Harry Potter: Oh the horror!! Game Over!!


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Post Post #12 (isolation #0) » Fri Jan 23, 2004 3:55 am

Post by mathcam »

The only thing I can tell for sure right now is that none of us has the role of Nearly Headless Nick.
How bizarre. You're claiming this as part of your role, or something you've deduced from the game setup and posts so far?

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Post Post #14 (isolation #1) » Fri Jan 23, 2004 4:05 am

Post by mathcam »

Okay, that's what I was asking about. I doubt that implies that Nick isn't in the game, but of course, it's certainly possible.

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Post Post #17 (isolation #2) » Fri Jan 23, 2004 5:07 am

Post by mathcam »

Very interesting...why would this information be given to you. Maybe this game is done geographically? i.e. Voldemort was on his way to kill someone and passed by your room, so you saw him? Probably something a little more sophisticated than that. Or maybe you're the one Voldemort targeted, and for some reason he couldn't kill you? Or maybe you're Voldemort himself and this is a brilliant ploy. Hmmmm.

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Post Post #20 (isolation #3) » Fri Jan 23, 2004 5:14 am

Post by mathcam »

A valid point, but I tend to think that if Werebear were a death-eater, he wouldn't have come out with this piece of information.

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Post Post #28 (isolation #4) » Fri Jan 23, 2004 10:33 am

Post by mathcam »

That seems pretty reasonable, actually. At least the part about Tom Riddle and/or shady. I'm not sure about that distribution of evil.

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Post Post #31 (isolation #5) » Fri Jan 23, 2004 10:33 am

Post by mathcam »

Wow, 3 posts in a second. Not bad.

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Post Post #104 (isolation #6) » Mon Jan 26, 2004 6:43 am

Post by mathcam »

Vote: Stewie
a la macros, and I have nothing better to contribute. That, and I agree that Snape is undoubtedly not evil, though it's remotely possible that the has some kind of extra win condition, like having Harry not succeed in some quest that Harry has or something.

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Post Post #121 (isolation #7) » Tue Jan 27, 2004 4:06 am

Post by mathcam »

That's your required 8, Stewie.

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Post Post #123 (isolation #8) » Tue Jan 27, 2004 4:14 am

Post by mathcam »

Okay, well whatever. It was two more than Stewie had when Stewie said he has 6 and wanted two more.

Claim, monkey boy!

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Post Post #127 (isolation #9) » Tue Jan 27, 2004 6:35 am

Post by mathcam »

...and see if they kill people? Or just see where they went?

It's sounding more and more like there
is
an underlying geography to this game.

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Post Post #137 (isolation #10) » Tue Jan 27, 2004 11:32 am

Post by mathcam »

I think the role-blocker probably already knows, Stewie. There can't be too many roleblockers out there. Probably even wose is the possibility that a pro-town roleblocker convinces himself that his target was pro-town when it might have been another target.

In any case,
Unvote: Stewie


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Post Post #169 (isolation #11) » Thu Jan 29, 2004 3:41 am

Post by mathcam »

I agree with DS and DP (and, I suppose, Macros) that he doesn't appear all that scummy. But I'm suspicious of the bandwagon-jumpers. I'll probably return to vote one at the botom of this post.

Stewie: I'm all for not pushing you to reveal anything you don't think would be a good idea to reveal, I just want to make sure there is some reason for not revealing. I don't think you'd change how big of a target you were or anything, do you?

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Post Post #179 (isolation #12) » Thu Jan 29, 2004 10:05 am

Post by mathcam »

I'm amused that Macros was contemplating voting for someone because they misspelled something...:)

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Post Post #186 (isolation #13) » Fri Jan 30, 2004 4:23 am

Post by mathcam »

And there may even be three killing groups. So I think shelper's point is pretty valid. On the other hand, multiple role-blockers is definitely a possibility. The question is whether or not Stewie would be ballsy enough to claim mason without actually being one.

I would like to hear from Stewie on how he knew that he was blocked by Neville.

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Post Post #189 (isolation #14) » Fri Jan 30, 2004 5:08 am

Post by mathcam »

It kind of makes sense with the geography interpretation, too...if you were wandering the halls at night, you would see who stopped you from leaving. Stewie's A-Okay in my book for now.

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Post Post #224 (isolation #15) » Mon Feb 02, 2004 3:39 am

Post by mathcam »

Flying Dutchman wrote:I have a solid claim, please don't force Snape to come out to confirm my innocence, he will probably have other abilities and need doc protection because of them, none of that is needed!!!
Wow was this an over-defensive post. It's a tough gamble. On the one hand, it's quite possible he's lying and this is a desparate ploy. On the other hand, it's a pretty major bad-for-the-town incident if we call his bluff and he's telling the truth, as Snape will come out and we'll have more sitting ducks than we know what to do with.

DS: I can' tbelieve you think we have a limited SK. Isn't an SK by definition limited? There's only one of them! I agree that there's something weird about the basilisk kills and the infirmary, but I think that if it's as simple as what you suggest, that the basilisk must have some awesome benefit as well. (Some kind of immunity to night kills, ability to manipulate voting, etc.) The more I think about it, the more I like the "ability to manipulate voting" hypothesis.

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Post Post #226 (isolation #16) » Mon Feb 02, 2004 4:20 am

Post by mathcam »

I didn't think I was freaking out, but who knows?

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Post Post #238 (isolation #17) » Tue Feb 03, 2004 4:16 am

Post by mathcam »

Macros wrote:Cam - there have been sk's with limitations before, possibly with some kind of immunity bonus?
Tam wrote:Mathcam, what is wrong with the idea of a SK with a weakness and a strength?
I feel like my point was missed. I was arguing that the SK wouldn't
just
have a weakness...that it would have some kind of bonus as well. In my opinion, this would be a strong bonus, once to compensate a) for being an SK, and b) Having a very weak kill.

I even proposed what this bonus might be...some kind of voting manipulation ability, which seems to go along with the basilisk's possession-like theme.

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Post Post #245 (isolation #18) » Wed Feb 04, 2004 3:47 am

Post by mathcam »

It didn't until now....

I think the day's been rather productive with ideas coming forth about how the mechanics of the game works, which I feel can only help the town. (The mafia probably knew much of it already). This makes for more informed night choices on the part of the pro-town roles. Now, let's see...who wouldn't like that? Oh yeah, scum.

Vote: BlueSin


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Post Post #262 (isolation #19) » Thu Feb 05, 2004 3:56 am

Post by mathcam »

DP, a somewhat amusing summary in quotes of the Flying Dutchman debate :
Flying Dutchman wrote:I'm Remus Lupin.

Normally, I change to a werewolf at full moon, which it seems to be every night in this game , but I won't become one if Snape gives me Wolfsbane. If he forgets to or is unable to, I become a Werewolf and kill everyone who targets me at night.
Werebear wrote:Am I the only one who understands what the role is? Lupin is a werewolf. Whoever Snape is has to brew Wolfsbane and give it to him every night or he'll kill whoever comes close, town or mafia.
Macros wrote:
Vote: Flying Dutchman

the reasoning - so eager to get a claim out of stewie, posted as soon as he could, missing not just a few posts like morpheus, but nearly a whole pages worth, trying to root out a target?
Macros wrote:im voting Flying Dutchman as far as i know, thats a mod error.
Macros wrote:sigh, i suppose you're right unvote: FD
no need to force old snape out into the open, more targets frot he scum (unfortunately my instincts are at a loss at the minute)
In any case, the point is that if we bandwagon FD
again
, his only defense will be to ask Snape to come out and verify his role, thus exposing yet another key figure.

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Post Post #268 (isolation #20) » Thu Feb 05, 2004 8:28 am

Post by mathcam »

Okay.

Unvote: BlueSin, Vote: Macros


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Post Post #281 (isolation #21) » Fri Feb 06, 2004 4:54 am

Post by mathcam »

*pssst..Unvote, BananaBob*

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Post Post #300 (isolation #22) » Mon Feb 09, 2004 3:56 am

Post by mathcam »

I'm torn on Macros:

Pros for Not Lynching Macros:

- He hasn't put up the kind of strong defense that I would expect from Townie Macros.
- DP seems to think he's innocent
- I think he's hinted at a role claim in the thread.
- He's fun to be in a game with.

Pros for Lynching Macros:

- He's been acting a little strange this game.
- It's possible he and DP might be scum together.
- Allowing people to just hint at roles and not actually come out with them is not really a good idea.

I think I'm minorly convinced of his innocence, but I feel like we
have
to force a role claim at this point, so my vote stands.

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Post Post #329 (isolation #23) » Tue Feb 10, 2004 4:05 am

Post by mathcam »

My votes' going to stay on Macros. It's certainly much better than forcing someone else to claim. Bogarts sure seem evil, if they're even in the game at all.

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Post Post #348 (isolation #24) » Wed Feb 11, 2004 3:31 am

Post by mathcam »

Well, for one, it might reveal Werebear's role. But I agree that something is fishy here. In his original role claim, Macros never mentioned anything about receiving actual informaiton. Doesn't that make him too powerful of a pro-town role? He's claiming a role-blocker that in a sense also figures out what the role of the player he targets is. To me, this makes much more sense as a mafia role, but even then it's pretty powerful.

Werebear, is there any way to confirm whether or not you got blocked last night?

But if Werebear's giving the thumbs up, I see no reason
not
to make Macros reveal his claimed information.

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Post Post #367 (isolation #25) » Wed Feb 11, 2004 9:29 am

Post by mathcam »

Well, it seems pretty reasonable to assume that Macros is indeed a Boggart. At this point, he would have had so many things go his away for him to be able to make everything happen as it did. The
one
other possibility in my mind is that he's some kind of mafia role-investigator, and just made up a plausible fear for Snape to have.

Now, whether or not Boggart is evil. Well, I think if the boggart were evil, he would have claimed a different role. I was going to write more, but I think that's fairly convincing, really.

Unvote: Macros
,

but I still wouldn't mind a cop's investigation of him, as FD points out.

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Post Post #370 (isolation #26) » Wed Feb 11, 2004 9:36 am

Post by mathcam »

Well, I'm certainly no expert on the books. I've only read the first 3. If others agree that Voldemort is unlikely as Snape's biggest fear, I'll probably put my vote back on.

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Post Post #390 (isolation #27) » Thu Feb 12, 2004 3:42 am

Post by mathcam »

Okay, well I'm putting my vote back on:
Vote: Macros
. These have all been mentioned several times, but here's a summary of why:

1) Macros is claiming a fairly powerful role, one that is in my opinion possibly too powerful to be pro-town (especially for a non-mainstream character), but a pretty balanced addition for the mafia.
2) His one piece of evidence is that he claims to have known Werebear's greatest fear was Voldemort. It's extremely likely that
many
people's greatest fears are Voldemort, just by his nature, so this is easily attributable to a lucky guess.
3) Even if Macros is telling the truth about what his role does, Boggarts are somewhat evil. in any case, they're certainly not "good."

Dang, I think I was thinking of more when I started to write this post. Oh well.

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Post Post #392 (isolation #28) » Thu Feb 12, 2004 4:06 am

Post by mathcam »

Hm, good point, Werebear. But as you point out, this just essentially lends more credence to the claim that he is a Boggart, something that I feel I was pretty convinced of already. Especially with the deadline, my vote stays.

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Post Post #397 (isolation #29) » Mon Feb 16, 2004 9:00 am

Post by mathcam »

I'm not a dementor, and I think it's pretty clear my role has a fear (not to you, to me). It's too bad, though, because I kind of wanted to know what it was (I'm not extremely knowledgeable about this character, and the web hasn't been very helpful).

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Post Post #410 (isolation #30) » Tue Feb 17, 2004 4:05 am

Post by mathcam »

Okay, there seems to be a lot of information out there right now, which is good. We just have to selectively come out with the right stuff and piece it together to nail a baddie. I feel like Stewie's info in particular will have to be carefully and selectively revealed.

But yeah, the whole Macros thing. He sure hasn't come up with any terrific support of his claim today. He mentions the possibility of a dementor, and then one turns up in someone's night info...is this a good bluff? Did Macros know someone saw him?

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Post Post #412 (isolation #31) » Tue Feb 17, 2004 4:20 am

Post by mathcam »

Yup, sorry.

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Post Post #414 (isolation #32) » Tue Feb 17, 2004 4:33 am

Post by mathcam »

It seems unlikely to me that Slytherin would be a recruiting group, but I think you definitely have a point about the lack of kills.

I'll think about the mass claim idea (and, of course, while I'm at it, think about lynching you fro bring it up. :))

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Post Post #421 (isolation #33) » Tue Feb 17, 2004 11:11 am

Post by mathcam »

However, he targeted me night 1
The thing is there's no strong reason to think that, unless I've forgotten something. Voldemort is a strong guess even if he's making up his claim.

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Post Post #435 (isolation #34) » Thu Feb 19, 2004 3:29 am

Post by mathcam »

Yeah, I'm just not currently buying the Macros argument. There's some suspicion, certainly, but not enough to make me want to go after him (again). Plus, consider this: It's quite likely a cop would have investigated Macros last night, and probably would have come out if he were guilty. So not a strong for his innocence, but another one, and the more we have, the more it can't be the right play to go after him.

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Post Post #439 (isolation #35) » Fri Feb 20, 2004 3:37 am

Post by mathcam »

Yeah, it wasn't a great sentence Tam. Let me re-word:

Each weak piece of information implying someone's innocence should probably be disregarded, as even mafia are bound to do
something
that seems innocent. But if we have several pieces of weak innocence-implying, together that should probably at least get us to hold off on going after that person. I think we have several of these for Macros, now, so I don't think going after him with the best.

Idunno...with no cops out in the open, I think it would probably be a good idea for a cop who knows for certain of an evil player to come out. That way they don't risk dying before that information is revealed,
and
the docs will know who to protect that night.

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Post Post #444 (isolation #36) » Fri Feb 20, 2004 8:03 am

Post by mathcam »

The chances are fairly high that both of them are pro-town though.
I'm not too sure about that. Even if there's a 70% chance that each individually is pro-town, there's less than a %50 chance that they
both
are. The probability of either of them being mafia is largely dependent on how many killing groups there are.

So you're pretty sure you're the only chance they have of coming back?

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Post Post #466 (isolation #37) » Mon Feb 23, 2004 3:46 am

Post by mathcam »

Wait, why me or Macros? Why could't a dementor be anyone else in the game blocking Macros?

I'm curious as to why a dementor would block Macros? Maybe this is even further support that Macros is innocent?

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Post Post #468 (isolation #38) » Mon Feb 23, 2004 4:13 am

Post by mathcam »

I think mathcam is the better choice of the two, just because if he is innocent, we can look at macros more closely...bah, i dunno, undecided for now stil
Wha??? I think one of the two is evil, so let's sacrifice the more innocent one so that we're more sure about what we're doing when we go after the other one. ???

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Post Post #472 (isolation #39) » Mon Feb 23, 2004 4:47 am

Post by mathcam »

It still seems a
little
odd....we'll lynch
me
to get
some
information about Macros, when we
could
lynch
Macros
and get
all
the information about him. Wow, that was a lot of italics.

It sounds very much to me like Macros was role-blocked (if he's telling the truth)...that he wandered into a Dementor, rather than it being the case that the person he tried to target was a dementor. In this case, it's just as likely that I"m a dementor as anyone else.

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Post Post #485 (isolation #40) » Mon Feb 23, 2004 10:32 am

Post by mathcam »

Yeah, my role is somewhat suspicious, isn't it? I'll save everyone the effort and claim: I am Aragog, the ginormous spider.

I'm not sure who you're referring to as my counterpart, though, Tam. I'm not at all involved in a "team of 2." But in any case, I'm certainly not a dementor...so Macros was either being role-blocked or lying. I don't
really
buy the arguments for a Dementor blocking Macros, but it's certainly possible. That, and I'm not that suspicios of Macros any more.

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Post Post #488 (isolation #41) » Mon Feb 23, 2004 12:04 pm

Post by mathcam »

Hey, do I (being my role) have any deep enemies other than Voldemort?

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Post Post #500 (isolation #42) » Tue Feb 24, 2004 4:01 am

Post by mathcam »

I asked about an enemy because I'm told in my PM that an enemy of mine has started living in Hogwarts. I assumed this meant Voldemort, but the basilisk makes sense.

I was going to come out day 1 and claim Aragog just so it wouldn't happen that I was forced to claim it, but it was left unlear as to whether or not my goal was to outlive this "worst enemy" or if he could target me, etc.

But I guess that concern doesn't really matter any more.

Tam, again, what makes you think I have a partner?

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Post Post #502 (isolation #43) » Tue Feb 24, 2004 4:08 am

Post by mathcam »

Well, the role claim is pretty believable.

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Post Post #531 (isolation #44) » Wed Feb 25, 2004 4:00 am

Post by mathcam »

Why would I claim aragog if I were a rat?

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Post Post #533 (isolation #45) » Wed Feb 25, 2004 4:06 am

Post by mathcam »

For what it's worth, I don't you think you screwed up that bad. You came to an incorrect conclusion, sure, but don't beat yourself up over it.

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Post Post #548 (isolation #46) » Thu Feb 26, 2004 3:43 am

Post by mathcam »

I menace. Rather, I do nothing. But yeah, while having semi-verified role claims out there is in general bad, we can at least narrow down the field a lot. Time to do some compiling of role claims, I suppose. Off to read the thread again.

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Post Post #550 (isolation #47) » Thu Feb 26, 2004 4:13 am

Post by mathcam »

I too am highly suspicious of Macros, but suspect that his is a case where waiting until he actually provides us with some information would be good. Unfortunately, there's no reason to think that if a dementor targeted Macros last night, he/she wouldn't do it again tonight.

So 7 pro-town, plus one more confirmable in Fred Weasley makes 8 out of 22. Not enough to merit a mass claim, certainly, but enough to start thinking about it.

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Post Post #553 (isolation #48) » Thu Feb 26, 2004 6:16 am

Post by mathcam »

modargo wrote:The thing is, I don't see anything that waiting will accomplish, in regard to Macros. There's no way to tell the difference between him lying about a dementor and him really getting blocked by a dementor
Yeah, that was my argument
against
waiting, modargo. I'd be very happy to wait on Macros if I felt confident that he's come out tomorrow with a fear for someone that we could verify. Unfortunately, this is somewhat unlikely to happen because of the chance of the dementor re-targeting him.

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Post Post #555 (isolation #49) » Thu Feb 26, 2004 8:20 am

Post by mathcam »

Agh! No! I was just saying that was the argument against "We shouldn't not lynch Macros because waiting would be a better plan." Not having a reason not to lynch someone is not the same as having a reason to lynch them. I was not advocating the lynch of Macros, I was saying that the argument of "waiting is better" is flawed.

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Post Post #571 (isolation #50) » Fri Feb 27, 2004 3:22 am

Post by mathcam »

That's 8, 11 needed. I
suppose
I could wait for Morphues to come back before putting on a 9th....

MORPHEUS! WAKE UP!

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Post Post #573 (isolation #51) » Fri Feb 27, 2004 3:44 am

Post by mathcam »

Well, if he's innocent, I'd
ideally
have him post a moving defense that convinced everyone one of his innocence without proving it, and without revealing his role. If he's guilty, he'll ideally come up with a fake role that's easliy checked to be bogus.

That's what I'd like to see from Morpheus.

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Post Post #575 (isolation #52) » Fri Feb 27, 2004 4:13 am

Post by mathcam »

And give up my vacation home there? Never! I'll be here for months.

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Post Post #598 (isolation #53) » Mon Mar 01, 2004 3:54 am

Post by mathcam »

(Can someone tell how to use the show all posts in this thread by that user).
It's right under the quick reply box that you're probably looking at right now! (Just change "All users" to a specific one)

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Post Post #612 (isolation #54) » Tue Mar 02, 2004 3:17 am

Post by mathcam »

BlueSin has yet to claim, right? If you were just waiting for the right time, BlueSin, now would probably be good.

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Post Post #614 (isolation #55) » Tue Mar 02, 2004 3:24 am

Post by mathcam »

No, I just meant to say Morpheus.

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Post Post #619 (isolation #56) » Tue Mar 02, 2004 10:41 am

Post by mathcam »

Okay, that's one away again, and yeah, I agree with DP.

Just because I was thinking it would be funny if I did it, I checked out previous 2PMs (my time) on Tuesdays in Morpheus' profile to see if there were any posts:

Morpheus' post list last Tuesday:
Posted: Tue Feb 24, 2004 6:15 pm
Posted: Tue Feb 24, 2004 5:53 pm
Posted: Tue Feb 24, 2004 4:08 pm
Posted: Tue Feb 24, 2004 3:29 pm
Posted: Tue Feb 24, 2004 2:17 pm
Posted: Tue Feb 24, 2004 1:43 pm

When did you say soccer practice was again? :)

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Post Post #621 (isolation #57) » Tue Mar 02, 2004 11:11 am

Post by mathcam »

Possible, agreed. But still amusing. If you're around, CoolBot, maybe you wanna unvote until he gets back and claims?

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Post Post #639 (isolation #58) » Wed Mar 03, 2004 3:40 am

Post by mathcam »

Or he hasn't checked the board in the 14 hours between his claim and now. :)

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Post Post #653 (isolation #59) » Thu Mar 04, 2004 3:42 am

Post by mathcam »

I have to agree with this lynch, even if I'm somewhat convinced of his innocence. There's a decent chance he's lying, and even if he's not, we can refute or accept the student mafia theory in totum.

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Post Post #655 (isolation #60) » Thu Mar 04, 2004 3:48 am

Post by mathcam »

Oh, yes. I didn't see the vote count above, and thought UT had finished him off.

Vote: morpheus


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Post Post #657 (isolation #61) » Thu Mar 04, 2004 3:58 am

Post by mathcam »

Ouch. Holding macros' votes off becuase of misspellings essentially turns Macros into a non-entity in this game. :) I hope that doesn't apply to Macros' night choice (or maybe I do...)

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Post Post #664 (isolation #62) » Mon Mar 08, 2004 6:51 am

Post by mathcam »

Interesting. So George Weasley was cursed. So were both the Weasley's anti-town? They're "troublemakers," which kind of sounds like Phoebus's way of saying they're evil without saying that they're evil.

So, Stewie. How's it going?

By the way, I think I'm a confirmed innocent as is proved by the fact that my name is out of order alphabetically on the front page.

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Post Post #667 (isolation #63) » Mon Mar 08, 2004 9:02 am

Post by mathcam »

CoolBot, CoolBot, Coolbot...what I have told you about taking me seriously?

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Post Post #684 (isolation #64) » Tue Mar 09, 2004 3:22 am

Post by mathcam »

Did Macros ever claim he could block? Or just that he could discover fears? Dasquian, do you have a role that you think would fear Sirius Black?

I think someone visited me last night, but I'm not sure what to make of it.

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Post Post #686 (isolation #65) » Tue Mar 09, 2004 3:37 am

Post by mathcam »

Okay, then. Hmm. We certainly do seem to have some contradictory information, then. All in all, Macros is essentially confirmed, and he wouldn't have been told a fear if
he
had been role-blocked, so I guess I believe Macros.

Vote; Dasquian


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Post Post #690 (isolation #66) » Tue Mar 09, 2004 3:49 am

Post by mathcam »

Hmm.
Unvote: Dasquian
for now. Can someone who knows the book either confirm or deny the possibility of Fawkes fearing Sirius?

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Post Post #697 (isolation #67) » Tue Mar 09, 2004 4:31 am

Post by mathcam »

Dasquian wrote: You're getting hung up on my relationship with Sirius; there
is
no relationship to Sirius, I didn't see him last night, I didn't see anything last night. Macros presumably chose it to get me lynched.
Macros never claimed you saw him last night. He just claimed that he investigated you and found that your worst fear was Sirius.

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Post Post #698 (isolation #68) » Tue Mar 09, 2004 4:31 am

Post by mathcam »

("him" being Sirius, not Macros)

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Post Post #703 (isolation #69) » Tue Mar 09, 2004 6:20 am

Post by mathcam »

Hm, this is true, but I was not scared by Macros when he targeted me. Hmm. A possible inconsistency?

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Post Post #725 (isolation #70) » Wed Mar 10, 2004 3:28 am

Post by mathcam »

Wow, so it was a party at my place night 1. If I'd have known you all were coming, I'd have baked a cake.

This is indeed a very intriguing situation. We have contradictory information from two people who would seem to have no reason to lie about it.

I guess we can continue to wait for Macros, but I'm not sure I see the benefit. He's just going to come back and say "Those were my results, I don't know what else to tell you. Dasquian is scum." (Or, at least, that's what he'll
try
and say. :wink:

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Post Post #727 (isolation #71) » Wed Mar 10, 2004 4:18 am

Post by mathcam »

I just can't really envision a reasonable scenario in which both of them could be innocent...but making this decisions is potentially very bad. Wasting two lynches on two townies is not good progress.

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Post Post #731 (isolation #72) » Wed Mar 10, 2004 6:47 am

Post by mathcam »

Hm, good point, Tam. I think Macros is more likely to be telling the truth, but lynching wrong on Macros is less bad for the town than lynching wrong on Das. So I guess I'm leaning toward Macros at the moment.

The one explanation I could think of is some kind of target-switcher, and Macros got somebody else's fear instead of Das's. If such a role exists, then Macros would make a good target precisely because of what's happening today....and we might end up lynching both of them because of it.

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Post Post #736 (isolation #73) » Thu Mar 11, 2004 3:45 am

Post by mathcam »

Man, I'm still stuck. I really can't believe that Macros would have chosen this approach to playing this game if he were scum. So basically I'm choosing between "Das is scum" and "Macros's choices got tampered with somehow."

We already know Macros has been the target of a dementor, and certainly a role that could mess up people's role choices would realize that messing up Macros could result in two bad lynches. So actually, I'm inclined to vote for neither of them. Maybe some other cop-like role could lend further information to the Dasquian situation in subsequent nights.

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Post Post #744 (isolation #74) » Fri Mar 12, 2004 3:25 am

Post by mathcam »

It seems to me that the "indistinct shape" clause definitely verifies Macros' claim. Now whether or not he is pro-town or anti-town is the big unknown...
that's
what I was hoping some cop would tell us.

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Post Post #746 (isolation #75) » Fri Mar 12, 2004 3:50 am

Post by mathcam »

In this thread, without reference to DP:
CoolBot wrote:Pheonix
Macros wrote:Pheonix
BananaBob wrote:Pheonix
willows_weep wrote:Pheonix
Well, DP, at least you now know it's nothing personal.

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Post Post #748 (isolation #76) » Fri Mar 12, 2004 4:24 am

Post by mathcam »

I'm just not sure how you can be so convinced. That's two large gambits on Macros' part, right? Why wouldn't he just shut up?

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Post Post #822 (isolation #77) » Sun Mar 21, 2004 10:49 am

Post by mathcam »

Is it just me, or does it seem very odd to me that Macros of all people was the target of a night kill? It certainly wouldn't behoove an evil killing group to do something like that, so maybe a pro-town vig is responsible?

I do wish we know whether or not Macros was good or bad, though I tend to believe good.

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Post Post #832 (isolation #78) » Mon Mar 22, 2004 6:53 am

Post by mathcam »

Well, information-having is certainly not linked to evil-notbeing, so be a little careful there.

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Post Post #834 (isolation #79) » Mon Mar 22, 2004 6:57 am

Post by mathcam »

Well there have certainly been many evil roles with information-gathering prospects, (check out Werewolf mafia, for example, but there have been plenty of others) but I misspoke when I said there was
no
link. There's a link, it's just an inconclusive one.

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Post Post #850 (isolation #80) » Wed Mar 24, 2004 3:41 am

Post by mathcam »

Maybe you can't take everyone to your cabin?
Am I missing something, FD? Why would you even suspect that he had the ability to target multiple people on one night?

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Post Post #853 (isolation #81) » Wed Mar 24, 2004 3:45 am

Post by mathcam »

I see. That interpretation
does
make a lot more sense.

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Post Post #855 (isolation #82) » Wed Mar 24, 2004 3:57 am

Post by mathcam »

Sorry about the incorrect terminology (I can't remember what they're really called), but maybe the house ghosts (like nearly-headless Nick) are counted as staff? Peeves?

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Post Post #858 (isolation #83) » Wed Mar 24, 2004 4:47 am

Post by mathcam »

Huh? But I'm not going anywhere...ohhhh, him. Okay.

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Post Post #867 (isolation #84) » Thu Mar 25, 2004 3:35 am

Post by mathcam »

Surprisingly enough (:)), I agree with BlueSin. And I'm not sure exactly why everyone seems so skeptical about his claim.

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Post Post #871 (isolation #85) » Thu Mar 25, 2004 9:58 am

Post by mathcam »

Okay, I see your point, WB, and I'll probably tack my vote on as soon as bloojay comes back, unless he says something meaty. But I also agree with d8P...why would he have admitted to targeting Macros if he was indeed evil and did target Macros?

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Post Post #884 (isolation #86) » Mon Mar 29, 2004 2:58 am

Post by mathcam »

Does anyone here know if he has a record of frequently just disappearing.
I don't know of a game he's been in where he hasn't disappeared frequently for extended periods of time. I thought he had resolved not to let it happen any more, though.

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Post Post #888 (isolation #87) » Mon Mar 29, 2004 10:53 am

Post by mathcam »

Or at least inattentive to the point that even if he's pro-town, he's not doing us any good. Unless anyone strenuously objects soon, I'll put on the final vote (or someone else, if they want...I won't feel deprived)

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Post Post #940 (isolation #88) » Thu Apr 15, 2004 4:14 am

Post by mathcam »

a) I have no idea how I missed this game going into day...I was actually kind of annoyed that it was taking so long. In short, I'm an idiot. (See title)

b) I tend to think that being locked in a bathroom isn't something Fletcher would make up. This is especially true since there probably is a Neville in the game who would come forward and debunk the claim.

c) This doesn't, however, mean that Fletcher's not scum. He's just as suspicious as any of the other non-claimed, and probably a little more so.

Fletcher, I think you should claim.

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Post Post #956 (isolation #89) » Fri Apr 16, 2004 3:26 am

Post by mathcam »

All I have to say is "wow." I'm currently feeling like one of Fletcher/d8P is scum, and one of CoolBot/d8P is scum, and so the logical conclusion is to go after d8P. But yet he's still somehow very convincing. But why would CoolBot coutner-claim?

For the librophiles out there, is there
any
chance there could be two Fudges in the game?

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Post Post #958 (isolation #90) » Fri Apr 16, 2004 3:29 am

Post by mathcam »

~doesn't yet get it~

??? :?

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Post Post #962 (isolation #91) » Fri Apr 16, 2004 4:51 am

Post by mathcam »

Imposter!

Vote: CoolBot


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Post Post #966 (isolation #92) » Fri Apr 16, 2004 5:11 am

Post by mathcam »

but if coolbot is guilty, so is Fletcher, right?
That isn't clear to me at all. There's a lot going on in this game. Though Fletcher still has a whole heapload of suspicion on him, he may or may not be scum, wereas one of CoolBot/d8P is
definitely
scum.

But CoolBot definitely has a point about d8P being the one who's introducing all this Polyjuice Potion stuff.
Unvote: CoolBot
for now. CoolBot, I take it you're claiming the exact same powers as d8P is?

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Post Post #968 (isolation #93) » Fri Apr 16, 2004 5:13 am

Post by mathcam »

Well, coolbot has 0 votes and fletcher has 5. Stop the madness!
With all this new information, it's very silly to be voting for someone because they have the most votes. Several of the votes on Fletcher are (probably...I haven't checked) from people who voted him before the whole d8P/CoolBot thing even started!

I think lynching Fletcher's not a good idea (I see CoolBot agrees)

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Post Post #969 (isolation #94) » Fri Apr 16, 2004 5:16 am

Post by mathcam »

Sorry for the intertwining posts....no preview sucks...
My abilities have nothing to do with closing the school.
Interesting. So how about this plan? We "no lynch" today, insist that d8P keep the school open for another day. If he doesn't, we know he was lying. If he does, we have to re-think about who to lynch. Maybe CoolBot, maybe Fletcher...maybe even d8P, I suppose, if we think he might have an anti-town role that can shut the school.

This is all assuming that d8P can activate his ability during the day...is this so, d8P?

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Post Post #975 (isolation #95) » Fri Apr 16, 2004 10:42 am

Post by mathcam »

I'm becoming more and more convinced of the Fletcher banndwagon. CoolBot, why do you think otherwise? Just because you think d8P is scum?
Next to that I cannot remember seeing someone counterclaim and be lying.
While I agree in general, this is a rather special case in which we have a specific incident from the book which would explain away the double-occurrence of the role.

This said, if I had to pick between CoolBot stealing d8P's identity and vice versa, I'm currently leaning toward d8P being evil...he so brazenly posted his role after Fletcher came out with info against him that I can't help but feel like he was looking forward to CoolBot's counter-claim.

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Post Post #1006 (isolation #96) » Mon Apr 19, 2004 3:59 am

Post by mathcam »

Aw, and I was just about to vote for CoolBot, too. Stupid weekends. I guess we'll see...

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Post Post #1009 (isolation #97) » Thu Apr 22, 2004 10:41 am

Post by mathcam »

Well, it looks like Fletcher and Tam are probably cleared. (Me?) Do we have claims from others?

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Post Post #1016 (isolation #98) » Fri Apr 23, 2004 3:30 am

Post by mathcam »

Guess who's back, back again
Shady's back, tell a friend
Guess who's back, guess who's back
Guess who's back. guess who's back
Guess who's back, guess who's back, guess who's back
Sorry. Couldn't help it.

On a more serious note, the Fletcher targeting FD thing is still weird. But CoolBot seems to definitely have been Fudge, and he claimed he could verify some of Fletcher's claims. I guess there's probably a lot of different things that could have happened (as we discussed yesterday).

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Post Post #1042 (isolation #99) » Fri Apr 30, 2004 3:15 am

Post by mathcam »

Heh. Yeah.

Okay, here's the deal. I have precisely 0 night abilities...a "generic townie," if you will. Unfortunately, I feel like this probably won't help my cause much. For a character so far from the norm as Aragog, you'd certainly expect him to have
some
kind of ability, which I don't.

As for the discussion of Aragog's motives, I have two things to say:

1) Yes, he tried to kill the students, but we don't know really know that students are pro-town in this setup (unless I missed something). The profs and staff seem like pro-town roles, so unless you've got more people claiming to be huge ugly monsters, you may be out of luck after me if you follow this train of thought.
2) It seems like the focus in this game so far is on two evil things: Voldemort and the Basilisk, both of which are my enemies. Though certainly not a proof of innocence, an enemy of the bad guys can't be too far from being a good guy, right?

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Post Post #1043 (isolation #100) » Fri Apr 30, 2004 3:16 am

Post by mathcam »

He's been lying a bit low recently, possibly trying to keep our wandering thoughts off him. Fos mathcam.
Does lurking
ever
keep people's minds off of then? I usually feel like every game I'm in degenerates to a lurker hunt as some point or another.

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Post Post #1046 (isolation #101) » Fri Apr 30, 2004 6:21 am

Post by mathcam »

*confused* I thought we decided dementors were pro-town.

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Post Post #1048 (isolation #102) » Fri Apr 30, 2004 9:04 am

Post by mathcam »

Oh, sorry. Just got names mixed up. I was thinking about Macros, the boggart, not the dementor.

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Post Post #1072 (isolation #103) » Mon May 03, 2004 8:38 am

Post by mathcam »

24 hours? I don't need no stinkin' 24 hours? I just needed that weekend to be over so I could get back to a computer.

I've not been lying about having no abilities, though it's possible (perhaps likely?) that some of the flavor text in my role claim (which I even referred to earlier) makes my role non-trivial.

Shady's "*???* " point above got me thinking. I certainly
sound
like an evil role, and I certainly
did
try to kill people in the books (as DS is fond of pointing out)...maybe I
did
unknowingly go ballistic after Hagrid died.
Tam wrote:Hmmmm, you know. Oddly that makes sense. I always did wonder why mathcam was so eager to hop out and 'save me the trouble' of revealing him. Maybe to cover for the fact that his role looks so evil.
Yeah, I even thought about coming out in my first post of the game just to spare us the argument of whether or not I was good or evil in the endgame. But the flavro text relating in my PM discussing the basilisk made me think that it wasn't such a good idea.

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Post Post #1075 (isolation #104) » Tue May 04, 2004 4:29 am

Post by mathcam »

Actually, in games where I live past the first night, and live a surprisingly long time (surprsing to me at least). Maybe mafia count on doc-protect. But in any case, yes. This isn't always true, but I like to think about the possibility that I'll end up in the endgame and try to decide how my performance at the beginning of the game can affect it. If I die before, then oh well, it's not like I've lost anything.

But my comment here about revealing didn't apply only to the endgame. I thought about revealing just so that
I
was the first to reveal that I was Aragog. If an investigator came out and said "Oh, by the way, mathcam's a big humongous spider," my role-claiming sure isn't going to work as a defense. Again, the only reason I didn't claim immediately because I was worried of some behind-the-scenes parts of my role that I didn't know about.
Ok, so you might be a viscous killer but you just don't know it? Come on 'Cam. You can do better than that.
Not that I really expect you to buy this, but yes, if I were scum, I
could
come up with a defense much more concrete than that one. As townie, I have no more to go on that speculations of my own and the other players. But in any case, if I were scum, why would I want to support that theory? It only encourages people to lynch me, which for all I know, is the right play for the town despite the fact that I
am
pro-town.

Which night kills did you suspect were me, Shady? The BlueSin kill? (Torn apart and spread all over the school)? I suppose that could be me, but it could also be Lupin, right? In fact, that seems incredibly likely to me...what with Neville being a role-blocker and all.

Maybe the die is cast and I'm going to be lynched, but I feel like we're still in the midst of discussing this. Maybe some unvotes are in order? Oh wait, is that the lynching vote? If so, bollocks. I just hope I
was
a secret mass-mudering serial killer.

Cam

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