OK, a few things to say!
Mort 76: 27 isn't the only post where Xnadroj follows that line of logic (random primary, motive secondary.) Posts 41, 42, 44, I could go on.
I'm poorly wording myself with the phrase "gambit." My point is that in post 29, by placing a "random" vote which wasn't actually random, he prematurely took us out of RVS and started shifting blame to others very quickly. Now if that is a scum move, that is godawful as it puts you straight in the spotlight, especially if your subsequent reasoning for it isn't strong. For that reason, I don't see him as a scumread.
Mort 77: So I am suspicious because I'm both buddying up to Cheetory and I'm unreasonably having a go at Cheetory?!? Taken as a whole I don't really see how the tone of that post was off. You're definitely right that 18 sticks out like a sore scummy thumb though.
Mort 78:
That's fair. My questions to Zaraki are:
1: Why cling to your vote for so long?
2: You clearly didn't care too much for your own line of reasoning concerning RVS if you were willing to drop it so fast. Why not carry on arguing for it if you thought it was important? Why did you argue for so long if you didn't think it was important?
Cheetory 99:
My scumread on Zaraki is twofold. First, as everyone agrees, he held his vote on Deimos for way too long. Secondly, and yes this is partly gut, but the speed of his backtrack hardly screams town. Surely a town who has debated the game theory for so long would be more obstinate about the whole thing. Zaraki hasn't even gone for a "fine, I'll unvote but fuck you" kind of approach, he's just tried to move himself out of suspicion as quickly as possible. Where's that Townie emotion? If I can quote the wiki:
Look for that frustration. Look for that resistance, that fight. It's often the distinguishing factor between a player knowing a player's town and not caring about the lynch (scum) and "knowing" a player's town and fighting to prove it (town).
Deimos 86: Right, I seem to have generated some controversy with that statement. I just thought it was suspicious that Cheetory isn't going to share his town reads and I can't think of any valid reasons for doing so. I thought particularly weird for him to actively announce that he's withholding townreads. Then again, he's a more experienced player than me and no one else seems bothered by it. I'm willing to believe that he's got some trick up his sleeve, but if he can't justify withholding his information adequately further on down the line, I'm ready to throw some shade his way.
As for withholding my vote despite my reasoning, I don't see why it's unreasonable. I haven't voted yet because I missed RVS and I feel waiting for Zaraki to offer a justification is worth it. If his justification is good then we should discuss it further, if it's not then it's the last piece of the puzzle. You're probably right that I've got enough to go on to make my vote right now, but now you've called me out on it, I don't know if doing that will make me look more suspicious or not! I best just stick to my reasoning for now.