Micro 897 [Game Over]

Micro Games (9 players or fewer). Archived during the 2023 queue overhaul.
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Post Post #16 (isolation #0) » Wed Oct 30, 2019 6:03 pm

Post by Wooper »

VOTE: rooroo
this is the d1 lynch and I WILL have my first wagon slot
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Post Post #19 (isolation #1) » Wed Oct 30, 2019 7:38 pm

Post by Wooper »

In post 0, skitter30 wrote:Don Draper x Mistress (Auro + Nancy Drew 39)
I'd rather dayvig myself than wagon this sod1
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Post Post #35 (isolation #2) » Thu Oct 31, 2019 10:05 am

Post by Wooper »

In post 29, rooroo wrote:VOTE: rooroo
Biggest mood

VOTE: Dr Drew
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Post Post #37 (isolation #3) » Thu Oct 31, 2019 10:31 am

Post by Wooper »

mine is 6910169. I'm sorry.
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Post Post #39 (isolation #4) » Thu Oct 31, 2019 11:06 am

Post by Wooper »

Nsg did it for Halloween
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Post Post #42 (isolation #5) » Thu Oct 31, 2019 11:17 am

Post by Wooper »

IDK if this is town indicative or not Bungle but I am very excited for it.
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Post Post #44 (isolation #6) » Thu Oct 31, 2019 11:26 am

Post by Wooper »

Ikr. They'll never see our plan coming.
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Post Post #51 (isolation #7) » Thu Oct 31, 2019 11:53 am

Post by Wooper »

VOTE: DDxM
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Post Post #64 (isolation #8) » Thu Oct 31, 2019 8:16 pm

Post by Wooper »

VOTE: DDM
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Post Post #66 (isolation #9) » Thu Oct 31, 2019 8:22 pm

Post by Wooper »

not yet.
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Post Post #67 (isolation #10) » Thu Oct 31, 2019 8:23 pm

Post by Wooper »

fuckfuckfuck I missed one
In post 62, rooroo wrote:prodge
the above does look like jesterposting
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Post Post #119 (isolation #11) » Fri Nov 01, 2019 10:11 am

Post by Wooper »

Spoiler: only rooroo is allowed to open this. if anyone else opens this they should feel very bad. >:c
hey you! you've wanted to be a jester ever since you were a tiny shoe kitten and you're finally there - congratulations :D

so myself and my super evil mystery scumbuddy will be lynching DDxM today because it looks like the towny thing to do. they've slipped non-jester. I think going by meta they're more than likely town but far more importantly lynching them today doesn't end the game.

Obv I refused to explain my read on them bc I needed them to continue to act survivalistically without necessarily knowing that was what I was after

so if you cld lolhammer them at will you will be helping our super spooky evil cause

thank you!


pedit: oh lol
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Post Post #120 (isolation #12) » Fri Nov 01, 2019 10:13 am

Post by Wooper »

I don't have another strong not-jester read yet. If Bungle wasn't so self-aware I'd suggest wagoning Bungle but I got kinda excited when I realised DDxM wanted to live
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Post Post #123 (isolation #13) » Fri Nov 01, 2019 10:15 am

Post by Wooper »

In post 121, Blatant Scum wrote:Bingle, so your strategy is to keep lynching every player with low jester equity until day 4?
this is the ellibereth endorsed strategy
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Post Post #127 (isolation #14) » Fri Nov 01, 2019 10:16 am

Post by Wooper »

In post 122, Doctor Drew wrote:
In post 118, skitter30 wrote:
doctor drew x mistress was
town


they may no longer post.

It is now day2

With 8 alive it is 5 to lynch

Deadline is:
(expired on 2019-11-09 18:00:00)
Not the first time I have been mistaken for her.

I will be honest, didn't love the wagon.....but their responses to it I also didn't love it.

I won't be around too much until tomorrow though.

this post and op will be updated with a final eod vc and other eod things tomorrow night
this is some fucking bbcode wizardry how the fuck did you pull this off
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Post Post #128 (isolation #15) » Fri Nov 01, 2019 10:18 am

Post by Wooper »

VOTE: eth0s
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Post Post #130 (isolation #16) » Fri Nov 01, 2019 10:20 am

Post by Wooper »

I was going to post a readlist then realised that's probably not optimal :{
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Post Post #134 (isolation #17) » Fri Nov 01, 2019 10:24 am

Post by Wooper »

rooroo - the cat dances in the sink
Doctor Drew - the sparrow flies north for winter
Bingle - what's the best way to the cinema?
Blatant Scum - you could walk, it's not far
Wooper - great! I need the exercise.
ofrhz - the red fox trots quietly
BBmolla - bring snacks to susan's on thursday
eth0s - okay, I'll bring chocolate
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Post Post #135 (isolation #18) » Fri Nov 01, 2019 10:25 am

Post by Wooper »

I'm not convinced on Drew Bungle. He always sounds scummy and I'm not convinced he's not self aware enough to not know how scummy he sounds here.
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Post Post #138 (isolation #19) » Fri Nov 01, 2019 10:32 am

Post by Wooper »

VOTE: Drew don't think my eth0s vote was going to do anything after this page anyway. Trust in Bungle ig.

Agree re ruru.
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Post Post #140 (isolation #20) » Fri Nov 01, 2019 10:33 am

Post by Wooper »

This will be a town win by pg15
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Post Post #142 (isolation #21) » Fri Nov 01, 2019 10:36 am

Post by Wooper »

/o/ I trust in my ability to lategame towntell.
https://forum.mafia451.com/t/skys-jeste ... -over/1061
How would you feel if I told you ruru was in this game Bungle? (if you don't have time to read up, I'll give you cliffnotes)
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Post Post #145 (isolation #22) » Fri Nov 01, 2019 10:39 am

Post by Wooper »

o valid
less fancy: after NM's performance in that game I don't trust her not to lolclaim jester and pray for a quick lynch early-game

She should be policy lynched d4 but not before then
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Post Post #147 (isolation #23) » Fri Nov 01, 2019 10:43 am

Post by Wooper »

yeeeeah exactly
that's exactly reason I think both {you,ruru} should be dead by endgame but not pre-jester death
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Post Post #150 (isolation #24) » Fri Nov 01, 2019 10:46 am

Post by Wooper »

D1: DDxM => 8p
D2: drew => 7p
D3: Blatant Scum => 5p (jester death)
D4-D5: 5 of : ruru, bungle, wooper, ofrhz, bbm, eth0s
(think bbm is highest jester equity aorn)

should be pretty easy to work out
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Post Post #151 (isolation #25) » Fri Nov 01, 2019 10:46 am

Post by Wooper »

In post 149, Bingle wrote:Eh, I feel I’m fairly obviously not_mafia at this point, but that’ll only matter if we hit 5p lylo, tbh.
mind blown
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Post Post #154 (isolation #26) » Fri Nov 01, 2019 10:49 am

Post by Wooper »

on ruru: you can count how many fucks she gives rn on two hands and wooper doesn't even have any hands.

she would be aware this is the technically-optimal mafia play, and aware that bare minimum {you, me} are aware of that.
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Post Post #155 (isolation #27) » Fri Nov 01, 2019 10:49 am

Post by Wooper »

In post 153, rooroo wrote:Why can't we just lynch among the claimed jesters? One of them is lying and therefore scum.
the above does sound like jesterposting...
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Post Post #157 (isolation #28) » Fri Nov 01, 2019 10:51 am

Post by Wooper »

In post 152, Bingle wrote:Ethos is actually the highest jester equity of the remaining 6. Vote hoppy and proactive is exactly what I’d expect from jester there. Bb would be slightly more likely to lurk.
how familiar is eth0s with the setup? i thought he was self aware not to do transparently scummy things.
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Post Post #158 (isolation #29) » Fri Nov 01, 2019 10:51 am

Post by Wooper »

In post 156, Bingle wrote:If you want mind blown, best scum strat is probably hard bussing at 3rd lynch.
you down for this?
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Post Post #159 (isolation #30) » Fri Nov 01, 2019 10:51 am

Post by Wooper »

:P
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Post Post #165 (isolation #31) » Fri Nov 01, 2019 10:59 am

Post by Wooper »

In post 160, Bingle wrote:Low experience, high reasoning expectation.
was my impression
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Post Post #167 (isolation #32) » Fri Nov 01, 2019 11:05 am

Post by Wooper »

technically yes
optically no
this setup is a mess
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Post Post #174 (isolation #33) » Fri Nov 01, 2019 11:41 am

Post by Wooper »

...
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Post Post #177 (isolation #34) » Fri Nov 01, 2019 11:58 am

Post by Wooper »

In post 175, eth0s wrote:in a strong arming way that a jester wouldn't
why not?
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Post Post #181 (isolation #35) » Fri Nov 01, 2019 12:17 pm

Post by Wooper »

i don't regret trying to wagon eth0s
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Post Post #187 (isolation #36) » Fri Nov 01, 2019 1:25 pm

Post by Wooper »

In post 182, eth0s wrote:
In post 181, Wooper wrote:i don't regret trying to wagon eth0s
then play your own game and vote me, stop making excuses
the tells i'd be looking for were literally discussed itt gtfo
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Post Post #188 (isolation #37) » Fri Nov 01, 2019 1:26 pm

Post by Wooper »

In post 183, Blatant Scum wrote:Bingle's current playstyle is how I would be playing jester.
^^^^ i'd defs lead town as a jester, drc if it's off a cliff or into victory
for someone with a lot of experience i think trying to steer the game and look OPTICALLY TOWNY while systematically alienating people is a really clever play

regardless: don't touch bungle til d4+.
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Post Post #191 (isolation #38) » Fri Nov 01, 2019 3:00 pm

Post by Wooper »

VOTE: Drew
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Post Post #192 (isolation #39) » Fri Nov 01, 2019 3:00 pm

Post by Wooper »

i don't have a read on you yet forzh help[
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Post Post #212 (isolation #40) » Fri Nov 01, 2019 7:34 pm

Post by Wooper »

In post 210, eth0s wrote:Okay someone who isnt bingle but has a decent grasp on his meta/playstyle,

Am I paranoid or did he do something in recent posts that suggests he could be like a deep wolf jester? I still dont buy his play this game as being jester indicative but something pinged me the wrong way because I think it supports a viewpoint implied by someone else earlier.
i don't think that's being paranoid at all. :lol: don't lynch bungle until the jester is gone.
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Post Post #240 (isolation #41) » Sat Nov 02, 2019 11:03 am

Post by Wooper »

That was a quality understated hammer.

Think this flips town, firmly not jester.
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Post Post #242 (isolation #42) » Sat Nov 02, 2019 11:27 am

Post by Wooper »

yes
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Post Post #252 (isolation #43) » Sat Nov 02, 2019 10:34 pm

Post by Wooper »

VOTE: BS
after this I'll reread and find the scums.

still p sure bbm is jester.
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Post Post #255 (isolation #44) » Sun Nov 03, 2019 1:08 am

Post by Wooper »

rooroo - tbh I think is self aware enough to act this scummy as jester; she is playing optimal maf strat tho so s/j

Bingle - is hardcore pushing optimal town strat but in a way that systematically alienates slots and isn't winning him any friends; this is either town, or a v good jester strat. not lynching before jester leaves.

Blatant Scum - survivalism slipped; unlikely to be jester. probably a very small townread in a vacuum.

Wooper - too cute to lynch today.

ofrhz - hasn't really done anything; reasonable scum equity and I can't really clear this.

BBmolla - this dude is doing such wolfy things I think he actually wants to he scumread lol. if I had to take a pick for jester rn it'd be him.

eth0s - survifalism slipped and very likely not jester but he's also just very towny

best lynch rn fmpov is you BS.
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Post Post #260 (isolation #45) » Sun Nov 03, 2019 9:31 am

Post by Wooper »

I like BS a lot more than ofrhz
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Post Post #261 (isolation #46) » Sun Nov 03, 2019 9:32 am

Post by Wooper »

Also kinda think talking in circles is more likely to cause us to overthink things with a jester in play. It's +ev to have everyone to detail their reads tomorrow.
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Post Post #267 (isolation #47) » Sun Nov 03, 2019 7:23 pm

Post by Wooper »

Hope you had a good night.
In post 266, eth0s wrote:I still think BS jester equity is too high to lynch today.
He's like... towny... Also think him adhering to his gimmick so passionately is more likely to come from a pure mindset rather than one which is trying to either look like scum or look like someone who isn't tryna look like scum

this feels fucking stupid to type out at length

he doesn't feel agendaey
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Post Post #271 (isolation #48) » Mon Nov 04, 2019 12:59 am

Post by Wooper »

every fibre of my being wants to vote bbm which tells me I should not be voting bbm rn
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Post Post #276 (isolation #49) » Mon Nov 04, 2019 9:59 am

Post by Wooper »

I know I'm town and trust my capacity to obvtown later in the game. I'd sheep Bungle on me if I were in your shoes but also like.. I'm not a jester so :shrug:
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Post Post #277 (isolation #50) » Mon Nov 04, 2019 10:01 am

Post by Wooper »

What on earth are holes in my logic? I want receipts of that because I think you're trying to set me up for a d4-5 mislynch.

BS is the correct lynch today.
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Post Post #279 (isolation #51) » Mon Nov 04, 2019 10:06 am

Post by Wooper »

Because we're not lynching me today :facepalm: I'm endgaming this. Did in the last jester micro and I can be trusted not to fuck up an endgame.

Yes BS is towny.
His mindset is very pure.
I want to lynch him
Because we can't lynch the jester
And I'm not 100% sure on the scumteam yet
vs. jester equity

???
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Post Post #281 (isolation #52) » Mon Nov 04, 2019 10:10 am

Post by Wooper »

That's gamethrowing in this setup. I know it seems counter intuitive but this is the Ellibereth backed method; lynching town until lylo then lynching scum is objectively the better move, unless you have survivalistic mafia on the fucking HOOK.
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Post Post #283 (isolation #53) » Mon Nov 04, 2019 10:20 am

Post by Wooper »

Because (no offense)
if we're looking at a f6 of

eth0s/bbm/ruru/ofrhz/bungle/bs
I don't really trust my townreads in here to get their reads right. :? towniness/antisurvivalism is one thing - actually finding scum when the time comes is another.
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Post Post #284 (isolation #54) » Mon Nov 04, 2019 10:20 am

Post by Wooper »

Let me be more level - are you willing to call Bungle to task in f5? You guys want me in endgame.
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Post Post #287 (isolation #55) » Mon Nov 04, 2019 10:26 am

Post by Wooper »

In post 285, eth0s wrote:Letting wooper and bingle both go to endgame seems like a ridiculous idea. If a townie flips today and they're both alive then we have successfully allowed two people to pre-lylo that have played the entire game with an agenda of lynching town. How the fuck is town supposed to win in that gamestate?
eth0s wrote:
In post 284, Wooper wrote:Let me be more level - are you willing to call Bungle to task in f5? You guys want me in endgame.
I don't know what you're asking
How aren't you seeing this?
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Post Post #289 (isolation #56) » Mon Nov 04, 2019 10:32 am

Post by Wooper »

There isn't enough content to be 100% sure on the scumteam yet. Having a jester flip changes the landscape of how you read people's motivations in this setup. :/ I can't give a comprehensive readlist with any major degree of accuracy without knowing which slot is jester.

Guessing now I'd say bbm jester, and I'm starting to get paranoid of eth0s/bungle scum.
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Post Post #290 (isolation #57) » Mon Nov 04, 2019 10:32 am

Post by Wooper »

But that means townreading both ruru and ofrhz and like... I'm not ready to do that without tormenting them a little...
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Post Post #292 (isolation #58) » Mon Nov 04, 2019 10:39 am

Post by Wooper »

Bungle mystically townreads you and I and says we need to endgame because we're both absolutely town; you have no issue with this until it gets time for the final lynch before the jester flips and suddenly you want me lynched. That reeks of an agenda.
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Post Post #293 (isolation #59) » Mon Nov 04, 2019 10:44 am

Post by Wooper »

I'm literally a more obvtown version of Bungle this game. The only reason to lynch me over him is if you think he's the jester (yo) or you're his scumbuddy.

But much much more importantly: we need to lynch someone who is NOT A JESTER and isn't going to win this game in f5.

Ergo: BS.
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Post Post #294 (isolation #60) » Mon Nov 04, 2019 11:19 am

Post by Wooper »

eth0s flaking out when being called out is pretty telling :/
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Post Post #296 (isolation #61) » Mon Nov 04, 2019 11:34 am

Post by Wooper »

ruru who's teh scums
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Post Post #297 (isolation #62) » Mon Nov 04, 2019 11:42 am

Post by Wooper »

VOTE: eth0s
p sure i'm right on the jester
we can do this today
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Post Post #298 (isolation #63) » Mon Nov 04, 2019 11:49 am

Post by Wooper »

tfw ur the only townie left
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Post Post #303 (isolation #64) » Mon Nov 04, 2019 11:56 am

Post by Wooper »

In post 299, eth0s wrote:
In post 292, Wooper wrote:Bungle mystically townreads you and I and says we need to endgame because we're both absolutely town; you have no issue with this until it gets time for the final lynch before the jester flips and suddenly you want me lynched. That reeks of an agenda.
What, haven't you both townread me all game? If I had an agenda surely I would be fine with going to lylo/pre-lylo with two people that townread me?
unless you're scum with one of them and the other one is starting to obvtown.

if you reach 5p with both me and jungle alive if he's your scumbuddy, i'm more likely to catch him than most other people in this list: it's a really good scum strat to get to lylo-1 and have you attack me from the other side.
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Post Post #304 (isolation #65) » Mon Nov 04, 2019 11:57 am

Post by Wooper »

In post 302, eth0s wrote:
In post 297, Wooper wrote:VOTE: eth0s
p sure i'm right on the jester
we can do this today
it's funny to me that I'm scumreading you for having an anti-town agenda so you respond by voting for me acting like I'm a scumread.

Like me calling you out made you directly contradict your own shitty plan LOL
and yet
bungle
who is pushing an identical agenda
but is scummier
gets a free pass
and you don't out a read on him as jester
until i call you s/s

LOL.
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Post Post #307 (isolation #66) » Mon Nov 04, 2019 11:59 am

Post by Wooper »

i'm being stupid.
VOTE: BS this is today's mislynch.

bbm is probably jester. bs and eth0s are unlikely jester. if bungle is jester (wildcard) eth0s is very likely town. if bungle survives today, bungle/eth0s is the scumteam. if not, i'll be here to sort {ruru, ofrhz}.
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Post Post #309 (isolation #67) » Mon Nov 04, 2019 12:00 pm

Post by Wooper »

In post 305, eth0s wrote:How the hell do me and bingle read as a scumteam?! Can you cite some sources instead of just making things up?
i'm at work, i don't have the time to iso/quotecase you.
i've talked through what bungle has been doing and i've explained what you've done today that makes you look aligned.

vote BS with me and if i'm wrong, we'll find out pretty soon.
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Post Post #310 (isolation #68) » Mon Nov 04, 2019 12:01 pm

Post by Wooper »

In post 308, eth0s wrote:
In post 212, Wooper wrote:
In post 210, eth0s wrote:Okay someone who isnt bingle but has a decent grasp on his meta/playstyle,

Am I paranoid or did he do something in recent posts that suggests he could be like a deep wolf jester? I still dont buy his play this game as being jester indicative but something pinged me the wrong way because I think it supports a viewpoint implied by someone else earlier.
i don't think that's being paranoid at all. :lol: don't lynch bungle until the jester is gone.
i think this speaks for itself
i don't think that kind of distancing is outside the average scumrange.
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Post Post #313 (isolation #69) » Mon Nov 04, 2019 12:03 pm

Post by Wooper »

that's.. not what i said at all
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Post Post #314 (isolation #70) » Mon Nov 04, 2019 12:03 pm

Post by Wooper »

In post 312, eth0s wrote:
In post 309, Wooper wrote:vote BS with me and if i'm wrong, we'll find out pretty soon.
well he's probably the jester, so no.
i'm gonna need a case on this because BS doesn't read jestery to me.
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Post Post #316 (isolation #71) » Mon Nov 04, 2019 12:24 pm

Post by Wooper »

BBMOLLA IS CLEARLY THE JESTER LMFAO
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Post Post #318 (isolation #72) » Mon Nov 04, 2019 12:34 pm

Post by Wooper »

boycotting til you antijester case BS.
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Post Post #319 (isolation #73) » Mon Nov 04, 2019 1:17 pm

Post by Wooper »

https://www.mafiacolosseum.com/threads/ ... sotis.188/

don't really think we have a lot of people interested in meta here but offsite meta fyi
i think my alignment here is pretty transparent.
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Post Post #321 (isolation #74) » Mon Nov 04, 2019 1:36 pm

Post by Wooper »

In post 298, Wooper wrote:tfw
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Post Post #323 (isolation #75) » Mon Nov 04, 2019 1:51 pm

Post by Wooper »

tbh i'm not sure he wouldn't just lead town off a cliff as a jester strat
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Post Post #324 (isolation #76) » Mon Nov 04, 2019 1:52 pm

Post by Wooper »

if it's not bbmolla
it's bungle

then a decent margin
then you/ofrhz
then eth0s
then bs
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Post Post #326 (isolation #77) » Mon Nov 04, 2019 2:50 pm

Post by Wooper »

In post 20, Blatant Scum wrote:I am not a jester.
In post 43, Blatant Scum wrote:Even our mafia PT is more active than this.
rvs memes but i think these are worth checking at a really preliminary level; this is a gimmick account and he's playing to his shtick of being ~blatant scum~. If he actually *was* jester I'd expect some level of distancing from it, even at an unconscious level.
In post 90, Blatant Scum wrote:Must...resist...urge to...lolhammer ...DDM.
If his jester approach is drawing scum equity to try and be lynched as jester, not hammering here is a bizarre deviation from the strategy; imo this shows an inconsistent approach to the game which doesn't gel with the idea that BS is a jester.
In post 121, Blatant Scum wrote:Bingle, so your strategy is to keep lynching every player with low jester equity until day 4?
In post 161, Blatant Scum wrote:Is it better to lynch comftown or random player?
In post 166, Blatant Scum wrote:Hmmm, so as town I actually should *want* to be lynched?
Interesting approach.
i think this conversation is slippy; if BS is jester and trying to get lynched he hasn't considered that the optimal way to be lynched is to look like you're trying to stay alive. if he's jester he's very likely playing to a more two-dimensional wincon which i don't really think he is because again, his earlier play is pretty inconsistent
In post 183, Blatant Scum wrote:Bingle's current playstyle is how I would be playing jester.
this is a strong intuition and something that comes from someone trying to solve the game in the moment imo, not push a longterm agenda.
In post 220, Blatant Scum wrote:
In post 217, Bingle wrote:Yeah, reread Drew Iso. I don't see a world where that is jester.

VOTE: Drew

Preferred lynch order remains the same. Drew > BS > legitimate scumhunting.
I am willing to lynch Drew.
If he flips scum, I am willing to lynch myself.
But if he flips town, I am not lynching myself.
this is a townpost from someone who doesn't know the setup well, or a scumpost from someone who is very good at this setup. it's not a jesterpost.
In post 254, Blatant Scum wrote:I mean, you didn't hit scum first 2 days.
If you lynch me today, town has 1/5 probability of victory (in case of random lynching).
Thanks to Bingle's interventions, wagonology probably won't work for first three days here. Mislynches neither.
We should lynch scummy person, even though if his/her jester equity is existing (but still low-medium).
allowing that you can clearly track that BS has been working thru how to play this setup well? this is a very towny post.
In post 280, Blatant Scum wrote:I would rather lynch 5% jester than obvtown...
ditto
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Post Post #327 (isolation #78) » Mon Nov 04, 2019 2:53 pm

Post by Wooper »

rooroo - torment into playing, mild jester equity
Bingle - openwolfing or jester
Blatant Scum - obvtown
Wooper - obvtown
ofrhz - torment into playing, mild-to-medium jester equity
BBmolla - high jester equity
eth0s - wildcard alignment, low jester equity
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Post Post #328 (isolation #79) » Mon Nov 04, 2019 2:54 pm

Post by Wooper »

the ONLY reason i will accept my lynch today is if it's me, or someone who i think is likely to be a jester. but if town wants to win this, we need to lynch BS.
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Post Post #330 (isolation #80) » Mon Nov 04, 2019 3:05 pm

Post by Wooper »

the way he's going about powerlynching town doesn't feel like town!bungle in this situation; his play around the drew lynch for example
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Post Post #332 (isolation #81) » Mon Nov 04, 2019 3:14 pm

Post by Wooper »

yes but we've gone about it in a different way.
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Post Post #333 (isolation #82) » Mon Nov 04, 2019 3:15 pm

Post by Wooper »

for the record categorising it as just lynching town isn't fair; it's lynching people who are clearly playing to a winco
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Post Post #336 (isolation #83) » Mon Nov 04, 2019 3:19 pm

Post by Wooper »

In post 32, Bingle wrote:Also

VOTE: dr drew

Serious vote.
In post 74, Bingle wrote:Huh. Nancy is confer not jester. Bye Nancy.

VOTE: nancy
In post 116, Bingle wrote:VOTE: DDM

Fine then. One down, two to go. Drew doesn’t want to be lynched, he goes next.
These posts where he's acting like he's scumreading ddxm/later drew are virtue signalling in a way which isn't consistent with just lynching people who are low jester equity for town ev; Bungle explicitly wants to be townread for it.
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Post Post #337 (isolation #84) » Mon Nov 04, 2019 3:24 pm

Post by Wooper »

In post 334, eth0s wrote:in 255 you said "Blatant Scum - survivalism slipped; unlikely to be jester. probably a very small townread in a vacuum." am I misunderstanding your definition of a survivalism slip? If not, what do you really think and why has it changed?
i think 220 is survivalism slippy; not wanting to be lynched if player X flips alignment Y shows concern about a long-term win condition.
In post 334, eth0s wrote:again, jester!BS = any lynch not on himself is bad. Painting other people as jester is an easy way to ensure that person does not get lynched before D4. Therefore he is attempting to leave himself in the lynch pool while removing bingle from it. +jester equity. If you (woop) are really town then explain how this couldn't just as easily be an attempt at scum distancing? Up until this point I'm pretty sure scum!BS was never really worried about getting lynched. If he's scum then wouldn't he feel pretty safe making this post for distance?
i think we need to agree to disagree on the former point; i don't think that's consistent with his approach if he is a jester. wrt the latter it's not a locktown read off this one post but in a vacuum, in a game without a jester, i'd still be townreading BS imo.
In post 334, eth0s wrote:Can you explain your thought process here? There's too much WIFOM that can come from his post for me to feel nearly as confident about it as you do.
i'll do this in a minute.
In post 334, eth0s wrote:okay? So why do you want to lynch him again?
we need a non-jester lynch and this is the best one fmpov.
In post 334, eth0s wrote:Since when?
meant same comment as above, not that i agree
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Post Post #338 (isolation #85) » Mon Nov 04, 2019 3:26 pm

Post by Wooper »

In post 254, Blatant Scum wrote:I mean, you didn't hit scum first 2 days.
If you lynch me today, town has 1/5 probability of victory (in case of random lynching).
Thanks to Bingle's interventions, wagonology probably won't work for first three days here. Mislynches neither.
We should lynch scummy person, even though if his/her jester equity is existing (but still low-medium).
dealing again with the trajectory of BS working out how this setup functions, he's hit the point where he realises Bingle's intervention has basically broken the gamestate (furthermore, that vca rarely works in a jester setup). the conclusion he reaches is *actually* him trying to preserve a high town ev% from his perspective. i personally weigh the risk of instantly losing the game more highly than i weigh the risk of trying to hit red before the jester is removed from the game, but i think him reaching this conclusion as a comparatively new player is pretty pure.
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Post Post #339 (isolation #86) » Mon Nov 04, 2019 3:26 pm

Post by Wooper »

either that or it's engineered to look that way by someone who is very familiar with this setup
and i just don't think BS reads that way (no offense)
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Post Post #340 (isolation #87) » Mon Nov 04, 2019 3:27 pm

Post by Wooper »

and again, it's a read designed to draw attention to longterm wincons not one engineered to achieve BS' lynch. so unless he's playing 3d chess he isn't likely the jester.
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Post Post #342 (isolation #88) » Mon Nov 04, 2019 3:31 pm

Post by Wooper »

any takes on like, dayplay, bbm?
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Post Post #348 (isolation #89) » Mon Nov 04, 2019 3:51 pm

Post by Wooper »

In post 344, BBmolla wrote:
In post 307, Wooper wrote:VOTE: BS this is today's mislynch.
there is no possibility bs is mafia?
he might be mafia; he is likely not jester.
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Post Post #350 (isolation #90) » Mon Nov 04, 2019 3:52 pm

Post by Wooper »

ofrhz was prodded at pagetop btw
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Post Post #353 (isolation #91) » Mon Nov 04, 2019 3:54 pm

Post by Wooper »

In post 346, BBmolla wrote:Town:
rooroo
talk to me abt this btw?
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Post Post #354 (isolation #92) » Mon Nov 04, 2019 3:55 pm

Post by Wooper »

In post 352, BBmolla wrote:once jester is gone this game becomes significantly easier imo
agreed; unfortunately this is a big part of why we absolutely can't lynch you today :/
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Post Post #356 (isolation #93) » Mon Nov 04, 2019 4:00 pm

Post by Wooper »

i kinda agree with that at like, a tonal level
but with some pretty serious reservations
she doesn't really care about mafia much atm
at a mechanical level she's good enough to know to pull this shtick as jester
and i don't really have a firm read on the little bits of solving which have floated thru
but i think she's more readable lategame
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Post Post #360 (isolation #94) » Mon Nov 04, 2019 4:08 pm

Post by Wooper »

i'm kinda at {town, jester} on you if that's any comfort. i'm a little worried i might be confbiasing but your play does make a lot of sense as jester.
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Post Post #363 (isolation #95) » Mon Nov 04, 2019 4:14 pm

Post by Wooper »

the only person i have as a fringe scumread who probably isn't a jester is eth0s, who is mostly scum through associatives with bungle, who i think is scum or jester. :c
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Post Post #366 (isolation #96) » Mon Nov 04, 2019 4:17 pm

Post by Wooper »

something something win condition something something
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Post Post #368 (isolation #97) » Tue Nov 05, 2019 8:50 am

Post by Wooper »

:oops: I was being hyperbolic, sorry.
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Post Post #376 (isolation #98) » Tue Nov 05, 2019 4:21 pm

Post by Wooper »

welcome AaronFrost. if you could make your alignment very obvious very quickly it would be appreciated. : ]

I was only gone due to sitelag
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Post Post #392 (isolation #99) » Tue Nov 05, 2019 8:32 pm

Post by Wooper »

In post 377, AaronFrost wrote:I'm the towniest person you've ever met. Also Wooper is my favorite Pokemon.
can you just marry me right now thanks
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Post Post #393 (isolation #100) » Tue Nov 05, 2019 8:35 pm

Post by Wooper »

In post 381, Bingle wrote:Wooper, why you flailing like scum?
loooooool

bingle: wooper is endgame town
wooper: bungle might be scum
byngle: wooper is flailing scum ( :

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Post Post #394 (isolation #101) » Tue Nov 05, 2019 8:37 pm

Post by Wooper »

In post 382, Bingle wrote:
In post 330, Wooper wrote:the way he's going about powerlynching town doesn't feel like town!bungle in this situation; his play around the drew lynch for example
Specifics? Also, why do you think you can read me all of a sudden?
I'll case this if I need to but I'd much prefer if someone actually engaged w me on this read so I can develop it without just reading your ISO over and over until I confbias myself.

Solid bravado btw reminiscent of scum!myself
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Post Post #401 (isolation #102) » Wed Nov 06, 2019 10:04 am

Post by Wooper »

In post 398, Bingle wrote:What changed between this read on me and now?
I reevaluated my read - you're a really self aware player and I don't see why you think I should be held to a read I had 150 posts ago.
In post 398, Bingle wrote:Why do you think you’re the best person in this list at reading me when afaicr you have ~0% read accuracy on me?
Because I've seen your tricks and I know this setup. Again nice bravado. Prior performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and "RAWR you've never read me correctly before!!" is pushing an agenda, not trying to earnestly engage with me and correct my read if you're town.
In post 398, Bingle wrote:Why would me being the designated mislynch in 5p not be worrisome?
I have no way to answer this it's like asking what the function of going into 5p with any reads at all is. we play this phase and make sure we don't lynch the jester. then we play 5p out straight.
In post 398, Bingle wrote:Who is my partner if it’s not ethos?
I haven't partnercleared anyone off you as of yet. I just see a more transparent agenda coming from the way you and eth0s have handled the suggested endgame towncore of {eth0s, wooper} which makes a LOT of sense coming from a bungle/eth0s scumteam.
In post 398, Bingle wrote:If you’re worried I’m jester and ethos is my scum buddy but not jester, why aren’t you trying to lynch ethos?
Because if you ARE a jester I think eth0s is really likely town. The agenda he's pushing really only makes a lot of sense if he's scum with exactly you, because of the way he waited it out and then started attacking me d3. Eth0s is basically sortable by whether or not you leave the game today.
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Post Post #402 (isolation #103) » Wed Nov 06, 2019 10:22 am

Post by Wooper »

In post 401, Wooper wrote:I haven't partnercleared anyone off you as of yet
This is another reason I need to be here in f5.
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Post Post #404 (isolation #104) » Wed Nov 06, 2019 11:02 am

Post by Wooper »

You refusing to see what I'm doing here makes me so sad.
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Post Post #407 (isolation #105) » Wed Nov 06, 2019 11:43 am

Post by Wooper »

In post 405, Bingle wrote:You look like you're trying to look like you're trying to avoid getting lynched while simultaneously painting me as scummy for things I haven't actually done and holding your reads close to your chest while there is no nightkill and the jester is revealed at the end of today. I'll repeat my question: Why? What do you hope to gain by acting like this?

If you have to decide the lynch 100% by yourself and you're told the game ends if you don't lynch scum, who do you lynch, right now?
i'm trying to highlight the slot i see openwolfing, because i'm worried most of this list won't see it. assuming you're not removed from the game i can't come out in 5p like "WOAH BINGLE IS SCUM" - it's vital that i call it when i first see it. call it setting up for a lynch if you like; it's setting up a dialogue so that we can sort you before endgame.

this isn't a realistic scenario btw given the jester being in play but if it WAS i'd lynch you.
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Post Post #408 (isolation #106) » Wed Nov 06, 2019 11:43 am

Post by Wooper »

In post 406, Bingle wrote:
In post 403, Bingle wrote:probable notjesters
dw this was clearly a typo
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Post Post #411 (isolation #107) » Wed Nov 06, 2019 12:45 pm

Post by Wooper »

dude you're not getting a lynch on me. don't try it.

you know why you can twist my words to make me look bad: because i've been here trying to solve the game in realtime. i have read trajectory that you can twist to try and present as inconsistencies. i have stances, but i am not going to evaluate parts of the game which i frankly may not need to bother with, no.

aaron is not "likely town" at all; he hasn't been in a position where he's needed to alignment tell. ruru is more likely town than that slot but not a lot. bb is likely town unless stronger townreads/POE indicates otherwise.
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Post Post #415 (isolation #108) » Wed Nov 06, 2019 12:59 pm

Post by Wooper »

In post 412, Bingle wrote:So you think Aaron is the best lynch for today?

Good to know. I'm glad you answered that when I asked you.

Now, who is likely to be my partner.
Where the fuck did you get that from?

And I'm not PoEing a partner for you pre-jester flip it's not a good use of my time.
In post 413, Bingle wrote:You realize that all of this applies more so to me than to you, right?
LOL.

In post 414, Bingle wrote:Also:
In post 411, Wooper wrote:dude you're not getting a lynch on me. don't try it.
In post 394, Wooper wrote:Solid bravado btw reminiscent of scum!myself
lemme go find that massive thinking emoji again
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Post Post #416 (isolation #109) » Wed Nov 06, 2019 12:59 pm

Post by Wooper »

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Post Post #417 (isolation #110) » Wed Nov 06, 2019 1:00 pm

Post by Wooper »

your read on me keeps changing to what's convenient

you have this bizarrely high standard of me to have a full teamsolve out of 6 slots when there's a jester in play

this 1v1 is so fucking ridiculous i'm still paranoid you want me to lynch you over it
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Post Post #419 (isolation #111) » Wed Nov 06, 2019 1:13 pm

Post by Wooper »

This is why
We need to lynch town today
Lose the jester so I can be bothered finding your partner
Then sort this out in f5
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Post Post #422 (isolation #112) » Wed Nov 06, 2019 1:16 pm

Post by Wooper »

short answer: by butting heads with you in F5
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Post Post #423 (isolation #113) » Wed Nov 06, 2019 1:16 pm

Post by Wooper »

In post 421, Bingle wrote:
In post 419, Wooper wrote:We need to lynch town today
No. We need to lynch Not Jester today. There is 0 reason not to scumhunt within the pool of NotJester.
this is obviously what i meant
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Post Post #426 (isolation #114) » Wed Nov 06, 2019 1:18 pm

Post by Wooper »

rooroo - not lynching.
Bingle - not lynching.
Blatant Scum - quality lynch and idk how people don't see it.
Wooper - too cute to lynch.
ofrhz/aaron - ? ? ?
BBmolla - definitely not lynching
eth0s - too easy to POE via solving jungle

BS is objectively the right lynch here.
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Post Post #430 (isolation #115) » Wed Nov 06, 2019 1:27 pm

Post by Wooper »

cool
i feel better about you and eth0s' by extension
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Post Post #431 (isolation #116) » Wed Nov 06, 2019 1:29 pm

Post by Wooper »

In post 428, Blatant Scum wrote:
In post 398, Bingle wrote:Why do you think you’re the best person in this list at reading me when afaicr you have ~0% read accuracy on me?
That is ~100% if we use negation of his read.
also this is hilarious
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Post Post #433 (isolation #117) » Wed Nov 06, 2019 1:30 pm

Post by Wooper »

rooroo - won't play the game
Bingle - town/jester
Blatant Scum - weak townread, stronger survivalistic read
Wooper - too cute to lynch
ofrhz/aaron - not playing the game yet
BBmolla - jester/scum
eth0s - likely town
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Post Post #434 (isolation #118) » Wed Nov 06, 2019 1:31 pm

Post by Wooper »

woops/bungle/eth0s towncore hitting f5 is a gamebreak on slots who aren't playin

i'm legitimately surprised you didn't pick me positioning you as a reaction test but i sincerely don't think you realised
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Post Post #436 (isolation #119) » Wed Nov 06, 2019 1:33 pm

Post by Wooper »

it's v anti scum indicative
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Post Post #437 (isolation #120) » Wed Nov 06, 2019 1:35 pm

Post by Wooper »

jester wincon this phase is literally
getting lynched
asap
or being BS and existing

i think the way BS is posting is probably leaning away from town indicative but he remains antisurvivalistic
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Post Post #439 (isolation #121) » Wed Nov 06, 2019 1:36 pm

Post by Wooper »

nope - we don't hang out as much as i'd like </3
but i did divine my own optimal strat
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Post Post #441 (isolation #122) » Wed Nov 06, 2019 1:38 pm

Post by Wooper »

you actually raise a v good point i forgot about the LOOMING TIMER
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Post Post #442 (isolation #123) » Wed Nov 06, 2019 1:39 pm

Post by Wooper »

In post 425, skitter30 wrote:deadline: 3 days, 23 hours, 21 minutes
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Post Post #443 (isolation #124) » Wed Nov 06, 2019 1:40 pm

Post by Wooper »

In post 435, Bingle wrote:I
don't
feel better about you.
btw i don't need you to feel better about me today.
i need you to feel better about me if we're both still alive tomorrow.
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Post Post #445 (isolation #125) » Wed Nov 06, 2019 1:45 pm

Post by Wooper »

That's defs a good strategy to avoid a jesterlynch
kinda think there's a lot of benefit to setting up d4+ as well tho
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Post Post #447 (isolation #126) » Wed Nov 06, 2019 1:49 pm

Post by Wooper »

absolutely but d4 could be lylo if we don't taste red today. i have zero regrets pushing your buttons until you performed outside of mechanics.
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Post Post #449 (isolation #127) » Wed Nov 06, 2019 2:00 pm

Post by Wooper »

rururururu
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Post Post #450 (isolation #128) » Wed Nov 06, 2019 2:01 pm

Post by Wooper »

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Post Post #452 (isolation #129) » Wed Nov 06, 2019 2:02 pm

Post by Wooper »

bbmololola
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Post Post #454 (isolation #130) » Wed Nov 06, 2019 2:06 pm

Post by Wooper »

:(
if it's any comfort you probtowning yourself off my reaction test probably won us the game?
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Post Post #456 (isolation #131) » Wed Nov 06, 2019 2:07 pm

Post by Wooper »

In post 394, Wooper wrote:Solid bravado btw reminiscent of scum!myself
In post 404, Wooper wrote:You refusing to see what I'm doing here makes me so sad.
i even softed that i was heckling you
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Post Post #458 (isolation #132) » Wed Nov 06, 2019 2:13 pm

Post by Wooper »

:lol:
still. if we take a ride or die on {bs, ruru, bbm, aaron} containing all of the scum this'll hold up that 100% winrate
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Post Post #460 (isolation #133) » Wed Nov 06, 2019 2:18 pm

Post by Wooper »

dw i'm town and bs is firmly notjester
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Post Post #462 (isolation #134) » Wed Nov 06, 2019 2:26 pm

Post by Wooper »

just thinking about it - aaronfrost should be p obvtown in this setup postjester
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Post Post #463 (isolation #135) » Wed Nov 06, 2019 2:29 pm

Post by Wooper »

your play makes sense as either

you've been p low impact, your votes and reads have been safe in the gamestates you've dropped them into. your stuff abt being an optimal lynch is ideal lynch distancing and i think it was intended to be the kind of thing that ~looks~ towny but i'm not convinced it IS towny
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Post Post #465 (isolation #136) » Wed Nov 06, 2019 4:21 pm

Post by Wooper »

lol.....unlikely, ruru
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Post Post #467 (isolation #137) » Wed Nov 06, 2019 4:37 pm

Post by Wooper »

i think BS probably flips town as well
but he is suuuper unlikely to flip jester

i'm like p 100% on bungle being town.
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Post Post #469 (isolation #138) » Wed Nov 06, 2019 4:43 pm

Post by Wooper »

"problematic playstyle" is my preferred choice of wording

or "damn upside-down kitten in a boot"
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Post Post #478 (isolation #139) » Wed Nov 06, 2019 5:43 pm

Post by Wooper »

ok the problem is
if you're caught jester
it makes the most sense for you to charge in and try to alienate enough people that we just lynch you

so please get towntelling
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Post Post #480 (isolation #140) » Wed Nov 06, 2019 7:30 pm

Post by Wooper »

UNVOTE:

eth0s hmu when you're around
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Post Post #484 (isolation #141) » Thu Nov 07, 2019 1:56 am

Post by Wooper »

Given that game was 7 years ago (and you were 7 years younger) I'm sort of not inclined to use it as much of a meta lead except that you have a level of self awareness - which I already knew because I already know you're good at mafia. D:

I'm not really changing my read on you and tbh I'm not sure if you expect me to rn?
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Post Post #485 (isolation #142) » Thu Nov 07, 2019 1:56 am

Post by Wooper »

Actually as a matter of interest - if you had to pick a lynch today who would you pick? other than yourself ofc
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Post Post #496 (isolation #143) » Thu Nov 07, 2019 9:33 am

Post by Wooper »

Bbm/jungle how confident are you two in reading each other?
Eth0s talk to me about notjester!BS please I don't agree
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Post Post #500 (isolation #144) » Thu Nov 07, 2019 3:29 pm

Post by Wooper »

I'm wondering if I'm being more spiteful than good, I'm not sure I see jester motivation in ofrhz/aaron but my heart would break if they actually flipped jester
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Post Post #502 (isolation #145) » Thu Nov 07, 2019 3:32 pm

Post by Wooper »

I acknowledged you beautiful, you're my favourite.
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Post Post #516 (isolation #146) » Thu Nov 07, 2019 8:47 pm

Post by Wooper »

VOTE: Blatant Scum
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Post Post #703 (isolation #147) » Sun Nov 24, 2019 9:55 pm

Post by Wooper »

I was very annoying. But I knew bungle would start playing harder if he clocked me as playing a jester game. Worth a shot.

Very well played.
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Post Post #704 (isolation #148) » Sun Nov 24, 2019 9:58 pm

Post by Wooper »

In post 699, BBmolla wrote:Wooper what was your gameplan that last day bro
basically pray y'all thought I was positioning people for late game mislynches and think I was just Actually Scum who needed to endgame

it's really rough randing jester in a setup vs. someone like Bungle who WILL strongarm the gamestate into lynching into pools of people he's comfortable with. he knows I'm selfaware enough not to play to a traditional jester strategy (or a traditional anything strategy). so I needed to look like deep/powerscum and also work on alienating slots who WEREN'T bungle.

The way I went about handling bungle on d3 was directly out of my usual scum pocketing meta

:shrug: I tried my best. win probability in this list was tiny.
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Post Post #710 (isolation #149) » Mon Nov 25, 2019 3:38 pm

Post by Wooper »

same ya

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