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Buck up, troops. We've got us a situation. None of us wants to be here. Call it a quagmire, call it a predicament, call it a fine kettle of fish. There's no other way to look at it other than I'm a wiffle ball that doesn't know which way it wants to break. It's like that time I told Jesse I had made him beans and eggs for lunch that one day, and I had only made him beans. Hwasn't having any of it. So I ended up eating a lot of beans. So in conclusion, as you can see we've got to get some barrel rolls so the skee ball machine doesn't tip over.
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Post #89 (isolation #15) » Tue Jan 04, 2022 5:35 pm
Postby Galron »
He's going to be the lamp in the corner that someone every so often says, "Does that work or not? We should just get rid of it." It may be a good idea to see when it blinks on and off what happens. Now if by the time the party's breaking up and the lamp is still there, and we're still wondering who killed Mr. Mustard, I guess the lamp would be nice to have.
In post 107, AtE wrote:Heyo what up, too many pages for me to read, can someone give me a tl;dr of the game state?
-one of the heads
if you're a nontown you help yeet the IC. tomorrow there will be three townies so all nontowns can massclaim (on day 2) and then we form an anti town voting bloc and start doing a cycle of yeet jester -> nk townie -> yeet scum -> nk townie -> yeet jester -> nk townie -> yeet jester -> nk townie and then everyone except town loses
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Post #282 (isolation #28) » Fri Jan 07, 2022 7:21 pm
Postby Galron »
I might be able to get behind that. I think one of the straight posters is a jester and one of the clown posters is a wolf. And I'd put "at least" as a modifier for both.
In post 246, bugspray wrote:I stopped reading at vanilla town and replied confirm vanilla town
And this is a lie because the role PM also requires you to confirm the voting rules explicitly
mod error occured
Alright, and did you also not read the game's description before signing up?
Because your elimination order suggestion also assumed the existence of nightkills, AND would have just led to a Jester victory, even without the kills
So you want jester!me to win?
In post 271, bugspray wrote:if i get yeeted and scum wins i'm gonna blame it on mod error confirming me when i had not truly confirmed =[
Here is bugsy's reaction to being put at E-1, which was about 1.5 hours after it occurred. Agree they are not a jester.
In post 601, schadd_ wrote:actually you can feel free to take this to mean that i think you're some other thing that's not town or mafia or jester. i wont stop you
OK. But I still think that RR and AtE is more likely to be Mafia than me.
In post 601, schadd_ wrote:actually you can feel free to take this to mean that i think you're some other thing that's not town or mafia or jester. i wont stop you
OK. But I still think that RR and AtE is more likely to be Mafia than me.
i get confirmed town! specifically, ate will flip mafia barring insane circumstances (pedit: pog). with that being true, if i were mafia, i would have chosen to hammer winfried when i got the chance to (759), because in that case winfried is either town or jester, and there's little reason to think he is jester. BUT THIS ISNT A GUARANTEE!!! in fact, there is this possibility that i'm mafia & i have some wild reason to think winfried is the jester, so i am instead trying to thread the needle and get two town executions. TO MITIGATE this outcome, i will argue to execute winfried (actually, i'll argue it because i think winfried isn't the jester, and allow me to elaborate)
mafia gets sealed out of winning the game. if i'm confirmed town, and galron is confirmed town, there is no way to get parity with just one mafia.
so our goal becomes to eliminate slots purely based on whether they have probability to be mafia compared to jester.
that is what i'll be thinking and trying to talk about today. i believe winfried is the slot with the lowest chance of being jester -- galron, you said yourself that you don't think he's maf, and more than anything else i think that's a sign that he's not the jester (i believe he's most likely to be town, but this is one of those statistically unintuitive situations where we ignore the possibility of him being town because it's irrelevant). so we execute him first, which has the added benefit of confirming me town that last like 5% or whatever.
I agree that this confirms you not mafia, but I don't think you were ever at e-1, so I can't rule out jester. It would be a big balls play to open wolf and try to get two town lims out of this, which I don't put past you, but it's pretty remote so I'm not going to cloud myself with it.