Newbie 2129 - Postgame
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humaneatingmonkey Survivor
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good evening ladies and gentlemen
could someone give me a rundown to help me catch up faster, that would be wonderful-
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humaneatingmonkey Survivor
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humaneatingmonkey Survivor
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and if Seven had been town, how would you have explained it? or have you stopped figuring out an alternate explanation here?In post 473, SzmarzLeek wrote: and Seven's approach to happy was kinda inconsistent, especially now we know it was a PR
first she said he's leaning scum in her eyes
then I'd asked who she'd lim, and she didn't mention him
when I reminded her that she scumreads him, she said she'd be okay with limming him after all
kinda dancing around the person they knew they'd nkill?-
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humaneatingmonkey Survivor
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no one sees this very town stream of consciousness here?In post 358, SevenEyes wrote: i put slight scumlean for happy because most of his posts were unclear/not that relevant/general tomfoolery which can be a bit scummy in itself, since he's not contributing much game-relevant info. i put down smiley as a second choice candidate to lim while looking at my own post on my reads, and recalled that his earlier stuff was mayhaps slightly scummy/generally odd, which is why i put him down. his later posts however are more contributory, definitely more so than happy, and now that i think about it harder, happy might be a better candidate for a lim rather than smiley, since it would be better to keep somebody who has more relevant input in the game rather than someone who doesn't.-
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humaneatingmonkey Survivor
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is the idea she's scum because she's avoiding to eliminate happy?
if scum!seveneyes identified the pr, why would she need to avoid pushing the slot if the opportunity presented itself? doesn't she want to push the slot?-
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humaneatingmonkey Survivor
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So we eliminated town yesterday with this motley crew of four beautiful people (happy flipped town), and we're shopping for answers outside of it?In post 442, Alianna wrote:-
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humaneatingmonkey Survivor
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humaneatingmonkey Survivor
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well this guy has the right idea. at least he isn't scamming this game.In post 461, The Bulge wrote: with the green flip we can pretty much guarantee there was at least 1 scum on the wagon, maybe 2. fmpov i think its likely the scum on steve's wagon were also on mine/brassherald's.
In post 442, Alianna wrote:Votecount 1.FINAL
MagicalSteve(ELIMINATED):iamveryhappy,The Bulge, SmileyDude1, TheHoldSteady, Civil Scum
i solidly tr szmarz (kawaii slot) and smiley so will be looking at how viable a cs/holdsteady team is today, but just from the wagon analysis id bet money its at least one of them.In post 225, Alianna wrote:Votecount 1.06
brassherald(E-1): KawaiiMikuStan,MagicalSteve, Civil Scum, TheHoldSteady-
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humaneatingmonkey Survivor
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though if scum, very clever to push the right strategy forward and then gently excuse yourself from the narrative-
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ehhhIn post 522, SzmarzLeek wrote: hello Merlyn, nice to have you here
my reads hasn't changed because we didn't have much content
townleans
Bulge (very adamant to lim innocent Steve)
Smiley (I like the engagement and attempts to break the silence and move the game
patchwork (when Geek wasn't feverish he played well)
THS (overall low volume but decent observations)
scumreads
Merlyn
humaneating monkey
scummy game from Civil Scum and Seven, avoiding the game much, especially with Seven dancing around happy; also it seems like they only provided input to the game when prodded to do so or questioned by other, no own thoughts
are your townreads just activity-based?
except for THS, interesting, you think their observations are decent? what about their observations are decent?-
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humaneatingmonkey Survivor
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that doesn't sound like scum, but rather just a player who wasn't really that interested in playing the gameIn post 551, SzmarzLeek wrote:
the thing is, she scumread it but "forgot" to push itIn post 542, humaneatingmonkey wrote: is the idea she's scum because she's avoiding to eliminate happy?
if scum!seveneyes identified the pr, why would she need to avoid pushing the slot if the opportunity presented itself? doesn't she want to push the slot?
and the whole game was scummy, playing to avoid the prods and mostly talking when pushed to that-
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humaneatingmonkey Survivor
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come on guys, who's been running the show. i want intuitive answers. type a name in your reply box and then hit submit. ultra instinct. go.-
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humaneatingmonkey Survivor
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leek, it's my slot. i know it's town. do you want me to pussyfoot around the obvious?-
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humaneatingmonkey Survivor
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seven being "scummily lurking" and giving "forced, weird answers" is your opinion and the story you're telling.
i clearly see a newbie who thought she'd try mafia, was uninterested, and politely excused herself out of the game.-
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humaneatingmonkey Survivor
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yeah man, it's a town iso. she's been nothing but off-the-cuff replies. it's the stream-of-consciousness shit that makes it obvious.In post 557, SzmarzLeek wrote: can you really tell me looking at Seven's iso that it's an obvious town?-
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humaneatingmonkey Survivor
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i think we can slightly speculate that iavh was probably tempting the kill a lot by softing clumsily in the beginning-
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humaneatingmonkey Survivor
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i'm finding it hard to believe that leek would really think that seven is scum for not pushing what leek thinks is an obvious PR slot. surely it's more beneficial for scum to push for a TPR elimination, and then seal the deal with another chance at a TPR during the NK?
i'm reaaaally finding the reason to be forced.-
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humaneatingmonkey Survivor
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i'm going to sleep. tomorrow i'll iso everyone (or at least start with Bulge, SmileyDude, THS, and CS). if i got too busy, then let's hope i survive until day 3.
good night guys-
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humaneatingmonkey Survivor
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woah there
what truths am i manipulating, my dude
i hear you, you wanna eliminate seven because of activity
but what i'm concerned is that you're reinforcing your activity-based scumread with speculations about dancing around a slot seven wants to NK-
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humaneatingmonkey Survivor
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and just now, you've tried to call me scum for defending my own slot and being manipulative and deaf about your arguments
it's hard not to feel like you've decided i'm your elimination, and just inventing reasons to justify that now-
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do you want me to clarify so my post makes more sense and so that we can communicate better?
or do you just want to portray me as nonsense so you can continue pushing me-
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humaneatingmonkey Survivor
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i'm not trying to put it like that at all
if you feel like your reason is deeper, feel free to elaborate
i don't think seven's inconsistency was weird. i think it's obvious that she's an uninterested player who didn't really like the game, and everything else makes sense after that. in a vacuum, even if i don't know seven's alignment, i'd say that still NAI.-
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humaneatingmonkey Survivor
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what you need to know is... ~I~ think your reasons are shallow as heck. If you think your reasons run deep, please elaborate. I'm not making you anything.-
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i thought her tone was really honest. her readslist is just emotions about players in the game and i think newbscum usually feels a bit more fabricated and "right" because they're informed. she reads totally uninformed.-
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life has been very busy, there's not much time for me to sort through the thread
i think we should eliminate between The Bulge, Merlyn (Civil Scum slot), SmileyDude1, and THS.
Whoever gets popular support, I'll back.
If it's still me then I will claim in 24 hours.-
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humaneatingmonkey Survivor
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humaneatingmonkey Survivor
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yeah leek the limpool is pretty wide that's why we need to just end the day and get a flip-
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humaneatingmonkey Survivor
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it's a prepped post through the night. i'm still trying to figure out if as scum or if as town. he did this in the last game i modded for.In post 807, SzmarzLeek wrote: but wait a second
Smiley did you really write this pairing post in 10 minutes
like c'mon
you published it 10 minutes after the nkill announcement
how-
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humaneatingmonkey Survivor
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if i want to no effort, i'll just drop a vote on obviously between Smiley and THS
i think if i did that, game wouldn't end.In post 442, Alianna wrote:-
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humaneatingmonkey Survivor
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between Smiley and THS, i'd rather vote Smiley because i think the prepped post is probably a scumtell-
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humaneatingmonkey Survivor
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THS is fine, he didn't hammer me yesterday before i had the chance to claim. that's probably +town-
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humaneatingmonkey Survivor
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bad vibesIn post 800, SmileyDude1 wrote: Immediately, the fact that the scum team hit 2/2 in terms of PR night kills points to an experienced scum team (i'd need to check later, but I don't think The Bulge gave off PR vibes either so at least one of those shots were like non-obvious)-
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humaneatingmonkey Survivor
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really bad vibesIn post 801, SmileyDude1 wrote: Was not expecting to see The Bulge slot flip night 2 (thought it was going to be a Leek kill if I had to guess). Going to need some time to think if there are any ramifications on such a kill (beyond PR hunting).-
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humaneatingmonkey Survivor
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are you familiar with the setup?In post 803, SzmarzLeek wrote: if they found another role then I'd guess they have a role cop? but it doesn't matter I guess anymore-
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humaneatingmonkey Survivor
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obviously we are in ELo and the smartest thing to do is assume everybody's playing the best scum game ever.-
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humaneatingmonkey Survivor
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i was busy. you'll understand if it was your nth mafia game in the newbies as a replacement. see how engaged you will be when you're on the chopping block and you're VT anyway-
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this was flower's slot, and this looks like the most town-indicative post in the game thus farIn post 463, CCGeek wrote: ok so i'm sick and have dm'd alianna to replace out
before that very rushed thoughts:
i expected clems to flip pr, albeit not doc, all his d1 nonsense was kind of telling to me more than it usually is, but am more surprised at whoever decided to kill the iavh slot.
i do not like smiley's case because i had been reading, and surely people could tell from my live read session that was cutshort by my fever; I'm pretty sure that's room enough for progression, you may disagree tho. also keep in mind that I never actually even voted for the lim, which partly was due to all this, but imo having steve in my limpool should not really equate scummy by itself.
i still HATE the szmarzleek slot that just feels weirdly coasty and pockety and IMHO shouldnot be trusted. him being the main resistance to steve does not prove anything because it's very easily fakeable as scum.
holdsteady is the one person i still believe is hard town in my eyes.
i also think bulge can make or break this game with proper decisions because it seems like he's the one town is gradually gravitating to as the leader. imo look at one of civil scum (by wagonomics) or szmarzleek first.
side thought, smiley+bulge team would probably mean disaster for town.-
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he was about to replace out and i don't think there's scum motivation to drop this on his way out-
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leek i'm concerned because i said there was a rolecop, and i find it impossible that you wouldn't read the setup for this game, and i'm thinking that you saying that is LAMIST behavior -- a scumtell
assure my mind that i'm just being paranoid.-
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humaneatingmonkey Survivor
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would you give examples of town games where you have prepared posts through the night-
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do i have motivation now? that's debatable. i haven't even read the entire game yet, FWIW. i'm just mostly skimming through events and isos. i'm gonna get there though.In post 842, TheHoldSteady wrote: But why do you find motivation now with town in ELO and two dead PRs.-
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by all means i think through VCA, smiley should be our number one elimination here. this guy only voted town. but the only reason i'm not instavoting smiley here is the prepared post is either a very strong scumtell or a very strong towntell.
i feel like the fact that the post was made without the night kill in mind and there was no post that was a reflection on the nightkill points towards smiley having no preparation for the night kill result at all (which if he had prepared, he would have had due to his work ethic) iirc in the game i modded, smiley made the post with the nightkill in mind.
i mean, smiley did play maybe the best newie scum game i've seen in this site. so it's 50/50 IMO.-
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i see "experienced" and it's just really referring to me. i'm the only experienced guy around left. but it's weird that you're not saying that. it's like you're setting me up as the losing elimination through subtle language and i don't see why you would do that as town.In post 836, SmileyDude1 wrote:
Elaborate? Think that's a reasonable observation to make given the events of this game so farIn post 817, humaneatingmonkey wrote:
bad vibesIn post 800, SmileyDude1 wrote: Immediately, the fact that the scum team hit 2/2 in terms of PR night kills points to an experienced scum team (i'd need to check later, but I don't think The Bulge gave off PR vibes either so at least one of those shots were like non-obvious)
Elaborate again? I thought Leek would eat the NK due to being a consensus townread. What's off about that?In post 818, humaneatingmonkey wrote:
really bad vibesIn post 801, SmileyDude1 wrote: Was not expecting to see The Bulge slot flip night 2 (thought it was going to be a Leek kill if I had to guess). Going to need some time to think if there are any ramifications on such a kill (beyond PR hunting).-
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i wanted to know, and i haven't read any of your games apart from the one i modded.In post 850, SmileyDude1 wrote: I was wondering why you asked me that question when you should know I don't have many games that I could pull from.-
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leek, i think my reasons were pretty clear and if you don't understand anything, you can ask me questions.
i established why i had the limpool of 4
and I'm pretty sure i'm perfectly capable of getting your townread by efforting in this thread, it's clear how to manipulate you
I'm just not interested in doing that-
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humaneatingmonkey Survivor
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VCA as Civil Scum, and when push came to shove, she opted to eliminate me instead of going for a scumread.In post 896, TheHoldSteady wrote: why did you sr Merlyn yesterday?-
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humaneatingmonkey Survivor
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a lot of what i know and understand about this game is just intuitive for me at this point. I've been doing this a long time. my process might seem opaque, and i might find it difficult to relate my ideas about this game to you because i'm unsure which would be confusing to newbies or not. but there's a process there. you just have to meet me halfway so we can understand each other.
that's if you're really interested in trying to sort my slot. i understand it's gonna be very easy for scum to push for my elimination here. at some point, it's also town's responsibility to make that outreach so they can make the right vote. otherwise, we just lose - but this isn't my newbie game. it'syournewbie game.-
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don't you think that's an exaggeration? if you're town, avoid doing this. exaggerations cloud objective judgment.In post 899, SzmarzLeek wrote: you dont talk to others, you dont ask questions to your scum candidates, you dont share your thoughts on them
which ones?In post 899, SzmarzLeek wrote: none of your reasons are clear
i voted Merlyn because i thought she was the most likely scumIn post 899, SzmarzLeek wrote: at the end you vote Merlyn to save yourself-
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and i'm not sure where you get the idea that defending myself from elimination is a scumtell
what do you imagine town would do? if you were town, how would you avoid your elimination -- which could end up losing the game? do you just roll up to a ball and die?
if you have a set of scumtells that you blanketly apply on every game to judge a slot's alignment... then you're doing it wrong.-
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the reason i'm not voting smiley here dude.. is because flower's slot hasn't showed up yet-
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i also pretty much explained that flower's slot made the most town-indicative post in this game, and i'm just not gonna vote that in a 5p ELo when Smiley has that obvious scum bloodlust for a perfect game.-
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