i do. wheme is very towny, and i don't see how anyone could have a read on me. and i checked before i decided to replace in, cephrir was towny.
Ok so who are your suspects? I thought Klicks PoE pool was solid
keeping in mind i haven't really bothered to sort anyone since day 1 because of the guilties and klick v luka thing, the pool of people i don't strongly tr is probably jjh/t3/penguin/you.
i think out of this pool, you are the towniest and penguin is the scummiest. i don't really have reads on t3 and jjh but one is probably scum because of process of elimination.
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Post #2537 (isolation #204) » Thu Jan 18, 2024 4:01 pm
Postby T3 »
In post 2534, Bingle wrote:
I think jj telling me there isn't really mech to dig into despite already having seen something to weigh in on in the last 5 pages is interesting, potentially in a scum indicative way. I think that he's fairly easy to solve regardless, and I'm satisfied with that for now. I'm vaguely aware that there's some kind of 'guilty' but given that we haven't actually murdertastic murderbarned said guilty, I guess there's some reasonable doubt? I also hear tell that pooky is a dead scumlord so I should probably look into who he was actively manipulating. Pooky doesn't put on a show of manipulating buddies ime, but he can't help being a puppetmaster so he's likely spewed some town from that.
Also something something Sakura claimed vanilla and was obvtown and then got vanilla-iced by scum and is saying that conftowns her harder? Is there a reason outside of ALIventor to assume scum would vanilla-ice a vanilla claim?
Party Boat is hard guiltied by a tracker.
Sakura claimed Watcher with a hard guilty on Pooky and was promptly vanillaized.
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Post #2539 (isolation #205) » Thu Jan 18, 2024 4:15 pm
Postby T3 »
In post 2534, Bingle wrote:
I think jj telling me there isn't really mech to dig into despite already having seen something to weigh in on in the last 5 pages is interesting, potentially in a scum indicative way. I think that he's fairly easy to solve regardless, and I'm satisfied with that for now. I'm vaguely aware that there's some kind of 'guilty' but given that we haven't actually murdertastic murderbarned said guilty, I guess there's some reasonable doubt? I also hear tell that pooky is a dead scumlord so I should probably look into who he was actively manipulating. Pooky doesn't put on a show of manipulating buddies ime, but he can't help being a puppetmaster so he's likely spewed some town from that.
When I’ve seen scum Pooky before I have not been able to catch him at all based on interactions
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Post #2540 (isolation #206) » Thu Jan 18, 2024 4:18 pm
Postby T3 »
The Dunn wagon was started by Pooky the first two times as a counterwagon to himself. Then the third time it rose it happened as a dark horse counterwagon to jjh and Peng, and Pooky didn’t push hard for Dunn near EoD1 at all.
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Post #2541 (isolation #207) » Thu Jan 18, 2024 4:21 pm
Postby T3 »
In post 1696, PookyTheMagicalBear wrote:
i feel like at this point dunnstral is somewhat in anti-spew mode because his response to sakura does not read as like a townie reaction in any way at all
actually he did push Dunn hard to counterwagon Gamma at one point
In post 1553, Alisae wrote:
When I are up I want to see some people say why they think cakez is town
I think Dunnstral's read of SirCakez and overt defense of him makes him TMI'd town. 585792
as the game has progressed and Cakez became leading wagon on a 2nd go around - Dunnstral's said nothing to defend his Cakez Townread from earlier and just kind of twiddling his thumbs trying to pretend he doesn't exist.
Feels like he wants the Cakez wagon to go through. His inactivity while Cakez/BCG are the leading wagons makes me think he's comfortable with either one going through which doesnt make sense if he's scum with scum!cakez or town with a cakez townread. Furthermore he says nothing to really defend Cakez when he does enter the thread.
Dunnstral's scumplay I would classify as "act when necessary" and I think in game states that are favorable to scum he doesn't really do much you can see G+R for an example of Dunnstral doing nothing in a game state favorable to mafia.
Oh wait you might be right about the puppeteering thing
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Post #2577 (isolation #214) » Fri Jan 19, 2024 2:41 pm
Postby T3 »
In post 2574, Bingle wrote:
cakez and ceph pretty solidly town, as of p15, for pooky interactions. Also Dunn, but someone had to kill him. Also Gamma and pooky are obvscum. I'm good at this.
Ceph and Pooky did not have any interactions before page 15
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Post #2580 (isolation #217) » Fri Jan 19, 2024 2:59 pm
Postby T3 »
In post 2576, Bingle wrote:
I am suffering a combination of waking up too early and drinking too much. The remainder of my layover will be spent trying not to hate my pants.
I'll just come out and say it: I think jj is scum here. He's got low energy/excitement for where I think he'd be in a mech heavy game for a flavor he'd like. He's engaging and doing well, but I don't really get the sense that he wants to be. I know that he's capable of this level of play, his sig is from a much more impressive scumgame than this one if it turns out I'm right.
I'm still fine just letting him be and doing his own thang for now, but I'm particularly interested in any cases that could show he's town, because if he is I want to use him as a sounding board and I can't really do that without the trust.
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Post #2633 (isolation #219) » Sat Jan 20, 2024 2:54 pm
Postby T3 »
In post 2610, jjh927 wrote:
There is point in voting outside of party boat, actually
If scum are indeed limited to using one of their factional powers per player, then we would be in a better position mechanically if we voted out a different scum player in this day phase
This being said, explain what dumb thing you have spotted as it makes it a lot easier to conclusively place you unlike the rest of your content this game
Oh I missed this
I don’t understand how you know anything and how me saying that bcg targeting t3 makes sense to me checks out with you when you shouldn’t know anything because I looked back and Ali gave u no powers
I've noticed a pattern in the roles that Ali gave out
Actually do you still want Wheme to claim today, or no?
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Post #2692 (isolation #232) » Tue Jan 23, 2024 4:49 am
Postby T3 »
I think his assumptions are questionable but I do not think that makes him scum. I don't think you're properly differentiating "actively manipulative scum" with "town who thinks he's making the optimal play"
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Post #2734 (isolation #242) » Wed Jan 24, 2024 2:03 pm
Postby T3 »
In post 2715, Sakura Hana wrote:
I'll just say i dont have a solid reason for scumreading you T3, it's just kinda, it feels kinda off you know, your posting i mean. And Alisae installed into my head the fact that you cant be trusted ever, which has made me very wary of like everything.
That’s fair. I suppose the best response I can provide is that I struggle to vibe as town? I like to just go off and solve by myself which in the past people have described as somewhat disconnected, in a sense? I’m not describing it exactly correctly but I would not say that I’m particularly socially apt.
Alisae massively oversold my scumgame. I’m an average player who had one extremely good scumgame in which I fooled virtually everyone, but that was the exception and not the rule.
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Post #2737 (isolation #244) » Wed Jan 24, 2024 3:50 pm
Postby T3 »
In post 2736, Sakura Hana wrote:
I have a hard time reading games i'm not a part of. But now that you mention it, i've been using Anything Upick as a base which is the only game of yours and jjh i remember.
Anything Upick was before I actually started trying to win games
In post 2744, jjh927 wrote:
I know I have a few more T3 posts to look at and that's what tipped me off initially but are the T3 voters looking at the posts in thread and not seeing a very self-consistent narrative that is backed by a reasonable thought process
i am literally sheeping two confirmed towns: klick and sakura.
i also don't really have a read on t3 while i do have a townread on several people.
can u towncase t3? other than by saying he is clearly town.
At the end of the day yesterday Klick was townreading me
Sakura’s scumread of me is informed entirely by bad vibes and thinking my scumgame is better than it is
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Post #2754 (isolation #249) » Thu Jan 25, 2024 7:18 am
Postby T3 »
[quote=SirCakez post_id=14061963 post_num=2750 time=1706203696 user_id=26092 I can see the arguments
[/quote]
Literally no one has made any argument of substance for me being scum
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Post #2760 (isolation #251) » Thu Jan 25, 2024 11:00 am
Postby T3 »
In post 2756, PenguinPower wrote:
lol - your trajectory on me is bad. Penguin is scum but that largely relies on wheme being scum -> penguin doesn’t make any new posts -> nevermind penguin is now just scum for *reasons* -> oh god people are voting me I guess now’s the time for me to vote penguin.
My initial reasons for townreading you were invalid, I realized that after I chatted with jjh in the hood
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Post #2762 (isolation #252) » Thu Jan 25, 2024 11:17 am
Postby T3 »
In post 2756, PenguinPower wrote:
lol - your trajectory on me is bad. Penguin is scum but that largely relies on wheme being scum -> penguin doesn’t make any new posts -> nevermind penguin is now just scum for *reasons* -> oh god people are voting me I guess now’s the time for me to vote penguin.
"penguin is scum but that largely relies on wheme being scum" - I've been saying this or some variation of this in the hood for the past 2 night
"penguin doesn't make any posts" - My flip from Wheme to you happened over ONE PAGE of you not making any posts. If I had the agenda to scumread you I would have just voted you at daystart in the first place
"penguin is now just scum for *reasons" - Again, my reasoning is pretty weak but I explained it a little bit in the PT with jjh, I didn't like that Pooky townread you and the only scum motivation I could think of was that he wanted to protect you from being limmed. My initial reason for townreading you was that I doubted Gamma would have voted you yesterday if you were scum but jjh showed me that I overestimated the momentum of the wagon on you. I still think it's less likely that you are scum from the fact that Gamma voted you but that does not outweigh my previous reason for scumreading you.
"oh god people are voting me I guess now's the time for me to vote penguin" - guilty as charged
I think PenguinPower is town because he's just following me around like he expects me to townread him.
I have a pretty strong track record of reading him correctly pretty much every game I've ever played with him without fail so the way he's playing with pretty much no regard for making himself look good and just chilling while following me around feels pretty townie to me. I think he's not worried about being pushed or limmed this game because I'm alive and he expects me to just veto any wagon on him. This thought process only makes sense for him to have if he's town, if he's mafia I'd expect him to actually make some kind of effort.
In post 1865, SirCakez wrote:
I don't think this is a compromise or lurker D1 elimination either, Penguin always enters games like thats just his playstyle
Versus especially JJH feels like a coin flip
?
why is penguin mafia if he always enters games like this?
This seems less like a pocket and more like scum defending a buddy.
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Post #2768 (isolation #254) » Thu Jan 25, 2024 11:53 am
Postby T3 »
In post 2764, PenguinPower wrote:
lol @ pooky protecting me. I’m almost never a day 1 yeet as either alignment and I almost never endgame as scum.
At one point near the end of day 1 you were at 6 votes to Dunn's 7, I know that the main reason I (and I believe Sakura too) avoided voting you for a while was because I looked at what Pooky said and bought it. If Pooky hadn't said that then the momentum may very well could have shifted to your wagon and you could have been limmed
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Post #2769 (isolation #255) » Thu Jan 25, 2024 11:56 am
Postby T3 »
I do not think that Pooky's townread of you is a pocket simply because scum!Pooky would have no reason to pocket you - you were sheeping him in the first place
I think PenguinPower is town because he's just following me around like he expects me to townread him.
I have a pretty strong track record of reading him correctly pretty much every game I've ever played with him without fail so the way he's playing with pretty much no regard for making himself look good and just chilling while following me around feels pretty townie to me. I think he's not worried about being pushed or limmed this game because I'm alive and he expects me to just veto any wagon on him. This thought process only makes sense for him to have if he's town, if he's mafia I'd expect him to actually make some kind of effort.
In post 1865, SirCakez wrote:
I don't think this is a compromise or lurker D1 elimination either, Penguin always enters games like thats just his playstyle
Versus especially JJH feels like a coin flip
?
why is penguin mafia if he always enters games like this?
This seems less like a pocket and more like scum defending a buddy.
This actually makes me think PP town over T3, fwiw. I agree that this isn't a pocket attempt, but it seems more like a halfassed defense against a weak wagon than a buddy sticking his neck out. I don't think pooks was trying to prevent PP from being flipped so much as angling to look good if PP flipped town phases down the line. Like, this doesn't seem so much a "Don't lim Penguin" excercise as an excuse to be voting elsewhere, and if Pengy/Dunn was T/T that makes absolutely perfect sense.
Maybe? But again, the first post was a fairly hard read that shut down several people’s desire to vote Penguin