Open 692 - Two-fold Matrix6 (Game Over)
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Varying townreads on Ari, Realeo, PM, lane, and Kantrip.
Varying scumreads on Rory and Judge. (And I think I remember gut scumreading wino but I don't recall why.)
Draynth/Kasumeat has literally been all over my radar.
In any event the Ari wagon is an extremely poor one. The reasons he are being wagoned are completely NAI for someone as familiar with his meta as I am, and he had a few posts that really stuck out as towny (17, 89, 106).
(I might still be wrong on him since I have never played AGAINST him when he was scum, but I'm confident that I'll be able to read him soon enough if we leave him alone and let him interact naturally. And Ari DON'T LURK IF YOU'RE TOWN PLS )-
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Gut, gut, gut, and gut
PM's posting and reads progression feel natural. And he doesn't strike me as a person that could fake that well as scum. I also think the fact that he said Mafia/Werewolves in some of his posts but just Mafia in 170 probably means that he has to keep reminding himself it's multiball.
Ari was right about his meta of engaging as town. I think the posts I mentioned show this and I also think 17 is probably a townslip.
Lane is... doing stuff. A lot of stuff. He's asking questions and being aggressive. I think it's towny and I don't see anything major I don't like about him.
You pinged my gut in a few places. 53 is a really weak and easy reason for a vote. 115 doesn't sound like a town way to approach townreading although it could just be speaking style. 120 didn't really address the reason why you weren't contributing much, and it sounds like an excuse post scum might make.-
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That's literally why the word scum was coined...In post 272, lane0168 wrote:
You should've just left it at gut.In post 254, Something_Smart wrote:Gut, gut, gut, and gut
PM's posting and reads progression feel natural. And he doesn't strike me as a person that could fake that well as scum. I also think the fact that he said Mafia/Werewolves in some of his posts but just Mafia in 170 probably means that he has to keep reminding himself it's multiball.
Ari was right about his meta of engaging as town. I think the posts I mentioned show this and I also think 17 is probably a townslip.
Lane is... doing stuff. A lot of stuff. He's asking questions and being aggressive. I think it's towny and I don't see anything major I don't like about him.
You pinged my gut in a few places. 53 is a really weak and easy reason for a vote. 115 doesn't sound like a town way to approach townreading although it could just be speaking style. 120 didn't really address the reason why you weren't contributing much, and it sounds like an excuse post scum might make.
Pm could easily just say mafia cause saying mafia/werewolf is annoying.
You mean it's NAI at worst. He was obviously messing around, but in my experience with him he's more likely to mess around in that manner as town.Ari's Townslip could come from scum who forgot it was multiball. Or was just messing about considering it wasn't a serious post. It's nai at best.
I did elaborate on what I meant by stuff"stuff" isn't exactly going to convince anyone of me but I guess you really aren't trying to convince anyone of anyone with this post. Just pointing out your logic is flawed
I never said 211 was towny, but I think that the difference between these two situations is that lane clearly isn't using it as an excuse not to post, whereas WhyMafia might be. The scumminess is not in the fact that WhyMafia said it (since on some level everybody only ever posts when they feel like it), but in the fact that he used it to defend against accusations of insufficient content.In post 276, Kasumeat wrote:
Whymafia's 120 and Lane's 211 are almost completely identical explanations for their lack of contribution to the game at that point. Why is 120 scummy and 211 townie?In post 254, Something_Smart wrote:Lane is... doing stuff. A lot of stuff. He's asking questions and being aggressive. I think it's towny and I don't see anything major I don't like about him.
[Whymafia] pinged my gut in a few places. 53 is a really weak and easy reason for a vote. 115 doesn't sound like a town way to approach townreading although it could just be speaking style. 120 didn't really address the reason why you weren't contributing much, and it sounds like an excuse post scum might make.-
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Actually, it's the opposite. His posting seems mostly conclusions fueled by shallow explanations. Which makes sense for scum as faking conclusions is no trouble at all.
In reading his ISO I don't see anything that looks like more than just evidence followed by conclusion. It's kinda tough to explain but I think that it's very easy to play the way he is as scum (and it's how I often play as scum because I'm really bad at faking being genuine).
Also I noticed that oldwino has a bunch of townreads and scumreads but Ari is not in either group. Oldwino, what is your read on Ari? How do you feel about his wagon?-
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In post 247, Something_Smart wrote:Ari, Realeo
PM, lane
davesaz
oldwino, Kantrip, Judge
Raya, WhyMafia
Kasumeat
Rory-
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Your D) and E) are close, but not exactly right. I think what you're not realizing (intentionally or not) is that you and I have a different definition of "content". So the interpretation I intended was:In post 316, Kasumeat wrote:In post 308, Something_Smart wrote:Where's the lie?
Quote a statement I made that is probably false.
OK, you could be telling the truth, but I don't think so. I interpreted this paragraph to be saying:I never said 211 was towny, but I think that the difference between these two situations is that lane clearly isn't using it as an excuse not to post, whereas WhyMafia might be. The scumminess is not in the fact that WhyMafia said it (since on some level everybody only ever posts when they feel like it), but in the fact that he used it to defend against accusations of insufficient content.
A) both Whymafia and Lane made functionally identical statements
B) the difference between the two situations is that Lane has been posting more since those posts, but Whymafia not so much, AND Whymafia "used it to defend against accusations of insufficient content."
B) is very clearly a lie, because very clearly Lanewasusing it "to defend against accusations of insufficient content." This is what I believed. If it's true, then unquestionably you're lying.
However, right here . . .
. . .you're arguing that the correct interpretation is that D) and E), below, are independent:In post 303, Something_Smart wrote:And I never said that Lane wasn't using it as a defense against accusations of insufficient posting.
I said he wasn't using it as an excuse not to post, because he is posting a lot.
C) both Whymafia and Lane made functionally identical statements
D) the difference between the two situations is that Lane has been posting more since their posts, but Whymafia not so much
E) the statement was not inherently scummy, but rather it's scummy when used "to defend against accusations of insufficient content"
While this would mean that you're not lying, the problem with this is that if this interpretation is correct, then D) does not affect E). Thus, it WOULD be scummy coming from Lane, but you very clearly claim that don't find that statement scummy from him. You are simultaneously arguing that both interpretations are true at the same time, which is obviously impossible. My brain didn't reach this interpretation at first because it's not the more logical one.
Now, upon processing this, I'm no longer certain that you're intentionally lying, and thus I'm less certain you're scum. It's conceivable that you're are just a townie making a case with inherently contradictory logic. Town do that from time to time. But it comes more often from scum. You're not the slam-dunk scum I thought you were, but still up there, especially coupled with the fact that you're defending Lane, who is SR by myself and many others in this game.
F) the difference between the two situations is that Lane was posting enough content when he was accused, but WhyMafia wasn't
G) the statement is not inherently scummy, but it's scummy when used as an excuse to not post sufficient content. This can only be achieved if:
------ X) The player is not giving enough content (And in my opinion this applies only to WhyMafia, not to Lane)
------ Y) The player is accused of not giving enough content, and uses said statement as a defense (This does apply to both of them)
So if you want to debate this point more, the proper point to debate is F). Hopefully at some point I can explain why I think Lane did have enough content, but I think it's fairly clear; his posts compared to WhyMafia's were longer, had more interactions, and had less fluff. (This from memory; I know he had some fluff but it didn't pad his postcount as much as WhyMafia's did.)
151In post 321, Raya36 wrote:In post 297, Raya36 wrote:
This is a fair point. Do you scum read him for this or are you just saying that this doesn't point to him being town? Do you think this is just his writing style and how he organizes his thoughts or do you think it's a scummy way of posting?In post 289, Something_Smart wrote:Actually, it's the opposite. His posting seems mostly conclusions fueled by shallow explanations. Which makes sense for scum as faking conclusions is no trouble at all.
In reading his ISO I don't see anything that looks like more than just evidence followed by conclusion. It's kinda tough to explain but I think that it's very easy to play the way he is as scum (and it's how I often play as scum because I'm really bad at faking being genuine).
Okay, I see where you're coming from with this but I feel that this could just as easily be town as well.In post 298, Something_Smart wrote:The former and the latter.
(I scumread him for it and I think it's a scummy way of posting.)
I'll link a couple posts that I found to be towny. Can you link some of the ones where you felt he was faking conclusions or that you found scummy?
151
159
These two posts made early on were the most towniest to me. He posted a few later on that I like the analyzing in although they didn't really include much that would say whether they were town or scum.
156
159
204
316
It's very hard to explain what I don't like about those posts, but I feel like the motivation behind them is "give reads". It's not "solve the game" or "sort players". Those are things that only town has to do (actually this isn't true in this game because it's multiball, but scum still have less of these things to do and it's still possible to play multiball with the same scum mindset). I don't think Kasumeat was thinking that critically about the actions mentioned (or mentioned many actions that can really be read into in a complex way). They seem very formulaic, like a T-chart: statements, and reasons.
Maybe it's not scum indicative for Kasumeat, but the above describes extremely well the difference between my towngame and my scumgame, and I'm sure Ari (who knows them both very well) can attest to that at least. (And therefore he should also townread me before too long.)
Basically this:In post 331, Aristophanes wrote:Because he looks like he's not sorting people. The questions he asked aren't going to tell him anything AI and he hasn't followed up on anything.
I'll go find the readslist.
Ninja'd!
Cool, thanks Smart!
Why is Rory so low?In post 257, Something_Smart wrote:His questions and observations are useless and trite, his vote on Ari is extremely lazy, and 200 doesn't seem like a town reaction.
No lynch is a valid option in multiball. It's especially preferable to an Ari lynch because I'm very confident that I can establish a correct read on him before too long, once he starts really giving content.In post 338, oldwino wrote:I'm voting
VOTE: Aristo
because he's got the heaviest wagon and we're getting near the deadline and we have to move this along, right or wrong.
That's L-2.
I lean town on everyone else, but not even strongly so.-
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I don't think it was a contradiction so much as an imprecision in terms; I do think it was WhyMafia using that as a defense that was scummy, but the part that I didn't explicitly say was that I thought he might have been trying to hide behind that as an excuse for not posting more. Whereas I obviously didn't and don't think that Lane was lacking in content and therefore his assertion that he posted when he felt like it was perfectly fine. (In fact although I read that exchange I didn't even remember that Lane was defending himself against accusations of insufficient content because I didn't think he had insufficient content.)In post 342, Kasumeat wrote:OK. If you had admitted to and corrected the contradiction shortly after it was brought to your attention I would feel a bit better about you, but it took a half dozen posts of mine focused entirely on pointing it out to you before you admitted the obvious. Why did it take you so long?
In any event, I don't think "admitted" is the right word because what that exchange did was help you understand exactly what I meant. I think my thought process was clear even if my words weren't exactly, and I'm actually curious as to why you feel worse about me than you would if I'd resolved the issue immediately.
Pedit: Ooh ooh pick me!-
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Except that this implies that there's only one scummy thing about the situation. You can't just read somebody's post with a checklist and go "okay this action is towny, and this thing is scummy", and then add up the points. The scumminess is in the fact that WhyMafia used it to defend against an accusation. Actually used it to defend; not just stated the fact, but actually had the low content to match up with it. And it should be clear from 254 that I think lane had more content than WhyMafia.In post 355, Kasumeat wrote:You very clearly said that the scummy thing was using that phrase to defend against an accusation of low/no-content, yet despite the fact that they both did so, only Whymafia was scum. That is a contradiction. You then admitted that while you did say the above, you meant something else. That's an admission.
Yes I know it's getting pedantic. But you're the one who's trying to simplify my somewhat-nebulous arguments into a set of formal statements which isn't how mafia works. And by the way:
I in fact have very little idea why you scumread me. (Beyond the obvious possibility that you're scum that is.) As far as I can tell the only reason you scumread me because you thought I lied, but I think I've made it abundantly clear what I meant and that was opinion anyway. If you want to say I was wrong, I made a mistake, fine, but town do that all the time. But I wouldn't even call it a contradiction because I never actually intended to state two conflicting things.In post 355, Kasumeat wrote:Anyways, I'm going to drop this now because I'm just getting tunneled on you and I think I've made it clear why you're scum.
In other news, I still prefer no lynch to an Ari lynch. I'd kind of like the people arguing for "any lynch is better than no lynch" to explain why this still applies in multiball.-
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OrlyIn post 382, oldwino wrote:I think a 'no lynch' is a bad idea. Given there are 9 town and 4 scum, and even though scum only know their own buddies and not the other two scum, odds are both scum teams will still kill townies during N1. That would really put town at a major disadvantage.-
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What makes you think it's not just scum pushing an agenda? (Not to mention that those reads might actually be real)In post 374, Realeo wrote:Given the consistency of Kasumeat @ fosing both me and S_S, I'm townleaning Kasumeat.
Before 120 you had 8 posts, 3 of which (at least) were RVS and all of which were 1-3 lines if that. None of them showed much of an interest in interacting, and your posts are mostly stating reads. I don't consider stating reads much content because naming all your reads can be done in one short post.In post 376, WhyMafia wrote:Sorry for the lack of posting
@SS
You think that Lane has more content in his ISO? Yeah ..... no
Before this posts you had 20 posts, 1-4 lines in length, following mostly the same patter.
Before 211, lane had 10 posts, also mostly short. 2 RVS, but the rest all have direct interactions-- either questions or responses that are meant to be responded to (as opposed to static things that are simply said).
Now he has 25, also following the same pattern. But he feels like he's actually trying to generate responses from others and figure things out rather than just saying "I scumread X because of [simplistic one-line argument]."
You have similar numbers of posts of similar length. But in reading your ISOs I get a lot more out of his. Stating reads is secondary as long as you're using your vote well; but interacting with people and actually forming those reads is critical. That's what I read as content, and that's why I feel you don't have much (and what you do have is the type of posting that scum have little difficulty faking).
You're aware that scum can also kill each other, right?In post 391, Kasumeat wrote:This is a scum-claim right here. The protective and investigative roles we have in this game are EXTREMELY weak and suggesting that we intentionally no-lynch so that we can rely on them instead is extremely fucking scummy. If we have a Cop, he cannot clear town, he can only catch scum, and even that, he can only catch 50% of scum! Without exaggeration that's not even 1/4 as useful as a normal Cop. Very similar story for Tracker, and of course their Werewolf equivalents. And the protective roles are half as useful as well. This is one of the most anti-town suggestions I've ever seen in my life.
Whenever I've been scum in multiball (or SK) I've always attempted to do this, and the one time I was town in multiball I relied on it (going so far as to tell the scum who to kill, which they did and the person flipped other scum although that game was 3:2:2 so relying on crosskills was necessary).
Of the three that Raya mentioned I think I'd prefer oldwino. Although Ari's recent content has not been that impressive he has a few posts that I think are towny, particularly the ones about him forgetting it's multiball (which I think is real coming from him). Although on rereading his ISO I'm not sure exactly where my townread on PM came from (I think it was his reaction to Realeo's L-3 post? But that doesn't look towny anymore). But I'd have to see what the replacement does there.
I just had a game end where the person posting like that (Alchemist) was scum-- he had a solid ISO and mostly reasonable points but I couldn't shake the feeling that his interactions were just made to appear like scumhunting and that he wasn't really interacting genuinely, which was one of the reasons I lynched him. I won't disagree that town can play like that, but it's not a strong way to play as town (whereas it's a moderately good way to play as scum).In post 401, Raya36 wrote:As I said, I get where you're coming from but I don't really agree. I can see the sort of formulaic (is this even a word?) writing style although I don't necessarily see that as scummy but more of a writing style. I have seen town play that way many times before and I even play that way as town on occasion. Also, even if I may not always agree with them I do find their reads to be genuine. It doesn't come across as fake for me as it does for you.-
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Also this isn't just one person I'm generalizing from.
Alchemist21, Something_Smart, Infinity 324, Umlaut, BlueBloodedToffee, DoctorPepper, Expedience, MagnaofIllusion, ProHawk, SirCakez, GuiltyLion, Egg are just some players I can think of that have used playstyles like this as scum in games I've been in.-
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Why do you keep jumping to conclusions?
That would be an idiotic thing to do as scum. A much more reasonable explanation (which isn't even related to my alignment!) is that I skimmed your ISO and got what you consider to be a wrong impression of your play.
So by all means explain how your play is similar, and I'll take back that statement.-
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Have you had such an outburst yet? If not, then I hope you do because it should help me read you. (I'm only unsure because I don't know what you consider an emotional outburst)In post 419, Kasumeat wrote:My play is similar in that it's aggressive, guileless, and I push people who do scummy things. It's mostly methodical but with occasional outbursts of emotion, mostly when I get pushed by terrible cases or think I've caught scum.
It's not a 1v1 to me. I'm not that confident that you're scum; I'm trying to sort you. I don't know what you're trying to do.In post 420, Kasumeat wrote:And honestly that's enough of this 1v1, it's distracting from the big picture which is making sure we don't take your incredibly scummy advice by no lynching
No, because it's not scum-motivated. If Realeo is scum, the best result for him is to lynch any player not of his faction.In post 421, Kasumeat wrote:Here is a question to everyone: Realeo is 100% lying about not advocating for a no-lynch. Does this bother you? Why or why not?-
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Except that we've got a short list of people who might be lynched, and none of them is especially close to a lynch. (With possible exception of Ari, but he was voting Ari for a while. Also partner speculation Day 1 is a bad idea in general, even worse in a 13-player game with 2-person scumteams.)In post 430, Kasumeat wrote:Or that we're not about to lynch his scumbro?
If he's scum.In post 431, Kasumeat wrote:
How the fuck do you know what faction he is?In post 426, Something_Smart wrote:I misspoke: it might be scum motivated for other reasons, but it's not directly in his faction's favor.
Seriously stop jumping to conclusions. That's valuable advice in life and in mafia.
Pedit: ffs.-
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Reaction test possibly. He was acting like he was keeping something close to his chest when he voted NL.In post 427, Kasumeat wrote:If it's not scum-motivated lying, what's the town-motivated reason for him lying?-
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426 is a correction of 425. The corrected 425 reads:
I wrote "scum-motivated" when I meant "in his scum faction's favor" because writing "pro-scum" would be confusing with two scumteams. Then I noticed my error and corrected it.In post 425, Something_Smart wrote:
No, because it's not directly in his faction's favor as scum. If Realeo is scum, the best result for him is to lynch any player not of his faction.In post 421, Kasumeat wrote:Here is a question to everyone: Realeo is 100% lying about not advocating for a no-lynch. Does this bother you? Why or why not?
So for God's sake will you stop jumping to conclusions?-
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Also for the record, your scumhunting is extremely naive. It assumes that scum are going to make themselves easy to hunt by doing things like blatantly contradicting themselves.
Scum don't do that any more than town. If you want to find scum you actually have to look past what someone is saying and analyze WHY they're saying it. It isn't easy, and if you think you've caught an entire scumteam already you're almost certainly wrong. (And I'm not just saying that because I'm on most of the scumteams you've posited so far; I think most players will agree with me on this.)-
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Yes, we can.In post 444, Realeo wrote:Can you two stop fighting with each other?
Can you read our argument and give your thoughts on it?-
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Well, I don't think he can get through 4 town games (3 of which he was NK'd in) with honestly believing that what he's doing is scumhunting; so I think it's more likely that he rolled scum for the first time and doesn't know how to sound convincing.In post 481, Realeo wrote:
But that's an argument why he is a incompetent player, not why he is scum.In post 476, Something_Smart wrote:Because he's consistently full of crap. Consistency isn't really a towntell IMO, and especially not when your reasons make no sense.
Does this imply that you townread Raya?In post 494, Realeo wrote:Raya makes me a paranoid.
I'm not forgetting the setup; I am explicitly keeping it in mind. There's no way protective roles will protect me, and I always play multiball under the assumption that scum will try to NK other scum.In post 496, Realeo wrote:In post 479, Something_Smart wrote:Well sure but Kasumeat's probably gonna kill me tonight thinking he's doing town a favor.If one person forgets the setup, I understand.
If two people forgets the setup, I find that there is at least 1 scum between S_S and Vedith.
Explanation later.-
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I think he's scum who is going to kill me because he thinks I'm also scum.In post 503, Realeo wrote:
When you said that, I'm under the assumption "Wait. You're thinking vigilante is on play?"In post 501, Realeo wrote:So what do you mean, "he's doing town a favor?"-
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Kasumeat was the one who brought up his meta.
He said this with no references to back him up, forcing me to look for them myself.In post 410, Kasumeat wrote:Regardless, this is the playstyle I use in every game (because I'm always town)
And Kasumeat, I haven't read your games. I only skimmed them looking for your posting style. But given that you haven't been mislynched I don't think you scumhunted like that in your previous games.-
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