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Post #222 (isolation #13) » Mon Jun 24, 2019 4:53 am
Postby Blake x Weiss »
Her posting feels natural so far and the way she's approaching the game lately feels like a natural evolution.
It's not airtight or anything since this type of read is more viable as an over time read, but I'm not seeing any reason to think she's not town so far.
Okay, so how certain are you of your read on us, that you’re willing to risk losing the game for town?
I said, “pretty much” for a reason. Do you honestly think scum!me, adds that in there because we’re scum?
The only way we will NOT be confitown S2, is if there’s a scum captain in this setup
.
Unless you think I’m lying about us being a Lieutenant, you shouldn’t be voting us here.
No, I'm confscumming you exactly because of how you're playing this.
You were town captain last game and played like you would a VT without even bringing your role up as a defense against the early pressure you got against your slot. This game, you're claiming to have a similar role, and yet you are overly defensive and expecting to get bailed out by the fact that you apparently rolled a similar role this time too?
I'm not seeing any reason for town!Liz to suddenly change this drastically from game to game with the same type of role, but I
can
see why you'd be looking to play up this angle as scum, especially knowing that I specifically played around knowing one of them was town last time to try to push the game to a state where scum couldn't win with the secondary win condition.
This is even without taking into account that the way you've been playing this game drastically skews towarda your normal scum mindset rather than your normal town mindset like last game.
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Post #284 (isolation #19) » Mon Jun 24, 2019 12:51 pm
Postby Blake x Weiss »
Liz and Jack (Anonymous Hydra) -- HMMM?
Voted -- honorary scum for iso 2 (might be town but that post was really 0.o)
Iconeum -- MIA
Persivul -- town
zeebu -- way more passive than last game?
Datisi -- seems really passive compared to one newbie game I glanced at, kinda leaning scum off that but I'll meta more later in the week
Saudade -- this slot is actually moose-aligned I'm pretty sure
Aubrey -- me and blake talking about this, not gonna talk about this read with main list rn
I have a severe shortage of townreads at the moment so that's gross, kinda was hoping when weekend was over I'd be able to solve more slots. sad
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Post #379 (isolation #28) » Tue Jun 25, 2019 7:04 pm
Postby Blake x Weiss »
I expect Voted is probably the other scum, but I have two other slots I'm not currently townreading and Zeebu is one of them, plus I want to sort at least one more to town before pushing for any one specific slot.
In post 382, Iconeum wrote:But is trying to stir things up a bit at least.
Show your work, I see no evidence of this.
-Blake
As an addendum to this, I'm actually seeing evidence of him attempting to
not
do this.
Assuming that he, as town, plays to try to bait reactions like this every game, his play this game should be raising red flags instead of looking town.
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Post #389 (isolation #32) » Tue Jun 25, 2019 7:13 pm
Postby Blake x Weiss »
In post 386, Iconeum wrote:Self-voting as a reaction test. Sheeping a wagon same reason. I'm not a personal fan of those plays, but I don't scumread Voted for them.
His self-voting is not a reaction test since he outright said exactly why he was doing it in the first place. There's no evidence that indicates he got anything from this 'test' either.
The sheep vote is not a reaction test, this post is proof.
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Post #397 (isolation #34) » Tue Jun 25, 2019 7:40 pm
Postby Blake x Weiss »
In post 394, Saudade wrote:The possibilities are wide open for this game, apart from a few players who are
very
very
unlikely to be scum
Voted is just like everyone else is still in the pool
I don't buy that this is a thought process you legitimately had. Expand.
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Post #465 (isolation #42) » Wed Jun 26, 2019 10:26 am
Postby Blake x Weiss »
We talk on discord. That being said I'm like way overgamed rn and Blake is busy with work so we're jostling over who will take the backer-backer seat lol
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Post #490 (isolation #43) » Wed Jun 26, 2019 12:09 pm
Postby Blake x Weiss »
In post 467, Voted wrote:Yep, discord is exactly the word about these reads.
We hydra because we will push each other about our reads, not because we groupthink. Early day 1 Blake tends to have stronger townreads and I tend to have stronger scumreads but we both struggle with certain types of deep wolves and both can bite into mislynchbait so I don't try to overdetermine her reads frankly. We will solve more as the information in the game develops.
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Post #739 (isolation #54) » Thu Jun 27, 2019 7:25 am
Postby Blake x Weiss »
I have to double check my reasoning for Aubrey town, but if it still checks out then I think the game is close to a hard solve. I have three locktowns and he would make it four.
In post 746, Blake x Weiss wrote:I think in a scum!voted world, he did that to look like he's still trying to make plays or at least not seem passive.
I would need to double check the context to be sure but in a vacuum that makes sense.
-Blake
The easier spots though would be to TR myself and Pers though.
Voted is known to make plays and take risks though, I wouldn't judge him as the type of scum to take the easy road out unless I saw strong evidence of it myself.