meet the delegate threshold, and underperforms final polling by 4.8%.

In fourth place, with 9,960 votes and 7.4% of the vote,
Reckoner
. He fails to meet the delegate threshold, and underperforms final polling by 0.2%.
































In third place, with 11,344 votes and 8.4% of the vote...
































...
McGriddles
. He fails to make the delegate threshold, and underperforms final polling by 0.2%.



















The winner of the Vermont Democratic primary...





























































With 81,499 votes, and 60.3% of the vote...













































































Image
Verka Serduchka
20 delegates won
+9.1% from polling


In second place, with 25,997 votes and 19.2% of the vote,
Spire
. He claims six delegates, and underperforms final polling by 4.7%.

CandidateVote share# of votesDelegates won+/- final polling
Serduchka60.3%81,44920 dels+9.1%
Spire19.2%25,9976 dels-4.7%
McGriddles8.4%11,3440 dels-0.2%
Reckoner7.4%9,9600 dels+0.2%
Peanuts4.8%6,4560 dels-0.8%
Total135,25626 dels


Progressive results in ten, and then the next contest. This will probably take a while. How good's the suspense.
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Post Post #197 (ISO) » Sun Feb 19, 2017 6:27 pm

Post by Drench »

ALASKA AND WYOMING (
REPUBLICAN
)


Because the two major parties are jerk-offs, they literally have decoupled these two states. I want to die. Alaska has 28 delegates and a
13%
(???) threshold, and Wyoming's got none but has 29 delegates, so it's roughly around
3%
. Easy peasy, right?

Let's find out.

Image


Spoiler: The Alaska Republican Caucus; Tuesday, 1st March, 2016
The final results have been certified.

In fifth place, with 2,244 votes and 9.8% of the vote,
TSL
. She fails to make the delegate threshold, and underperforms final polling by 1.0%.

In fourth place, with 2,806 votes and 12.2% of the vote,
Khan
. He fails to make the delegate threshold, and overperforms final polling by 4.2%.





































































In third place, with 4,187 votes and 18.2% of the vote,
Defender
. He claims seven delegates, and overperforms final polling by 2.4%.













































































The winner of the Alaska Republican caucus...


















































With 7,992 votes, and 34.7% of the vote...



















Image
Tony Abbott
12 delegates won
+4.4% from polling


In second place, with 5,781 votes, and 25.1% of the vote, was
Negarir
. He earns nine delegates and overperforms polling by 3.0%.

CandidateVote share# of votesDelegates won+/- final polling
Abbott34.7%7,99212 dels+4.4%
Negarir25.1%5,7819 dels+3.0%
Defender18.2%4,1877 dels+2.4%
Khan12.2%2,8060 dels+4.2%
TSL9.8%2,2440 dels-1.0%
Total23,01028 dels


Off to Wyoming, where more sensible thresholds rule.

Image


Spoiler: The Wyoming Republican Caucus; Tuesday, 1st March, 2016
The final results have been certified.

In fifth place, with 139 votes and 8.7% of the vote,
Defender
. He claims two delegates, and overperforms final polling by 2.0%.

In fourth place, with 205 votes and 12.9% of the vote,
TSL
. She claims four delegates, and overperforms final polling by 0.4%.





































































In third place, with 365 votes and 23.0% of the vote,
Negarir
. He claims seven delegates, and underperforms final polling by 0.5%.













































































The winner of the Wyoming Republican caucus...


















































With 485 votes, and 30.5% of the vote...



















Image
Kublai Khan
9 delegates won
+5.5% from polling


In second place, with 396 votes, and 24.9% of the vote, was
Abbott
. He earns seven delegates and overperforms polling by 1.6%.

CandidateVote share# of votesDelegates won+/- final polling
Khan30.5%4859 dels+5.5%
Abbott24.9%3967 dels+1.6%
Negarir23.0%3657 dels-0.5%
TSL12.9%2054 dels+0.4%
Defender8.7%1392 dels+2.0%
Total1,59029 dels


Next, Bill Clinton's turf: Arkansas. Also, I've changed my mind, no progressive results right until the very end.
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Post Post #198 (ISO) » Sun Feb 19, 2017 6:31 pm

Post by Kublai Khan »

WTF Alaska. Vote for your hometown boi!
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Post Post #199 (ISO) » Sun Feb 19, 2017 6:39 pm

Post by Drench »

ARKANSAS


I mean, they've got a Presidential Library, that's cool. Both Democrats and Republicans have a threshold of
15%
, and they very nearly have the same number of delegates: 40 for the Republicans, 37 for the Democrats. Let's have some fun this beat is sick I wanna take a ride on your voting stick.

Image


Spoiler: The Arkansas Republican Primary; Tuesday, 1st March, 2016
The final results have been certified.

In fifth place, with 36,356 votes and 8.8% of the vote,
TSL
. She fails to make the delegate threshold, and overperforms final polling by 3.6%.

In fourth place, with 48,448 votes and 11.8% of the vote,
Defender
. He fails to make the delegate threshold, and underperforms final polling by 1.0%.





































































In third place, with 71,962 votes and 17.5% of the vote,
Khan
. He claims nine delegates, and overperforms final polling by 2.9%.













































































The winner of the Arkansas Republican primary...


















































With 155,962 votes, and 38.0% of the vote...



















Image
Tony Abbott
19 delegates won
+8.9% from polling


In second place, with 98,152 votes, and 23.9% of the vote, was
Negarir
. He earns twelve delegates and underperforms polling by 0.8%.

CandidateVote share# of votesDelegates won+/- final polling
Abbott38.0%155,96219 dels+8.9%
Negarir23.9%98,15212 dels-0.8%
Khan17.5%71,9629 dels+2.9%
Defender11.8%48,4880 dels-1.0%
TSL8.8%36,3560 dels+3.6%
Total410,92040 dels


Democrats have slightly less delegates, for once in their goddamn life, so let's see how they deal with that.

Image


Spoiler: The Arkansas Democratic Primary; Monday, 1st March, 2016
The final results have been certified.

In fifth place, with 9,562 votes and 4.3% of the vote,
Peanuts
. He fails to meet the delegate threshold, and underperforms final polling by 1.3%.

In fourth place, with 14,253 votes and 6.4% of the vote,
McGriddles
. He fails to meet the delegate threshold, and underperforms final polling by 0.4%.
































In third place, with 37,337 votes and 16.9% of the vote...
































...
Serduchka
. She claims seven delegates, and overperforms final polling by 0.1%.



















The winner of the Arkansas Democratic primary...





























































With 90,967 votes, and 41.2% of the vote...













































































Image
Reckoner
17 delegates won
+9.2% from polling


In second place, with 68,901 votes and 31.2% of the vote,
Spire
. He claims thirteen delegates, and overperforms final polling by 3.4%.

CandidateVote share# of votesDelegates won+/- final polling
Reckoner41.2%90,96717 dels+9.2%
Spire31.2%68,90113 dels+3.4%
Serduchka16.9%37,3377 dels+0.1%
McGriddles6.4%14,2530 dels-0.4%
Peanuts4.3%9,5620 dels-1.3%
Total221,02026 dels
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