prez infinity mafiascum 2016: the general creaks into action

Drench · Post Post #376 (ISO) » Sat Apr 01, 2017 1:26 am

WEST VIRGINIA

why's virginia need a west anyway

34 gop, 37 dem, winner take all and proportional, etc

Spoiler: The West Virginia Republican Primary; Tuesday, 10th May, 2016

ooh

Spoiler: The West Virginia Democratic Primary; Tuesday, 10th May, 2016

virginia is greedy

Drench · Post Post #377 (ISO) » Sat Apr 01, 2017 1:34 am

NEBRASKA (

REPUBLICAN

)

36 delegates because we're gonna finish this at a crawl

Spoiler: The Nebraska Republican Primary; Tuesday, 10th May, 2016

dab for nebraska

Spoiler: Progressive Results

Drench · Post Post #378 (ISO) » Sat Apr 01, 2017 1:54 am

The Week of May 11th

7 days until Oregon, Kentucky (Democratic)
181 days until the Presidential Election

real talk if i were playing abbott right now, i would fly to california and never fucking leave

Headlines

The papers are released each day in the morning, and describe what happened the previous day. The first day of the cycle is a Wednesday, and the last a Tuesday, but the first newspapers are Thursday's, and the last Wednesday's.

Wednesday's papers:

I'm so pressed that

Negarir

won by tiny margins compared to his usual dominance and yet that means he gets positive coverage. Fake news. The Dems are up in the generic ballot, and that's good for them.

Thursday:

Spire

is just everywhere now!!! Lookit him go on Maddow all leadership and stuff. That is the news for today. The two wins notwithstanding obviously.

Friday:

And there he is again!!!! Talking terror on Fox News!!!!!! Legend!!!!!!!!!!!

Spire

also picked up a gun control-based endorsement from

Gov. Dennis Daugaard

, who, idk who that is.

Abbott

is being a negative nancy about health care.

Saturday:

Spire

hauls in some cash, and

Negarir

pledges regulatory tax freedom for the rich (that means a tax cut

haha) on Colbert. The latter is also in Oregon so that's cool.

Sunday:

Sen. Mike Rounds

endorses

Serduchka

while

Spire

continues to chat up the talk show hosts. Actually there were a few endorsements; you've also got

Sen. John Thune

for the latter (which is ridiculous and this game's entire endorsement engine is ridiculous), and

Gov. Susana Martinez

for

Abbott

.

Monday:

The generic ballot is tied :OOOO

Sen. Martin Heinrich

goes for

Abbott

, who apparently just doesn't wanna do Normal Campaigning.

Tuesday:

Spire

somehow made a good impression on O'Reilly about the environment, so like, huh.

Serduchka

artfully dodges questions about tax on On the Record.

Abbott

gets endorsed by

Gov. Steve Bullock

. The two Democrats get a little fiery, with

Serduchka

enduring protesters as

Spire

accuses him of extremism! Extremism!

Week in Review

The news cycle strength is how good or bad your media was for the week, if you had any media at all, and if the cycle was a week long. The ads just tell you who's producing what, and what's being targeted in each. Scandals are self-explanatory. The full picture has basically everything that happened, but unformatted, so you can cry while you read it.

Spoiler: News cycle strength

Spoiler: Ads

Spoiler: Scandals

Spoiler: The rest

MAPS

Ignore McMullin. Leaders of each state are colour-coded; white states means it's too close to call. The percentage list on the right-hand side is the popular vote; the lines and segments down the bottom are PROJECTED delegates. Earned delegates are located in posts #1 and #2.

REPUBLICANS

DEMOCRATS

Next time, on this thing!:

let's go to the beach beach let's go get away

Drench · Post Post #379 (ISO) » Sat Apr 01, 2017 2:03 am

OREGON

oregon is a liberal hellhole so the dems have a whopping 74 dels here and the gop has a mere 28, which is proportional for once
that means the thresholds are

15%

and

3.5~%

respectively

Spoiler: The Oregon Republican Primary; Tuesday, 17th May, 2016

c'est a result

Spoiler: The Oregon Democratic Primary; Tuesday, 17th May, 2016

we will now divert east slightly for a kentuckian result

Drench · Post Post #380 (ISO) » Sat Apr 01, 2017 2:12 am

KENTUCKY (

DEMOCRATIC

)

i love their chicken and their 60!!! delegates

Spoiler: The Kentucky Democratic Primary; Tuesday, 17th May, 2016

Spoiler: Progressive Results

Drench · Post Post #381 (ISO) » Sat Apr 01, 2017 2:26 am

The Week of May 18th

7 days until Washington (Republican)
174 days until the Presidential Election

Headlines

The papers are released each day in the morning, and describe what happened the previous day. The first day of the cycle is a Wednesday, and the last a Tuesday, but the first newspapers are Thursday's, and the last Wednesday's.

Wednesday's papers:

man i just want a close contest is that too much to ask. the wins are top of the page, and

Gov. Tom Udall

is endorsing

Negarir

right behind. Meanwhile,

Abbott

continues to disappoint me by getting endorsements (this time from

Sen. Jon Tester

) instead of campaigning or winning or anything.

Thursday:

Spire

continues to make good impressions on many shows of a varied nature.

Abbott

loves free trade on Fox News.

Friday:

Serduchka

is just so goshdang presidential on Meet the Press.

Abbott

gets attacked by Dick Cheney of all people.

Negarir

gets endorsed by

Sen. Steven Daines

.

Saturday:

Spire

thinks that Social Security is Good and many people are fans.

Serduchka

is not a fan of terrorism. The earth keeps turning.

Sunday:

There is no news today!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Monday:

The dems are once again up in the generic!

Spire

is like, full of integrity on Maddow.

Negarir

goes on the attack, accusing

Abbott

of socialism.

Tuesday:

Negarir

needs to stop being so negative about "the terrorists wanting to kill us all" and stuff! or so says the media.

Serduchka

is just chilling in Cali.

Week in Review

The news cycle strength is how good or bad your media was for the week, if you had any media at all, and if the cycle was a week long. The ads just tell you who's producing what, and what's being targeted in each. Scandals are self-explanatory. The full picture has basically everything that happened, but unformatted, so you can cry while you read it.

Spoiler: News cycle strength

Spoiler: Ads

Spoiler: Scandals

Spoiler: The rest

MAPS

Ignore McMullin. Leaders of each state are colour-coded; white states means it's too close to call. The percentage list on the right-hand side is the popular vote; the lines and segments down the bottom are PROJECTED delegates. Earned delegates are located in posts #1 and #2.

REPUBLICANS

DEMOCRATS

Next time, on this thing!:

the republicans need to stop playing me and have their primaries the same date as everyone else

Drench · Post Post #382 (ISO) » Sat Apr 01, 2017 2:42 am

WASHINGTON (

REPUBLICAN

)

44 proportional delegates with a 20% threshold so we all hope both people get something outta this

Spoiler: The Washington Republican Primary; Tuesday, 24th May, 2016

Spoiler: Progressive Results

cool so within 24 hours california/dc (dem) will be done and with that, the primaries

ISO · Post Post #383 (ISO) » Sat Apr 01, 2017 6:43 am

I find the pumbaa that is clearly a horse deeply offensive

WARTHOG ERASURE

Drench · Post Post #384 (ISO) » Sat Apr 01, 2017 7:55 am

the caption clearly said "young pumbaa"
fake news

Majiffy · Post Post #385 (ISO) » Sat Apr 01, 2017 9:40 am

It's starting to go from funny to scary how many Dems are going for Abbott

Majiffy · Post Post #386 (ISO) » Sat Apr 01, 2017 9:45 am

Just a little over half the remaining delegates for Serduchka to cinch the Dem nom. Gogogogo you're my only hope for VP

inspiratieloos · Post Post #387 (ISO) » Sat Apr 01, 2017 11:37 am

Wouldn't you want a brokered convention for higher VP chances?

Majiffy · Post Post #388 (ISO) » Sat Apr 01, 2017 11:54 am

Idk I think my chances for VP are already pretty good.

It's mostly me vs my mortal enemy, Reckoner.

And if it goes contested then he's got more dels and will sweep the VP for sure.

xRECKONERx · Post Post #389 (ISO) » Sun Apr 02, 2017 5:28 am

this still isn't at convention???? this started over 1 year ago l m a o

Majiffy · Post Post #390 (ISO) » Sun Apr 02, 2017 8:29 am

Officially it started 3 months ago

xRECKONERx · Post Post #391 (ISO) » Sun Apr 02, 2017 9:48 am

Majiffy · Post Post #392 (ISO) » Sun Apr 02, 2017 9:55 am

m8 u wanna fite

Drench · Post Post #393 (ISO) » Mon Apr 03, 2017 2:20 am

In post 389, xRECKONERx wrote:this still isn't at convention???? this started over 1 year ago l m a o

It's Just Like The Real Thing

also by the end of this i'll have posted at LEAST 110 election results with the real thing still to come

Drench · Post Post #394 (ISO) » Mon Apr 03, 2017 2:24 am

many would say it's the work of a madman
but i know the truth

i just like elections

Papa Zito · Post Post #395 (ISO) » Mon Apr 03, 2017 2:33 am

We desperately need a scandal.

Drench · Post Post #396 (ISO) » Mon Apr 03, 2017 2:46 am

In post 395, Papa Zito wrote:We desperately need a scandal.

every day that goes by without a radical shakeup of the status quo literally drives a knife into my heart
i want drama

Drench · Post Post #397 (ISO) » Mon Apr 03, 2017 2:47 am

May 25th

10 days until USVI (Democratic)
167 days until the Presidential Election

Headlines

The papers are released each day in the morning, and describe what happened the previous day. The first day of the cycle is a Wednesday, and the last a Tuesday, but the first newspapers are Thursday's, and the last Wednesday's.

Wednesday:

Folk's, the Investigator General has released their report on Clinton, and it's critical. Imagine if she was running for president hahaha. Anyway it lets everyone talk about integrity a bit. Also

Negarir

is obviously on top with his WA win, and

Serduchka

gets a few more barbs from

Spire

.

Thursday's papers:

Serduchka

is on Fallon how nice :')

Friday:

Abbott

FOR ONCE does something, going on Colbert and saying he wants a government so small you could cover it with an onion.

Serduchka

returns fire on

Spire

, challenging him to name one celestial body he'd nationalize.

Saturday:

Serduchka

raises some ca$h money, while

Negarir

capitalizes on the whole Clinton thing and puts forward a stunning plan to make America have integrity again. Also he's in New Mexico.

Sunday:

Abbott

is on Fallon talking about how he's gonna shirtfront the illegal Mexicans.

Negarir's

partner (reminder: I named them Cegarar Nephrar?) gets protested.

Monday:

The Dems are one again ahead of the GOP in the generic ballot, and by now the pollsters are probably doing

Serduchka

v.

Negarir

matchups, so whew.

Tuesday:

Abbott

I think has realized he's losing, and once again he's on Fox News Sunday, talking about healthcare and how Obamacare is socialism.

Spire

is second cab off the rank on the whole integrity thing.

Serduchka

should be leading by more, says the pundit class. Sarah Palin's

Abbott

event gets protested, but for once, Margie Abbott's event does not.

Wednesday II:

Negarir

is right up there on Fox News, screaming about (how good) NAFTA (is).

Serduchka

encounters a bit of protesting.

Thursday II:

Abbott

, with the issues, on Meet the Press. What else could you want.

Negarir

gets some good coverage out of a War on Terror event in New Mexico, although, bitch, California is the same day. Priorities.

Friday II:

NEGARIR

IS RICH!!! or something.

Spire

and

Abbott

do the one-two abortion-military punch on Colbert.

Serduchka

actually went to campaign in the Virgin Islands, like a freak.

Saturday II:

The pop artists strike one last time, holding a concert for

Spire

. The all important Democratic Virgin Islands contest awaits.

The Crystal Ball

This thing is still useful.

Republicans

1. Negarir (188 points - polling +120.3, funds +1.1, endorsers +12.4, personal attributes +14.1, campaign attributes +13.6, platform +4.3, ground game +22)
2. Abbott (136 points - polling +70.4, funds +0.6, endorsers +16.6, personal attributes +5.6, campaign attributes +12.5, platform -2.4, ground game +32.5)

Democrats

1. Serduchka (247 points - polling +195, funds +3.5, endorsers +3.4, personal attributes +8, campaign attributes +11.4, platform +9.2, ground game +16.5)
2. Spire (172 points - polling +106.8, funds +3.2, endorsers +7.8, personal attributes +21.4, campaign attributes +11.4, platform -0.5, ground game +21.7)

What makes someone win? What makes someone poll big, and then stay there? This campaign is defined by inertia (and upsettingly so: most of the runs I've done on the side have been photo finish contested conventions on at least one side, so we got way unlucky here), but how's one person Get Ahead And Stay Ahead to start with?

I don't know who's going to win the remaining states as of writing (I can make a guess but surprises could happen), but if I had to say, platform is a big part of it. You can create your candidate but you can't create your electorate. A lack of massive errors is another part, and nobody bar Abbott being too debilitatingly unlikable might be a third. Something to chew on.

Politics happens so much.

Week in Review

The news cycle strength is how good or bad your media was for the week, if you had any media at all, and if the cycle was a week long. The ads just tell you who's producing what, and what's being targeted in each. Scandals are self-explanatory. The full picture has basically everything that happened, but unformatted, so you can cry while you read it.

Spoiler: News cycle strength

Spoiler: Ads

Spoiler: Scandals

Spoiler: The rest

MAPS

Ignore McMullin. Leaders of each state are colour-coded; white states means it's too close to call. The percentage list on the right-hand side is the popular vote; the lines and segments down the bottom are PROJECTED delegates. Earned delegates are located in posts #1 and #2.

Maps? Three days before California? Hahahahahaha

Next time, on this thing!:

Virgin Islands is a lame name if you're 12

Drench · Post Post #398 (ISO) » Mon Apr 03, 2017 2:55 am

UNITED STATES VIRGIN ISLANDS (

DEMOCRATIC

)

which smart fuck put their primary the saturday before the big one which makes absolutely sure nobody gives a shit about the twelve delegates there

Spoiler: The U.S. Virgin Islands Democratic Caucus; Tuesday, 4th June, 2016

Majiffy · Post Post #399 (ISO) » Mon Apr 03, 2017 2:56 am

In post 394, Drench wrote:many would say it's the work of a madman
but i know the truth

i just like elections

When you're done with all this can you run it again with me as a Libertarian as I was originally signed up and tell me how I fared?

Candidate	Vote share	# of votes	Delegates won	+/- final polling
Negarir	57.2%	116,778	34 dels	+10.9%
Abbott	42.8%	87,283	0 dels	+9.1%
Total		204,061	34 dels

Candidate	Vote share	# of votes	Delegates won	+/- final polling
Serduchka	63.7%	154,525	24 dels	+13.6%
Spire	36.3%	88,014	13 dels	+0.9%
Total		242,539	37 dels

Candidate	Vote share	# of votes	Delegates won	+/- final polling
Negarir	59.8%	118,941	36 dels	+14.2%
Abbott	40.2%	80,047	0 dels	+5.7%
Total		198,988	36 dels

Candidate	Vote share	# of votes	Delegates won
Negarir	46.2%	12,537,568	1098 dels
Abbott	37.2%	10,115,100	677 dels
Khan	5.1%	1,389,345	127 dels
Defender	6.0%	1,625,703	113 dels
TSL	4.6%	1,255,983	77 dels
Mothma	0.9%	242,511	5 dels
Dels left			375 dels
Total		27,116,210	2,472 dels

Candidate	Vote share	# of votes	Delegates won
Serduchka	44.7%	10,321,408	1,801 dels
Spire	27.9%	6,429,540	999 dels
Reckoner	13.6%	3,133,314	385 dels
McGriddles	7.9%	1,824,899	313 dels
Peanuts	6.0%	1,376,113	198 dels
Dels left			1,069 dels
Total		23,085,274	4,765 dels

Candidate	Vote share	# of votes	Delegates won	+/- final polling
Negarir	58.2%	230,967	16 dels	+7.5%
Abbott	41.4%	162,953	12 dels	+9.0%
Total		393,920	28 dels

Candidate	Vote share	# of votes	Delegates won	+/- final polling
Serduchka	69.3%	444,496	51 dels	+18.6%
Spire	30.7%	197,099	23 dels	-2.3%
Total		641,595	74 dels

Candidate	Vote share	# of votes	Delegates won	+/- final polling
Serduchka	53.7%	244,120	32 dels	+15.4%
Spire	46.3%	210,448	28 dels	+0.9%
Total		454,568	60 dels

Candidate	Vote share	# of votes	Delegates won
Negarir	46.3%	12,768,535	1,114 dels
Abbott	37.3%	10,278,053	689 dels
Khan	5.0%	1,389,345	127 dels
Defender	5.9%	1,625,703	113 dels
TSL	4.6%	1,255,983	77 dels
Mothma	0.9%	242,511	5 dels
Dels left			347 dels
Total		27,560,130	2,472 dels

Candidate	Vote share	# of votes	Delegates won
Serduchka	45.5%	11,010,024	1,884 dels
Spire	28.3%	6,837,087	1,050 dels
Reckoner	13.0%	3,133,314	385 dels
McGriddles	7.5%	1,824,899	313 dels
Peanuts	5.7%	1,376,113	198 dels
Dels left			935 dels
Total		24,181,437	4,765 dels

Candidate	Vote share	# of votes	Delegates won	+/- final polling
Negarir	64.9%	391,328	29 dels	+11.1%
Abbott	35.1%	211,670	15 dels	+4.8%
Total		602,998	44 dels

Candidate	Vote share	# of votes	Delegates won
Negarir	46.7%	13,159,863	1,143 dels
Abbott	37.2%	10,489,723	704 dels
Khan	4.9%	1,389,345	127 dels
Defender	5.8%	1,625,703	113 dels
TSL	4.5%	1,255,983	77 dels
Mothma	0.9%	242,511	5 dels
Dels left			303 dels
Total		28,163,128	2,472 dels

Candidate	Vote share	# of votes	Delegates won	+/- final polling
Serduchka	67.8%	1,026	8 dels	+19.5%
Spire	32.2%	488	4 dels	-1.6%
Total		1,514	12 dels